
Obama: Small Businesses Need Health Care Reform
In this weekend's YouTube address, President Obama pitched the Democratic health care proposals as being good for small businesses:
"Altogether, they create roughly half of all new jobs. And right now, they are paying up to 18 percent more for the very same insurance plans as larger businesses because they have higher administrative costs and less bargaining power," said Obama. "Many have been forced to cut benefits or drop coverage. Some have shed jobs or shut their doors entirely. And recent studies show that if we fail to act now, employers will pay six percent more to insure their employees next year - and more than twice as much over the next decade."
GOP Address Blasts Obama And Pelosi's "Job-Killing Agenda"
In this weekend's Republican address, Rep. Candice Miller (R-MI) called upon PResident Obama and Speaker Nancy Pelosi to "put aside their job-killing agenda" and work with the GOP:
"All told, our economy has lost roughly 3 million private-sector jobs since President Obama and Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trillion-dollar 'stimulus' plan became law," said Miller, later adding: "It didn't have to be this way."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)The Club For Growth has a new TV ad in the NY-23 special election -- with the right-wing group attacking the Republican candidate Dede Scozzafava, since they've endorsed the Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman.
The ad doesn't actually mention Hoffman, but attacks Scozzafava as being the same as Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Gov. David Paterson, and blasts Scozzafava for having backed a Paterson budget.
In a funny twist, the Club put out a press release yesterday noting the Scozzafava campaign's response that this was not a Paterson budget, but was introduced by Eliot Spitzer. The Club points out that Paterson was the one who ultimately signed the budget, but adds: "If liberal Dede is much more comfortable embracing an Elliot Spitzer tax-and-spend budget, we'll consider calling it that in future ads."
A new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the New Jersey gubernatorial race provides further corroboration that the race between Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine and his Republican challenger Chris Christie is getting closer -- but another claim, that there is a potential latent minority vote for Corzine that is yet to surface, is not necessarily the case.
The top-line numbers: Christie 46%, Corzine 42%, independent Chris Daggett 7%. The margin of error is ±4%. Two months ago, Christie led by 48%-40%, and Daggett was not included in the poll. This in line with other polls that have shown Christie only leading by three or four points.
Kos makes an observation that his internals show a whopping 25% of black voters, 1% percent of Hispanics, and 13% of other groups are undecided -- meaning that those voters could potentially break big for Corzine. However, a key issue here is that racial sub-samples have a higher margin of error, and minority sub-samples in polls have a very high margin of error. Let's look at two other recent polls.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (4) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)Here are the line-ups for the Sunday talk shows this weekend:
• ABC, This Week: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX).
• CBS, Face The Nation: National Security Adviser Gen. James Jones, Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI), Gen. Anthony Zinni, Rep. Ike Skelton (D-MO).
• CNN, State Of The Union: National Security Adviser Gen. James Jones, Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-AZ).
• Fox News Sunday: Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN), Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA).
• NBC, Meet The Press: Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Democratic candidate Creigh Deeds has released a new ad in the Virginia gubernatorial race, attacking Republican candidate Bob McDonnell as being driven by a pro-life agenda -- and eager to have power.
The video uses video of a McDonnell speech to the National Right To Life Committee: "These elections matter because elections determine who's got the power."
"It's why Bob McDonnell is running," the announcer says, followed by more of McDonnell's words: "Whether they are pro-life or not will make an eternal difference."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Wesley Denton, a spokesman for Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), just told TPM that the Senator is not attempting to intervene in support of the military coup in Honduras, as part of his trip there today -- that it is simply a fact-finding mission to find out about the events on the ground.
The New York Times had reported: "One of the de facto government's main supporters in Washington, Senator Jim DeMint, Republican of South Carolina, has announced plans to visit Tegucigalpa on Friday. One Congressional staff member said Mr. DeMint hoped to meet with members of the de facto government and other Hondurans. Other staff members said he intended to encourage Mr. Micheletti and his supporters to resist."
"Sen DeMint did not announce that to the New York Times, they did not get that from our office," said Denton. "They did not speak to staff members from our office that I know of -- they certainly did not talk to me."
DeMint and his Congressional delegation did meet today with de facto Honduran President Roberto Micheletti.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (9) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)An interesting pattern has been emerging in the Republican Party's handling of foreign policy: Individual GOP officials are now making a regular point of not only formulating an alternative foreign policy, to be presented to the American people and debated in Congress -- they're acting on it too, and undermining the official White House policies at multiple turns:
• Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) is visiting Honduras in order to support the recent military coup against a leftist president, which has been opposed by the Obama administration and all the surrounding countries in the region. (Late Update: DeMint's office says he is not taking sides during his visit to the current Honduran leadership, denying the New York Times reports that this was his intention.)
• Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) will be going to the upcoming climate change conference in Copenhagen, bringing a "Truth Squad" to tell foreign officials there that the American government will not take any action: "Now, I want to make sure that those attending the Copenhagen conference know what is really happening in the United States Senate."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (87) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (4)Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie, the Republican nominee for Governor of New Jersey, might be reaching a little too hard to appeal to the youth vote -- a new pair of Web videos from his campaign come off like a middle-aged man trying to sound cool with his kids, and totally failing.
This one samples an L.L. Cool J song, "That's A Lie":
Another Web ad is a takeoff on those annoying commercials for free credit reports, and refers to Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine as being "whack." It is very painful to watch, so it has been placed after the jump for your safety.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)So what exactly is the deal with Sen. Jim DeMint's (R-SC) trip to Honduras -- which is being done in an effort to support the recent military coup, contrary to current U.S. foreign policy -- and the failed effort by Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) to stop it?
Frederick Jones, communications director for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a Kerry spokesman, explained the distinction to us: Kerry was not blocking DeMint from going to Honduras -- any American can legally travel there -- but the issue was over government funding and plane travel for an official fact-finding mission. "Clearly, as an American citizen, Sen. DeMint is free to travel to Honduras commercially."
Kerry, as chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, blocked DeMint's funding because DeMint has been holding up key nominations for foreign policy officials in Latin America -- thus obstructing the committee's business and the U.S. government overall in working on the region. In response, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) stepped in and obtained the funding for DeMint from another source, which has not yet been identified.
Calls to the DeMint and McConnell offices were not returned. Jones' statement, firing back at DeMint for blocking the nominations, is available after the jump.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (38) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)If Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid does not ultimately decide to include a public option in Senate health care legislation before he brings a bill to the floor, it could have important consequences for the fate of the public option.
As I've noted before, the public option would then have to be added to the bill by amendment, or, failing that, in a contentious conference committee with the House of Representatives.
Neither option is particularly straightforward: The latter route would ask Democratic conservatives whether they'd support a filibuster to kill a health care bill with a public option--brave, but dangerous. The former will be a daunting climb.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (27) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Rush Limbaugh is definitely not happy with former McCain campaign manager Steve Schmidt, who said that a Palin campaign for president would be "catastrophic."
Limbaugh, who has been a long-time Palin fan, gave this comment to Greg Sargent:
I think it's time for the McCain crowd to acknowledge they are losers and pack it in. They've done enough damage to the Republican Party. Move aside and let a brighter, more principled, and more competent generation of people clean up the mess they helped create.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (47) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) may believe health care reform will be President Obama's Waterloo. But the coup in Honduras may become DeMint's Little Bighorn.
