Who Gets Seated First: Sotomayor Or Franken?
As a question of legal process, it's now worth asking who will successfully be seated to their aspirational office first: Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor -- or Sen. Al Franken (D-MN)?
I asked Prof. Larry Jacobs from the University of Minnesota, and he explained to me that it really comes down to what happens next after Franken presumably wins against Norm Coleman's appeal at the Minnesota Supreme Court. Does Franken get his certificate of election immediately -- which would require the signature of Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty -- or will Coleman be able to successfully delay it further?
"It's gonna pivot on two things," said Jacobs. "What is it the Minnesota Supreme Court does? Is it a decisive margin and do they provide clear instructions -- which I think they will -- and it depends on Pawlenty's presidential aspirations."
If Franken can get a certificate right after the state Supreme Court presumably rules in his favor, which Jacobs said is likely to happen by early July, then he would potentially be seated at about the same time as Sotomayor's confirmation process will be finishing up. At that point, it would be a genuine toss-up for who gets seated first. But what if he can't get the certificate?
If the state Supreme Court's ruling is unanimous or a 4-1 margin, with clear instructions that a certificate must be issued, at that point Pawlenty would most likely sign it. But if he were to hold it up, and/or if Coleman can take this into the federal courts, it would get tricky.
"You walk through the pacing of what's gonna happen here, and assume that Coleman loses," Jacobs explained. "He's gonna have to put together a brief, file it with the federal court. It's quite likely that the federal court - let's take the optimistic scenario and think a federal court agrees to hear it, that's gonna take weeks. Then you're gonna have him filing briefs, counter-briefs by Franken. That's just weeks and weeks and weeks. So you start in July, it goes into early Fall. If the federal court refuses to hear it, then you have it appealed up the chain of command."
Another thing to look out for is that Pawlenty has been taking a strong fiscal conservative stance in his budget battle against the Democratic legislature, as he has seemingly laid the groundwork for a White House campaign -- and this Senate seat could become another battle. "I've thought all along that we may actually see the political firefight that, in Minnesota, has been a bit subdued," said Jacobs. "If things play out as they seem they might, we might see kind of a major national battle breaking out, if Pawlenty decides to use a decision against Coleman as part of his campaign for President."


















Paging Harry Reid's balls. Has anyone seen Harry Reid's balls? Anyone??
May 26, 2009 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please. I hope never to see Harry Reed's balls. But I do hope he finds them soon.
May 26, 2009 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
If and when someone does find them, the first thing they need to do is securely and permanently affix a GPS tracker so we don't end up in this situation again.
May 26, 2009 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
But what can Harry Reid do?
I personally can't believe Minnesota law is like this. I mean we're six months into the term and still counting - this is pathetic.
I think this needs to put back on activist radar screens - MoveOn needs to have some kind of petition or maybe even run ads.
Coleman is scum - but they need to get this story out - it's pathetic and hey - talk about no taxation without representation. The Grand Ole Pricks needs to answer for this.
May 26, 2009 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
For the moment, nothing, as the Franken seating, contingent on his receipt of a certificate of election, is not yet in front of the US Senate.
Not that that fact bothers the naysayers who will disparage Reid for bad weather and wrinkled clothing.
May 26, 2009 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
He can refrain from saying she is unfit to be on the SC for starters. It wouldn't surprise me at all if he adopted the republican talking points because of his fear of looking liberal.
May 26, 2009 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Will Sen. Franken receive back pay from the date of the General Election in 2008 to the date he actually assumes his seat? Right now the money for his salary/benefits and office expenses is in the bank somewhere unspent.
May 26, 2009 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've wondered that, too.
May 26, 2009 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
"If the state Supreme Court's ruling is unanimous or a 4-1 margin, with clear instructions that a certificate must be issued, at that point Pawlenty would most likely sign it. But if he were to hold it up, and/or if Coleman can take this into the federal courts, it would get tricky."
Now, I don't know the laws of Minnesota, but if Pawlenty tried that crap in California, I know IMPEACHMENT signatures would be gathered at a very fast pace, and Pawlenty would be facing a recall election.
Yeah, that will do him much good(snark) if he ever did get the Repug nom for 2012, among all Democrats, who now hold a distinctive advantage over REPUGS in party identification!
May 26, 2009 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Contribute a dollar a day to help progressives defeat Republicans in 2010. For every day Coleman keeps Franken from the Senate seat that he clearly has won, pledge to contribute $1.00 to Democracy for America and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. https://services.myngp.com/NGPOnlineServices/contribution.aspx?X=Ded7FwPHDshrGtqFOE7vW9VcwgIMiaBGhXdSUiuRDlw%3d
they've already raised $120,000.
May 26, 2009 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
No Recall in Minnesota...sadly...in this instance.
Apparently what Franken could do is ask the Supreme Court for a Writ of Mandamus -- meaning that Franken could ask the court to specifically order the Governor to fulfill his ministeral responsibilities. If he failed to do so, then I suppose the Leg could impeach -- but they are out of session till next February, and don't think without the Governor's call they could return. And the Lt. Governor --- Gads, she is worse than Pawlenty. We've already fired her as Commissioner of Transportation, she was holding that job too when the 35W Bridge fell down, and the legislature had lots of problems with her response.
May 26, 2009 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
No Recall in Minnesota...sadly...in this instance.
Apparently what Franken could do is ask the Supreme Court for a Writ of Mandamus -- meaning that Franken could ask the court to specifically order the Governor to fulfill his ministeral responsibilities. If he failed to do so, then I suppose the Leg could impeach -- but they are out of session till next February, and don't think without the Governor's call they could return. And the Lt. Governor --- Gads, she is worse than Pawlenty. We've already fired her as Commissioner of Transportation, she was holding that job too when the 35W Bridge fell down, and the legislature had lots of problems with her response.
May 26, 2009 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope that Sotomayor does a good job on the Supreme Court if the nomination goes through. The challenges that face the current government are enormous, so everyone must do their job. One of the biggest challenges that the Obama administration faces is doing more to address global poverty. The Borgen Project has good info on the estimated cost of ending global poverty:
$30 billion: Annual shortfall to end world hunger.
$550 billion: U.S. Defense budget.
May 26, 2009 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm increasingly convinced that Franken will simply never be seated. The Republicans are using the Coleman-Franken race as the prototype of their next generation Rovian tactic, namely, do anything, say anything, spend anything to block the law from taking effect.
May 26, 2009 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
He may already be doing it but Franken should be speaking publicly on issues that he would like to vote on but can't or couldn't like credit card reform, etc. Subtly trying to push the message that he won and that Coleman is being a sorer looser. Once this message starts to sell the loosing candidate will usually will be forced to bail or have his approval rating drop so low they would be hard pressed to run for dog catcher.
Here's hoping the MN Supreme court does the right thing and send a strong enough message so the fed courts aren't tempted to weigh in. It's not there place but then again either was Bush v Gore.
May 26, 2009 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink