Polls: Is Specter Up or Down In Primary?
Now this is odd. After Quinnipiac came out with a poll showing Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) losing his 2010 primary to likely challenger Pat Toomey, now Franklin & Marshall College has a survey showing...Specter ahead?
The numbers: Specter 33%, Toomey 18%, plus Peg Luksik, a right-wing activist who has already declared her candidacy, at two percent. By contrast, Quinnipiac had Toomey up 41%-27%.
One possible cause of the difference could be that Quinnipiac didn't include Luksik, so the addition of a third candidate's name could cause anti-Specter voters to shift to the undecided column -- and it's not a great sign that an incumbent is stuck in the 30s in a good poll. Either that, or one or both of these polls are just totally wrong.
Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Specter is sounding out GOP state Senators back home, about the idea of the state switching from a closed-primary system to an open primary that allows independents in. This would greatly benefit Specter by creating a Republican primary electorate that goes beyond just the conservative base. And a bunch of legislators are strenuously opposed to it.


















Specter is a social liberal, a fiscal moderate and definitely not an economic populist (thank goodness!). I live in Pittsburgh and find myself much closer to him ideologically than I do to Casey.
Whoever wins a closed democratic primary in PA is likely to be a social conservative, fiscal liberal and economic populist. Whoever wins a close GOP primary in PA is likely to be a social conservative, fiscal conservative and not an economic populist. In other words: we'll probably get someone who is at least as conservative on social issues as Casey no matter what, which already alienates me. And we'll probably get someone who's either obsessed with the magic of tax cuts (Toomey) or someone who thinks free trade is the devil, the unions can do no wrong and corporations are inherently evil (your average democrat around here). I am bummed either way.
March 26, 2009 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give me a fiscal liberal, economic populist, social conservative any day of the week. I'd take Casey 100 times out of 100 over Spector.
If being socially liberal is that big of a deal to you, it's probably because you support gay marriage(I don't, but it's not that big of a deal to me one way or the other).
Of the top 20 issues facing our country today, gay marriage ranks about 30th.
March 26, 2009 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Spector is an old fool. Like much of the senate!
March 26, 2009 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Talk about hubris....
March 26, 2009 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink