Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid announced what we've been reporting today - the merged health care bill will include a public option allowing states to opt-out.
"Under this concept states will be able to determine whether the public option works best for them," Reid told reporters. He said it was the "fairest" way to go.
Reid (D-NV) said after "countless hours" of talking to his caucus, there is a "strong consensus" for this plan. He said he will not submit a plan with a triggered public option to the Congressional Budget Office.
"As we've gone through this process, I've concluded, with the support of the White House and Senators. Dodd and Baucus, that the best way to move forward is to include a public option with an opt out provision for states," Reid said.
Reid said he was "disappointed" the public option had "frightened" Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) but that he hoped she would "come back."
"I spoke to Olympia on Friday...and at this stage she does not like the public option of any kind. And so, we'll have to move forward on this, and there will come a time I hope, where she sees the wisdom of supporting a health care bill," he said.
"We hope Olympia will come back, she's worked hard, she's a very good legislator," Reid added.
He also blasted Republicans, saying he can count the moderates in the GOP on "two fingers."
Reid said it had been "a great opportunity" to work with the White House and said he feels optimistic about overall health care reform because of "momentum" and the caucus consensus. But he wouldn't tell reporters if he had done a count that got him to the needed 60 votes to break a filibuster.
Reid said he is a "strong supporter" of the public option but that is is "not a silver bullet." He said it was a key way to ensure competition among insurers and "to level the playing field."
Today Reid implied that under the current bill, states will have until 2014 to opt out of the government plan.
He also said "there will be a co-op in this bill."
In the next several hours, Reid will send the CBO a draft bill with alternative provisions on certain issues, to get a range of cost estimates on the plan he'll bring to the floor.
Late update: The White House issued a response that President Obama is "pleased" public option included. Reid said he hasn't asked Obama to make calls yet.
Also, we clipped the video of Reid's presser.
Additional reporting by Brian Beutler.

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El Puerco
October 26, 2009 3:30 PM
I cannot believe I am saying this. Harry Reid did good!
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mans_best_friend
October 26, 2009 3:35 PM in reply to El Puerco
This is the easy part. Corralling the votes is harder. Still, I doubt very much that he would go this far out on a limb without being pretty sure he has the votes.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
October 26, 2009 3:38 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
I have yet to hear anyone express confidence that he does. But that's why the call it "all in."
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JeffB
October 26, 2009 7:17 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
.
Would Red States opt out of government-sponsored insurance plan?
http://www.youpolls.com/details.asp?pid=6366
.
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margaret
October 26, 2009 7:48 PM in reply to JeffB
of course not.
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_jonny_5_
October 26, 2009 3:44 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
He probably put it to the caucus this way...
"With the PO you may lose some moderate to conservative voters in 2010, but without you WILL lose your base voters"
Its been a slow and steady crawl to that realization, but that is the bottom line on HCR.
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El Puerco
October 26, 2009 3:49 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
I think he has the votes. Harry Reid, despite being from Nevada, is not a gambler!
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aikbay
October 26, 2009 4:36 PM in reply to El Puerco
I have a procedural question about the need for 60 votes. Are filibusters not voted on by Biden? Any of the TPM folks know the answer to this question?
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Xantar
October 26, 2009 4:40 PM in reply to aikbay
They are not voted on by Biden. The Constitution provides a role for the Vice President only in the event of an exact tie in the Senate on a piece of legislation. He does not cast votes or procedural matters nor does he have any role to play when the margin is anything other than 50-50.
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3star2nr
October 26, 2009 8:51 PM in reply to aikbay
The Vice president can only vote when there is a 50/50 split.
The next play the republicans will try is a filibuster. Reid needs to threaten any one who votes with the republicans on a fillibuster, that he will remove their chairmanships (Lieberman and nelson) and he will run candidates against them next election.
If it goes to the vote and doesnt get 60 votes it will go to reconciliation. And the republicans will need 60 votes to pull it out of the bill. And all the dems will need to pass it is 51 votes.
So the votes ARE there
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Tamarat
October 26, 2009 4:09 PM in reply to El Puerco
Yes he did. And it's pretty ironic that groups (which I supported) had to shift from ads pushing Reid to support a public option to ads pushing the White House to support a public option!
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A Missouri voter
October 26, 2009 4:12 PM in reply to El Puerco
I know exactly what you mean. I am astounded to find myself thinking it, but I am really pleased and impressed with Sen Reid today.
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3star2nr
October 26, 2009 4:43 PM in reply to El Puerco
Holy crap Harry reid actually did something good. This is excellent news. The only chance the ins companies have now is to kill the bill altogether.
They cant take the public option out without 60 votes. And they dont have the votes to kill reform.
We just gotta pressure the blue dogs into submission now and embarrass the republicans
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Overreach THIS!
October 26, 2009 5:18 PM in reply to El Puerco
Any chance you perhaps should have done so before?
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El Puerco
October 26, 2009 3:30 PM
I particularly liked his willingness to tell Olympia Snowe to go fly a kite.
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mostman
October 26, 2009 3:32 PM
Co-ops too? Hmm...
It'll be interesting to read this 'merged' bill. I couldn't tell if he was saying that the bill will be sent to CBO within the next few hours or if it will return from the CBO. Could anyone else tell?
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fsudirectory
October 26, 2009 3:40 PM in reply to mostman
Hearing this co-op thing sorta concerns me, because as I was listening to the Sunday shows this morning, alot of the PO defenders seemed to be nudging towards some sort of co-op/po mashup (or at least thats how I sorta understood it).
Maybe they were talking about them separately and just sounded mashed, but idk, left me concerned
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theone718
October 26, 2009 6:00 PM in reply to fsudirectory
What's wrong with more competition. If Coops work then so be it, it's just MORE competition and LOWER prices.
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slb
October 26, 2009 6:43 PM in reply to theone718
Co-ops are a much weaker option, and state-level co-ops are not likely to do much to contain costs because they don't have the numbers to have real bargaining clout. But they might end up luring away states that are on the fence about whether or not to opt out of true the public option by giving legislators cover to vote against it.
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theone718
October 26, 2009 6:00 PM in reply to fsudirectory
Keep in mind this is the HELP Public Option, not the Schumer compromise one. So this is a STRONG PO that the American people will have a choice of.
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fsudirectory
October 27, 2009 2:54 PM in reply to theone718
My concern was related to the fact that some of the language sounded as if it was a merger between a PO and a CO-OP, which im not even sure is really possible or makes sense... its just how it sounded when discussed at times by the Senators working on it.
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izzatxeaux
October 26, 2009 3:46 PM in reply to mostman
he was sending it over to CBO "in the next few hours"
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Andreams
October 26, 2009 4:23 PM in reply to mostman
It sounded to me like he expected a response from them within a few hours. I wish they'd put it online - I want to see if they addressed age banding.
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randomname
October 26, 2009 3:33 PM
We need health insurance reform (throw the bums out! single payer). I'm flabbergasted that there are Dems who don't get that.
Still...I suppose this is better than what was dreaded & expected.
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Walter Mitty
October 26, 2009 3:33 PM
2014?!? So voters see no benefits and pissed off health insurance co's jack up premiums to help a Republican wave in 2010 and 2012?
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mostman
October 26, 2009 3:35 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
I think he was talking about how long states have to opt out. Like I said below, the whole timeline is confusing to me. Someone should draw a picture.
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Walter Mitty
October 26, 2009 3:36 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Maybe I misunderstood - it will become operational sooner, and States would have until 2014 to opt out before being forever locked in?
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KingElvis
October 26, 2009 5:32 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Dem reps are pushing for 2010 to, hopefully, get a boost in the election year.
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CT Voter
October 26, 2009 3:36 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Where are you getting that date from?
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mostman
October 26, 2009 3:45 PM in reply to CT Voter
Reid was asked "how does the opt out work - how long will states have to opt out?" (which seemed like an odd question) - his answer: "2014".
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mostman
October 26, 2009 3:34 PM
I wonder what timeline they used in this bill. 2012 PO - or earlier than that...
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mans_best_friend
October 26, 2009 3:38 PM in reply to mostman
Something this big and complex takes time. I expect it will be a phase-in. They want very much to have something tangible to point to before next year's election, so at least a part of it will take effect quickly.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 4:35 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
that sounds about right to me. aside from the PO though, new regulation to stop cherry picking will go into effect very quickly. that alone will have a huge positive impact and be a real winner politically.
Republicans failing to back healthcare reform will have a hard sell to moderates.
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traitorjoe
October 26, 2009 3:34 PM
But we need to change everything to suit Olympia Snowe! She won the national election for President, Healthcare Czar and Prima Donna Supreme.
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twirling fartknocker
October 26, 2009 3:36 PM
If this passes, I can't wait to see which states race to opt out first.
Perhaps we'll turn a few red states blue within a couple years of that bit of anti-human showmanship.
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dswx
October 26, 2009 3:41 PM in reply to twirling fartknocker
Virginia will be among the first to opt out, I bet. Regardless of who wins the governorship.
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Schmed- ley
October 26, 2009 3:53 PM in reply to dswx
My money's on SC.
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aikbay
October 26, 2009 4:33 PM in reply to Schmed- ley
May surprise you and end up being Minnaysotah because Pawlenty is trying to earn his stripes from the nutcase wing of his party and his state happens to have a very high insured rate. Ofcourse, I wouldn't be surprised if its Utah,Alaska,Alabama or Mississippi with Haley Barbour being mentioned as a 2012 candidate for prez.
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slb
October 26, 2009 6:53 PM in reply to dswx
No, I think Deeds would probably veto a vote to opt out of the plan, in spite of what he said in a recent debate. But I don't expect Deeds to win, and I do think there is a distinct possibility that the legislature could vote to opt out. (Much depends on the state Senate; the Republicans in the Senate tend to be more reasonable than the kamikaze Republicans in the House.)
It would be nice, though, to think that they'd stop and consider that 14,000 families lined up to be treated at a 3-day free clinic in Wise County in July, and that the counties of rural southern and western Virginia have the highest rates of lack of health insurance and of age-adjusted mortality in the state. And they also happen to constitute the state's stronghold of Republican voters.
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Matt Jones
October 26, 2009 7:53 PM in reply to slb
Why should the Republicans think about the poor, uninsured voters that keep electing them? They've been pissing on those folks for years while telling them it was raining; why stop now?
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slb
October 27, 2009 2:13 AM in reply to Matt Jones
Well, that would certainly be par for the course for those guys, but you can't blame me for wishing it might turn out otherwise!
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twirling fartknocker
October 26, 2009 8:25 PM in reply to slb
I know the folks in SW VA well. Good people but their relative isolation has them believing some f*d up things contrary to their own self-interest. Lots of young people run away, hence the aging demographic.
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slb
October 27, 2009 2:26 AM in reply to twirling fartknocker
But be careful not to sell them short. I thought this article in The Nation in the fall of 2006, talking about the region in the context of the Allen-Webb Senate race, provided some valuable insight into the character and politics of the region.
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slb
October 27, 2009 2:29 AM in reply to slb
{sigh} No matter how many times you do the preview, you always see something you would like to have changed after you hit the "Submit" button.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 3:54 PM in reply to twirling fartknocker
None.
No state will opt-out. This is just like the empty bluster form the GOPtards in Texas and SC, and Perry talking about the 10th amendment, etc. etc. then folding like a cheap card table when it came down to it. Imagine being a Gov. or state legislator and trying to sell to your constituents that you have to limit their choice in insurance whereas other states have more options.
It is an instant political third-rail.
Not a single state will opt-out. And remember, Medicare was/is opt-in when it was passed. So this is even more deadly a political minefield for the GOPers.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 4:45 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
i tend to agree. another aspect to the PO, it's a real quality of life and economic issue. i'd suspect many professionals (more likely educated and traveled) and companies would like to locate in states with good and affordable HCI and embrace the PO. i don't see many professional looking people at these tea-bagger rallies.
so if hypothetically a state like Texas opted-out (which i doubt) it could cause significant brain-drain and harm to the economy.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 5:05 PM in reply to Neil
I concur. And if insurance companies were smart, long-term they would look at how they can offer bolt-on extended coverage plans. Let core coverage go to a national level PO plan (aka a de-facto single payer).
What is really needed is a Wyden style free-choice amendment so anyone can choose the PO, including companies. This would allow companies to move healthcare off their books, and then offer the added bolt-on "golden" coverage as an employee inducement. This would not only slow/stop a lot of off-shoring, but make American companies more competitive.
This is why I never quite get why Democrats and liberals (of which I count myself as both) don't lead with the business/economic argument instead o the warm and fuzzys.
American companies being able to move healthcare off their balance sheets would be the single biggest boon to business and American trade-deficits we could do.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 5:15 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
while i agree that the overall economic and health impact are the real issues (cost efficiency, preventative care, and HCI stability encouraging entrepreneurship) i think they nailed the narrative and political sell pretty well with specific anecdotes.
and i think the business argument is there for anyone who wants it and anytime you talk about premiums doubling the business impact is obvious.for example, that GM spends more on HCI than steel is common knowledge now.
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aikbay
October 26, 2009 5:23 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
I sincerely believe a lot of businesses don't want their employees to be able to buy their own insurance because a lot of people stay at their jobs for the insurance. Take away insurance and a good bunch of talented older experienced people would be off on their own doing their own thing.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 5:50 PM in reply to aikbay
oh there's no doubt that HCI currently favors large companies for employee retention. but it's most favorable to large companies with YOUNG professionals, not the older employees.
current HCI actually disincentiveizes retaining older employees becasue premiums are negotiated with prejudice. i.e. "cherry picking"
that said, even big companies need reform becasue the premiums are killing them. it's even worse for small business. so overall HCI reform is a big win for business. HCI reform is a big win win for everyone, except the HCI executives.
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slb
October 26, 2009 7:03 PM in reply to Neil
You are 100% right about the disincentives the current system gives for retaining older employees (or even hiring them in the first place). And as someone who is approaching the age at which I see co-workers being pressured to take early retirement, it makes me very nervous.
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slb
October 26, 2009 6:56 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
I hope you are right! But also remember that Medicare passed before the crazy and the stoopid took over the GOP.
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mans_best_friend
October 26, 2009 4:02 PM in reply to twirling fartknocker
It will be the same states that wound up actually refusing the stimulus money, i.e. none.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 5:07 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
BINGO!
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Jim H
October 26, 2009 4:17 PM in reply to twirling fartknocker
I wouldn't be surprised if some did. But they'd likely be those with high tobacco usage and obesity rates (*cough* the south *cough*), so good riddance. Their slothful ways would only put a drain on the PO insurance that I want to be able to afford.
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Mr.E.
October 26, 2009 5:20 PM in reply to twirling fartknocker
Re states opting out, the best bets I've seen from the experts is none. Perry likes to talk the talk, but the Texas constitution created a "weak" role for the governor, and opting out would cost the state billions, and possibly loss of Republican control. Red governors in blue states may thump their chests a bit, but won't break their skin with their own swords. The most likely candidates could be Alabama with 4.7 million, Mississippi with 3 and SC with .8, for a total of 8.5 out of 300 million. Worst case, that's a whole lot better than the current 47 million without coverage now, plus 15,000 losing their insurance every month.
The opt-out isn't the fairest, but it's a lot better than the current system, and the option that can mostly likely pass.
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Indie Pro
October 26, 2009 3:36 PM
He said he will not submit a plan with a triggered public option to the Congressional Budget Office.
Whoa! That is a bold move by Reid.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
October 26, 2009 3:42 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Yup. He's burning the boats. Kinda makes you think he really is from Nevada.
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Indie Pro
October 26, 2009 3:45 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
makes me wonder what he's sitting on.
how long until they actually release the merged bill?
why do we have to wait until after the CBO? Might it be changed again? Maybe. I guess.
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robbie
October 26, 2009 3:38 PM
Now I'm lost. Could someone please explain this "co-op" and "public option" thing? How they both going to work? Isn't it one or the other?
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Indie Pro
October 26, 2009 3:42 PM in reply to robbie
hard to say, until we see the details.
Are his coops state based, national? I don't know till I see more. It makes a huge difference.
Will the coops be run by private insurance? Details. details.
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Prudy
October 26, 2009 3:38 PM
I have to show a bit of gratitude, here - thanks, Harry!!!
Seriously, not what I was expecting from the man.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 4:38 PM in reply to Prudy
that's the problem. people get too wrapped up in name dropping and demonizing particular people. if people had a better understanding of process, they'd be a lot less surprised by these sorts of outcomes.
and btw, the devil is still in the details. though opt-out prevailing over a trigger, certainly seems encouraging on the surface.
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kash79
October 26, 2009 3:38 PM
Timeline is key here...will the states have till 2014 to opt-out, if so what is the timeline to begin enforcing the reform..2012
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traitorjoe
October 26, 2009 3:40 PM
Love to see Texas, Oklahoma, Alabama and other Red States opt out. So when the citizens of those states get sick, what's going to happen, will they will try and move to states with public options?
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Dorn76
October 26, 2009 3:40 PM
Boy, the White House must be pissed their supposed "pushback" on the Public Option has been so unsuccessful!
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CT Voter
October 26, 2009 3:44 PM in reply to Dorn76
{Snicker}
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A Missouri voter
October 26, 2009 4:15 PM in reply to CT Voter
I second CT Voter's response.
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hewhohasnoname
October 26, 2009 3:47 PM in reply to Dorn76
Yeah, I bet they're "furious." I mean, you waste all that time getting OFA to make such a huge effort to call Congress to get the public option, and you actually get the public option?
I bet the White House is pissed!
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jerryfatheart
October 26, 2009 3:54 PM in reply to Dorn76
Heh heh.
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fbacon2
October 26, 2009 3:56 PM in reply to Dorn76
But I thought those denials were "thin."
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VivaAmerica!
October 26, 2009 3:56 PM in reply to Dorn76
Multiple anonymous sources said that the WH is planning to strip him of his leadership.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 4:05 PM in reply to Dorn76
In a "please don't throw my into the public option briar patch!" sort of 'pissed' perhaps.
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sherifffruitfly
October 26, 2009 3:41 PM
The worst case just got better.
We win.
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kash79
October 26, 2009 3:41 PM
i guess, while I have not always been a big fan of "kneww jerk" reactions of the progressive constituents, the efforts of the grass-root level folks to put pressure on the Senate in commendable.
Harry Reid has redeemed himself in a weekend.
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lousgirl84
October 26, 2009 3:47 PM in reply to kash79
Me too but I am delighted with the outcome.
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Neil
October 26, 2009 5:07 PM in reply to kash79
ehhh. the pressure from smart advocacy groups helped for sure.
but the knee-jerkers? the one's who always see the sky falling and condemn everyone involved at every hiccup. the one's who have very little issue awareness and just spout buzzwords and drop names? no. not helpful. never helpful.
they only seem helpful if you bought into the notion the PO had been completely derailed. such as Reich continually claimed was the case.
before Obama was elected i suspected the process would go much like this. qualities i voted for in obama and how they've played out:
he's a progressive at heart, and the consummate pragmatist. he tends to push for an optimum within the possible. he's said all along what his goals are, and that he'd even like single-payer. but has also been clear that becasue of our history and political realities, we have to proceed pragmatically and be outcome oriented. by taking that approach he's been difficult to pidgen-hole, which has made it hard for oppo groups. during this time the debate on the PO and support for it has actually increased.
