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TPMDC Morning Roundup

Poll: Americans' Optimism On The Rise
A new AP/GfK poll finds that a 48% plurality of Americans now believe the country is on the right track, compared to 44% who say it is on the wrong track. This is the first time since January 2004, shortly after the capture of Saddam Hussein, that the right-track number edged out the wrong-track figure.

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will be speaking at 11 a.m. ET, at the Holocaust Days of Remembrance ceremony at the Capitol. At 1:05 p.m. ET, he will meet with representatives of the credit card industry in the Roosevelt Room. At 2:15 p.m. ET, he and Vice President Biden will meet in the Cabinet Room with the Congressional leadership of both parties. At 3:30 p.m. ET, he will receive the University of Florida football team in the East Room. At 4 p.m. ET, he will meet with Hillary Clinton. At 7:30 p.m. ET, he and the First Lady will host a reception for Congressional members and their spouses, in the Blue Room.

Biden's Day Ahead
Vice President Biden will attend President Obama's regular morning briefings. Afterwards, he will host his own regular Economic Recovery Implementation Cabinet Meeting. In the afternoon, he will join the president's meeting with the Congressional leadership of both parties, and in the evening he and Jill Biden will attend the reception for Congressional members and their spouses.

NYT: Dems Consider Bypassing GOP On Health Care
The New York Times reports that Congressional Democrats are still considering the option of the budget reconciliation process for passing health care legislation, bypassing Republicans and any 60-vote filibuster threshold. "It may be a struggle to get to 60," said Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D-NM). Meanwhile, Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY) said that use of reconciliation would be "a declaration of war."

Roll Call: GOP Could Take Revenge Against Reconciliation Maneuver
Meanwhile, Roll Call reports that the Republicans are prepared to retaliate if the Dems invoke budget reconciliation on health care, by using Senate procedures to hold up even the most routine of business. According to a former GOP leadership aide, Republicans could withhold unanimous consent where it is needed, could require separate hearings and roll call votes for every single White House appointee, and could even potentially demand that the text of bills, often hundreds of pages, be read aloud.

House GOP Looking For Friendly Dems To Stop Pollution Legislation
CQ reports that House Republicans are trying to forge alliances with Democrats from industrial states to fight the objectives of the Democratic leadership on pollution. Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) is looking for Dems to support legislation barring the EPA from regulation carbon dioxide, and Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) has said that a carbon tax or cap-and-trade "amount to a declaration of economic war on the Midwest by Democrats on Capitol Hill."

Maloney Hires Statewide Fundraiser For Possible Primary Bid Against Gillibrand
The New York Observer reports that Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY), who has been considering a 2010 primary challenge against U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, has hired a statewide finance director. "The statewide title is new for Maloney's campaign team," the Observer says, "but, in a brief phone interview, Cohen said, repeatedly, that she's not officially running for Senate."

Hillary: Dealing With Climate Change Like Losing Weight
Speaking to an Earth Day event yesterday, Hillary Clinton gave the crowd an amusing analogy about the daunting task of dealing with climate change. "It's kind of like trying to lose weight -- which I know something about," she said, later explaining: "If we keep in mind the big goal, but we break it down into baby steps -- those doable, achievable objectives -- we can do so much together."


15 Comments

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Couple of thoughts:

1. I think the optimism in the AP poll is too "optimistic" but that's okay because that is what the MSM will report.

2. Obama going after credit cards is a populist winner position for him.

3. The Democrats need to keep the possibility of bypassing the GOP on health care on the table. They should NOT give that up at all.

4. I know this won't be popular here but I am not in favor of any trial on torture. I rather a 9/11 commission to go over all the facts and then just move on. I think any type of trial is a LOSER for both the Republicans and the Democrats. It's obviously a loser for the Republicans but it is also a loser for the Democrats because more people are worried about the economic crisis than on torture.

It will be a MAJOR distraction for what the Congress NEEDS to get done in 2009 & 2010. It will be like Clinton's impeachment hearings which in the end made Clinton more popular and Republicans less so.

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Short term political advantage for either or both sides is irrellevant to whether we should prosecute those involved in torture. We are adamnant that war criminals from other nations be prosecuted because we suposedly believe in the rule of law. If we do not prosecute our own we prove that we do not care about the rule of law. A breakdown in the rule of law is against our interests.

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"Short term political advantage for either or both sides is irrellevant to whether we should prosecute those involved in torture."

And yet does absolute justice matter to the thousands of people who will die from inadequate health care?

It's a thought -- do we stick to our priorities for preventing the destruction of the environment, health care reform, etc. etc. or do we get bogged down in some kind of Ollie North televised fiasco.

Cosndiering that our health care system actually is killing people every day, I'd say we need to stop considering this agenda to be a luxury that can be derailed by anything.

If Bushies committed war crimes, there is no statute of limitations. There's always the possibility of prosecution. I'm arguing that we need to be disciplined about our agenda, and not let Bush waste many more years of our time, and even further delay progress.

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Isn't that a false choice - health care OR addressing potential crimes related to our torture program?

This issue isn't going away. There are reports SCHEDULED for release that will ensure if we can't find the correct box to put this in, it has the potential to roil our bird-brained representatives for the next 6 months. It seems appointing a special investigator would have the immediate effect of removing this issue from the table for the current legislative session.

Opening such an investigation would release the immediate pressure from Americans for concrete action. It would also ensure that the issue doesn't require specific congressional action until after the investigation is complete, leaving all current political capital to be spent on passing health care reform and other critical tasks.

This dribs and drabs stuff is KILLING the agenda. Appoint a special prosecutor and let the appropriate authority make determinations. As long as the ball is in congress' court, there will be a three-ring-circus. It's the nature of congress.

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"Isn't that a false choice - health care OR addressing potential crimes related to our torture program?"

I hope it is. But can we commit ourselves to not letting ANYTHING derail our agenda? It really really really matters.

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So Congressional Dems will get folks Healthcare, while Congressional Republicans will retaliate by grinding government to a halt - I wonder who the strong majority of Americans will side with on that battle.

I wonder how many Reps will want to play that strategy given they'd be savaged in the 2010 election. I wonder how many Senators up in 2010 would want to play that game knowing it's going to be an uphill battle for most of them.

How will the GOP try and sell their shutdown strategy to the people - the Dems gave you universal healthcare and we're pissed about that? Bush used reconciliation and many of the congressional GOP loved it then.

This is a terrible bluff threat. Sadly Reid will probably fall for it.

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Their problem is that they're screwed either way (and it couldn't happen to a more deserving bunch of assholes); they lose if the Dems produce real accomplishments, and they also lose if they're seen as obstructionists at a time when the public is demanding action. So given that choice, I suspect their instinctive reaction may #2: try to burn the house down. As they will see it, they have nothing to lose and if they're going down they may as well try to take the country with them. Totally in character.

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Amen. And then add the carbon emissions cap and trade bill to the reconciliation process, if Republicans threaten to invoke cloture on that process. We have critical legislation to debate and vote on, in response to an overwhelming election victory, where every policy proposal was presented clearly by the Obama campaign.

We, the American people, have spoken. We welcome debate, reasonable attempts to enlarge support even further, and improvement of policy programs by listening to other proposals and points of view. But, a simple majority rules and deserves a vote without unnecessary delay or obstruction.

I would also relish Republicans having to defend shutting down the Congress during these critical times. Bring it on.

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Actually, for cap and trade, Obama has a trump card: the EPA.

If Congress doesn't act, the EPA can impose on its own.

Checkmate.

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I have to agree with you. The Democrats are considering using a process the Republicans used while Bush was in office for an issue that is beneficial to the USA--if it works correctly, not only will more people get treated and receive preventative care, but healthcare costs should decrease.

So, it makes sense. The Republicans response--Let's do something CraZy!!! The people will love our CraZy response!

I say Democrats "Go For It!" But there is one huge obstacle which you pointed out--Harry Reid. Nuff said.

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That's exactly what I was thinking. It worked so well for Newt, I recall.

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It's insane, isn't it? The Obama administration keeps calling them "the Party of No" so their response is to...live up to that characterization exactly as Obama wants them to? How's that working out for them?

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>>Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY) said that use of reconciliation would be "a declaration of war.">>

Sorta like the war the repugs declared on the president's agenda? Sorta like the war they declared when they forced through the tax cuts with 51 votes?


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Meanwhile, Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY) said that use of reconciliation would be "a declaration of war."
...and Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) has said that a carbon tax or cap-and-trade "amount to a declaration of economic war on the Midwest by Democrats on Capitol Hill."

These guys are starting to sound like Kim Jong-il. "We lost the election in a landslide, but passing any legislation we disagree with is a 'declaration of war'!"

It's not like they haven't pulled out every "war" tactic they have already...

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Sen. Mike Enzi should sit down and shut the fuck up when the GOP were in control they embraced reconciliation like it was free lunch

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