The Stimulus Debate Goes Goldilocks
Despite a rousing, psych-you-up speech from President Obama last night, the Senate is still facing the same core dilemma on the economic recovery bill.
Call it the Goldilocks problem. The 15 centrist senators still in talks on slicing about $100 billion from the bill have yet to hit on a package of spending cuts that's not too hot, not too cold, but just right to get the stimulus to 60 votes.
If they don't figure it out by day's end, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) will do what I suspected he'd ultimately have to -- move to cut off debate on the bill entirely, setting up a Sunday vote that will test all this talk of resistance from centrists on both sides.
One thing that bears repeating throughout today's Senate drama: This debate over trimming the stimulus is spending little time on what it means to cut as much as $13 billion in state education aid and $5.5 billion in surface transportation funding. The process is just moving too fast.
"It's very hard to get your case made in a fully substantive way," Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND), one of the dozen-plus negotiators, admitted last night. (He had just finished asserting that "substance matters here, what's in the package matters a lot.")
So by all means, call your senator and holler if you saw something on the list of potential cuts that concerns you.


















Anybody know who the 15 senators are?
February 6, 2009 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
The list seems to be: Evan Bayh, Michael Bennet, Kent Conrad, Mary Landrieu, Joe Lieberman, Claire McCaskill, Ben Nelson, Jeanne Shaheen, Mark Warner, Jim Webb and Mark Udall (Democrats) and Susan Collins, Mel Martinez, Olympia Snowe, Arlen Specter, George Voinovich (Republicans)
February 6, 2009 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you. I was interested in the republicans in the group incidentally. That's not many. It looks like it's going to be a squeaker unfortunately.
February 6, 2009 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Claire McCaskill is such an idiot.
February 6, 2009 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm interested to know why you would single out claire from this list? But more than that, I think you probably mistake the political realities of Missouri for idiocy; her electoral coalition is extremely fractured, MO is one of the only states getting redder, and on bills like this she's pretty well damned either way. So from that perspective it makes a lot of sense for her to make a big show of trying to broker a third way. Which is what all fifteen of these people are really doing...it's not at all that they want certain cuts...it's just the optics.
February 6, 2009 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keep in mind, too, that the Senate added on a bunch of stuff to the tune of about another $100B. If this group gets the cuts they want it will just bring the whole thing back to the size of the bill that passed the House. All the wailing and gnashing of teeth over how they're killing the bill is pretty overwrought.
February 6, 2009 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only thing I can say to a comment like that, it takes one to know one.
February 6, 2009 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. Got letters out to our two on that list (Webb and Warner).
I'm appalled they are in that group of 15 rather than working to oppose the amendment, and I told them so.
February 6, 2009 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe this is a variation on Parkinson's law. Debate expands to fill whatever time is allotted for it. Enough already. Vote. If today's jobs report isn't enough to convince any wavering Senators, nothing will.
February 6, 2009 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Co-sign.
February 6, 2009 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Co-sign as well. It's nice to see you getting fed up, mbf. If they've pissed you off, it's time to move on this bill.
February 6, 2009 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not really pissed off. There's a time and a place for debate. That's healthy. But there's also a time to get on with it. That time has come. Anyone who's not on board by now will never be on board.
February 6, 2009 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not happy about the fact that the media is still so dominated by Republican talking points. I'm sitting here watching Andrea Greenspan and Margaret Carlson talk about the failure of Obama's bill. And you can bet the Sunday talkers will all ab out Obama's failure.
Meanwhile, in the real world, he's going to get a bill passed in the amount he requested and along the time frame he demanded. Where's the failure here? And, by that, I mean what the fuck is wrong with these talking heads in the MSM?
February 6, 2009 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Six months from now, what do you think people will remember, that some blabbermouth talking head spewed some sort of nonsense, or that Obama got the bill passed? I'm pretty sure it will be the latter.
