Burris, Biden and a Botched Moment
When Barack Obama and Joe Biden were elected on Nov. 4, two Democratic governors were given opportunities to replace them.
When Hillary Clinton and Ken Salazar joined the cabinet, two more Democratic governors were given opportunities to make appointments.
When Judd Gregg announced he would join the cabinet, a fifth Democratic governor was given the opportunity to make a Senate appointment.
Fully five percent of the Senate was up for grabs.
The results have been an embarrassment for the Democratic party, easily the most they-can't-run-a-two-car-parade moment since the Michigan-Florida debacle. The appointments have managed to combine voters' worst impressions of the Democrats: corruption, racial pandering, and general goofiness.
There are obviously different degrees of botching it with the laughably corrupt Rod Blagjevich's appointment of the laughably likely corrupt Roland Burris being the worst. David Paterson's brief exercise in Kennedy lore didn't exactly distinguish the New York governor. In Delaware, Ruth Ann Miner appointed Ted Kaufman to take Joe Biden's seat. Kaufman is a long-time aide to the Biden's and his appointment is seen as a mere placeholder for Beau Biden, the vice president's son, to run for the seat. Appointing Beau Biden now would have been seen as too crass.
Can you fault John Lynch, New Hampshire's popular governor, for agreeing, at the request of the White House, to appoint a Republican because that's what Judd Gregg insisted upon? I wouldn't cast too many aspersions on Lynch. It was Gregg, after all, who abruptly changed his mind.
Finally, you have to say that the most seamless appointment was Bill Ritter's tapping Michael Bennet to fill Ken Salazar's seat in Colorado. I'm friends with Bennet's brother, James, the Atlantic editor, and I think he'll be a great senator and has a decent chance of holding on to the seat. You have to give Ritter the highest marks
All said, Democrats were presented with an interesting chance to put a new generation to politicians in play and they handled it in a middling way at best.
By the way, if Obama's seat goes Republican it'll be the first time in the 20th century, as best I can tell, that a president will have seen his party lose his seat while he's in office. Harding's Republicans held his Senate seat when he was elected president in 1920. Jack Kennedy's Senate seat stayed in Democratic hands. Vice presidential seats have flipped. Gerald Ford's house seat went to a Democrat in a special election after he was confirmed as Nixon's second veep. It would be pretty embarassing for the Republicans to pick up Obama's senate seat but if in the unlikely event Burris manages to stay in until 2010, can anyone doubt that's likely? That would be one more legacy of this weird season.














"I'm friends with Bennet's brother, James, the Atlantic editor, and I think he'll be a great senator and has a decent chance of holding on to the seat. You have to give Ritter the highest marks"
That's sort of a disclaimer, I guess. But here's the problem, Mr. Cooper: You're friends with his brother, so you presumably know the guy, and have some reason to believe he'll be a good senator. Care to share, or should we just take your word for it?
Maybe you haven't read much of what Josh writes, but this blogging thing isn't just journalism without sources. You're the source. If you don't open yourself up we have no context in which to judge your claims.
Or maybe you were hired as a reporter, in which case you can ignore what I just wrote and simply try to do...better.
February 19, 2009 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's election;
We lost 4 elected Senators; Obama, Biden, Clinton, Salazar.
2 elected House members Emanuel, Solis.
2? Governors from Red States, Napolitano, Sibelius.
Napolitano's Governorship already went to a Republican.
February 19, 2009 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
We're in this for the long haul.
The chance to occupy the White House until 2024 and write policy that will affect a generation is an interesting opportunity that outweighs these short-term setbacks.
February 19, 2009 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
"...if Obama's seat goes Republican it'll be the first time in the 20th century, as best I can tell, that a president will have seen his party lose his seat while he's in office."
Is it just me, or aren't we in the 21st century? 2009 and all. I'm just sayin'...
February 19, 2009 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Gregg/Lynch thing wasn't no cost, it hurt Bonnie Newman.
That's why Gov.Patterson of NY held off in appointing a replacement for HRC, he didn't want to damage a fellow Democrat in case of trouble for HRC (see Richardson, Daschle, etc.). Patterson didn't create the Kennedy circus, blame Bloomberg and Caroline.
The Delaware appointment was no drama.
Your kinda sorta friend in CO is aces, right?
The Blago appointment WAS a full-on train wreck but don't count on A) Burris surviving a Democratic primary or B) The Party of Obama ever losing in IL. Obama first got noticed in politics by doing GOTV for Carol Mosely-Braun and the first piece of his campaign machine was assembled getting voters out statewide in IL. If Burris can't find his way to leave quietly in '10 then Rahm will clear the decks and take him out in a primary with one candidate like Lisa Madigan. Nothing personal, strictly business. The Obama political machine could elect a turnip in Illinois so speculating on GOP success is a bit of hyperventilation.
I see no pattern.
February 19, 2009 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree, Matt, with your presumption that these appointments are conflated together in the general public's perception. I think most of the voting public isn't paying attention, and the fraction who are paying attention are not conflating these appointments.
No, I'm not saying those who are paying attention recognize nuanced distinctions between these appointment scenarios; they don't. Rather, I'm saying most of the public don't think about these seats together. They're really not paying attention to Delaware at all, as the media hasn't given any attention to it. The Kaufman appointment was handled well insofar as being done quietly and kept out of the spotlight. That "Senator Kaufman" NEVER appears in any news story is telling, it means no one ever remembers he even exists. Regarding Colorado, as you mentioned there's no controversy surrounding the appointment, beyond Dems surpised by the pick and worried about Bennet's ability to win on his own which isn't a controversy in the nonpartisan public's mind. I think the Judd Gregg situation is badly misread by the corporate media; the public doesn't frown on Obama or Democrats on that one, it's only Gregg who looks bad for having accepted Commerce with great fanfare only to flake out later for reasons that pre-existed his acceptance of the job. Only the New York and Illinois appointments are penetrating the public consciousness in a way that makes Dems look bad, and even then I'm very confident these situations are viewed in isolation by most people. The Illinois situation is a drama unto itself, and the New York situation is more a political bungle that only New Yorkers will remember beyond today.
In summary, I think you're misreading the public by conflating these seats, Matt.
February 19, 2009 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
The results have been an embarrassment for the Democratic party, easily the most they-can't-run-a-two-car-parade moment since the Michigan-Florida debacle. The appointments have managed to combine voters' worst impressions of the Democrats: corruption, racial pandering, and general goofiness.
If I recall correctly, didn't all the corruption, racial pandering, and general goofiness occur in the Illinois Senate appointment? You know, the one made by the impeached governor/alleged criminal/insane person? I mean, it's bizarre you would make this point since I honestly can't think of a single racial component to these appointments outside of IL -- unless Paterson, solely by being black, introduces a racial component into every single thing he does. But surely you can't be dumb enough to think that.
And the fact that instead of appointing Biden's son to the seat, Biden's elected official son is going to run for it ... is somehow bad? I guess the DE governor should not have appointed someone who reflects the interests and priorities of their previous elected official?
Overall... yawn. TPM was pretty indispensable during the election (despite the Chicken Little tendencies) but now it's just boring (in addition to inching ever close to what's wrong with journalism rather than what's right). Elana does good work sometimes, but given the general tone and those obnoxious Pheedo ads, TPM's getting deleted from my RSS reader. So long, everyone.
But hey, I'm glad Matt's friend is a grrrrreat Senatorial choice! Who ever would have though Beltway backscratching reached that far?
February 19, 2009 10:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
"By the way, if Obama's seat goes Republican it'll be the first time in the 20th century, as best I can tell, that a president will have seen his party lose his seat while he's in office."
Well, disregarding it's the 21st century and not the 20th, we need only go back to the last president of the 20th century to disprove this one...Mike Huckabee became governor in 1996 after Bill Clinton's LG and successor as governor--Jim Guy Tucker--was convicted and imprisoned over Whitewater. So there's one.
Did you research this at all, Matt?
February 19, 2009 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
He was apparently referring to presidents elected from the Senate, which limits it to about two people.
February 19, 2009 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Judd Gregg's replacement would have been a Republican - yes. The Republican who had been Democratic Governor Lynch's political mentor, and head of Republicans for Lynch. This would have been a very clever move, putting in an independent-minded, persuadable Republican, who would have on many issues ended up on the left of Collins and Snowe, while solidifying their own centrist positions.
February 19, 2009 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is one of the dumbest articles I have read on TPM. The situations are all different.
1. Illinois's case is a farce dependent on one certified nut.
2. Delaware's case is quite normal, historically. Is anyone in the country even aware of its circumstances? This selection was so far below the radar that I fail to see how it tarnishes Democrats.
3. New Hampshire's case reflects poorly (or well, if you are a Republican) on Gregg, not on any Democrat. Gregg is the issue, not any promise made by the governor. In some states, governors are required to appoint replacements from the same party as the former senator.
4. Colorado's case is quite normal historically, only this time you approve of the choice. This choice was also quite far under the radar.
5. New York's case revolves around Caroline Kennedy's fame. People are interested in this case because it's like Entertainment Tonight. I doubt if many associate this case with general Democratic Party incompetence, only with Kennedy's and Paterson's incompetence.
6. Perhaps you are right. While the Michigan/Florida primary mess was of interest to those who make money on conflict (our media), most people in the country outside those states didn't care -- viewing this as a political ploy like invalid absentee ballots in Minnesota. Michigan/Florida is in the news today because of the economy, not the primary, just as the new Senators or almost senators are an irrelevancy today in the country. Like who would care about senatorial appointments when losing jobs, homes, 401Ks, etc.
7. Lastly, those pesky "facts" don't seem to be with you. Practically the only way to gauge what the public thinks about the incompetence of the Democratic Party is to look at the polls. And what do those polls show? Increasing approval of the Democratic Party and the Democratic congressional caucuses.
February 19, 2009 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Matt Cooper's larger point is that the Democratic Party could have done better by rolling out five clearly top-flight individuals for these Senate seats in a coordinated way.
However this ignores the Constitutional reality, which is that the Governor of each state, and him or her alone, is responsible for filling a Senate vacancy in his or her own state. Governors are individuals with their own priorities and interests, which may not always match the interests of the Obama administration or the national Democratic Party, resulting in a mish-mash of results and a confused message when taken in aggregate, as we've seen.
The fault here, if there is any, lies not in Democratic Party incompetence but in our federal system.
February 19, 2009 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not apologizing for the People magazine-style story with C. Kennedy, but honestly, the brouhaha over that is exactly the same as the Repugs declaring Obama a "failed" president. Those of us in the real world A.) Couldn't care less about the supposed "scandal," and B.) Can easily distinguish between the truth and delusional ranting from the media.
February 19, 2009 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Beau Biden's non-appointment didn't have anything to do with crassness. Beau's National Guard unit is currently deployed in Iraq, making it somewhat difficult to perform Senatorial duties and functions.
My guess is that, given Dad's popularity in Delaware, Beau's appointment would have been accepted enthusiastically.
February 19, 2009 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It really is time to stop asserting that the process in Delaware was problematic. If Beau Biden takes the seat in two years, it'll be because the people of Delaware voted for him. Would it have been more democratically desirable to appoint someone who wanted to keep the seat -- presumably from the state party's big anti-Biden wing -- so that they'd get two years of incumbency for no charge? Absent a special election, appointing a seat-warmer is the best option.
February 19, 2009 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I realize that Matt's a Beltway lifer -- boy is he ever -- but it's really hard to see a Republican taking over Obama's seat.
Blago didn't suddenly go crazy, yet the GOP couldn't find anyone viable to run against him.
Obama won his seat against Alan Keyes, who stood in for the original GOP nominee, an apparent altar boy who in reality tried to convince his movie star wife (now ex-) to engage in group sex.
Some of Matt's friends may be focusing on GOP Rep. Mark Kirk as a potential challenger. But he has a long pro-choice record, so he can't win a statewide GOP primary.
Blago and Burris notwithstanding, there's some depth to the Dem talent in Illinois. Even if Burris survives for the next two years, there should be a new Dem senator worthy to take the seat occupied by Obama, Stevenson & Douglas.
February 20, 2009 2:08 AM | Reply | Permalink