If you're keeping score on the question of passing health care reforms as part of a filibuster-proof budget reconciliation bill, then you know that Democratic leaders in the Senate see it as an absolute last resort; and you know that if they go there, then they don't plan to test the limits of Senate rules along the way. The latter means that the reforms themselves would be subject to a number of arcane procedural tricks that could leave the legislation with some serious holes in it, and Democrats would either have to fill those holes separately, in a regular bill, or cross their fingers and hope things work out OK in the end anyhow. Meanwhile, liberal activists are pretty miffed that Democrats aren't at least threatening to use the process as aggressively as they can, and that's both widening the inter-party rift and leaving the party's legislative efforts without much support from the base.
That way lies the potential for a number of problems, both within the fractured Democratic coalition and for the substance of reform itself.
But if and when the governor of Massachusetts appoints a temporary replacement for Ted Kennedy, there will suddenly be a simpler and more elegant way around this impasse. That is, if only Democrats can stay united against a GOP health care filibuster.
Even if this meant passing a purely partisan bill, this would be the Democrats' preference. "We can get more done through a 60 vote bill than through reconciliation," says a Senate Democratic leadership aide.
After Arlen Specter switched parties, but before Ted Kennedy passed away, this idea had gained traction among liberals and party leaders alike. Behind the scenes, Democrats were pressuring the conservatives in their party to stand united on procedural votes. And in public, progressives--most notably Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)--were making the case to the base.
Of course, the strategy's always been a tough sell to the Ben Nelsons and Mary Landrieus of the party, who would be giving up much of their leverage by agreeing in advance to vote for cloture on a health care bill. But reformers and party leaders are in agreement on the the idea, and it's in some ways such a no-brainer that, once Massachusetts acts, it will get a second look.

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LuxVeritas
September 21, 2009 8:33 PM
Um, Lieberman is the one you have to worry about voting for a filibuster. I would worry much less about Nelson or Landrieus, they actually have political futures. Lieberman does not, and he seems to love nothing more than plunging that knife into the Dems' backs.
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Walter Mitty
September 21, 2009 8:56 PM
This doesn't matter. I'm beginning to think it's all political theater - that the Dems could get the party line vote if they wanted it, but they don't want it. I think Biden's remarks today give us a real glimpse into the strategy of the White House strategy on this.
If the Dems can pass a partisan line bill and don't that will take away a huge campaign point from the GOP. The Dems showed restraint and made sure to get at least one Republican vote even though they didn't need to, they didn't just pass a Democrat bill and didn't use budget reconciliation to pass a far left progressive bill.
This is also why the GOP is really pressuring Sen. Snowe here. They know that her vote is not needed, virtually meaningless outside of giving the Dems political cover. They have 60 seats in the Senate and a strong majority in the House.
When the Mass. Senator is sat you have to ask yourself why they are working Snowe instead of Lieberman and the ConservaDem hold-outs?
I wonder if Lieberman is playing to the right of Snowe here out of strategy.
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mcc
September 21, 2009 9:13 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
In 14 months the populace will remember whether the health care bill passed or not, and they will remember what's in it. They will not remember whether the health care bill passed with one Republican vote or zero Republican votes. If "bipartisanship" becomes an issue in the campaign they won't remember Democratic strategy for navigating Senate procedure, they will remember Joe Wilson screaming "you lie". The things you describe are very inside baseball, there's this ritual we do on the blogs of pulling up the roll call on Thomas and checking who the crossover votes were but I don't think that's something the general populace pays a whole lot of attention to. The Democratic leadership might have any number of valid reasons for pursuing "at least one Republican vote" but if they actually think that these insider-y procedural questions are going to make a difference in any upcoming election, then they are being very foolish.
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theone718
September 22, 2009 7:09 PM in reply to mcc
BINGO, off the top of your head how many Repubs voted for Medicare...Exactly..
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bluebell
September 21, 2009 10:16 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Yes, the strategy that always assumes the "far left" will vote for the folks who just screwed them once again so that they'll have more opportunities after 2010 to screw us some more.
Maybe we should just join Bernie's party and be as far left as we like.
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spencer_f
September 21, 2009 9:40 PM
Brian, I think you mean "intra-party rift."
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gharlane
September 21, 2009 11:46 PM in reply to spencer_f
Thank you. Brian did that twice today.
Brian's reporting is okay, sort of, usually. But the English language isn't exactly his strong suit.
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Smooth Jazz
September 22, 2009 4:45 AM in reply to gharlane
Yet TPM chooses to put him on their payroll and not you. Perhaps your low regard for Brian in your mind and the low station you occupy in real life is an example of you delusional thought process.
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gharlane
September 23, 2009 4:35 PM in reply to Smooth Jazz
Still starved for attention, I see, and still smarting from getting pwned elsewhere in the threads. As the comments get more personal and further off topic, your credibility circles the drain closer and closer, faster and faster....
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Smooth Jazz
September 24, 2009 12:54 AM in reply to gharlane
I see you're projecting your personal failings again: stalking others and calling them wanting attention, avoiding political arguments and accusing others of doing the same. Yes, your hypocrisy knows no bounds.
Aside from this, given that you think so poorly of the blog author, but TPM has put him on their staff and not you, what does that say about you? Perhaps your skills are more suited to flipping burgers than political commentary?
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Smooth Jazz
September 22, 2009 4:43 AM
Thank you Brian for acknowledging that there is an enormous amount of day light between liberal Democrats and Blue Dogs, as well as acknowledging that reconciliation is a minefield where any public option bill that was sent through it would be sniped and obstructed to death by the rules of the Senate. A little dose of reality is refreshing.
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theone718
September 22, 2009 7:07 PM
"Voting with Republicans to filibuster the Democratic Health care bill" That just sounds so wrong. This is so obvious shame on he damn Dem who would go against this.
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hollywood
September 23, 2009 2:27 AM
Well I keep thinking Lieberman. That asshole must smell his opportunity to screw us all like he tried to do in the election. He is a HUGE insurance whore from way back. His equally religious wife is a paid insurance whore too as I understand. Look out ......
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