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Flashback: Sotomayor's Confirmation Vote In 1998
Going into the Sotomayor confirmation process, it's worth looking back at the last time she faced a Senate confirmation vote, as a judge on the Second Circuit Court of Appeals in 1998. The following Republican Senators voted to confirm her at the time, and are also still around today:
Bennett (Utah)
Cochran
Collins
Gregg
Hatch
Lugar
Snowe
Specter (has since switched to the Democrats)
The following Republicans voted against her, and are still in the Senate today:
Brownback
Enzi
Grassley
Hutchison
Inhofe
Kyl
McCain
McConnell
Roberts
Sessions
Shelby
No Democrats voted against her confirmation at the time. Also, Sen. Kit Bond (R-MO) missed the vote.
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I'd be willing to bet that all the GOP yes votes in 1998 switch to no this time around, with the possible exception of Lugar, Snowe and Specter (especially if Sestak drops out of the primary before the vote is taken).
May 26, 2009 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hutchinson voted no? Crazy. I'll have to call her office since I live in Texas this time around. McCain is such a douche, I can't believe he is still labeled as a moderate.
May 26, 2009 9:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure if I would rather see the GOP get all hot and bothered and try to stop this appointment and fail
Or just make a token fuss knowing they will lose anyway.
So it comes down to seeing them fighting and get rolled over by the votes or going meekly. Both offer different forms of enjoyment.
Thomas was 40 when appointed so it is true that he will get an extra decade+ all things being equal, but I kind of like that Obama is picking someone actually, you know - qualified...
May 26, 2009 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
The one consolation we have to Thomas having an extra decade is that since he can't think on his own, when Scalia croaks it might be possible to get Thomas to parrot a more moderate Repuke ... maybe Justice Kennedy. Remote, I know, but there's always hope!
May 26, 2009 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Aside from the positives of accomplishment, qualifications, and the smart demographics (working class background, etc.), Sottomayor is a tactically challenging pick on Obama's part for the Republican party to confront. The Republican establishment probably sees that a full-bore fight to block her will be politically very expensive, but the right wing and the base-building organizations will see it as a chance to organize and rally the troops (knowing full well that they will lose the fight but bring in a lot of money).
Once again, the Obama team has offered the right wing a juicy opportunity to paint themselves into a yet narrower and yet more unpleasant corner -- an opportunity some on the reactionary right will be unable to resist, even if the party machinery and the Senators are reluctant to go there.
One often sees situations where polarization allows extremists and dead-enders on both sides of a conflict to play a disproportionate role and to seize the political oxygen from moderates and pragmatists. Obama's political genius -- no doubt enabled by the frustration of the last 25 years for Democrats -- has been to mobilize right-wing polarization in a way that reinforces moderate and pragmatic support for him without his having to cede much ground to left-wing outliers. He's in an apparent win-win confrontation with the Republican base -- they get to be the 'true' Republicans in the public's eyes, and he gets the support of independents as well as Democrats. But in our system, that gives him all the marbles at the end of the game.
It will be interesting to see if the Democrats can build on this strategy into the 2010 elections -- if it works, the Republican position may well weaken even further.
May 26, 2009 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink