The new survey of North Carolina by Public Policy Polling (D) continues to show that Sen. Richard Burr is on shaky ground, with very low approval ratings -- but nevertheless, he is still able to lead potential 2010 Democratic opponents for now.
Burr's approval rating is only 38%, which would usually be considered abysmal for an incumbent. Interestingly, his disapproval is only 32%, with a whopping 29% undecided. Burr leads a generic Democrat by 45%-38%, and has various leads over named Democrats. For example, he leads Sec. of State Elaine Marshall -- who recently filed paperwork to create a campaign committee, but has not yet formally announced a candidacy -- by 42%-31%.
It's not that he's unpopular -- it's that in the time since he was first elected in 2004, he has thus far failed to actually make an impression on the voters.
The pollster's analysis suggests that the outlook for this race could depend on the national climate: "Burr's standing has improved a little bit as the climate has gotten worse for Democrats nationally but if Barack Obama's approval starts heading back in the right direction this race has the potential to be a toss up."
PPP communications director Tom Jensen points out to me that GOP Sen. Elizabeth Dole had a 48% approval rating at this point in 2007, and led Democrat Kay Hagan by 43%-27%. Hagan won that race by 53%-44%, in a Democratic wave. "Burr's current leads are pretty flimsy and due largely to low name recognition of his potential opponents," says Jensen.

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ttarleton
September 11, 2009 1:59 PM
I live in NC, and I can't wait to boot Burr out on his ass! First Elizabeth Dole - and how satisfying that was! Now this lockstep rightwing schmuck. We deserve better, and we shall have it!
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
September 11, 2009 2:14 PM
Burr used to be thought of as being relatively sane, as NC Republicans go, but his response to Obama winning the state and Liddy getting canned has been to move further and further right. He's basically betting the whole farm on there being no economic recovery in this state and/or upon only angry teabaggers turning out for the midterms.
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markg8
September 11, 2009 3:09 PM
If Burr wants to get his name rec up I suggest he start bragging about the number of female lobbyists he's bedded or get caught in a prostitution sting. Or claim he shot Alexander Hamilton. Voters will start to notice him for something other than being the easily frightened victim of practical jokes.
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trblmkr
September 12, 2009 4:43 PM in reply to markg8
Wiki:"Burr's father claims he is a 12th cousin of Aaron Burr."
Aaron Burr, the original secessionist.
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markg8
September 12, 2009 8:14 PM in reply to trblmkr
Well that means he's distantly related to Gore Vidal and Al Gore too.
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OscarSpinone
September 11, 2009 3:11 PM
This NC Senate seat is weird. Nobody has held it for more than one term since Sam Ervin retired in 1974. One incumbent even committed suicide. The seat has bounced from one party to the other in every election. We'll see if Burr can beat the bad mojo of 36 years.
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markg8
September 11, 2009 5:13 PM in reply to OscarSpinone
Well it's been obvious to me for a long time that the seat is haunted.
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TheGreenMiles
September 11, 2009 3:18 PM
I was at a happy hour on Capitol Hill last night and met a Senate staffer. Later, I was telling a friend, "I met a staffer from Sen. Byrd's office ..." He interrupted and said, "Byrd or Burr?" I said, "There's a Sen. Burr? Oh, yeah. You're right. Totally forgot about him." So this story doesn't exactly surprise me.
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GWMustGo
September 11, 2009 4:02 PM
Although he was the junior Senator to a big name Senator (Dole), his approval rating is not low for the reasons stated in this article. He really is a poor Senator.
He walked lock-step with the Bush Administration, constantly cheerleading any and all directives that came out of the Rove PR office - including repeating GOP talking points verbatim. He pushed for all of Bush's spending plans and tax breaks that came up, but tried to halt any actions to decrease the damage of those ill-conceived plans.
And the main reason NC residents hold him in such low regard? Health Care. He is pushing his own health care bill while decrying how horrible the Democratic plan is. What is his plan? Let's keep doing what we are doing, maybe give a tax break for health care - including to those who make hundreds of thousands of dollars annually. Oh, and guess which NC politician has received more money from the health care industry? If you guess "Burr", you are correct.
Elizabeth Dole was fired for being a political whore. I hope we can fire Richard Burr for the same reason.
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Hechicera
September 11, 2009 10:55 PM in reply to GWMustGo
I'll second health care. His staffer is pleasant, but Burr's positions are not helpful.
You think Richard Petty or Burr have better name recognition?
I'm an independent (in NC btw), but some of my Republican friends in NC last time voted libertarian in some races. Not because they lean that way, they were just absolutely sick of the Republicans and couldn't bring themselves to vote for a Democrat.
I hope the Republican's don't primary him with a birther, teabagger type. That would be annoying. At least Burr hasn't been encouraging them like DeMint next door.
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tosh
September 11, 2009 4:35 PM
We've long known that Burr has issues in NC. The problem has been getting a strong candidate to run against him. Elaine Marshall, as Eric said, just all-but-announced.
She has a shot. The state is less hardcore GOP than folks think.
John
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thisniss
September 11, 2009 5:51 PM in reply to tosh
Anyone who still thinks NC is "hardcore Republican" must have been comatose last November. The Dems dominated in an election cycle that gave new meaning to "Carolina blue." And while we do still have some of the most horrible Reps in our delegation (Foxx, McHenry), and an always troublesome Blue Dog in Shuler, we have also always had some extremely liberal members, too, like Mel Watts and (my Rep) David Price. The US Senate has always been NC's reddest institution, especially during the Helms era. The state as a whole, however, has always, always been a mixed polity.
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theone718
September 11, 2009 8:03 PM
All we needed was a candidate. We can definitely take this seat by 2010. Just cause the climate is bad now doesn't mean it won't be going way up in 2010 with HC passed and the economy imporving anlong with jobs being created.
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alsek
September 11, 2009 8:28 PM
Richard Burr was also the guy who bragged that he told his wife during last fall's banking crisis to "withdraw as much money as you can from the ATM". Th guy has got to be replaced. Elaine Marshalarh Cl has a shot. North Carolina is just getting bluer.
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alsek
September 11, 2009 8:29 PM
Sorry - Elaine Marshall has a shot. She just announced this week.
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ruddyoak
September 12, 2009 9:37 PM
Ken Lewis, a relatively young African-American from Durham has filed. He's a partner at the state's biggest corporate law firm, but has a pretty solid record of progressive community involvement. If he can get some media traction, he could make it interesting. He's rumored to have some Harvard connection with the President.
Mel Watt is a true liberal, but Elaine Marshall and most of the elected dems from bev perdue, Roy Cooper, and on down are hardly deserving of the moniker. They control state government, but you can't tell.
David Price would soon declare himself a Vulcan if enough people in Chapel Hill were seen to have pointy ears...
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