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A Loyal Bushie Burrows Into Obama's System

The Bush administration's participation in the personnel tactic known as "burrowing" has been well-reported in recent weeks. The practice isn't unique to the Bush crowd; during presidential transitions, political appointees eager to stay on the government payroll often wriggle their way into secure civil service positions -- despite the differing political beliefs of the White House's new occupant.

But because the central objective of burrowing is for political appointees to fly under the radar while Washington changes hands, it's often hard to tell when the practice is actually occurring. Consider the case of Kathie Olsen, who just made a very curious move: going from the No. 2 post at the National Science Foundation to the far less influential job of "senior advisor" in the NSF's Office of Information and Resource Management.

As Science magazine observes, Olsen had already submitted her resignation to the Obama administration and would have been out the door had she not slipped into her new, seemingly secure post. And this isn't just any Bush appointee avoiding the need to find a new job -- Olsen was at the forefront of the former president's systematic denial of the human causes of climate change.

Before becoming deputy director of the NSF, Olsen was the associate director of the Bush White House's Office of Science and Technology Policy. Her immediate boss there was Bush science adviser John Marburger, who was implicated in the 2007 censorship of congressional testimony that would have publicly illustrated the human health risks of the warming climate.

Remember Phil Cooney, the once and future oil industry representative who habitually erased from government documents any evidence that fossil fuels cause global warming? It was Olsen who first handed Cooney a debunked, Big-Oil-underwritten study that purported to disprove the existence of climate change. As Rolling Stone reported in 2007:

"It was sham science," says McCarthy, the Harvard scientist. "It's almost laughable, except that this study was held up by the administration as a definitive refutation of the temperature record."

But even as the paper was being discredited, it was causing great excitement in the White House. When Kathie Olsen of the Office of Science and Technology Policy forwarded the study to Cooney, he responded with an enthusiastic, "Thanks, Kathie!" Six minutes later, according to internal e-mails, the study was in the hands of Kevin O'Donovan, who served as Cheney's point man on climate. The study also grabbed President Bush's attention ...

During Olsen's 2002 Senate confirmation hearing, before she officially joined the Bush OSTP, her wavering avoidance of climate change questions aroused the ire of none other than Sen. John McCain (R-AZ). From Science magazine's report, available on Nexis:

McCain first read a description of how "warming in the 21st century will be significantly larger than in the 20th century ... and temperatures in the U.S. will rise by about 5 degrees -9 degrees F ... on average in the next 100 years." Without identifying the source -- a recent White House report that President George W. Bush has dismissed as mere speculation -- McCain then asked each nominee whether he or she agreed with the statement.

Olsen and Russell initially refused to answer the question. Olsen, despite NASA's dominant role in the global change initiative, later said that she "was nervous ... [and] didn't understand the paragraph," adding that "I don't know if we have enough data to make that statement." Foiled in his attempt to solicit the nominees' views on climate change, McCain declared that "I will oppose your nominations until I get an answer" and stalked out of the hearing.

How was Olsen permitted to slip inside the NSF bureaucracy after playing such a front-and-center role in the Bush administration's politicization of science? We're looking into whether her case fits the technical definition of "burrowing" -- and what the Obama team can do about it -- but suffice to say that her survival hasn't gone unnoticed.

"This internal NSF personnel action raises serious questions concerning whether a high-level Bush White House science appointee is trying to 'burrow in' at the agency," said a senior congressional investigator with knowledge of NSF. "Usually when a director or deputy director vacates their post, they are not given a non-competitive, SES-level job at the same agency. This merits scrutiny."

We have a call into the NSF to confirm whether the new "senior advisor" post announced last week is senior enough to ensure that Olsen could not be reassigned for several months.

Late Update: An NSF spokeswoman confirms that Olsen has reinstatement rights as a member of the Senior Executive Service, or SES. This could mean that civil-service rules preclude anyone in the Obama administration from acting on the matter. We'll keep you posted.


116 Comments

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If there is one area of government where Bush admin political staff absolutely have to be rooted out, it is in those departments responsible for matters scientific. Bush has done untold damage to American science and science is too important to this nation's well being to let that damage continue.

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Ditto, Greg, absolutely!

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I understand the inability to fire career employees without cause and a whole lot of paperwork, but that doesn't mean they can't be assigned work that would marginalize their influence.

Everyone in these agencies has a boss, right?

PEACE

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Absolutely. Give Ms. Olsen an office... with a chair , phone, and a desk,... and no pens, no pencils, no computer, no government-issued cell phone, etc... Put no meetings on her agenda, no travel on her itinerary.

Then put a BIG picture of President Barack Obama on her wall.

Done. Dead end her.

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Exactly. When she doesn't show up for work, leaves early, comes in late...whatever...write her up a few times and then dump her.

The next step should be to end this practice. Don't let political appointees even apply for full-time positions in the civil service until a year or more has passed after the appointing administration is out of office.

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Agreed. First, she will sit a a desk in an office with a computer that she will have limited access to use, no paperwork, no meetings to attend, no employees to supervise. Then the unit in which she works will be "reorganized" and she will be "reorganized" out of a job.

This sort of scenario will play out across the executive branch wherever Bush political appointees have attempted to entrench themselves. It may take a little time but -- Na na na na, na na na na, hey hey hey, goodbye!

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The very fact that she claimed to not understand the paragraph in question is grounds for her being rooted out. Unless there's some subtlety that escapes me, that was a straightforward passage. One that an official at the NSF should have no problem comprehending.

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Good point. Is she really cannot understand the relevant scientific literature, she needs to find a less demanding job. The federal government is not a make-work program for the ideological but obtuse.

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Er, that should be "If she cannot..." Note to self, use the "preview" button.

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We spent months complaining about the lack of a preview button, and now that we have one, we never use it.

(I'm using "we" in the royal sense, of course--didn't mean to speak for others.... : ) )


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This is one that journos (and progressives in general) need to keep an eye on. Light of day & all that. Her every official move ought to be tracked and reported. The new guy says he's all about transparency, right?

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"Senior Advisor" doesn't immediately sound like a job with civil-service protections. But it probably pays pretty nicely, which is a good deal if you intend to loaf at taxpayer expense.

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Pays nicely in an economy in which even lobbyists might have trouble finding work. This may be just sheer desperation on her part. Think about it: is a former science advisor to the Bush Administration going to have a lot of institutions and/or industries knocking down her door?

Unlikely.

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So she's for extending unemployment insurance . . .

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Hah!

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Who's the mole going to advise?!

You know, Cheney used to get right on the horn to these "authorities," whenever he felt that the scientific method might benefit from a stern hand -- spare the rod and spoil the scientist!

Culpable Condi pulled similar stunts, at one point rejecting a study that concluded that Al Qaeda and not Saddam was behind 9/11, scrawling "Wrong Answer!" across the cover page.

Anyhow, I wonder if Cheney will give this political stooge a ring once in a while; surely he's still got her in his contacts. I've actually known senior people in Federal agencies who had become non-persons, collect the pay and do nothing -- I know that if I were her boss and she tried to advise me, I'd tell the Bushie hag to go Cheney herself!

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On the flip side, those that were demoted during the Bush years because they stood up to corruption etc (a woman who tried to blow the whistle on no-bid contracts in Iraq comes to mind) should be advanced to higher positions or at least to their original spot.

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Good point.

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I totally agree.

It was deeply satisfying to see Iglesias brought back into a position of responsibility.

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And Shinseki. Brilliant appointment; simultaneously a just and good one, and a bird flipped to ex-President Blutarsky and crew.

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Shinseki was a particularly devilish stroke, wasn't it? Anyway, as to your post, touché!

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Off-topic, acamus, but I thought I'd mention that quite by chance I was skulking around the waiting-room the other day, when I bumbled upon an old photo very similar to your userpic. Hmmm! And somewhere the stinging smell of burning leaves.

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If she's not forced to resign or shitcanned, she'll be tasked to write reports on the effects of metals in paperclips on the office environment - hopefully.

I have heard that they pretty much remove any responsibility from burrowers.

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I keep harking back to the movie Office Space and the character Milton Waddams, an incompetent, spacey underachiever who was finally put in a basement area , with no lights, air conditioning or phone in an effort to make him leave of his own accord. Any Bushy that cant' or won't do his or her job to minimum standards and is protected by civil (?) service, should be sent to Coventry similarly.

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Heh, well hopefully she doesn't burn down the NSF!

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The Air Force used to send screw ups to remote parts of the earth to be passed over for promotion and forgotten. Maybe she can be relocated to a field office in Guam or some S#!thole more remote!

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Ohh but she can be RIF'd. That is right folks Reduction in Force, she is brand new to the position and that means she can be the first to go. Especially after they review her so-called credentials.

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Having witnessed civil service RIFs over four decades, the main effects are a slowdown in hiring and stabilizing the number of employees though natural attrition and early retirement deals. Of course, there have to be a few high-profile "dead wood" cases. That is a very high threshold if you are going after a GS14 or 15. Sleeping at your desk all day just isn't enough.

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Too bad we the citizens continue to vote in opportunists who have absolutely no desire to protect us from those same people.

If anyone out there actually believe anything systemic has changed in Washington with the new regime, lets just see if any laws are passed which will protect us from this type of scenario in this and/or future administrations. Won't happen because the citizens of this country have taken a back seat to the Washington cronies for a couple of generation now... all that will be done in this and future admimistrations is cosmetic makeovers. they will refuse to actually limit their own power... IMHO

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Seeing as the GOOP love "right to work" laws which are really "right to fire" laws. Apply the principles to GOOP moles.

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I was just thinking along similar lines, that these guys love work rules when they can use them to their advantage, but when the rules just function to protect the ordinary Joe from corporate exploitation, they scream bloody murder.

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Working inside a federal department, please let me assure you that like in any other workplace in America, there are many, many ways to deal with someone who has burrowed in. Titles and pay mean nothing to public policy when you are given routine and mundane things to do onto which you can never stamp your ideological impramatur.

We have our Dwight Schrutes, too. And we contain them.

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Maybe she can't be fired; but I can't believe that there is anything in the Civil Service laws that prevents her being transferred to another office within the agency where she can do no harm.

We're going to have to create a lot of these burrower-friendly offices this year.

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We can now see how the Boosh&Co. have messed up about everything they have touched. We have the uneducated in places where thought is required. Having uttered that rant I am also retired from the US DOT/FAA where i was a gs-15 An as i recall The Senior Executive Service (SES) serves at the pleasure of the Pres. These people are removable, If i am incorrect They usually get moved out by ,asking life so miserable for them they just remove them selves.... My remembrances as best as i can.. Bill

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Excuse me, but if she ignores scientific evidence in her work, then why could she not be fired FOR CAUSE (incompetence)?

Just a suggestion.

They can also make her working life a living Hell (quite legally).

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I was wondering the same thing: aren't civil service jobs subject to performance reviews, and can't workers eventually be fired if they do not perform satisfactorily? (I do realize that terminating someone can be a drawn-out process, and that many managers prefer to shuttle the person off to a corner where they can do no harm rather than engage in a fight to terminate them.)

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I know from my years of living in DC that "managing" a mole is not hard, but if there are enough of them it can be meddlesome.
My favorite, a fabulous example of this from way back. A "player" that had done this at DOJ, was TDY'd to National Archives, moved ala Office Space, to the second level basement. When he complained, he was transferred to IRS, permanently. Retirement followed quickly.

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Obama could pull a "Bushie": issue an Executive Order changing the rules and then kick her the fuck out. After all, he's the Commander in Chief Decider. Throw it right back at 'em and say "TAKE THAT, mofo's!"

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I could be wrong, but I believe changing the civil service rules would require action from Congress. I don't believe it can be done by executive fiat.

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Aslong as there is strong, motivated leadership at that particular agency, she can and will be contained.

Unfortunately, this is a big problem across the Government right now, it's not just political appointees burrowing in...OMB had a policy of hiring SES executives off the street, at a higher rate of pay, on 3+ year contracts and placing them in different agencies...we were lucky enough to get a friend of John Ashcroft's, an evangelical minister as our Director of IT for a year...thankfully, I work at a large, powerful agency that quickly had him removed when they realized he did not have the qualifications to do the job - still it took over a year.

These are the ones we need to worry about burrowing in - they are true believers and didn't have confirmation scrutiny.

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She should be stationed in Antarctica, directly atop one of the now unstable ice shelves. As you sow, so shal ye reap.

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In the Arctic -- away from the innocent penguins.

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Oops -- sorry, polar bears!

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Since she is apparently a career SES (Senior Executive Service) there are rules about reassigning her during the next 120 days (it's prohibited).

May 30th strikes me as a good date for her assignment to the NSF station in Antartica, in order to monitor the effects of global warming.

From the OPM website, here are the regulations applying to career SES transfers. I don't know what the rules are concerning burrowing.


7. What protections do career SES appointees have against involuntary reassignment?

A career SES appointee cannot be involuntarily reassigned within 120 days after the appointment of a new agency head or the appointment of a new noncareer supervisor who has authority to make the initial performance appraisal of the career appointee. The 120-day moratorium is a protection built into the law to prevent peremptory reassignments before the capabilities of the career appointee are known.

This restriction does not apply to a reassignment taken as a result of an unsatisfactory performance rating, if the rating was given before the appointment of the new agency head or noncareer supervisor. However, if an unsatisfactory rating is given during a moratorium, the resulting reassignment can't be effected until the moratorium ends.

[Reference: 5 U.S.C. 3395(e); 5 CFR 317.901]

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It appears to me that there are two ways to contain such moles. First, you can just give them an office, a paycheck, and zero responsibilities or input. It would be a kind of quarantine.

I think that could work in some cases, but the better option, I think, would be to give them real responsibility with real, clearly defined expected outcomes and see if they can be co-opted to the cause through peer pressure. If not, you're in a position to create a paper-trail of non-performance that can eventually lead to their dismissal.

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I say leave her alone, but assign her to keep a very close on-the-scene watch for temperature changes in the artic, in a rowboat.

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Make that a leaking rowboat and let her deny the science of leakage and let her pray to stop up the hole.

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Come on people, how about a little skepticism? A simple look at Olsen's bio on the NSF website reveals she has been in the career civil service since 1986, including several years as NASA Chief Scientist under the Clinton Administration. Where's the evidence that she's a Bush loyalist? She passed along a climate change document to her counterpart at the Council on Environmental Quality while she was Deputy for Science at the Office of Science and Technology Policy: Could be just doing her job? Oh, and the Science article where she's quoted as saying "I didn't understand"? -- It was retracted the very next month, because she never said that. See CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS: Science 30 August 2002: 1477

OPM has a policy to allow career civil servants in the SES to return to career positions after serving temporary stints as political appointees because the Government NEEDS their expertise, in BOTH types of positions. When one sees character assassinations like this as a result, it makes other career civil servants very unwilling to accept temporary political appointments, and that is a bad thing for us all. We really need people who know the score in those positions!

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Thanks Rusty, I looked her up too and found that she is a quite respectable scientist and has done very interesting work. She deserves a place at NSF. To all you "believers" in anthropogenic global warming (as opposed to "deniers" of same), there is nothing wrong with being skeptical in science, in fact it is required! I find Kathie Olsen's being pilloried by tpm agw "believers" to be insulting, to me and to her, especially since most of these critics are just following political leaders like Gore and have no idea where the scientific debate is now (hint: it is far from settled).

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A.

I don't see how this is a story. The whole notion of burrowing is that a political appointee makes a move into civil service. This is a civil servant who was appointed to a political position...and now she should no longer be eligible to be a civil servant? What? How does that even make sense?

B.

OK, worst case scenario, she's the Manchurian Scientist, programmed to destroy Science in the name of God. She's an advisor. Oooooh. What power does she have?

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@rozinabq -- It's only "far from settled" in the same sense that evolution is.

"The majority of climate scientists agree that global warming is primarily caused by human activities such as fossil fuel burning and deforestation.[20][21][22][23] The conclusion that global warming is mainly caused by human activity and will continue if greenhouse gas emissions are not reduced has been endorsed by more than 50 scientific societies and academies of science, including all of the national academies of science of the major industrialized countries. The U.S. National Academy of Sciences,[24] the American Association for the Advancement of Science,[25] the American Meteorological Society,[26] the International Union for Quaternary Research,[27] and the Joint Science Academies of the major industrialized and developing nations[28][29] explicitly use the word "consensus" when referring to this conclusion.

...

A survey published in 2009 by Peter Doran and Maggie Zimmerman of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois at Chicago of 3146 Earth Scientists found that 97% of active climatologists agree that human activity is causing global warming.[49] A summary from the survey states that:

"It seems that the debate on the authenticity of global warming and the role played by human activity is largely nonexistent among those who understand the nuances and scientific basis of long-term climate processes."[50]"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming_controversy#Existence_of_a_scientific_consensus

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Since she's changing over her status from a Schedule C to Career, I'm curious if that means her status changes, too. New hires from out of government are generally hired on a career-conditional basis. Through the first year, they aren't afforded anywhere near the kind of protections career permanent feds are. It's only after 3 years in that their status changes to career permanent, and then the full 5 CFR protections kick in). At least, that's the way my limited General Schedule brain comprehends it.

In our agency, I've seen 2 people shitcanned within a year because it was clear that they were either way out of their league, or just real "problem children" (like, had problems showing up AT ALL for work). One of these was a SES.

I agree with the other folks about the meaninglessness of titles and the reference to Office Space. I've know people who've gotten excellent or outstanding evals every rating period just so it would be easier for them to find a job elsewhere. OTOH, I've also known people who were so PNG'ed in their home agency after a detail that they were effectively assigned to a GS-15 job which consisted of watching paint dry on a wall.

In a previous administration, I recall a Deputy Assistant Secretary (career SES) really pissing off the (appointee, Senate confirmed) Assistant Secretary to whom he was subordinate. They were REALLY oil and water. I think because SES'ers are Departmental appointments, it's a lot easier to switch around their duty station than lower level feds (if you can believe it). In any event, I heard some time after I left the agency that he had been reassigned from a nice big office in main HQ near the WH to a little office in Suitland, Maryland. I suspect the new assignment had something to do with whatever his next career moves were.

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Well, one way to "root out" people is to actually expect verifiable and assessible work from them. People who get annual reviews and assessments are subject to firing for failure to complete their assigned tasks. Even at senior management level, someone whose work is substandard and whose positions are at odds with their manager's positions, are subject to termination ... at a minimum, she may find herself subject to what might be euphemistically termed a "hostile work environment."

Works for me.

Thanks.

mp

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No fuzz, science isn't verified by consensus. Check out Bill Bryson's History of Just About Everything for many examples of this. Evolution happened and happens, but agw is still just a position among its many adherents, and a political one for a lot of them.

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You'll have to do better than make assertions about "positions" and claim politics, I'd say. To be specific, please cite peer-reviewed literature in a respected climate journal (not say Energy and the Environment) or an equivalent top-notch general peer-reviewed science journal like Nature or Science that casts doubt on the existence of AGW.

Points will be deducted for saying that some sort of conspiracy keeps all the good work out of these journals.

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Roz,

Perhaps you have heard of the concept of "insurance". That is a system by which one pays into a large pool of capital -- mutually or privately owned -- which pays a benefit when certain fairly uncommon but very unfortunate occurrences happen.

Whether you put the likelihood of catastrophic anthropomorphic global warming at 1% or 1/100% the results of it occurring are so dire that investing even 5% of our Gross Domestic Product to prevent it seems like a good "premium". And it isn't even 5%; it's more like 2-3%.

Furthermore, even if anthropomorphic global warming DOES NOT prove to be true, the reasonably accessible hydrocarbons deposited 80 to 120 million years ago will be exhausted within a century in the MOST optimistic timetable. Uranium will be gone in 50 years, unless we transition to Plutonium breeders. Coal will last a couple of hundred years longer. Thorium reactors could in theory last about 500 years, assuming that they can be shown to sustain fission reliably at thermal temperatures.

Even deuterium fusion, the holy grail of non-renewable energy generation will last only two to three thousand years.

And, a delicious bonus for weaning ourselves from hydrocarbons especially is that all of those really despicable people who find themselves sitting on top of large accumulations, allowing them to strut and preen, will be tossed on the trash heap of history. Do you think Vlad the Impaler will be embarking on any splendid little invasions while oil sits at $35/bbl? Russia is hemorrhaging $30 billion per month.

For all these reasons it makes GREAT GOOD SENSE to say "frack you" to the oil barons and set ourselves to the task of transition NOW.


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They should make her the spokesperson for the agency. Make her get out there and loudly speak about the Obama administration's view of global warming. Tweak her job title and make her job responsibilities include the defense of global warming. The President sets the agenda. She is now just one small cog in the wheel.

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Yes, the obvious way to deal with her is to station her at one of the Poles to look for climate change.

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Open an office in Wasilla, Alaska, and send her ass up there. If she gets bored, she can use her "scientific knowledge" to open a meth lab.

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Dear Winedarksea, politics aside, let's just wait and see what the empirical world does. AGW models predict ramped up warming. The cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation has started and predictions from that are that we are in for about 30 years of cooling.

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To determine who gets bragging rights, I'd be happy to wait and see what the empirical world does. However, as for directing policy, I think the time for waiting is well past over. Even if one credits the argument that there is real doubt about whether CO2 levels of 385 ppm and rising rapidly will have a significant impact on global climate, the downside risk of "wait and see" is far too great. Your milage may differ, of course.

Meanwhile, if you think the PDO is going to take global temperatures lower over the next 30 years, I invite you to put some money where your mouth is and go over to

http://backseatdriving.blogspot.com/

Brian is offering attractive odds for warming skeptics. I look forward to seeing you there!

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Promote her to management and fire the broad.

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God, I love reading the global warming trolls. Some of them, like rozinabq, can dish out some pretty sophisticated bull with such earnestness that the unaware might start taking them seriously. Or a fellow commentator might take the bait and argue. But to argue is merely a lure to allow more bull to be served.

rozinabq does not appear to have a prior history of commenting at TPM, so it's harder to speculate as to his/her agenda. Of course, my comment might lead rozinabq to offer some kind of explanation. Which, of course, may or may not be true.

Now that Obama's been sworn in I'm sure we'll be seeing the return of the trolls. Respect their sometimes quite artful handiwork, but by and large it's best to leave them alone.

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I agree with much of what you say. The problem as I see it is that it's very hard to tell an honest-to-God troll from someone with a different opinion who is willing to discuss/argue in good faith, especially on le intarwebs, and as you say, someone with no comment history.

It's always possible that we both might learn something from an honest exchange. It's also possible, though, that we'd wind up talking past each other, in which case it is, as you indicate, a waste of everyone's time.

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Aside from scientific issues, during Olson's period as NSF COO, at least 2 EEO complaints survived the courts and were posted as notices next to elevators in the NSF corridors. One was retaliation by an assistant director who was reappointed after ruling agains him while NSF lawyers prolonged appeals to force retirement of the employee. Gender, disability, harassment, and retaliation claims are shown eventually on the nsf.gov EEO description and reported to Congress where investigations may take place.

More important than Olson's reassignment within SES is whether and how the NSF can become a better employer consistent with the Obama emphasis on diversity and transparency under the leadership of a director well past normal retirement age appointed by Bush. Also, is the National Science Board constituted to provide leadership and oversight on stimulus and infrastructure expansions related to science, engineering, and computing? Is the NSF as an employer sufficiently modernized to address education and workforce issues?

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As for Kathie L. Olsen, her bio shows that, on one hand, she's an educated and accomplished person, but with no training in physical science or climatology, or any field directly or indirectly related to the issues involved in climate change. Her training is in psychology, neuroscience, genetics and behavior. Great stuff, and if she's a man made climate change skeptic she's entitled to her opinion but I'd suspect her critique lacks much technical heft.

http://www.nsf.gov/news/speeches/olsen/olsen_bio.jsp

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OK, Dr. L and WDC, I've been called a few things in my life but never a troll! Agenda? I just like learning and it seems to me that there is a lot of uncertainty regarding the causes of 20th c warming (for ex. see further down in the wikipedia entry where fuzz got his/her consensus list). As for Brian's challenge, I certainly wouldn't put money on any prediction regarding global climate outcomes (I lost more than enough already in my IRA!) because climate is essentially chaotic, like earthquakes. We just don't understand enough about most emprical domains that affect us to be so smug about what is going to happen; humility, not hubris is the watchword.

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...climate is essentially chaotic, like earthquakes.

You are conflating weather and climate. Weather (short term) is chaotic, climate (eg 10 year averages) is not. Your comparison to earthquakes is quite instructive. At a given location, when earthquakes occur is more or less random, and given our present level of understanding, impossible to predict with any accuracy.

However, it is not hubris to claim that the probability of an earthquake in coastal CA, or southern AK, or Japan is more likely than central Canada. This is in accord with both the historical record (compare: historical record of temperatures) and our understanding of plate tectonics (compare: molecular energy absorption and transfer and climate modeling).

Claiming that climate is chaotic is essentially like saying that it's as likely to snow in Barbados in January as Chicago.

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WineDarkSea: "It's always possible that we both might learn something from an honest exchange."

Absolutely -- that's what I cultivate in my classes. The trouble with discussing global warming is that the right has heavily exploited its technical complexities in a largely successful effort to avoid federal action. A well-oiled propaganda machine pumps out talking points that argue on behalf of theories that, simply put, have little if any credence in mainstream scholarly circles. These theories are often presented by people whose scholarly credentials are decidedly questionable (at least in climate-related disciplines), but who have strong skills in media manipulation.

To get a sense of how this plays out, take a look at the discussion regarding a recent debate on global warming where credible scholars were pitted against the anti-warming noise machine. http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2009/1/23/132854/806

I have found that it's very hard to substantively debate global warming on general-interest blogs. Thus, my tendency has been to make a quick comment and pass along the link (see below) to a web site that may be one of the best sources of scientifically credible analysis on the subject.
http://www.realclimate.org/

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Thanks for that link.

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Again, there is a heck of a lot in what you say. Debating on general interest blogs, or any blogs, is generally a waste of time.

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Any talk of Dr. Olsen's academic and scientific qualifications is beside the point. When Dr. Olsen was in a policy making position, she acted as a partisan hack. She promoted a scientifically dubious report funded by oil companies that cast doubt on climate change. And she angered Senator McCain when she refused to comment in a hearing about a respected report that supported climate change. She either lacks the scientific ability to adequately judge (which I doubt), or more likely and more damning, she compromises her scientific integrity to please her political masters.

Now that she has left her policy making position, she cannot be allowed to retain a career position in the same agency where she formerly set policy. It is simply the risk that people in policy-setting positions assume as part of the job. It isn't fair to the other career professionals whom she oversaw and now will have to work with (probably many of whom saw their own careers at risk when their own scientific conclusions disagreed with the Bush administration's climate policy).

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JosephP has it exactly right. You do not promote non-peer reviewed "reports" as credible science and still expect to be treated as a scientist yourself. And Dr. Olsen hasn't done any actual science for at least a decade, meaning she's an administrator, not a scientist. In my career, I've come across two general types of scientist-administrators: those who have a genuine interest in what you do and try to help you do your job; and those who serve at the beck and call of their current political master with no thought of the actual science occurring. Olsen unfortunately seems to be the latter.

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Yes yes of course it is weather that is chaotic not climate, sorry for the goof. But it is hubris to assert that one knows for certain that people's activities are the primary cause or even a major cause of either weather or climate variations.

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Hey, we agree! I'd go farther. It's hubris to be certain about anything in science. Science even says so! For example, using quantum mechanics, it's possible to calculate the probability that I can take a quarter out of my pocket, drop it, and have it land not on the floor but on the moon! Note that this does not invalidate the theory of gravity! Of course, there's the possibility that QM is incorrect, or more likely, somewhat incomplete.

However, my realizing that being absolutely certain about the absolute validity of QM is not smart does not make it smart to to pretend that I should ignore QM when I design experiments. By analogy, not being absolutely certain about AGW, its exact magnitude, or its precise effects and consequences does not mean it is smart to conduct public policy as if there were no risks in continue to run up atmospheric CO2 concentrations to levels way above those anytime in human history.

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From the perspective of 25+ years as a retained executive search consultant --- it is real easy to neutralize a destructive and "burrowed in" organizational player that you can't terminate. Remove and isolate them in a remote office location. Take away their support staff and access to support services and information. Formally require them to submit all written and verbal "work product" to their supervisor and full-time minder. (The Bush Administration actually did a version of this program with an excellent scientist from NASA.) Handle the person with the appropriate level of dignity and have the situation carefully monitored by a skilled team of HR and legal professionals to prevent any basis for this employee's litigation. Everyone will know what the game is and it's expensive to retain such a dangerous drone. But this kind of program is much less expensive than letting them roam around loose. Offer an exit and/or early retirement package when the timing is right. And God bless Dubya and Cheney.

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If the update to the post is correct, and Dr. Olsen is protected by civil service, then getting her out of the NSF will be extremely difficult. I'm no expert on civil service rules, but just being a partisan hack probably isn't grounds for dismissal of a civil servant. If this is correct, then it would seem like the best course is to put her where she administers funding for research where she has expertise and training, like neuroscience, and keep her away from making policy or funding decisions about climate science, where she has no training and apparently has political axes to grind.

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A SES is not what I would consider burrowing into an agency.

If I were her and wanted to burrow in, I'd take a PAYCUT and get a GS-15 position. I think she's made a mistake by not stepping down into a GS position if she wants to burrow into the NSF.

People turn down SES because it's a more vulnerable position. SES requires the employee sign a statement allowing the gov't to transfer at will by the agency to just about anywhere.


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Damn chiggers! So small you can't see 'em, but they can burrow in if your not careful.

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WDS said
By analogy, not being absolutely certain about AGW, its exact magnitude, or its precise effects and consequences does not mean it is smart to conduct public policy as if there were no risks in continue to run up atmospheric CO2 concentrations to levels way above those anytime in human history.

You seem to equate the reliability of QM with AGW, now that's a stretch by any measure. The risks you refer to are quite unknown. Please, more humility.

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Let's summarize. You turned down my invitation to bet against global temperatures continuing to rise. You don't want to risk even a couple bucks of your own money, yet you want the world to run the risks of catastrophic impacts outlined in IPCC's AR4. Because you have doubts.

And you call for "more humility."

Dr. Lemming pegged you spot on. You're a troll.

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WDS, Yes, I do call for more humility in the face of vast uncertainty in how the climate system works. Those catastropic impacts you refer to are the most extreme estimates of what might happen. You fault me for not betting money on a silly challenge, as if money is the measure of one's intellectual committment and call me a name, responses hardly befitting a rational discussion. Why don't you expand your information horizon and look at Tony Watts' science website: wattsupwiththat.com?

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So let's add to my little summary: Cannot point to a single peer-reviewed scientific article in a climatology journal or major general science journal (e.g. Nature) that casts doubt on AGW, but points me to a an anonymous blog written by a former TV weather guy! Or at least claims to be a former TV weather-person.

Most impressive!

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Not an anonymous blog. My bad. The author is Anthony Watts, an actual former TV and radio weather guy. In the major metropolis of Chico, CA. A lovely town, by the way. A search of Google Scholar doesn't turn up any scientific papers with his name on it, and the urban heat island effect stuff he's pedaling on his blog has been extensively debunked. See realclimate.org.

But yeah, it's hubris not to take serious a TV/radio weather guy instead of the hundreds of actual scientists who make up the IPCC.

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A leading left wing scientist,on Nov.2001 proved that the 9/11 attacks has Iraq's fingerprints ALL OVER IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Get a clue.He is a Cornell PHd,smarter than the average dem.I have the time/date stamped files,burned to cd to preserve their forensic integrity.He is a top dem,but admires the bulldog tenacity of conservatives who work in the sciences and engineering.It's all black and white to us,try proving that a prime number has 256 variants.Only people are like that.Yes,Iraq was ALL OVER 9/11,just because you aren't allowed to see military documents,doesn't mean you know anything.Some of us have and DO!
Oh yeah,HE KNOWS that algore warming is a scam to tax white poeples worldwide.

