Obama's Pushing Congress To Vote On Health Care Before August--Here's Why
President Obama has for the most part given Congress a wide berth as it crafts a health care reform bill, popping up now and again to remind party leaders of the importance of the initiative, which he now describes as his highest legislative priority. But yesterday that all seemed to change.
First, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs suggested that Obama might ask the House or the Senate or both chambers to delay recess if either hasn't passed its own reform bill. And later, at a meeting with congressional leaders, Obama turned up the temperature on Senate Finance chairman Max Baucus (D-MT), whose committee is now weeks behind schedule, saying he wants the committee to have a bill ready for mark up by the end of the week.
Clearly the White House is beginning to worry that the House and the Senate may leave for recess without voting on legislation. But why does that matter? For many reasons, actually, but a couple stand out more than others: First, a floor vote on health care is a big vote. Bigger than a vote on a health care conference report. It's a vote that will likely become an issue in battleground districts during the 2010 congressional elections. And as a rule of thumb, when election season approaches, vulnerable members become more risk averse--less willing, in other words, to vote for controversial legislation.
But there's another potential issue, too.
If a lot of work remains to be done on health care after the August recess, Congress will find itself fast upon its deadline to pass a budget reconciliation bill. Democrats have suggested that they'd use the reconciliation process to pass health care reform if a bipartisan bill is unable to pass via normal legislative channels by mid-October--Obama's current goal. The very possibility of going the reconciliation route--and thereby avoiding a filibuster--has served as a weak lever of sorts for congressional leaders--a call to health care reform fence-sitters and opponents to play along, or be shut out of the process altogether. But in reality this isn't how Democrats--or anybody else on the Hill, really--wants health care to pass.
And yet, if Congress enters recess with weeks of work left to do, party leaders may have to make a call; and those who oppose passing health care through the reconciliation process--Republicans and some Democrats--might be trying to run out the clock--to call leadership's bluff, or, at the very least, to touch off a game of legislative chicken. If that's what it comes to, the political fight will be fascinating to watch. But it's pretty clear that party leaders and a cautious White House would prefer not to have to make the call.


















So essentially Obama is saying you either make the tough call NOW, or delay and dither, and be forced to make a much tougher call, LATER.
If Democrats can't pull together and get something meaninful done, they are royally screwed in 2010.
Royally.
July 14, 2009 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't understand why congress took so long to get this done.
July 14, 2009 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"And as a rule of thumb, when election season approaches, vulnerable members become more risk averse--less willing, in other words, to vote for controversial legislation."
I assume this is true but the Rs sure used it their advantage to push Dems to vote for the AUMF right before the '02 midterms.
July 14, 2009 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only way we are ever going to get the health care plan we desperately need is if we can find a villain, someone the public can openly criticize. It's the quickest way to move the argument from the abstract to a matter of morals, to make the public feel impassioned. http://thestimulist.com/it-takes-a-villain/
July 14, 2009 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll leave the hand wringing part to Rahm, who I think understands how Congress works better than anyone on the Hill. I think all of it has more to do with the fact that Obama is on record wanting health care reform passed this year, either late summer or Fall. Nothing will get done next summer because of the mid-terms so it's now or never. And if it doesn't happen, the president enters midterm season in a position he doesn't want to be in.
July 14, 2009 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The presidenet will be in a position he doesn't want to be, but Democrats in general will get slaughtered, if nothing meaningful is done. Their position is more precarious than his.
July 14, 2009 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree. Repubs have nothing new to offer re: health care. Americans know that and electing Repubs is not the answer to the problem. It makes it worse. There is no reason for the Democrats to get slaughtered given that there is no alternative for most people.
July 14, 2009 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
In a rational world, yes. But Republicans can frame the Dems as the "Do nothing Dems", and promise to bring about the right kind of change that good hard-working Americans deserve, not all this dilly dallying about taxes, taxes, and taxes.
July 14, 2009 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is an alternative, for those of you not blinded by the two-party duopoly; it's called voting Green, and not enabling Democrats.
July 18, 2009 3:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Could Obama perhaps be trying to push a resolution on healthcare before the truth about Cheney's secret CIA program hits the fan? My personal bet is that members of this secret program killed bin Laden in 2001, and then killed Benazir Bhutto because she spoke of bin Laden's death as though it were common knowledge.
July 14, 2009 3:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doesn't seem that Obama knows how to push the Health Care bill.
July 14, 2009 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doesn't seem that Obama knows how to push the Health Care bill.
July 14, 2009 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
MEDICAL CARE SHOULD BE THE CHOICE OF EACH AMERICAN
The deciding factor in implementing health care for everybody--LEGALLY--in America, is the Publics voice? Those who want to just follow the same old road, can do so with the profit taking commercial insurance. Those who would be satisfied with a government run health care program, can now start demanding it from the lawmakers. Those who see a Universal health care system, similar to most developed countries in Europe, should start informing every Representative and Senate politician starting today. Rationing in places like England, was caused by the major impact of uncontrolled immigration.
Most American working class can do--without-- high premiums, pre-existing condition clauses. deductibles, co-pays that is representative of the wealthy medical care insurers. Whatever pertains to your family, you should start ruffling the indifferent feathers of the people in Washington at 202-224-3121 Just like illegal immigration , we cannot afford anymore to subsidize the business that hire them or the millions of illegal families.
July 14, 2009 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink