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Poll: Obama Ahead Of Gingrich, Huckabee, Palin And Romney In 2012 Matchups
A new national survey from Public Policy Polling (D), already looking forward to 2012, shows President Obama ahead of four potential Republican opponents.
Obama leads Newt Gingrich 52%-39%; he's ahead of Mike Huckabee 49%-42%; he beats Sarah Palin 53%-41%; and he leads Mitt Romney 50%-39%.
"Barack Obama might not have the same overwhelming approval rating he did in the earlier days of his administration," PPP president Dean Debnam said in the polling memo. "But he's certainly still more popular than any of the major Republican figures in the country."
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Josh
Matt
Eric
41 percent of those polled would vote for Sarah Palin over President Obama???? That's downright scary.
April 23, 2009 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
And the undecided will break for the incumbent, meaning in every case Obama would be at or around 57%.
April 23, 2009 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Say it ain't so, Eric....A poll??!!!
April 23, 2009 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Two words: twelve step.
April 23, 2009 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm surprised the matchup between Obama and Huckabee is so close.
April 23, 2009 12:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
The margin of error is also +/-3.7 percent which means that essentially all of the match-ups are statistically the same margins.
And why oh why does TPM *still* continue to ignore the margin of error when referring to any poll???
April 23, 2009 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
This polling is way too early.
Obama's opponent will probably get around 40% of the vote regardless.
April 23, 2009 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
We know that there are some people who pay very little attention to politics, so they are not reading about Sarah's current antics (e.g. her petty, vindictive, incompetent non-governing). But, if Sarah is the republican nominee, after the first presidential debate when that group gets a chance to really hear her non-answers to questions, her support will drop among all but her hardcore "base." And you cant win anything with just the hardcore base.
April 23, 2009 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with people like Gingrich and Romney is that they just are NOT likeable.
Palin will never get more than 45% of the vote because she just is too polarizing.
Huckabee is likeable and is less polarzing.
However, the bottom line is unless Obama totally tanks it will be difficult to beat him in 2012 because Obama has the BEST organization around.
April 23, 2009 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
If one follows the money gathering abilities . . . Eric Cantor is shaping up to be strongest potential REP Presidential Candidate in 2012.
April 23, 2009 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's pretty depressing for the GOP.
April 23, 2009 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Watching Eric Kantor speak is like looking into the Void.
April 23, 2009 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cantor always looks like he can't wait to get back to his office to tear the wings off the fly he's got pinned down.
April 23, 2009 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
If it comes down to money, mine's on Mittens. He's Daniel Plainview to Cantor's Eli Sunday.
April 23, 2009 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is all I have to say:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7o3YagGAFo
April 23, 2009 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
That was nice.
Geez, he has aged already, hasn't he?
April 23, 2009 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, he is going gray fast. Just the campaign alone would have killed most of us. And then he won the booby prize.
April 23, 2009 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lord help us: a 2012 poll already? This early in the going, I would have expected bigger numbers for President Obama. It is somewhat reassuring that he slams both Gingrich and Palin.
April 23, 2009 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
The poll numbers are wrong Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin will beat Barack Obama in 2012
April 23, 2009 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can I get a hit of whatever you're smokin?
April 23, 2009 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
You betcha. And also too. We're all going to get multicolored unity ponies in the mail in 2012 as well!
April 23, 2009 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is GREAT NEWS! For John McCain!
April 23, 2009 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
1. This is WWWWAAAAAAYYYYY too early to do 2012 polling.
2. Whoever wins the Republican nomination is going to get at least 40% of the popular vote. There are many parts of this country, especially in the South, Midwest and Rocky Mountains, that are going to vote for the Republican nominee no matter how many questions they have. Even if, say, Oklahomans find Sarah Palin too out there or Romney to be too liberal socially or Huck to be too liberal fiscally, they're is no way in hell they're voting for Obama.
3. I still say it really doesn't matter who the Republicans run in 2012. If the economy improves and Obama stays out of trouble, he'll win re-election without much drama. If one of those two things doesn't happen, he's in deep you-know-what.
April 23, 2009 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but its never too early for a pollster to try to pump up its brand recogntion among the politcal consultant class that pay for polls in election years by running a meaningless survey and getting it into the news sources the consultants favor.
April 23, 2009 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
the american people and thus its politics are a sorry state of affairs.
the truth is ANY republican can get 40% just for running.
like the fact that on tv the show that follows a popular show retains over 70% of its audience simply because the people wont change the channel!!!!
i could get 40 %...????..LOL
April 23, 2009 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is absolutely chilling to realize that anywhere near half of walking talking Americans would put our country and the fate of the world in the hands of Palin, or Gingrich, or Mittens.
What the hell is wrong with being smart and using facts? What part of a functioning brain shuts down when people make these decisions? I really think there needs to be a LOT more research into why people believe and vote with such complete stupidity. There was some evidence that right wing thinkers are also much more racist thinkers but I would love to see a real attempt to pinpoint some of the personality traits that lead to such blatant stupidity.
Obama vs Palin? what the hell is really going on here????
April 23, 2009 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink