NRCC Chairman: More Votes To Be Counted In NY-20
NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions just put out a statement looking forward optimistically in NY-20 and playing the spin game, boasting that their man Jim Tedisco has closed the gap in a tough, Democratic-held district:
"As the latest vote totals reflect, there still remain thousands of absentee and military ballots that have to be counted. Rest assured that Republicans will ensure that the integrity of the election is protected and every vote is counted. As it stands now, there is a Republican advantage in the number of absentee and military ballots that have been returned.
"With that being said, Jim Tedisco has closed the gap in a district that has come to exemplify Democratic dominance in the Northeast in recent elections. That is a testament to the strength of Jim's campaign and the effectiveness of the Republican message of fiscal responsibility and accountability that Americans are demanding in the wake of the AIG scandal.
"Less than 150 days ago, President Obama carried New York's 20th District, and former Congresswoman Gillibrand was handily reelected in this district by a margin of 62-38 percent, despite the fact that her Republican opponent spent $6 million trying to defeat her. For the first time in a long time, a Republican candidate went toe-to-toe with a Democrat in a hard-fought battle over independent voters. This was hardly a common phenomenon in 2008, particularly in the Northeast."
The claim that more Republicans have turned in absentee ballots could very well be true -- but it's not quite complete, either. The unaffiliated voters in this district have leaned heavily Democratic in recent elections -- thus the Dem wins in a district where the GOP has a big registration advantage on paper. And if that pattern continues, it won't be good news for them.
As for Tedisco closing the gap, it needs to be remembered that he led in all the polls against his lesser-known opponent, until very late in the race.
But it really is too early to know how this will all turn out.


















Uh, your earlier posts on this topic indicated a 2 to 1 republican registration advantage. That tells me that odds are the republican should win. Based on this advantage, if the dem wins, it's a huge victory.
April 1, 2009 12:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The unaffiliated voters in this district have leaned heavily Democratic in recent elections -- thus the Dem wins in a district where the GOP has a big registration advantage on paper. And if that pattern continues, it won't be good news for them."
Why the focus on unaffiliated voters? We are talking about absentees and military, right? The guy is saying there are a lot of military voters out there, and when their ballots arrive, the normal advantage that Republicans have in the military should deliver the numbers for them. Seems right to me, unfortunately. Am I missing something?
April 1, 2009 1:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
My understanding is the military vote isn't as safely Republican as it used to be. Remember Obama had more military donors than McCain. The absentee ballots so contested in Minnesota include many military voters, and most absentees went for Franken.
April 1, 2009 1:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, and do look at what he said: the Republicans have an advantage in military and absentees currently opened. He didn't say what advantage or exrapolate to a projected final result. But he is implying that the more those votes come in, the better for them, based on votes returned so far.
In short, if Scott Murphy prevails, I guess we have another vote that Scalia would love to get his greasy hands on, and if Scott doesn't, the High Court won't want to get near this as they greatly respect the states' rightful role in holding elections, depending upon who ends up on top, that is.
April 1, 2009 2:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Framing alert: absentee ballots and military ballots aren't two different things. Many absentee ballots come from active duty military. I don't know what the Republicans are trying to pull, but I suspect they have a thought of seeking differing treatment for military and civilian absentees, like in Florida 2000.
April 1, 2009 1:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't worry, if Republicans win it was stolen; if Democrats win it's divine providence. Yada yada yada...
April 1, 2009 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
A particularly hilarious example of Republican projection and hypocrisy, given that in this race the Republicans were in court before the polls had even closed! Thanks for the morning entertainment, Sarge.
April 1, 2009 9:20 AM | Reply | Permalink