DeMint announced earlier this week that he planned to visit the Central American nation to offer support to the illegitimate government of Roberto Micheletti, who was installed into power after the military overthrew President Manuel Zelaya on orders of the Honduran Supreme Court.
But the Obama administration, which has been unsupportive of the coup, and has begun to revoke the visas of the coup's wealthy supporters, ain't havin' none of that. Last night, the White House, with an assist from Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry deep-sixed DeMint's plans.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (57) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (4)That famous infighting of the core McCain campaign versus Sarah Palin is still continuing, with former McCain campaign manager Steve Schmidt openly saying at the Atlantic's "First Draft of History" symposium that it would be "catastrophic" if Palin were to win the Republican nomination in 2012.
Schmidt said: "I think that she has talents, but you know, my honest view is that she would not be a winning candidate for the Republican Party in 2012, and in fact, were she to be the nominee, we could have a catastrophic election result."
It's sure been a long journey for Schmidt, as far as his attitudes on Palin are concerned. The Los Angeles Times reported in October 2008 that Schmidt himself pushed McCain into picking her. After Karl Rove said the pick was a campaign decision, and not a governing decision, Schmidt fired back: "Karl's wrong. She's an exceptional governor, a reform governor in Alaska."
But with the campaign long over -- and Palin's performance regarded as disastrous by everyone except her core fan-base -- Schmidt is sure singing a different tune.
Late Update: The transcription of Schmidt has been corrected slightly, based on the video.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (94) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Obama Meets With McChrystal
President Obama met today with Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the head of American and NATO troops in Afghanistan. McChrystal flew to Copenhagen from London, and the two met for 25 minutes on Air Force One.
Obama's Day: Campaigning For The Olympics
President Obama arrived in Copenhagen at 2:10 a.m. ET (8:10 a.m. local time). He delivered remarks at the Chicago 2016 presentation at 2:50 a.m. ET, and he and other Chicago 2016 panel members participated in a 3:40 a.m. ET question and answer session with IOC members. Obama and the First Lad attended an informal IOC reception at 4 a.m. ET, and they were greeted at 4:45 a.m. ET by Queen Margrethe II and Prince Consort Henrik. Obama met at 5:20 a.m. ET with Danish Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen. They departed from Copenhagen at 6:55 a.m. ET, and are scheduled to arrive back at the White House at 3:30 p.m. ET. Obama will deliver brief remarks at 4 p.m. ET.
The Senate Finance Committee worked until the wee hours of Friday morning to vote on amendments to its health care bill before adjourning until Tuesday when, after the Congressional Budget Office weighs in on the spending implications of the package, it will hold a final vote.
The delay was baked into the cake several days ago when the committee agreed not to hold a vote on a bill that hadn't received a preliminary analysis from the CBO.
The progress prompted a statement from the White House, which you can read here.
If the panel advances the legislation, Senate health care leaders, White House officials, and Majority Leader Harry Reid will meet to merge it with the more liberal HELP Committee bill, and introduced on the Senate floor later this fall.
This article from the Las Vegas Review-Journal is making the rounds, and it seems at a glance like great news for reformers.
"We are going to have a public option before this bill goes to the president's desk," Reid said in a conference call with constituents, referring to some kind of government plan.
"I believe the public option is so vitally important to create a level playing field and prevent the insurance companies from taking advantage of us," he said.
True enough, he did say that. But speaking to reporters today, he also said, "Remember, a public option is a relative term. There's a public option, there's a public option, and there's a public option, and we're going to look at each of them."
Things aren't always what they seem.
Late update: A Reid aid says, "Sen. Reid believes that health insurance reform must include a mechanism to keep insurers honest, create competition and keep costs down. He feels that the public option is the best way to do that. While we don't know exactly what that option will look like, Sen. Reid, working with President Obama, will ensure that whatever is included in the final bill does just that."
So there you have it.
One of the nice peculiarities of the Senate Finance Committee is that they base all of their deliberations on bills and amendments written in plain English. So if you want to see a version of Sen. Tom Carper's public option alternative, here it is.
It would allow states to pick one of the following three options:
1. Participate as grantees in the CO-OP program and apply for seed funding.
2. Open up that state's employee benefits plan.
3. Create a state administered health insurance plan with the option of banding together
with other states to create a regional insurance compact.
And provide any seed money needed to accomplish the chosen goal, so long as it's deficit neutral. Wonder how the administration feels about this? So do I, and I'm trying to find out.
I'm also still unsure if and when this will be introduced, but I'll keep you posted.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The attack ads are flying in the Virginia gubernatorial race, with Democrat Creigh Deeds continuing to hammer Republican Bob McDonnell over his hard-right grad school thesis that attacked working women, and the GOP going after Deeds on taxes.
The new Deeds radio ad features a phone call between two sisters, talking about how one of them just had a good job interview:
Sister 1: Good benefits? You know Mom's gonna ask...
Sister 2: Pretty good! Health care includes mammograms, cancer screenings...and the salary is what men at my level make.
Sister 1: So basically nothing Bob McDonnell supports?
Gov. Jon Corzine (D-NJ) is changing pace slightly from his recent barrage of negative ads against Republican challenger Chris Christie, with a full minute-long ad extolling his own positives.
The polls have shown Christie's lead over Corzine narrowing, but it's come almost entirely from Christie losing support to the independent candidate or the undecided column -- Corzine has not been picking up new support. This ad could potentially work in that direction, now that he's loosened some voters from Christie.
At the same time as Corzine talks about his accomplishments in dealing with a trouble economy, he seems to subtly admit there have been some imperfections: "But there's more to do, it's a work in progress, and we have more to do to get our fiscal house in order. I think I can do that. I've learned a lot, I've done a lot."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)In case Rep. Alan Grayson's own statements weren't clear enough, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has made it crystal: There will be no apology for his remarks on the House floor. Watch:
Grayson's fortitude in the face of GOP attacks and constant press attention have won great acclaim on the left. His campaign has raised over $100,000 in the past day alone.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) seems to be developing a one-track mind. At a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee, Bachmann asked Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke about...ACORN?
To be fair, Bachmann also asked about one of her other pet issues, the threat of a one-world currency replacing the dollar -- which does actually bear a relationship to the questions of monetary policy.
But here she has the man who runs our country's whole money supply, right in front of her and required to take her questions, and this is what she asks about?
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (22) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)Candidates in the Massachusetts Senate special election have announced their fundraising totals, in a race that will quickly come down to a December 8 Democratic primary.
• State Attorney General Martha Coakley, the current frontrunner in the available polls, has announced that she raised $2.1 million for her campaign in September. The campaign's press release said that this was double her original goal of $1 million.
• Rep. Mike Capuano has raised $300,000. Federal records show he also had $1.2 million on hand in his Congressional account, as of June 30.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)We noted earlier that President Obama's political arm Organizing for America had distributed internal talking points urging organizers to describe the public option as a "small part" of health care reform.
Apparently, though, that was a bit of a snafu--the talking points emerged at the state level, were not approved from up on high--and the group doesn't stand by them. Instead, they're sticking with the bullet points on OFA's website, which describes Obama's plan as one that includes a public option.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (16) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Rep. Alan Grayson (D-FL) has sure become a hit with the liberal netroots base since his vociferous public attacks on the Republicans -- and the money is coming in for this scourge of the "foot-dragging, knuckle-dragging neanderthals."
"I can tell you that it really started to explode, I would say last night about five o'clock," said Julie Tagen, the Congressman's chief of staff and a senior adviser to his campaign. "And since that time, we have probably raised anywhere between $125,000 and $150,000 online."
Tagen said that it's not immediately clear how much of this money will be reflected in the upcoming third-quarter financial reporters, because the donations have been coming in continuously during a period when one quarter officially ended and another began.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (29) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)Yet another Republican is officially challenging Harry Reid, with former state GOP chair Sue Lowden announcing her bid to bring down the Democrats' Senate Majority Leader.
"I think there is a big fear here in Nevada, across the country, but clearly here in Nevada, of a big government takeover of our lives, of our businesses," said Lowden. "I think that is going to resonate in Nevada and I think throughout the country."
Recent polls have shown Lowden ahead of Reid -- a good place to be, starting out. But as the Las Vegas Review-Journal points out, it's not going to be so simple for her. She or any other Republican must first get through a very crowded Republican primary, with nine other candidates ranging from major names to underdogs. After that, Reid, could spend as much as $25 million.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Republicans fully intend to mobilize against Rep. Alan Grayson (D-FL), the freshman Congressman who accused Republicans of wanting sick people to "die quickly," then apologized to the dead of the "holocaust" that is the health care crisis, and called the GOP "foot-dragging, knuckle-dragging neanderthals."
However, the GOP doesn't actually have a candidate yet -- but they're getting ready for it. The NRCC has set up a fund to contribute to the yet-to-be-determined GOP nominee, and have set up a new anti-Grayson site, AlanDisgrayson, to rile up their base.
Grayson was just elected in 2008, defeating incumbent GOP Rep. Ric Keller in a district that had previously been voting Republican. The district voted twice for George W. Bush, by 53%-45% in 2000 and 55%-44% in 2004, but then swung in 2008, voting for Barack Obama by 52%-47%. Grayson, who self-financed with over $2.6 million, won by an almost-identical 52%-48%.
The Republicans think they can win this district back. "We've always viewed Grayson as one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the country, probably top five," a national Republican source told us. "Nationally that is starting to become, now everyone realizes why."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (18) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Rep. Alan Grayson (D-FL) really isn't shying away from the limelight. Here's our TPMtv highlight reel of Grayson's activities in the last few days -- from saying that Republicans want people to "die quickly," to calling the health care crisis a "holocaust," and calling the Republicans "foot-dragging, knuckle-dragging neanderthals."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (4) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new Rasmussen poll in Delaware finds that Republican Congressman Mike Castle could potentially beat state Attorney General Beau Biden -- a son of Vice President Joe Biden -- in the 2010 special election for the VP's Senate seat.
The numbers: Castle 47%, Beau Biden 42%. In addition, Beau leads 2008 GOP Senate nominee Christine O'Donnell, a marketing consultant who lost by 65%-35%, by a smaller but still significant margin of 49%-40%. The margin of error is ±4.5%.
As of right now, neither Castle nor Beau are officially in the race, but they are widely viewed as potential candidates. O'Donnell is the only declared contender for the seat.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (10) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Major progressive organizations see a golden opportunity to resurrect the public option, and are preparing a campaign, which will include television ads in Nevada, to pressure Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to get on board.
As I've noted a number of times, the public option will not be in the Senate Finance Committee's health care bill, but it can re-emerge at three key points in the legislative process. Among those, one of the most important is the next step, when Reid merges the Finance bill with a more liberal proposal from the Senate HELP Committee. If he adopts the latter panel's public option, it would dramatically alter the nature of the legislative battle, shifting the onus from liberals, who have been doggedly fighting to include the public option in the Senate bill, on to conservative Democrats, who would have to decide whether their opposition to the popular measure is so strong that they'd be willing to join the GOP in a health care filibuster and tank the entire reform effort.
Such a move would likely alienate Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME), the only Republican working with Democrats on health care reform, and require Democratic leaders, including Reid and President Obama to make sure all 60 Democrats stand united when Republicans try to block the bill--a tall order, and one Reid doesn't seem prepared to meet.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (112) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A very interesting name pops up on the management and strategy team for Gov. Tim Pawlenty's (R-MN) new political action committee, which is widely seen as a preliminary step for a presidential campaign: Sara Taylor, a former top aide to Karl Rove, who resigned her position during the U.S. Attorney scandal.
Taylor's testimony during the U.S. Attorney hearings sure was interesting. When confronted with the fact that she'd conducted official government business through a private RNC e-mail account, she explained that it was more "efficient" than using both the RNC e-mail and the government e-mail. In addition, Taylor refused to answer many questions, citing executive privilege, and for other questions said she couldn't recall the answers:"I can't remember what I had for breakfast last week."
But her single most famous moment was when Sen. Pat Leahy (D-VT) caught Taylor saying she made an oath to the President -- as opposed to saying she made an oath to the Constitution:
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new Monmouth poll in the New Jersey gubernatorial race finds the gap shrinking between Republican former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie and incumbent Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine. Independent Chris Daggett could be playing spoiler against Christie -- and Corzine's recent attacks are working, too.
The numbers: Christie 43%, Corzine 40%, Daggett 8%, with a ±4.3% margin of error. Three weeks ago, Christie had led by 47%-39%-5%. The numbers point to a potential flow directly from Christie to Daggett, as the attacks against Christie keep on coming. A Quinnipiac poll yesterday showed the same possible trend, as well.
The pollster's analysis also says that Corzine's attacks against Christie's advocacy of mandate-free insurance policies -- which the Corzine camp says would enable insurance companies to take away women's mammogram coverage -- is helping him tear down Christie among independent women: "While these voters had been giving their soft support to Christie based on discontent with the Corzine economic record, they appear to have beaten a hasty retreat when threats to their health care access were raised."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new million-dollar Health Care for America Now ad buy contrasts the lavish lifestyle of UnitedHealth executive Stephen Hemsley with that of a family that suffered a medical bankruptcy.
The spot will air for two weeks on national MSNBC and on local broadcast and cable television in DC, Maine, Philadelphia, and Minneapolis. Maine Senator Olympia Snowe is a public option opponent, and the prime mover on the trigger alternative. UnitedHealth is based in Minneapolis.
Interestingly, Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar has also articulated support for Snowe's trigger compromise, but she hasn't ruled out supporting a more traditional public option.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (2) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) took to the House floor last night to warn against a provision of the House health care bill, which would authorize non-profit entities to operate health clinics in schools -- which she said would lead to Planned Parenthood "sex clinics" giving abortions to 13-year old girls without the parents knowing about it.
Bachmann said that the bill required the protection of privacy for patient and student records, and asked: "Does that mean that someone's 13 year-old daughter could walk into a sex clinic, have a pregnancy test done, be taken away to the local Planned Parenthood abortion clinic, have their abortion, be back and go home on the school bus that night? Mom and dad are never the wiser, they don't know any different."
It probably does not mean that. As The Hill points out, the bill specifically states that any medical services provided by a school-based health clinic must be in accordance with federal, state and local laws regarding parental consent, along with the privacy protections that Bachmann cited.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (44) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)The new Quinnipiac poll of Pennsylvania has some good news for Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey, with him edging out both Democratic Sen. Arlen Specter and Dem primary challenger Rep. Joe Sestak.
In a match-up with Specter, Toomey has 43% support to Specter's 42%. These two guys have been enemies for years, since Toomey narrowly lost in his 2004 Republican primary challenge to the then-GOPer Specter -- and his primary challenge this time around spurred Specter into switching to the Democrats.
Against Sestak, Toomey has 38% to Sestak's 35%. Both results are within the ±3% margin of error.
Also, Specter leads Sestak in the Democratic primary, but is below the crucial 50% mark: Specter 44%, Sestak 25%.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (9) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The first poll is out in the NY-23 special election, a vacancy created by the appointment of former Republican Congressman John McHugh to be President Obama's Secretary of the Army -- and it shows a wide open three-way race.
The numbers from Siena: Republican Dede Scozzafava 35%, Democrat Bill Owens 28%, and Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman 16%, with a ±3.9% margin of error.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Senate Finance Committee member Tom Carper (D-DE)--who voted against a robust public option amendment but for a more modest public option amendment Tuesday--is quietly circulating a public option alternative that doesn't involve triggers but also wouldn't create a national public option.
Carper's proposal, according to Politico, would allow individual states to decide whether to create their own public options, or co-ops, or other alternative to private insurance. That's a plan that sounds intriguing to public option skeptics and even some more liberal Democrats, but it's also a significant departure from the public plan envisioned by reformers, which would be available nationwide without delay.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (12) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)WaPo: Obama May Have To Seek GOP Support On Afghanistan
The Washington Post says that the emerging Democratic opposition to a heavily increased troop presence in Afghanistan could put President Obama in an awkward situation: "The emerging Democratic position could compel Obama, whose domestic agenda is facing stiff Republican criticism in Congress, to rely on those same opposition lawmakers for support if he decides to send more combat troops to Afghanistan."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will deliver remarks at a 1:50 p.m. ET fundraiser for the Democratic Governors Association. He will meet at 3:30 p.m. ET with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and at 4 p.m. ET with Secretary of the Treasury Tim Geithner. He will depart form the White House at 6:35 p.m. ET, headed to Copenhagen, Denmark, to lobby for the 2016 Olympics to be held in Chicago.
The campaign of Gov. Jon Corzine (D-NJ) has a new ad against Republican former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie, in their continuing battle over insurance company coverage of mammograms.
Christie has advocated the legalization of mandate-free insurance policies, in order to lower costs. The Corzine camp went on the attack, saying that this would mean the elimination of New Jersey's state mandate of mammogram coverage. Christie has called that attack "deceitful" and "awful," citing his own mother's fight against breast cancer.
But the Corzine ad is sticking with the attack, and calling Christie "deceitful," and pointing to what mandate-free policies would mean. "Christie's own website shows he'd let insurance companies end mammogram coverage," the announcer says. "Cut short 48 hour maternity stays. No wonder the insurance industry backs Christie's plan."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)One of the most anticipated amendments to the Senate Finance Committee's health care bill was introduced by Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME). If adopted, it would create triggered public options at the state level if private insurance companies didn't make insurance affordable and available everywhere. But yesterday, when the Committee considered a separate pair of public option amendments, Snowe's proposal wasn't on the agenda.
Senate sources suggest Snowe may withhold the amendment until health care legislation hits the floor next month. And a Snowe spokesperson confirms that, though the situation is very fluid right now, that is a possibility.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (21) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (4)The latest polls from the Virginia gubernatorial race all show Republican candidate Bob McDonnell leading Democratic candidate Creigh Deeds -- but by different margins, and with wildly different makeups of the electorate under their different likely voter screens.
What this tells us is that get-out-the-vote efforts could be crucial in this race, as the parties work to get out their base supporters. Barack Obama carried the state by 53%-47%, but the polls show likely voter pools that either voted for John McCain or only narrowly for Obama -- a sign that the likely voter models are showing Republican voters to be relatively more motivated than Democrats this time.
Check out the different results, after the jump.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)In a new fundraising e-mail sent out by the RNC, chairman Michael Steele attacks the Democrats over the video that has circulated of a small group of schoolchildren singing about President Obama:
In the video, impressionable youngsters at a public school in New Jersey, most of whom are no more than six or seven years old, have been instructed to sing the praises of "Barack Hussein Obama." One song is even set to the tune of The Battle Hymn of the Republic.
This is the type of propaganda you would see in Stalin's Russia or Kim Jong Il's North Korea. I never thought the day would come when I'd see it here in America.
This is the type of fanaticism Republicans are up against as we fight to stop the Obama Democrats' radical leftist transformation of America.
Check out the full e-mail after the jump.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (25) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie, the Republican nominee for Governor of New Jersey, showed his Jersey cred in a story in the New York Times -- he's a huge Bruce Springsteen fan.
Christie has been a fan ever since he was a kid, and has a huge collection of ticket stubs. He'll even be going to a concert tonight, even though he has to prepare for a debate tomorrow.
Of course, Springsteen himself is a left-winger, and Christie is aware that he won't be getting the Boss' endorsement. It would also be hard for him if Springsteen were to endorse Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (1) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman, a candidate for the Republican nomination for Governor of California in 2010, has an interesting explanation for the fact that she's hardly ever voted, and didn't even register until seven years ago, when she was 46: She was too dedicated to her family to vote.
"I was focused on raising a family, on my husband's career, and we moved many, many times," she told reporters. "It is no excuse. My voting record, my registration record, is unacceptable."
As the Sacramento Bee reported, no record exists of Whitman registering to vote until she was 46, and had already had a very active career in business.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (55) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)A slew of recent polling data points to a conclusion that might have seemed hard to believe amidst the town hall craziness in the dog days of August and early September: President Obama's numbers have not only stabilized but actually seem to be showing a modest uptick. And by several other measures the political landscape for Democrats isn't nearly as bleak as it was being portrayed just a few weeks ago.
To be sure, the evidence is insufficient to point to any dramatic, long-run Obama resurgence -- at least for now. But there's enough data to conclude that August, rather than being a public support train-wreck for the president was actually an inflection point, when the downward trend flattened out, and
in some cases began crawling back upward.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has made good on a threat to cancel a week-long October recess to continue work on health care.
"I talked to the Republican leader about this last week," Reid said on the Senate floor this morning. "But the Columbus day is fast approaching. It's the week after next. And with all the things going on here, it just would not be right for us to take that week off. So what we're going to do, as I explained to the Republican leader last week, we'll be off that Monday, which is the holiday, Columbus day, and the following Friday."
