Rasmussen is the only pollster to poll "likely voters". What the hell is a "likely voter" 6 months after the last election and 3 1/2 before the next?

Rasmussen's LV model is just dumb. Who knows who will be a likely voter in 2012. For example, the ratio of Dems to Indies to Repubs who actually voted was much different in 2004 vs 2008. As a result, who knows what is going to be voting in 2012.

Furthermore, polls right now should be what the American people think in general vs trying to figure out who will be voting and what they will be voting 3 and a half years from now.

In my unscientific poll of friends and acquaintances, the better informed a person is the more realistic their expectations hence a more stable opinion. I expect Obama's numbers will remain in the mid 60's pending unforeseen occurrences.

Right from the inauguration the differences between more or less informed voters was apparent. When Rick Warren spoke at the inauguration, my less informed acquaintances (such as some artist/sociology majors who I think have rather bumper-sticker liberal opinions) were shocked and couldn't understand it. For them Rick Warren equated homophobia and nothing else.

Other friends (such as a group of physicists who are also very concerned about climate change and tend to be more mature and pragmatic Liberals) were all aware that the Scientific community has been building bridges to Evangelicals like Warren for a decade or so, outside the media spotlight, and that Evangelicals will play an important role in fighting climate change.

I think people with unrealistic expectations and short attention spans have already returned to cynicism and knee-jerk responses. Over the long term I'd expect Obama's numbers to remain solid, and then increase as the economy gets back on track, and also as information spreads to less informed voters and they become more educated on various issues. I think Obama has great potential to decrease polemicist and increase awareness and participation over time, for some enduring changes to our political culture.

New CBS/NYT poll just out has Obama's approval rating at 68%.

Support is reversing as more of the "nice person image" shares the stage with the teleprompter and ever changing message. The Obomba team is fitting right into a typical politico colony as the last 100 days have demonstrated. So far the change he promised has been the double down on the stimulus package which has done zero, apologized to the world that we are arrogant people (who save most of from tyranny) increased unemployment by 50% and had the tax payers pay underperforming companies with billion dollar bonuses.

Watch these rating continue to (stink)sink and then this arrogant bunch of cultural warriers be held in the same crucified light that the left wing holds ANYONE they disagree with and work to disparage and destroy any and all new voices that may rise to the top in the Rep party.

Hey, that's who you are - we who are in that category of being middle of the road Dems know what you and Obomba is trying to do so just for fun - debate what the falling numbers mean for trust. And don't ask me why, but I'll just avoid any comments on Pelosi and Barney Frank & Chris Dodd.

Well I'm a Democrat, and a liberal and someone who voted for Obama, but I strongly disapprove of the job he's doing because he is a complete sell-out to Wall street and the right wing.

Rick Warren? Trillions in corrupt, taxpayer-funded giveaways to socialize the losses of the same people who previously justified their huge incomes on the basis of how rare their talent was and how much wealth they created? The ENORMOUS conflict of interest his treasury secretary has with Citi and Goldman specificially. Claiming an absolute right to keep whatever he wants secret, without judicial review, thus making our Constitutional rights unenforceable? A free pass to people who conceived, ordered, justified and carried out torture? Or committed war profiteering? No accountability for anyone, on any level, no matter what crimes they committed in the past eight years?

On the economy, on corruption, on secrecy, Constitutional rights, on accountability for torture, Obama is worse than George Bush. A bit of red meat on social and environmental issues is trivial in comparison. I hate Ralf Nader for throwing the 2000 election to George Bush, but I'd sooner write his name in in 2012 than waste my vote on a Blue Dog Democrat like Obama.