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Poll: Dodd Narrowly Ahead For 2010

A new Research 2000 poll gives Chris Dodd a five-point lead, 45%-40% over former Rep. Rob Simmons -- a somewhat surprising result, given the current media coverage over the AIG bonuses, and Dodd's role in putting in the loophole that restricted executive pay but didn't make it retroactive.

A Quinnipiac poll from two weeks ago, before the bonuses ever became an issue, gave Simmons a one-point edge of 43%-42%. Granted, we are in apples-and-oranges territory when reviewing polls from different outfits, but one would have expected worse numbers for Dodd after the AIG story broke.

Of course, Dodd is helped by the fact that he's in a state that in recent years has voted Democratic for everything except the governorship (plus a recent Senate win by the Connecticut for Lieberman Party). So it's not a bad field for him to be playing on.


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I suspect the Democratic brand is probably going to get tarnished as a result of the battle between Rell and the Legislature over the budget. They haven't exactly distinguished themselves thus far, and she's extremely popular.

Rob Simmons was the representative of one of the more conservative districts in the state. I wonder if that may come back to haunt him?

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Is any of the "Dodd's wife worked for AIG while he was writing laws to give them bonuses" stuff sticking to him up there?

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Not so far.

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This will without a doubt be our toughest seat to keep. I will be watching this one closely.

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Dodd lived by the sword to keep his seat, big contributions from the money changers, and he may now die by the same sword. Justice or irony....or both?

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I wish the polls looked a lot worse, then he might possibly be convinced to step aside. This will only encourage him to think he can hang on, and the result may well be to cost us the seat.

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