I just spoke with Massachusetts state Sen. Bruce Tarr, the assistant Republican leader, and he told me that if the bill to provide for a temporary appointment to Ted Kennedy's Senate seat passes tomorrow, there could be plenty of room for legal challenges -- and a lot is riding on the final enactment votes tomorrow.
I asked Tarr whether Massachusetts Republicans would themselves file lawsuits, and he did not specifically say as much. However, he laid out scenarios under which other citizens of Massachusetts could potentially bring legal action.
One big issue, Tarr explained, is that this bill has been designated as an emergency law, in order to have it take effect immediately. Normally, under the state constitution, laws can only take effect after 90 days, which would defeat the purpose of the immediate appointment. However, an emergency law also requires a two-thirds vote within the legislature in order to pass -- and in the votes that have been held so far, it was only 97-58 in the House, and 24-16 in the Senate.
It's possible that Gov. Deval Patrick may try to invoke a section of the constitution that enables the governor to declare an emergency and enact the law anyway, without necessarily having the two-thirds majorities. But Tarr argues that this only applies to bills that are being subjected to a referendum, which is not being done for this act. If the legislature doesn't end up voting by two thirds, and Patrick were to try to act in such a manner, Tarr said there could be an opening for a lawsuit. "There are a lot of unanswered questions," said Tarr. "But what there is, is a will to take action if the governor were to violate the law with a letter declaring that this is an emergency."
And if the Dems were to get the two-thirds majorities, the Dems might still not be out of the woods. I asked Tarr about the argument I'd previously been given from Minority Leader Richard Tisei -- that the law is potentially unconstitutional on its face, for interfering with a legal matter where the Senate vacancy has already occurred, and the law providing for a special election without an appointment has already been triggered.
"I believe it's an untested area of the law in these specific circumstances, but I think you could make a colorable claim that we are dealing with an ex post facto law," said Tarr. "I would give you a caveat that ex post facto law generally deals with criminal law and not civil law."
That said, Tarr does see this situation as sufficiently ambiguous that it would merit examination by a court if an ex post facto challenge were made.
So let's all keep an eye on the votes in the legislature tomorrow, to see if any Dems who have opposed the law up until now end up switching and bringing it over the two-thirds margin. And eitherw ay, let's keep a close eye on any lawsuits that might get filed.

TPM Stories Now Surging on Digg.com

Matt Jones
September 22, 2009 7:03 PM
If it's constitutional to pass an after-the-fact immunity for Big Telco, this shouldn't be a problem. Any Repubs feel like exposing their spying buddies to prosecution?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
merlot
September 22, 2009 7:52 PM
Yes, ex post facto applies to criminal laws as it is a matter of due process. As to the other issues raised, supra, there does not appear to be enough MA case law (based oa Lexis search) for a court to grant a TR. Hence, an appointment would be made and a case would wind itself through the court system until it becomes moot on 1/19/10. At the point the case becomes moot, the case would be dismissed. In addition, Tarr does not mention that finding someone with standing to sue is a difficult hurdle at best. Standing requires the plaintiff be able to show SPECIFIC & ACTUAL injury. In this situation, that would be difficult. Indeed, this will be interesting to watch.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
davidotwo
September 22, 2009 8:13 PM
What a mess.
The legislature should just be able to elect a replacement in the first place. But this all should have been worked out a long time ago. It's not like nobody expected Kennedy's absence would be a problem in the future, even if they couldn't be sure when.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
davidotwo
September 22, 2009 8:18 PM in reply to davidotwo
They could have even done it this way when Romney was governor, ensuring that the interim replacement decision more closely reflected the popular (i.e. Democratic) will, rather than just removing the possibility of an interim replacement.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
_jonny_5_
September 22, 2009 8:28 PM in reply to davidotwo
hindsight is 20/20...
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
kenga
September 22, 2009 8:50 PM in reply to _jonny_5_
Yep.
Still, if there's a valid constitutional issue, it's got to be addressed or respected.
Otherwise, there's a lot of other stuff that's no longer as established as we all thought it was.
(Speaking strictly for MA, in this case.)
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
slb
September 23, 2009 2:04 AM in reply to davidotwo
I think I've mentioned Larry Sabato's A More Perfect Constitution here before. In it, one suggestion he has for reform would be to allow each Senator to designate a list of some specified number of potential replacements, should anything happen to prevent him/her from being able to complete a term, and then the governor would have to choose a replacement from the designated list of candidates, replacement to serve until a special election can be held. Spouses and immediate family members could not be included on the replacement list.
That would allow the Senator himself to designate a successor that he felt would be most likely to carry his agenda forward until the electorate has a chance to choose a replacement themselves, it would eliminate most of the politicking that goes on in the choice of replacement, and it eliminates the scenario that a governor of a different party could put someone in the seat that would vote in a way completely opposite of the Senator that had actually been elected.
Had that rule been in place in this case, it would have eliminated this whole circus.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Lorne Guyland
September 23, 2009 2:18 AM in reply to slb
To ask the obvious question:
Wouldn't "should anything happen" include, for instance, voter recall or Senate removal-for-cause; or just resigning in disgrace? I don't think there's a perfect solution; I think what may emerge in MA - quick interim "emergency" appointment, followed by an early special election - may make the most sense overall.The key question for me is: Is it constitutional to legally prohibit the interim appointee from running in the special???
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
AdAbsurdum
September 22, 2009 8:14 PM
This is the Republican way of reciprocating with the Massachussetts Democrats, who abstained from challenging Mitt Romney's questionable residency status when he ran for governor.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
oblio
September 23, 2009 1:32 AM
Give me a break. Not even Politico is "concerned" about the politics of how Gov. Deval Patrick will get to appoint an interim Senator for the next three or four months. (apparently, Politico is rooting for Dukakis to be Kennedy's replacement). The people interested in being obstructionist or in filing these lawsuits simply do not have enough time on hand to be successful. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0909/27445.html
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Kuyleh
September 23, 2009 2:16 AM
So, in other words, since it won't be a Rethuglican put in, they're gonna throw a hissy fit and stall. Typical.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
jason everett miller
September 23, 2009 6:26 AM in reply to Kuyleh
Typical democratic response - if the laws don't suit your needs, just change them until they do. Sounds a lot like the Bush years, so at least I know what to look forward to now.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
sdhays
September 23, 2009 7:30 AM in reply to jason everett miller
Actually, the Bush years were characterized by finding some two-bit lawyer to write a memo declaring a law doesn't mean what it says it means.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
jason everett miller
September 23, 2009 7:33 AM in reply to sdhays
That was a tactic as well, as were lengthy signing statements.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
wickning1
September 23, 2009 9:12 AM in reply to jason everett miller
Health care laws don't suit my needs. Am I allowed to change them? Or is the current state of the books too sacred to mess with?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
jason everett miller
September 23, 2009 5:05 PM in reply to wickning1
It's all about the votes, but we are really talking about two totally different legislative efforts. Not reforming health care will certainly impact way more Americans negatively than an empty senate seat in Massachusetts until January.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
wickning1
September 24, 2009 9:19 AM in reply to jason everett miller
Seeing as how health care passage may depend on it, they seem like exactly the same impact to me.
If I live in MA right now, I sure as hell want my representation in the senate asap. If it's legal, my state rep better get it done.
Think of it another way. How many laws are passed years in advance of the counter-example that proves current laws are broken? Is every legislative response to a recent stimulus cynical?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
jason everett miller
September 24, 2009 1:38 PM in reply to wickning1
If health care passage relies on a single vote, which it really doesn't given the make-up of the democratic party, then I would suggest the effort has already failed.
In this particular case, the democratic party in Massachusetts passed a law to prevent this sort of thing when it was to their best interests and changed the law when it no longer did.
Legal? Perhaps. Hypocritical? Certainly.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Swift63
September 23, 2009 8:44 AM
Actually, what they've wound up with is pretty good. An interim Senator appointed by the Governor and an election quickly afterwards. I think the concern that this Republican has for the strict adherence to the law is, well, touching.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?