February 6, 2009 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cosign.
February 6, 2009 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
It wouldn't be the first time Obama has made the pundits look like fools.
February 6, 2009 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the Congressional Dems would just go on all the cable TeeVee shows and hammer the points President Obama made last night (Stimulus *is* spending, that's the point; there are too tax cuts in the bill, targeted to people who might credibly go out and spend it; changing the federal fleet to more green ones and weatherizing homes is an awesome three-fer: create jobs, decrease energy consumption and wean us off foreign oil; 36 Rethugs voted for a bill that is tax-cuts only: same old, failed policy) then people might actually learn about the other view point.
As it is, Rethugs and their media enablers are the only ones talking -- ceding the debate and then crying about the consequences is just way too stupid.
President Obama cannot show up on all these shows going up against every Rethug cong critter -- the numbers of them can be matched only by the dems in congress. Especially, house members who are now free, need to get their mugs on TeeVee and drill in the sane viewpoint.
February 6, 2009 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Adding, President Obama did make one big mistake, Chris Matthews is right about this: he should have explained the highlights of the proposed bill and clearly enunciated their benefits. It still may not be too late for him to do that. He needs to take one half hour of network time and explain the big picture of the bill and the tangible benefits.
February 6, 2009 10:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with trying to be "Bipartisan" is that when the other side spews a bunch of lies, you can't call them on it.
He tried this strategy, it didn't work. Now it's time to try something else. We've got 58 senate seats or whatever. No big deal.
February 6, 2009 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let the Rethuglicans filibuster. I'd love to hear grumpy Grampy McCain read the Yellow Pages. He'd like it too. He didn't have a phone book for five and a half years. He and his ilk will shoot craps with working people's lives and livelihoods.
February 6, 2009 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree! I'm so sick of seeing Harry Reid roll over and play dead every time they threaten a filibuster. I would love to see Mitch McConnell reading the phone book on C-SPAN. I know nobody watches S-SPAN, but can't you see the montage on all the networks? Little clock down in the corner to show the passage of time, maybe a split screen with the other side showing lines at unemployment offices.
February 6, 2009 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gloves off. These are modern-day Herbert Hoovers, all to happy to send the economy over a precipice if they don't get what they want. It's long past time to call them out on it.
Have a cloture vote. Then let anyone who votes against cloture have it with a barrage of ads and grassroots protest. If any of them are Dems, run a candidate against them in the primary.
This is about saving America from a second Great Depression. Why don't these people realize it's not business as usual? And why haven't they yet been held to account?
February 6, 2009 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
So by all means, call your senator and holler if you saw something on the list of potential cuts that concerns you.
All of the cuts concern me. I don't think these centerist jackasses get the concept that the States are falling apart and badly need Cash simply to stay in business. The money in the bill isn't even enough to get that done.
What's going to happen is that Obama is going to push even more money through in budget appropiations. But at least 600K people lost their jobs in January, and we're not close to the bottom.
If Obama wants to play the Bipartasan game, he should dump House and Senate GOP and instead go to the State GOP - governors like Arnold, Jindal and Crist. Not just them, but key Dem Govs like Rendell, Strickland, Kaine, Perdue, Schweitzer, Nixon, etc. Call them into the White House for a big photo shoot, and then send them back out to their Home States and also on the airwaves to pimp that it's needed.
The Obama Team seems to have lost sight of the Ground Game, and that there are valuable people out there.
John
February 6, 2009 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
insightful point.
February 6, 2009 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Remember the good old days when the strum and drang was over a $16 billion stimulus package? That's one-six billion.
Lawdy lawdy, we sure have come far from 1993.
February 6, 2009 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
When did we get to the point that 60 was the magical number? Here I always thought it took a majority. We're moving the goal posts.
http://www.pufferfishblog.com/
February 6, 2009 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I guess then the "procedural vote" the news outlets are referring to is a cloture motion not a paygo waiver which raises the question, if the Monday headline reads "Senate Republicans Block Final Passage of Stimulus Bill" will read have the guts to keep the bill on the Floor so we see the same headline on Tuesday, Wedenesday.....as long as necessary?
February 6, 2009 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I second Elana's emotion on calling Senators but I'd add tax cuts to your bitch lists.
If the question is waste and size, let's cut the re-inflate the housing bubble tax cut which ballooned from 18 billion at passage to 36 billion the day after
February 6, 2009 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the problem is lots of congressmen really don't get why quick and massive government spending is necessary. They're so myopic about the budget (except for military spending of course) that they can't connect it in their minds with the economic effects. At least I think that's what's going on with the centrists. The conservatives have a short term goal of defeating Obama at whatever he tries and damn the consequences, and a long term goal to prevent New Deal-like economics from working and conservative philosophy being debunked for a generation again.
February 6, 2009 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
February 6, 2009 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jon Stewart did a great job last night highlighting the gross hypocrisy on display by the Republicans fighting domestic spending initiatives while lavishing spending on Iraq with zero accountability.
February 6, 2009 11:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I particularly liked seeing Vitter ranting about STD. Stewart was definitely on his game.
February 6, 2009 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Glad you left out, governing. Republicans have stated at their retreat they have no interest in governing, only in vilifying and undermining their way back into power.
February 6, 2009 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Congressional Progressives bark remains less fearsome than the Blue Dog's bite
If this thing is heading for the Senate side toilets, might as well join in
February 6, 2009 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
One of the biggest problems here is that Harry Reid as Majority Leader is a joke. He leads nothing, he leads nobody and he leads nowhere.
Somebody ought to make him read Robert Caro's book on how to "lead" the Senate, Master of the Senate: The Years of Lyndon Johnson. Maybe Harry would absorb a nugget or two and figure out how to get something done.
February 6, 2009 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
No kidding.
How many times has Reid made a threat only to back peddle on it later? Last night it only took about 2 hours.
Here's some advice for Harry Reid: Don't make threats you are not prepared to back up. Your poker face is not that good.
February 6, 2009 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's why they call him Harry the Flaccid. 100% useless, a box of paperclips is more effective.
February 6, 2009 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't the Three Bears chase Goldilocks out of the house at the end of the story?
February 6, 2009 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I really wish Al Franken was in the Senate right now. He'd make short work of the Repubs.
February 6, 2009 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have you heard the guy give a speech or a presser or debate? Just curious.
February 6, 2009 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not sure about Harry Reid being the biggest problem.
Unfortunately, we're looking for synergy, democratic synergy between all governing bodies, executive, legislative and judicial all at once and it's going to take time.
February 6, 2009 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
In a broad institutional sense, I couldn't agree more. The Congress has after over a decade of partisan warfare become barely viable but you have to start somewhere and if the Leadership cannot respond in the face of dire crisis, what good is it?
Now is the time
February 6, 2009 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't disagree. I just don't know enough about the inside Washington process to confidently identify Harry Reid as the definitive problem.
Moreover, I don't know who would be better. Speaking of which, while it may seem obvious, what constitutes better? (Just saying someone who doesn't cave isn't going to cut it.)
February 7, 2009 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the leadership should have a good cop and a bad cop. The R's have figured this out. The leader should be the good cop and Reid is fine in that role. He needs a bad cop to work with him and the Dems don't have one.
February 6, 2009 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
February 6, 2009 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have to love Senator Prostitute railing against the Devil Acorn with his latest Amendment. Nothing but a bunch of lies.
John
February 6, 2009 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
If they don't figure it out by day's end, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) will do what I suspected he'd ultimately have to -- move to cut off debate on the bill entirely, setting up a Sunday vote that will test all this talk of resistance from centrists on both sides.
At this point, I wonder how Democrats can support this stupid anymore? Harry Reid and Joe blow turned into crap that nobody should vote for.
February 6, 2009 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink