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Creigh Deeds Wins Virginia Gubernatorial Primary, Stomping McAuliffe And Moran

Virginia state Sen. Creigh Deeds has won tonight's Democratic primary for governor, and in a landslide, too -- positively thrashing the competition of former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe, a colorful character who was until recently the frontrunner, and former state Del. Brian Moran.

With 81% of precincts reporting, Deeds has 49%, McAuliffe 27%, and Moran 24%. Terry McAuliffe, the man who had the backing of the Clintons and had famously appeared on Morning Joe after the Puerto Rico primary, wearing a Hawaiian shirt and waving a bottle of rum to celebrate Hillary's win in that territory, has failed to break through in electoral politics.

As I pointed out this morning, McAuliffe occupied the frontrunner's position for quite a while, thanks to a sizable financial advantage over his two rivals. But Moran soon began attacking McAuliffe relentlessly on both his political and private-sector résumés, which had two effects. First, McAuliffe got dragged down -- and second Moran was dragged down for going negative. This allowed Deeds, who hails from the less Democratic Southwest region of the state and had been the third man for much of the race, to jump to the front of the pack as a positive choice for voters.

This was obviously a bad career move for McAuliffe. After his cartoonish behavior as an advocate on TV for Hillary Clinton (some of which may have been deliberate performance art), he'll now also be remembered for tanking in this race. But it may have been even worse for Moran -- he resigned from the state legislature to be a full-time candidate for governor, so he's lost some definite level of political power that he'd already had.

Looking ahead, Deeds now faces former state Attorney General Bob McDonnell -- a rematch, after McDonnell previously defeated Deeds for Attorney General in the 2005 election. That result was a super-close margin of 323 votes out of about 1.9 million, and required a recount. We'll see what happens now that the state has clearly shifted more to the Democrats over the last four years.


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Moran v. Terry Mac=Murder-Suicide. Not uncommon in a three-way primary--shades of Russ Feingold's 1992 primary win for Senate. That and the Post endorsement sealed it for Deeds.

Deeds seems like a bit of a cowardly flip-flopper, but he's far superior to the Christianist GOP nominee. Let's hope he performs as well in November.

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I'm glad McAuliffe went down, it was karma from the presidential primary. The man has no integrity as far as I'm concerned, he had what was coming to him.

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Arrrgggghhhh!!

Deeds does not hail from Southwest Virginia. He hails from Bath County, which is Western Virginia but its dead center on the north-south axis.

Also, the man has represented Charlottesville as a state senator (and some rural districts because of gerrymandering). For those of you who don't know the town, Charlottesville is an indigo blue town centered on the University of Virginia that is more like Arlington than it is south-side.

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I was just about to post this. Kleefeld - get your Va. geography straight. Bath County is due west of Staunton and Charlottesville. It's the home of The Homestead. As creweeny pointed out, gerrymandering has placed this area, which is rural, mountainous, and right-leaning, together with C-ville in Deeds's district. He keeps everybody happy, which is what you need to do to win in Virginia.

Moran is viewed as too liberal outside NoVa, and McAuliffe is textbook carpetbagger: as my conservative Old Richmond father-in-law said "he's a come-here, not a from-here". And his cartoonish plan-free harping in his ads re: getting jobs to come to Va. backfired big-time. Interestingly, my father in law is voting for Deeds - he's a tolerable liberal in his words, and McDonnell is unacceptable because he's too tied in with that "Pat Robertson" crowd.

I predict a big Deeds win this Fall. Va. has changed a lot since 2005, when he barely lost to McDonnell. Heck, Obama won by a ton!

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This comment, which I read after penning my own, is dead on.

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Lets see if your correction is noticed; in my experience the TPMDC staff is generally uninterested in reading their comments, and bloopers that are instantly spotted by the community fester in the main post indefinitely...

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I think TPM can be cut a little slack on this one. Geographically and politically, Bath county isn't much of a stretch from SW VA (though Western Virginia would be more accurate) and it is a bit of a stretch geographically and politically from Albermarle, but that certainly has help Deeds hone his political skills, as noted.

Whatever you want to call Deeds little corner of Virginia he utterly dominated it in the primary--he got 97% of the vote in Highland and Alleghany/Covington, while "slumping" to 96% of the vote in Bath.

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McAuliffe DID NOT lose because of negative ads. He lost because of his HISTORY and ties to the CLINTONS. Bill Clinton started doing robo-calls and Deeds immediately moved to the lead. "Friends of McAuliffe" started calling here over and over and over again....I received about 6 calls since friday and none from Deeds or moran. McAuliffe own commercials gave me the impression that he would say anything to get elected. He had the nerve to say he would get Obama to give Virginia $1.6 billion for highspeed rail after quoting the fact that the stimulus package contained $8 billion total for high speed rail.

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Take it to Denver, T-Mac!

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SWEET!!!

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We mustn't underestimate McDonnell in the general. But this is a terrific start. Hopefully Gov. Kaine will free up some DNC money for Deeds and Obama will make a difference too. I'm very hopeful for November! (Now if we could only do something about the abominable AG race.)

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I'll never forget, after Democrats lost the presidency and Congress once again in 2004, how McAuliffe announced the next day that 'the Democratic party has never been stronger and in better shape' because they still had some money in the bank. This is a man who thinks that raising money is more important than getting votes, and so it's only fitting that he fall victim of his sleazy political theory.

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MaAwful equates $$$ & w votes & bugger the policy. I'm happy he lost. He was shite as a Democratic Party factotum. He needs to disappear.

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Terry McAuliffe makes my skin crawl. There is just something creepy about the guy. I hope the republican gets his ass kicked but I'm glad that McAuliffe won't be the one doing it. Retire Terry. Nobody wants you.

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I voted for Deeds and am very happy tonight. Deeds is the only one of the 3 who can beat McDonnell, for the reasons explained by the commenter above "neutral party" and more indirectly by "creweeny." I'm a practical liberal and while I do what I can to help make Virginia a state where Moran can win statewide, it's just not that right now. Deeds is who can win, and I'm committed to working hard for him and giving him what money I can.

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Well, I'm not anywhere close to Virginia, but it's my hope that better communication media -- not so expensive for candidates, and not based on raising millions for teevee ads and crap mailers -- will produce better, more sane electeds and policy approaches.

I watched most of this new Google Candidates forum and thought that Deeds came across as extremely knowledgeable, with excellent experience. http://googlepublicpolicy.blogspot.com/2009/06/new-model-for-political-interviews-and.html


Good luck to you Virginians -- you may want to check this Google streaming video out. Moran came across as more willing to suck up to the kind of polling data that he thought represented public opinion, whereas Deeds seemed more gutsy and knowledgeable about a wide range of issues. He spoke about 'renewable energy' as if it were a big priority, so that's always a good sign someone's thinking ahead.

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Look, I said it before when Terry McAuliffe was up, and I will say it again: There was no way Virginians were not going to elect Creigh Deeds over McAuliffe, or Moran over McAuliffe. My money was on Deeds for a long time, because I lived in the Commonwealth most of my life, and I know goddamned well that Terry McAuliffe was only as Virginian up to the Potomac River high water mark, and even then barely at that.

Virginians are not stupid (unlike, excuse me, New Yorkers who will elect a carpetbagger like Kennedy or Clinton, no offense), and didn't buy that McAuliffe had Virginia at heart.

You put any of those three men on the steps of the rotunda, and McAuliffe is going to look way out of place, and Moran, a NOVAn of the true variety (and not a NOVAn like McAuliffe is), is going to look only slightly out of place.

A guy named Creigh Deeds who paid his dues in state party work? Yeah, that's who Virginians will elect.

This site, again, excuse me, is run by New Yorkers and a guy from Missouri. I mean, honestly, that doesn't give you perspective to know the depth of Virginia politics. Yeah, NOVA is a growing powerhouse, but a guy like Creigh Deeds is going to get support in SE VA as well as Tidewater. No self-respecting Democrat from West Ghent, whose kids are going to Maury or Norfolk Academy are going to vote for someone when they can vote for someone named Creigh Deeds.

I suspect that Deeds won super heavy in Norfolk. That's Norfolk old boys' blue blood politics for you right there. The man's named Creigh, for fuck's sake. It was game over from word one.

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FUCK YOU. For one we elected Hillary because although she was a carpet bagger she took it upon herself to go to every single district in the state multiple times to.........nah fuck it we got duped on that one.

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Not everyone in NY wanted Her Royal Clintoness. Thank gawd she's gone.

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Not everyone in NY wanted Her Royal Clintoness. Thank gawd she's gone.

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Fellas, fellas. Just a little cultural difference, nothing to get all het up about. Down in the coastal South where, historically, most families, both poor and rich, had deep roots, "not from around here" is a bigger deal politically than in the state that's home to Ellis Island. Immigration from other states is a relatively new phenomonon in Virginia, and, for that matter, North Carolina, and it really hasn't impacted the political culture the way centuries of immigration have affected New York's.

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Ha ha! Creigh Deeds is not from "Southwestern Virginia." Southwest Virginia is places like Roanoke and Abington and places south and to the west of Waynesboro. Bath County isn't SW VA. Again: New Yorkers. No offense.

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Well, Bath County is to the south and west of Waynesboro, so by that criteria it is SW Virginia.

Western Virginia would be more accurate, but Bath county could easily end up in Boucher's district after 2010 which is the SW VA district so it's not that big of a geographic stretch.

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I live in northern Virginia and Moran represented me in the State Senate. I found him to be responsible and a clear communicator, if a bit formulaic and predictable. As the gubernatorial race took shape, and McAuliffe bounded across the state like a large slobbering Labrador, Moran seemed to be punchless, until it was too late and he went negative on McAuliffe. So I began to lose confidence in Moran's ability to take on the right-wing authoritarians and Jeremiahs who will be gunning on behalf of McDonnell, whose country-club geniality masks very regressive positions.

Thus I voted for Deeds. He's got one quality that might look very good in relation to McDonnell: He's not airbrushed or over-rehearsed -- he lives in his own skin, visibly. There doesn't seem to be anything about his guy that's been packaged by a political consultant. So he'd be very well-advised to keep them all at arm's length, and make this a people's campaign to keep the governor's chair in the hands of someone who gets up every morning thinking about the service station owners, the car dealers, the barbers and the shipyard mechanics who built the state and want it governed in a sensible way.

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Not all of us slobber. Way to go VA! I'm in MD and watched this race closely. The right man won.

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Looks like Virginia wasn't ready for a fast talking b.s artist...

McAwful reminds me of Mac Mclarty Clintons short lived chief of staff. He was another sleaze bag opportunist who always up to his elbows in dirty deals.

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Not unlike the Clintons themselves. From the start of the '92 primaries I could never understand why people liked Bill Clinton; even before all the allegations of affairs and so on, he just seems so transparently sleazy and fake. Similar to Reagan I suppose, and Republicans are still in love with him.

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I echo those who are not big fans of McAuliffe. I am a big fan of the Clintons and all, but McAuliffe is no Clinton; he's a Clinton enabler. A Clinton without any of the heft. As smarmy as you might think Bill and/or Hillary are, I don't know very many intelligent people who would deny that they have substance as well. McAuliffe? He's all political animal and nothing else.

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Deeds is the guy who was so unhappy about the governor's veto of a bill to let people carry handguns in bars, right?

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I don't suppose we'll be lucky enough to have seen the last of Terry McAuliffe. But this gives us some hope. Go 'way, Terry!

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The fact that Deeds won huge in NOVA did surprise me a bit. I suppose many, like me, made the calculation that ROVA is not yet as blue as we are, so a candidate like Moran would not play well in the general. Half a loaf (a conservative Democrat, but still a Democrat) is better than going hungry. Deeds will be a strong general election candidate, and he will be very well funded.

Yes, he did support that inexecrable bill on carrying guns in bars. The man knows his constituents, you have to give him that. I'm just happy that I'm older now and don't spend time in bars . . .

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Kleefeld and many of the responses exhibit pretty limited knowledge of Virginia political geography. Bath is not Southwestern Virginia, as many have already said. But, that is only half of the error. Southwestern Virginia was the liberal reserve of Virginia when NOVA was Nixonian. Southwestern Virginia is coal mining and railroad country and, while coal miners are railroad folks are rough around the edges, they are union an liberal. For a long time, in Virginia, that meant REPUBLICAN, when the Democratic party was the party of Ghengis Khan, I mean Harry Byrd. But that changed 30-40 years ago. So the NOVA folks should stop congratulating themselves for being the most progressive folks in the state. They are just typical upper middle class liberals.

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On the carpetbagger thing: Isn't Tim Kaine from Kansas?

There is no such thing as a "real" Virginian or a "real" New Yorker. I could move to New York tomorrow, get a driver's licence (without even taking a test), register my car, start paying taxes, and I would be a New Yorker. There is no "natural born" clause for governors.

Just saying.

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And Mark Warner was born in Indiana and grew up in Illinois and Connecticut. The reason the "carpetbagger" label resonated for McAuliffe is that he had no involvement in Virginia politics (other than directing a big DNC donation to Tim Kaine) until he decided to run for the highest office in the state. So technically, "self-serving opportunist" would be more accurate than "carpetbagger," but "carpetbagger" has a lot more historical resonance here than it does in places like New York.

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Yeah, his karma ran over his dogma.

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I find it weird to read the accounts that McAuliffe started dropping when Moran started attacking him. Moran was going negative and attacking him practically from the moment McAuliffe entered the race. (Look back at posts on Kos or any of the Virginia sites of McAuliffe supporters, and you'll find endless whining going back to January about how vicious Moran was being and how it was going to destroy the party.) The thing that changed was that Moran found attacks that worked (in part, I suspect by getting the oppo research done to reveal how bogus McAuliffe's business and job creation claims were.)

I supported Moran because I find I have fewer regrets in primaries if I choose the one whose politics are closest to what I want and who I think can be effective in getting them implemented, rather than by trying to guess who other people will support. I don't dislike Creigh Deeds, and I will be forever grateful to Moran for saving us from having to try to get Terry McAuliffe elected (and be rewarded if we succeeded by suffering four years of him as governor.)

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I can well understand ("empathize" would be a nice euphemism) the sentiment of those gloating that a staunch Clinton ally went down in VA. The main reason I supported Obama so early (started donating sometime well before Oprah started campaigning and people shifted him from 'impossible' to 'long shot' candidacy) precisely b/c I did NOT want to see the Democratic Party nominate yet ANOTHER Clinton/DLC/Al From type Democrat, and Obama struck me as clearly the strongest candidate AND president of the possibles (a position I still hold).

But Deeds, let's not forget, is to the RIGHT of McAuliffe on issues ranging from offshore drilling to gun control etc. I still strongly support Deeds against a serious GOP threat, as I would have strongly supported Hillary if she had, as was long expected, become the 'inevitable' nominee. But we should also pressure him hard both BEFORE and after the election especially on environmental/greenhouse related issues. Really -- just how many votes does supporting offshore drilling in VA really win in an election? Huh? Deeds must know that if he moves to the right of the Obama Admin on key environmental issues, he will face serious left pressure. And that should go for other Democrats around the country as well

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Terry strikes me as someone who would have been Republican, if the money was right!

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NBC's Chuck Todd got itabout right the other day when he said that the point about Virginians' preferences is less about being from Virginia than about a certain kind of personality. Yes Warner is from out of state, so is Kaine, though it probably helped that Kaine married the daughter of a former Republican governor, who remains popular for his progressive record on civil rights. But it's the self-promotion, the glibness of tongue, the lack of modesty that hurt McAuliffe and Moran, more than any claim about being from a certain place. Virginians are proud and a little provincial, and sometimes defensive toward outsiders. But as a former Manhattan resident, I can say definitely that this is true of New Yorkers as well!

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