Once the Finance Committee finishes work on its health care legislation, Reid will merge it with a different bill, and then bring it to the Senate floor. The week of October 12 seems a bit early for the floor debate to have kicked off, but this could at least prevent any further delays.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Sens. John Kerry (D-MA) and Barbara Boxer (D-CA)--chairs of the Foreign Relations Committee, and Environment and Public Works Committee respectively--have unveiled a draft of a climate change bill calling for significant reductions in U.S. carbon dioxide emissions in both the near and short term. The Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act.
Though the draft will change considerably over the coming weeks, it is the basis for the upper chamber's coming legislative push, which, if successful, will, when combined with an already-completed House climate bill, become the most significant piece of energy legislation in the nation's history.
But between now and then, it will meet the many machetes of the Senate--an institution that hasn't been too kind to previous, failed climate change bills.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Moments after the Senate Finance Committee rejected two public option amendments yesterday, two groups that have been targeting the panel's chairman Max Baucus, and key Republican Olympia Snowe latched on to their votes in a fundraising bid to turn up the heat on both senators.
The Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democracy for America have been running hard hitting ads in Montana, Maine, and Washington, DC, targeting Baucus and Snowe for failing to support a public option. With their votes registered, the groups are now seeking to extend the ad buys:
"Today, we are raising our fundraising goal to $200,000 to PUMMEL Baucus and Snowe with ads in their home states featuring the voices of their constituents," reads an email from PCCC to members.
You can see the ads here and here. And you can read the entire letter below the fold.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (19) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)The new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds that Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine has narrowed the gap against Republican former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie -- and that independent candidate Chris Daggett could be playing a key spoiler role in this.
The numbers: Christie 43%, Corzine 39%, Daggett 12%, with a ±2.8% margin of error. A month ago, Christie led by 47%-37%-9%. The poll also finds that Christie favorable-unfavorable rating is now split at 38%-38%, compared to 41%-33% a month ago.
From the pollster's analysis: "This race looks as if it will go down to the wire. Does Christopher Daggett's impressive climb measure a swing to him or simply a distaste for the two guys hollering at each other? Will Daggett fade on Election Day? At this stage, his numbers matter."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)New DNC Ad: Tell Republicans To "Stop The Lies" On Health Reform
The Democratic National Committee has a new ad on health care, attacking Republican leaders for "trying to scare seniors about health reform." The ad will air on national cable and in Washington, D.C.
"Tell Republicans: Stop the lies on health reform," the announcer says.
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will tour a laboratory at the National Institutes of Health at 10:25 a.m. ET, with Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius. Obama will make a major announcement regarding the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act at 11 a.m. ET. He will sign the Arnold Palmer Gold Medal Act in the Oval Office at 1:30 p.m. ET, honoring the legendary golfer. At 3 p.m. ET, he will meet with his national security team on Afghanistan.
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) wasn't on hand in the Finance Committee hearing room to oppose against the public option in person. But below is her official statement with respect to the "no" vote she issued by proxy.
Arkansans have told me they support health care reform that forces insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions and prevents them from dropping coverage when you become seriously ill. We can achieve these goals, stabilize the cost of coverage for Arkansans who have health insurance, and expand coverage to the uninsured and underinsured without creating a purely public, new government program, which most Arkansans do not support. I have promised my constituents that I will fight for health insurance reform that is deficit neutral, now and in the future, and that creates more choices for small businesses and their workers and the self-employed. These are important priorities that I believe we can achieve.
In addition, I am working to ensure that requiring Americans to purchase health insurance does not result in a personal windfall for health insurance company executives. My amendment would cut the tax shelter, from $1 million to $500,000, of what businesses are able to deduct for executive compensation. This is a fair policy change aimed at lowering insurance costs to consumers and reassuring them that insurance companies are not receiving excessive tax breaks while at the same time profiting from a government mandate.
Not very good news for reformers. The key questions down the line will be whether she's willing to filibuster a public option amendment or an entire health care reform bill on the grounds that it contains a public option.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (77) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)A new Rasmussen poll has some bad news for Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), who is up for re-election in 2010: She's trailing all four of her Republican challengers in a state that has been trending more to the GOP.
Republican state Sen. Kim Hendren leads Lincoln by 44%-41%. State Senate Minority Leader Gilbert Baker is ahead of her by 47%-39%. Businessman Curtis Coleman edges her out by 43%-41%. And finally, businessman Tom Cox leads her by 43%-40%.
In a further bad sign, Lincoln's favorable rating is only 45%, with 52% unfavorable. The Republican candidates are all hardly known, with undecided numbers of 34%-40% for their own personal ratings -- meaning this is basically Lincoln against generic Republicans. And for now at least, she's losing.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (33) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The spin war is on to frame today's losing public option votes in the Senate Finance Committee. And though no reformer can honestly say today's news was good news, they're also on perfectly safe ground saying that today's news was expected, and that the public option is in no worse shape today than it was yesterday.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (51) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)The campaign of Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) is now accusing its political opponents -- and he has many, considering he has to deal with not only Democrats but also a Republican primary challenge from U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison -- of sabotaging his Web site and causing it to break down!
The Austin-American Statesman reports that the Perry campaign was hosting a live video Webcast, which crashed. "This planned and coordinated attack was political sabotage, and we are working to identify those responsible for this illegal activity," said campaign spokesman Mark Miner.
The thing is, it appears quite possible that there might not have been any malicious attack at all. The Statesman's reporter notes: "I logged in about 10 minutes before the Webcast and was able to see it, but another Statesman staffer who attempted to log in after it started got an error message that said: 'Unable to connect to database server ... This could mean your hosting provider's database server is down.'"
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Kentucky Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo, who is running in a two-way Democratic primary for Senate in 2010, appears to have been caught on tape saying some nasty things about Gov. Steve Beshear -- who has endorsed his campaign.
A YouTube was first posted online last week by KY Revolution, a site supporting underdog Republican candidate Rand Paul (a son of Ron Paul), containing what sounds like Mongiardo accusing Beshear of doing nothing to help his campaign:
"Who's doing a fundraiser this quarter? Steve Beshear is -- for Steve Beshear, one in Lexington, and one in Louisville," Mongiardo is heard saying. "He is trying to dry my money up. He (Beshear) is screwing me every way possible, and what do I get out of it? "We finally begged him to show up for one in Northern Kentucky. He is not going to lift a finger, he is not going to do a damn thing, he is just going to show up and his name is going to be on the invite."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (1) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The reform campaign Health Care for America Now is out with the following statement in the wake of today's votes on the Senate Finance Committee against the public option:
Today, a vast majority - more than ¾ - of the Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee joined with all of the Democrats on the Senate HELP Committee to support giving us the choice of a strong public health insurance option. Now four of the five committees that have tackled health care legislation have included a public health insurance option, and the Senate Finance Committee as a whole has proven it's out of step with the rest of Congress, the President, and a large majority of the American public. As Senators Schumer and Rockefeller said, the public health insurance option is clearly gaining momentum, and we are confident it will be in the final bill that lands on the President's desk.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)The Democratic Senators who spoke out in support of the public health insurance option today made it very clear they understand we cannot leave Americans out in the cold without real choice and competition and at the mercy of the private health insurance companies which will only continue to put their corporate profits before people's health care needs.
Democratic candidate Creigh Deeds has a new TV ad in the Virginia gubernatorial race, continuing to hammer Republican Bob McDonnell's far-right grad school thesis.
"What kind of person writes a thesis calling working women 'detrimental to the family,' then lies about his opponent to cover up his own record?" the announcer asks. The announcer later says: "No matter what his ads say, Bob McDonnell can't cover up his record."
McDonnell has been running ads to rebut the thesis attacks, notably one that stars his Iraq veteran daughter. The message of this new Deeds ad is simple: Don't believe McDonnell.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Former Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN), who lost by a very narrow margin to Democrat Al Franken in the heavily-litigated 2008 Minnesota Senate race, doesn't appear to be done with politics just yet.
In a possible sign that Coleman could still be trying to maintain his profile among the Minnesota GOP grassroots, he has reportedly authored a fundraising letter for a real hero of the GOP base, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN):
Make no mistake about it -- this opposition isn't coming from the Minnesotans she represents in Washington. It's coming from the liberal netroots in places like San Francisco, Manhattan and Vermont. It's coming from the same people who bankrolled Al Franken's race against me and his legal battle to deny honest Minnesotans a fair vote last November.
(Emphasis in the original.)
The Bachmann campaign did not return our requests for comment.
(Via Dump Bachmann and Checks and Balances.)
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (11) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)I just spoke to Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the pro-life conservative organization the Susan B. Anthony List, and she indicated to me that the national Republican Party will be facing a backlash for supporting a pro-choice Republican candidate in the upcoming NY-23 special election, a swing seat formerly held by Republican Rep. John McHugh, who is now President Obama's Secretary of the Army.
I started off by asking Dannenfelser, whose organization has endorsed Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, whether she's worried about splitting the conservative vote and handing the election to the Democrat.
"Normally in many situations that certainly can be the case, and we wouldn't want to have somebody that will end up voting for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, that's for sure," said Dannenfelser. "But in this case it's just such a different district, and their self-identification is so in line with Hoffman. It's a shame he didn't get the Republican nomination, because he actually seems like a Republican, and the Republican nominee doesn't seem like a Republican."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (5) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The Senate Finance Committee can't even endorse a modest public option like Chuck Schumer's. Citing his belief that a public option can't pass on the Senate floor "at this time," Finance chairman Max Baucus joined two Democrats and all Republicans in voting down the amendment, which failed 10 to 13.
Joining Baucus on the Democrats' side of the dais were Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) and, by proxy, Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) who wasn't present for the vote.
There will be no public option in the Finance Committee's health care bill.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (132) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)In an interesting statement ahead of a public option vote earlier today, Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) said he opposes a Medicare-like public option on the grounds that North Dakota providers get low Medicare reimbursement rates.
That's a parochial concern and one that would be easy to fix in theory. In practice he voted against the Rockefeller amendment. But here comes the Schumer amendment, which would not be tied to Medicare at all. That completely undercuts his objection. So let's see how he votes.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Introducing his public option amendment, Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) cited many of the differences between his proposal and the more robust public option offered unsuccessfully by Jay Rockefeller: No providers would be forced to take public option insurance, and the government would not be allowed to set prices. These differences are crucial, and reformers don't like them, but they do mean less government involvement and undermine the criticism of a number of conservative Senate Democrats. So let's see how they vote.
3:06 p.m.: Bill Nelson, who voted against the Rockefeller public option, says "I will vote for the Schumer amendment." Well, that clears that up.
3:16 p.m.: Kent Conrad says the fact that the Schumer amendment is an improvement over Rockefeller's because it's not tied to Medicare. But he says he worries that the House's bill will be tied to Medicare, and now he's saying he doesn't like that it's government run. He also continues to misconstrue the French health care system.
3:20 p.m.: Conrad didn't ultimately say whether he'd vote yes or no--he seems like a no, he's probably a no, but let's keep an eye out. He opposed the Rockefeller amendment on the grounds that it was tied to Medicare, but Schumer's plan is specifically not designed that way. That dramatically undercuts his argument. What will he do?
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (10) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)After debating all morning and well into the afternoon, the Senate Finance Committee voted against an amendment, written by Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) that would have added a public option to the panel's health care reform bill.
The final vote was 8-15 with 5 Democrats--Sens. Kent Conrad (D-ND), Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), Tom Carper (D-DE), Bill Nelson (D-FL), and Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT)--voting with all Republicans to kill the proposal.
Next up, Chuck Schumer's more modest public option proposal.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (50) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ) has clarified his comments from the How to Take Back America conference, where he called President Obama an "enemy of humanity" -- with his spokesperson saying that he should have made it clear that he was referring to Obama's abortion policies.
As the Associated Press reports:
Trent Franks of Arizona said in a speech to conservatives Saturday in St. Louis that Obama's decision to fund international family planning organizations that support legal abortion shows "he has no place in any station of government and we need to realize that he is an enemy of humanity."PERMALINK | COMMENTS (32) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
Bethany Haley, spokeswoman for Franks, said the congressman was referring to "unborn humanity" and should have clarified his statement.
The Senate Finance Committee is back from lunch and picking up where it left off--debating an amendment by Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) that would add a public option to Max Baucus' health care proposal.
1:55 p.m.: Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY) doesn't like the public option...but he thinks all government officials and their staffs should be on it if the Democrats create one. A lot of Democrats oppose this ("it's a public option, including for us). But for what it's worth, the Senate HELP committee adopted an amendment that institutes this requirement, but only to members of Congress and their staffs.
2:03 p.m. Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) notes smartly that any public option tied to Medicare will be tied to a newer, better Medicare that will correct for rural disparities, and reward providers that provide cost-effective care, and move away from fee for service. That undermines Kent Conrad's objection to a pretty significant extent. More on this soon.
2:09 p.m.Cantwell also says she'll be offering an amendment that will allow private insurers to team with the government to negotiate lower rates. Your move, Kent!
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (40) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)The latest poll of Virginia by Public Policy Polling (D) has Republican gubernatorial nominee Bob McDonnell continuing to lead Democrat Creigh Deeds -- but there is a potential for a Deeds surge, as Democrats become more motivated and tuned into the race.
The numbers: McDonnell 48%, Deeds 43%, with a ±4.1% margin of error. On the surface this doesn't seem to different from PPP's number from a month ago, which was a 49%-42% lead for McDonnell.
Underneath the surface, Democratic voters are starting to get more motivated. A month ago, the likely voter pool had gone 49%-45% for McCain in 2008 (plus respondents who didn't divulge their vote), in a state that actually voted 53%-47% for Obama last year. The new poll shows a voter pool that went 48%-45% for Obama, a step in the right direction. McDonnell has maintained his lead by locking down a greater percentage of self-identified Republicans, with 96% support, while Deeds is still at only an 82%-5% lead with Democrats, plus 12% of Democrats who are undecided.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (8) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)A strange thing seems to be happening in California. State Attorney General Jerry Brown, the former governor from 1975-1983, recent mayor of Oakland from 1999-2007, and three-time presidential candidate, appears to actually be the favorite to be the next governor -- making for a whole new act for one of the most colorful political personalities that state has had in the last 50 years.
As a new profile in the American Prospect explains, Brown has been known for his eccentric mix of progressive cultural values and fiscally conservative governance. When he was governor, he was strongly supportive of civil rights, the environment and labor unions, but was also very tight with money. He once famously declared: "I am going to starve the schools financially until I get some educational reforms." And when he ran for president in 1992, he supported the traditionally right-wing flat tax.
Beyond that, Brown is best known for his colorful personal life when he was governor -- he picked up the nickname "Governor Moonbeam" for his practice of Zen meditation, and he dated singer Linda Ronstadt while he was in office. There also the matter of his rather unconventional official state portrait, shown above. This all contributed to a somewhat inaccurate caricature of him as a left-winger. But now, he's been emerging as the well-known, safe choice for governor, to succeed the term-limited Republican Arnold Schwarzengger -- himself a colorful personality for obvious reasons.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (30) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)In a pair of fundraisers yesterday, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and Newt Gingrich raised $250,000 and $100,000, respectively, for Virginia gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell.
The pair are the latest stars of the GOP to raise cash for McDonnell, who is running against Democrat Creigh Deeds in this year's race. Last week, an event with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney added $100,000 to McDonnell's campaign chest.
And it looks like he's gonna need it: Some of the latest polls have shown Deeds tightening the gap, catching up to within four points or so of McDonnell.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) has introduced his public option amendment before the Senate Finance Committee. In making the pitch to the panel's skeptics, he's noted that it will save the federal government about $50 billion over 10 years, and would be, as its name implies optional--i.e. it's not a "government takeover" of health care.
Late update: To the chagrin of chairman Max Baucus, Rockefeller is lambasting the insurance industry, and citing a number of ways other health care reform bills do a better job at reining in their excesses. He cited insurance industry whistleblower Wendell Potter, who said that, without a public option, health care reform legislation might as well be named the "Insurance Industry Profit Protection Act."
The House bill, Rockefeller noted, would place strict limits on the so-called medical-loss ratio (i.e. percentage of each premium dollar that can go to profits, administrative costs, and other non-health care related activities.)
Late, late update: It's worth mentioning that you can follow the hearing at this link.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (59) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (7)Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE) continues to be a scold to the liberals in his party. Before a crowd of over 200 gathered at a senior center in Nebraska, Nelson said health care reform ought to pass with 65 votes--a feat which would require at least five Republicans to break with their party.
"I think anything less than that would challenge its legitimacy," he said.
Nelson didn't go so far as to say that he'd oppose a bill that had less than 64 other votes. But he did say he disagreed with the party's legislative approach to the issue.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (45) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)The campy new TV ad from Americans United has to be seen to be believed. The ad, running in Orlando, Louisville and Washington, presents the CEO of Humana and Republican leaders as being dressed up as monsters for Halloween.
The ad fires back at Humana for telling its senior citizen clients that Democratic health plans would cut their Medicare coverage. "But we shouldn't be surprised. Whether it's the insurance companies or their Republican allies, the case against health insurance reform always gets down to one word," the narrator says, followed by the sound of a woman screaming over spooky music.
Most notably, Humana CEO Michael McCallister is dressed up as the Devil. Also, John Boehner probably wouldn't appreciate the drag element of making him a witch.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (1) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)As I laid out moments after the proposed amendments to the Baucus bill were announced, the public option will have its day on the Senate Finance Committee.
That day is today. The 23-member panel will consider amendments sponsored by Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) and Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) that, if adopted, would add a public option into the panel's health care reform bill.
Two things to keep in mind if you're watching the hearing or reading news accounts about the developments: the two proposals are very different, and neither is expected to pass. The Rockefeller amendment is a version of what we've come to know as the "robust" public option. It would, for a time, be tied to Medicare, and, thereafter, be able to use the government's considerable leverage to bargain down payment rates with providers.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (13) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)U.S. Plans To Isolate Iran If Nuclear Talks Fail
The Washington Post reports that the Obama administration is preparing to further cut Iran's economic links with the rest of the world: "While officials stress that they hope Iran will agree to open its nuclear program to inspection, they are prepared by year's end to make it increasingly difficult for Iranian companies to ship goods around the world. The administration is targeting, in particular, the insurance and reinsurance companies that underwrite the risk of such transactions."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama and Vice President Biden will meet at 11:30 a.m. ET with NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen. Obama and Vice President Biden will meet at 4:30 p.m. ET with Secretary of Defense Robert Gates.
Creigh Deeds, the Democratic candidate for governor of Virginia, is bringing out a big gun in his efforts to turn around his narrow deficit in the polls: Sen. Mark Warner, a former governor and the single most popular Democrat in the state, and who is starring in Deeds' newest ad.
"The choice in this election for Governor is really pretty simple," says Warner, who won a landslide Senate victory in 2008. "Do we move Virginia forward by continuing the pro-business economic policies that I helped put in place, or do we go backwards with the failed economic approach that ruined our economy?"
The ad hits on several main themes of the Deeds campaign. It presents Deeds as a moderate, centrist Virginia Democrat, and casts that he's in the same mold as the popular Warner. Furthermore, it ties Republican nominee Bob McDonnell to the legacy of the Bush administration -- which was so unpopular, it helped drive Virginia to the Democratic column last year, for the first time in 44 years.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (1) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)There was never much doubt about this, but just to make it official, Sen. Paul Kirk (D-MA) does indeed support a public option.
"Senator Kirk believes there should be a public option to keep costs down and keep insurance companies honest," says his spokesman, Keith Maley. "[D]uring his short service in the United States Senate, he looks forward to seeing what can be done to reach that goal."
It comes as no surprise, of course, that a Massachusetts Democrat replacing Ted Kennedy supports a public option. But this demonstrates that, with Kennedy's seat filled, the 60th vote for health care reform won't necessarily belong to public option skeptic Olympia Snowe--and the question of a public option is technically one for Democrats to answer alone.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (9) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)A lot of the most pressing political questions about health care reform will soon be answered, and reformers and pols alike are grappling with the fact that Democrats now have enough votes to pass a public option without any Republican votes.
"Hopefully when push comes to shove, Democrats will support a strong public option, and do the right thing," said Jacki Schechner of the reform campaign Health Care for America Now.
"We're in a good spot right now," added Schechner. "We'll see where we are after tomorrow.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (22) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)A new Rasmussen poll of California finds that of the two Democratic candidates for governor, state Attorney General Jerry Brown and San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, Brown is currently much more electable than Newsom.
The poll tested Brown, who was himself governor in the 1970's and early 1980's, leads all three Republicans: Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman, state Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner, and former Rep. Tom Campbell. Newsom, on the other hand, trails all three Republicans -- though the pollster's analysis suggests that this could change if Newsom were to actually win the nomination, given the state's Democratic leanings.
A new Gallup poll appears to confirm something that we've all somewhat known for a while: Americans are more tuned into politics now than at any time in recent memory.
As the graph below shows, the number of Americans saying they follow national politics "very closely" increased to a high of 43% last year, in the middle of the election, and has now declined slightly to 36%. It's obviously to be expected that political attention would fall after an election year, but look closely at the numbers. This year's number of 36% is equal to the 2004 election year number.

The public option-stakes will continue this week, with most eyes on the developments in the Finance Committee. But on the other side of the Hill, progressives continue to insist that, whatever happens in the Senate, one chamber still insists that health care legislation include a public option.
In a new op-ed, Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-AZ), co-chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus blasts the proposal written by Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) saying it's "all about the insurance industry's bottom line: no teeth in enforcements and regulations, endless patent hoarding for the pharmaceutical industry and laws that rein in citizens to pay these industries the largest transfer of wealth in history," and adding that a bill without a public option would be "unacceptable".
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)The Club For Growth is now officially throwing a monkey wrench into Republican efforts to hold on in the NY-23 special election, endorsing Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman and denouncing the regular GOP nominee.
The Club's press release presents Hoffman as the real conservative in the race -- and says that Republican nominee Dede Scozzafava is no different from the Democratic candidate:
Hoffman, a certified public accountant and managing partner at a Lake Placid accounting firm, has sworn-off Congressional earmarks and pledged to oppose all tax increases if elected - a clear distinction among the candidates in this three-way contest. In fact, Scozzafava and Democrat Bill Owens both favor higher taxes, bigger government, and more spending, including President Obama's failed "stimulus" package and big labor's odious "Card Check" bill.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (4) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC) seems to be taking an interesting approach in the aftermath of his "You lie!" outburst during President Obama's speech to Congress: On the one hand he wants to put it all behind him -- and on the other hand, he does seem to be enjoying the limelight and the support of Republican activists.
Here's a report from the Beauford Gazette, of a Wilson visit to a local Republican event:
U.S. Rep. Joe Wilson told members of the Hilton Head Island Republican Club on Sunday that he wants to "close the book on things that have happened in the past" -- hinting at his outburst during President Barack Obama's speech to Congress on health care reform -- and instead focus on health care and other issues facing the nation.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (5) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
...
Wilson handed out "Let's Go Joe" stickers, while club members circled around and showered him with support. Many noted the array of signs for him at recent rallies and at the TEA Party March on Washington on Sept. 12.
He said that among his personal favorites were signs that said, "Joe Wilson, the Truth Tzar."
Two telling indicators suggest that, despite a true 60 vote majority, the public option may nonetheless face an uphill climb in the Senate. On Friday, during a tele-townhall, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told an audience of constituents that he thinks a "triggered" public option is a "pretty doggone good idea"--not as good as a robust public option, but better than the private co-op proposal that for a time was regarded as a likely compromise between Democrats, who support a public option, and Republicans, who do not support health care reform.
Today, citing anonymous Democratic sources, the New York Times reports that Reid will likely not include a public option in a final legislative proposal when he merges the Finance and HELP committee bills.
Officially, Reid says it's too early to have decided what will and will not be included in the package he introduces on the Senate floor--the public option will get more than one vote in the Finance Committee this week, and only if it fails (as is expected) will Reid have to decide whether to incorporate it from the HELP bill, or to drop it.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (28) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley, the early frontrunner in the special election for Ted Kennedy's Senate seat, is set to roll out support from prominent women political activists this week.
Coakley has scheduled a press conference for this Wednesday at 10 a.m. ET, accompanied by: EMILY's List president Ellen Malcolm, state Senate President Therese Murray, Massachusetts Women's Political Caucus executive director Sheila Capone-Wulsin, and female elected officials from across Massachusetts.
The other candidates in the December 8 Democratic primary are Rep. Mike Capuano, businessman Steve Pagliuca, and community activist Alan Khazei. Coakley is the only woman in the race.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) appeared late last week on Neil Cavuto's show on the Fox Business Channel, to voice her objection to the political culture of economic bailouts -- and to demonstrate her ability with street slang.
"Again, I hope the United States will not be the leader for government control of not only just the national institutions, but of non-financial institutions as well," said Bachmann. "We won't be the leader anymore in the world if we dis free-market capitalism."
"Dis capitalism," Cavuto responded. "I like the way you phrase that."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (21) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio, the insurgent conservative candidate in the Republican primary for Senate in 2010, is finding his voice as an anti-establishment candidate.
Rubio spoke to a local Republican audience in Panama City, and talked about his uphill fight against moderate Gov. Charlie Crist, who has the support of the GOP establishment. "If you are unhappy with the Republican establishment, then let's get a new establishment," he said.
Rubio also discussed why he's running, saying that the only good reason to run for office is "something wrong in the world that you want to fix or something right in the world that you want to protect."
Of course, Rubio's chance to "get a new establishment" is still pretty low -- a Quinnipiac poll from last month gave Crist a lead of 55%-26%. But for now, Rubio's language reflects an awareness of the situation -- and the sort of things that die-hard party activists like to hear.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)The Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Democracy for America have launched the below ad in Montana and Washington, D.C., hitting Senate Finance Committee chairman Max Baucus for blocking a public option from his health care reform bill.
The ad is the latest in a bid to personalize the politics of the public option. Last week, the two groups targeted Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) for opposing a public option with a similar ad.
Tomorrow, the Finance Committee will resume consideration of reform legislation, and have a chance to vote on a number of public option amendments, including one, authored by Snowe, that would affix the public option to a "trigger mechanism"--a plan viewed with suspicion by most reformers.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)WaPo: GOP Faces Role Reversal On Medicare
The Washington Post reports that Republicans have found themselves in an odd position on Medicare -- the party that usually seeks cuts in the program is now denouncing proposed reductions, and even the medical industry isn't supporting them. "In terms of this deal, we are better off. And, also, it's the right thing to do," said Charles Kahn, president of the Federation of American Hospitals, and who is also the man behind the "Harry and Louise" ads of 1994.
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama does not have any public events scheduled for today. He will receive the presidential daily briefing at 10:15 a.m. ET, and will meet with senior advisers at 10:35 a.m. ET.
Obama: World Leaders Don't Understand The American Right's Hitler References
President Obama spoke last night to the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation's annual dinner, and he discussed an amusing moment with an unnamed world leader at the G-20: "One of the leaders -- I won't mention who it was -- he comes up to me. We take the picture, we go behind. He says, 'Barack, explain to me this health care debate.' He says, 'We don't understand it. You're trying to make sure everybody has health care and they're putting a Hitler mustache on you -- I don't -- that doesn't make sense to me. Explain that to me.'"
Bill Clinton: Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy Not As Strong, "But It's As Virulent As It Was" In the 1990's
Appearing on Meet The Press, former President Bill Clinton said that the "vast right-wing conspiracy" of the 1990's is still there: "It's not as strong as it was, because America's changed demographically, but it's as virulent as it was. I mean, they're saying things about him--you know, it's like when they accused me of murder and all that stuff they did. He--but it's not really good for the Republicans and the country, what's going on now. I mean, they may be hurting President Obama. They can take his numbers down, they can run his opposition up. But fundamentally, he and his team have a positive agenda for America. Their agenda seems to be wanting him to fail, and that's not a prescription for a good America."