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First time comment on here and it looks like WineDarkSea is fighting the good fight for us all. It's people like this 'Dr.' Kathie Olsen that helped the prior administration create the atmosphere of lies and deceit that has led to a world where people will buy any story you want to sell them as long as it allows them to continue living comfortably, ignoring the warning signs. The argument isn't about whether or not climate change is occurring or if its man-made, the point is we have the opportunity to do something to change the vicious cycle of paying to import energy and thereby supporting the enemy that wants to destroy you. It's quite simple really.
In Case You Missed It

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Not responsible for what TPM members do with this info, but here is Kathie Olsen's email address, fax number, and telephone number. Also the web address of her NSF Bio page:

Email: kolsen@nsf.gov
Phone: (703) 292-8100
Fax: (703) 292-9084

http://www.nsf.gov/news/speeches/olsen/olsen_bio.jsp

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WDS, Ad hominem gets you nowhere in rational argument, nor does taunting, except perhaps on comment areas like this one. This isn't the place to debate a complex issue anyhow but I think we can agree that we are talking about complex matters, i.e., processes in the real world that are imperfectly understood, and that there are highly qualified people on all "sides" of the global warming issue (it does have more than two "sides," even among the IPCC list). Ultimately the question of contemporary human contribution to climate can and will be resolved by relevant data either confirming or disconfirming predictions. Right now I know of one interesting prediction, by Don Easterbrook, a glacial geologist (emeritus) at Western Washington U. who doesn't buy AGW: that there will be a cooling trend for the next 20-30 years. Let's watch, shall we?

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As I said previously, I'm fine with watching and waiting for the next 30 years to determine who's "right" about AGW. Who gets bragging rights is not really a very important issue to me.

Whether or not the best available science informs public policy is another matter. You've got doubts, and you know of other people, none of whom are trained in a relevant field or have any track record peer-reviewed scientific publishing on the subject, who have doubts. That's fine. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. But folks who are unwilling or unable to get their stuff published in legit scientific journals have a pretty high credibility burden to climb, and don't deserve to influence public policy. Yep, that's my opinion, and I'm entitled to it, too.

As for Don Easterbrook, I'm sure he's a fine human being and was a good glacial geologist. He probably gives to charities and is kind to small animals. It's interesting, though, that he's unwilling to wager any of his own money that his cooling predictions come true.

http://backseatdriving.blogspot.com/search/label/Don%20Easterbrook

Now, to be fair and not all ad hominem, it's possible that he has personal or philosophical objections to wagers. It's also seems possible that he doesn't trust his predictions.

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The scientists that doubt the validity of climate change/global warming, despite the overwhelming evidence, remind me of the so-called scientists who, while employed by the tobacco industry, denied any connection between cigarette smoking and chronic lung/cardiovascular disease.

Most of these scientists have personal political or economic agendas, and as such, their credibility is somewhat suspect.

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You mean the tobacco executives who denied any correlation between cancer etc. and smoking? Last time I checked tobacco CEO's weren't scientists.

The same argument about economics and agenda's could be made in regards to the climate change bandwagon also. Problem with global warmers is that you have to defend your positions. When you can't defend those positions you do everything to discredit and silence your opposition. Sounds like fascism.

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The nice thing about SES positions is that the incumbent is in many ways like a military member in that they can be reassigned anywhere the agency sees fit to use them, and in any location they see fit to use them at. So for example, she could be reassigned to do work in Butte Montana or Nome, Alaska, etc. She could learn a lot about weather conditions in those places.

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MOVE HER OFFICE TO DAUBI !!
LET HER EXPERIENCE GLOBAL WARMING FIRST HAND.
GIVE HER A SMALL BONUS TO MOVE, OR ELSE.
USE THE SYSTEM.

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I'm assuming you mean Dubai? Not a very convincing case, considering that they just received 4in of snow. Only the second time in known history to have snowed in the UAE.

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Time for a new cabinet office
The "Endangered Republican Jobs Core"

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So keep her, but don't let her do any work, or talk to anyone in the office.
Have her type the local phone directory into a word file and delete the file every time she reaches the letter S.
I hate the idea of wasting taxpayer dollars, but if she can't be fired, she can't, so make sure no one has to listen to her and write her up any time she violates her new job description of office decoration.

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I never thought I would hear of Dr. Olsen described as a loyal Bushie. As several have pointed out, she has a published record in science that has nothing to do with climate change and she was never responsible for policy on climate change. Instead she has been a career administrative scientist working as a program officer at NSF where she promoted funding of young researchers in neuroscience, her area of training.

Sometime she made the decision not to return to academia (NSF program officers are typically several year appointments where the scientist takes a leave from their university) and to become a professional science administrator. So she went to NASA, where again she had nothing to do with climate change, but instead worked to establish biological research, both for space missions, but also for understanding in greater detail that psychological and biological effects of space travel, something that we will need to understand if we ever pursue years long space missions.

So how did she end up in the Bush Science and Technology Council. One may fault her for being in the Bush administration at all, I doubt I could have done that, but it was a choice to raise her profile so that she could eventually move to a Science administration job, such as the number 2 spot at NSF where she ended up when she left the President's office of Science and Technology. Again while in the POST she had no responsibility for climate change. To call her a climate change denier strikes me as decidedly odd. I can find no statement on her part one way or another about climate change. It's not her area of expertise and I know of now public statements on her part about climate change.

What I think we are seeing here is a person who made the choice for a career in government science administration and ended up in the wrong place at the wrong time. So she resigned her NSF position to allow her to take a different science administration position and now she is caught in the efforts to ferret out the Bush loyalists hidden in our government. I could be wrong, but I know of no evidence that Dr. Olsen is a Bush loyalist. I imagine that she is as surprised with this claim as are many of the people who have known her over the years.

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If she's not quite a loyalist, she has been an apologist for some time--just as bad as far as I'm concerned. When she has had the opportunity to speak out, she has not. She helped craft policies that tie the hands of scientists with regard to hiring foreign postdocs or attending conferences in other countries.

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There are many ways to rid this woman out of NSF:
1. Abolish her position. That would put her on the street.
2. Review her Resume and see if it meets the minimum professional scientific requirements of the of the position that she is assigned to. For example, a person who supports the propostion that the earth is flat, would not be considered suitable for a position responsible for supporting the NSF position that the earth is round.
3. Don't give her SES level assignments. This will lead to a review that downgrades or abolishes her position.

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My father, capable and appropriate to his field, was assigned to an empty desk when the Republican mindset took over the local city government. Instead of crying about it he started a theater program with school kids. But he's a Democrat.

Perhaps Ms. Olsen should be asked to actually report on climate science and provide her opinions to real scientists, at symposiums, in front of a room full of climatologist, on C-Span, or maybe to a room full of, oh, UC Santa Cruz science grad students.

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Elana: I appreciate very much TPM's focus on this issue. Olsen has been a political hack masquerading in the realm of federal science agencies for too long. I honestly don't know why she wants to hang around a group of people who despise her. Maybe she's close to retirement or an early out. Quite craven.

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it's extremely ironic that the same people who profess so much contempt for government can't wait to burrow themselves into these cosetted positions. we are talking about jobs here that make $150k plus and when you factor in the other worldly federal benefits pushes it up well in to $200k plus range. there are very few ways to extricate these weasels from these sinecures. I hope the obama administration knows enough about civil service rules regarding reassignments and abolishing positions. these bush people must never should be heard from again.

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Seems to me that if she's a "senior adviser", WTF? Just ignore her "advice". Don't include her in any memo lists, except agency-wide ones of course. Don't invite her to any meetings. Give her a tiny office back by the janitor's closet.

If nobody talks to her, she'll eventually leave.

Even better, if everyone turns their back to her whenever she walks by, she'll leave even faster. I'm big on shunning for the Bushies.

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How, in this day and age of knowledge, is it possible for ANYONE to think that the problems we have with the climate change stem from anything but human causes?

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Ok, so she burrowed in as a "senior advisor" in the NSF's Office of Information and Resource Management. I only wish I could get a job myself.


The National Science Foundation could use her as a sounding board for the clunk of really badly thought out policies that the Republicans would actually be right to object to... if it were possible to distinguish valid criticism from dreck.

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"Uncertainty" is just an excuse for continuing to wallow in our appalling overconsumption of carbon energy.

What I tell every global warming denier is simple Even if there is no anthropomorphic global warming, what we are being asked to do (i.e. reduce our use and wastage of carbon energy) is something that we should do anyway for at least a dozen other good reasons.

Of course the science is very clear that there is AGW, but even if you doubt it or deny it, we still should reduce carbon energy use. What possible argument is there in favor of our continuing to burn up the planet's resources?


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You still enjoy running your computer don't you? Do you like to get from point a to point b in a relatively short period of time? Until creativity and ingenuity from inventors can create practical and reasonably priced alternatives that is the way life is. Otherwise are you willing to dramatically sacrifice your way of life overnight for a pipe dream?

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So Obama said his administration would look at all programs and those that were not working would be eliminated. This department was definitely not working during the Bush years. Obama should eliminate it. Create a new department with a new leadership team and by the way, it has to based on science, reality and facts. Olsen would not be hired for the new department. Problem solved. Would this work for the Supreme Court too?

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No, there is this thing you see... called the constitution. Obama is not a dictator, not yet anyway.

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Selected intelligence led us to war, is anyone surprised they were glad to get that phony study, because it matched their needs, not the truth?

Ministry of Truth, ala Dick Cheney.

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"This could mean that civil-service rules preclude anyone in the Obama administration from acting on the matter."

So, Obama can fire the Secretary of Defense if he chooses, but he can't fire this partisan hack?

Something's amiss.

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Secretary of Defense is part of the cabinet. A civil service employee is different. Don't worry though, she will be severely outnumbered by those of differing political ideologies, considering most of those employees are lifers and have been there for 30 years almost. Bush would have liked to clean house also, but nope.

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I say no computer, no phone for this Bush hag.

Just a big-screen TV tuned only to MSNBC.

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Why MSNBC? So she can receive the constant Obama brainwashing and indoctrination? Don't give me the Fox News argument either.... Quite frankly you could tune into MSNBC, NBC, CBS, ABC or CNN and get the same old news, minus that cutey pie Olbermann.

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Practice what you preach democrats... Fact is most entrenched civil service employees are democrats. Most are career employees who like to draw a pay check for doing very little work. Nice try to quell any dissent however, now quit your whining.

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Has anyone told you yet that running against the government isn't cool these days? Career civil servants are some of the hardest working people I have ever met. And,I'd like a reference for your "fact."

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Running against the government isn't cool these days?? You'll need to elaborate on that a bit. Fact is I've worked and dealt with people in the government, federal or state whatever and they tend to be democrat or very liberal. This isn't a big secret by the way. Most are career employees. I'm not impugning all people as not be hard workers, there are many get paid to do very little.

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