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Poll: Arkansas Voters Disagree With Lincoln's Public Option Skepticism

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Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR)

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The trend continues: a new Research 2000 poll, commissioned by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democracy for America, finds that a Democrat from a red state may not be doing herself any favors by standing in the way of a public option.

The poll asked Arkansans "Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?"

The findings are in line with other statewide and national polls that find the public option to be broadly popular. 56 favor, 37 oppose.

Lincoln's approval numbers still suffer, but the poll also suggests she won't be doing herself any favors if she opposes health care reform on the grounds that the legislation includes a public option.

"If Blanche Lincoln voted against a strong public health insurance option as part of health care reform, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for her in the 2010 Democratic primary election or would it have no real effect on your vote?" the survey asked.

Only 11 percent said they'd be more likely to vote for her for obstructing the public option. By contrast 46 percent said they'd be less likely to vote for her, and 43 percent said such a move would have no impact on their decision.

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October 30, 2009 10:31 AM   

Did anyone poll her major campaign contributors? That's the real number she cares about.

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October 30, 2009 10:33 AM   

"Only 11 percent said they'd be more likely to vote for her for obstructing the public option.."

And those "11%" were actually Republicans who will NEVER vote for her, lying through their $20,000 caps.

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October 30, 2009 10:39 AM    in reply to JEP07

Bingo. I'm surprised it's only 11%. Blanche is in danger of triangulating herself right out of a job. Given a choice between a Democrat who votes like a Republican and a real Republican, people will choose the real Republican every time.

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October 30, 2009 11:34 AM    in reply to JEP07

Yea U gotta love it when McConnell and Boehner threaten Dems with defeat if they don't block Health Care Reform.


I think advice like that, from friends like that, if I were Blanche.....

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October 30, 2009 11:31 AM   

I won’t try to psychoanalyze the “naysayers,” as Mr. Orszag describes them. I’d just urge them to take a good hard look in the mirror. If they really want to align themselves with the hard-line conservatives, if they just want to kill health reform, so be it. But they shouldn’t hide behind claims that they really, truly would support health care reform if only it were better designed.

For this is the moment of truth.
The political environment is as favorable for reform as it’s likely to get. The legislation on the table isn’t perfect, but it’s as good as anyone could reasonably have expected. History is about to be made — and everyone has to decide which side they’re on.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/30/opinion/30krugman.html?hp

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October 30, 2009 1:41 PM   

Blanche may be toast, regardless of her vote on health care. No doubt somebody in the medical arena is offering her a job right now, in exchange for her vote.

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rwc

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October 30, 2009 1:44 PM   

This poll shows once again what the public really wants, a Medicare-like option available to everyone. It also shows how dissappointed the public will be when whatever plan passes doesn't even come close to that goal.
None of the plans under consideration will offer whatever PO passes to more than a tiny minority of Americans. When the public finally figures that out, the Dems are going to have hell to pay.
Wynden's plan to offer the exchange to all Americans, not just the uninsured and very small busineses, is the only thing that could really gain public support and also, really start to control costs.

The way it is set up now, the PO is actually going to be more expensive than private plans, just like Medicare, because it is mostly covering sicker people and not allowed to get a big enough swath of the general public to even out costs. The private insurers will keep the healthier people and pad their profits even more with all their new customers.

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October 30, 2009 3:21 PM    in reply to rwc

"Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan"?

You've got it partly right rwc, it won't be available to everyone and with a cost above private plans in 2019 it's gonna be a weak option with weak cost controls.

But cherry picking clients based on illness will be outlawed so insurance cos won't be able to saddle the PO with just the sick. We'll have to get it passed and then the HHS Sec will have to negotiate hard with providers on behalf of the PO, the other side of the tug of war over the dollars to be had out of medical care.

Is the CBO still refusing to factor in any savings for better health education and other changes? That may also figure into their scoring the PO consumer price higher.

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October 30, 2009 5:06 PM    in reply to rwc

(1)Risk adjustment procedures, stringently enforced (to offset the effects of 'adverse selection' - i.e. sicker patients ending up on the public option's rolls)
+
(2)the Wyden Amendment, expanding the risk pool for all insurers, private and public

...would go a long way in containing costs for consumers and level the playing field for all players.

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