he's a slow starter that builds momentum. he starts pushing from behind, doesn't get out front too early, but tends to end out front on the winning side.
he's great at going cautiously, patiently and gradually creating opportunities to gain leverage, and then decisively moving at the right time. at the same time he let's his opponents fully commit to hanging themselves as they tend to over extend when they think they're scoring points. remember his rope-a-dope on both hillary and mccain. look at how deeply Republicans have entrenched themselves and become blatantly obstructionist. which will not help them politically.
he's great at extending the olive branch. nobody can say that moderate Republicans like Snowe weren't at the table. if she votes no it will hurt her and lessent eh credibility of the Republican party, more than it would have if she had been shut out.
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johnmccsf
October 26, 2009 3:42 PM
Give em Hell Harry
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jeffs
October 26, 2009 3:45 PM
And how will the states that choose to opt out make that decision?
Will they twist themselves into knots, accepting it while trying to redefine what they're doing, like with the stimulus money?
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traitorjoe
October 26, 2009 3:45 PM
Chicken Harry is now Stallion Harry.
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tosh
October 26, 2009 3:45 PM
"All-In" would be a Medicare + 5% (with Rural Adjustments) based PO, sans the Opt-Out.
On the other hand, if this carries and the House goes Medicare + 5% (with Rural Adjustments) with No Opt-Out, one gets a *very* interesting Conference. If you go straight compromise, the House wins on the Medicare + 5% (with Rural Adjustments) while the Senate wins on the Opt-Out. If we also somehow could get Wynden's choice bill in there, we might have something.
I'm not a huge fan of the Opt-Out, and it's going to utterly screw some of the Dems Bases (poor people in Red States). On the other hands, if the savings are there, it will be a rallying cry down the road.
John
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wildwilly1111
October 26, 2009 4:02 PM in reply to tosh
Blue States will have to accept refugees.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 4:03 PM in reply to tosh
I am a huge fan of the opt-out.
Because it give political cover to get a stronger PO (ala Medicare +5, free choice, etc.) but would be a political gold-mine for Democrats should any GOPer be stupid enough to try and push to actually opt-out.
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_jonny_5_
October 26, 2009 5:04 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
Indeed... and to further your point, Folks like Blanche Lincoln can go home and say they "voted to save the State by giving them the choice to Opt Out. Otherwise they would have pushed through w/ 51 votes and we would have had NO Choice"
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Neil
October 26, 2009 5:27 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
right. attacking the PO in the abstract and attacking the PO in the neighboring state, are two very different things.
just like attacking SS in the abstract was easy, attacking SS once people actually experienced the benefits... big difference.
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wbgonne
October 26, 2009 3:46 PM
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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oleeb
October 26, 2009 3:46 PM
Great idea on this opt out thing... not! From a policy perspective it's extremely unwise at best and totally unfair to those who would be robbed of any choice if they are unlucky enough to live in a state where the Governor is owned by the insurance industry (and that's likely to be more than one or two). How about including an opt out for the states regarding the insurance subsidy mandate?
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Steve LaBonne
October 26, 2009 3:49 PM in reply to oleeb
In the end it's a gamble, that states won't really find it politically possible to opt out any more than they did to not take stimulus money. I'm not wild about it at all, but if I have to choose between opt-out and trigger I'll take opt-out.
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kash79
October 26, 2009 3:51 PM in reply to oleeb
Do you realistically thing anyone will opt-out? May be barring one or two states like AL in the south, which ironically has the least competition and lowest rates.
Heartland and Northwest regions will all go for it. The key is the deadline.
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kash79
October 26, 2009 3:57 PM in reply to kash79
Oops..i mean highest rates in AL...anyway, also it is easy for me to say this from NYC, but also it is time for people to elect officials...it is one thing to be a conservative, but blindly rejecting a proposal on healthcare reform just because they just want to oppose the democratic majority is sad.
The problem is not the opt-out policy, the problem is that we cannot have a single-payer or robust universal public option because people from regions have sent 100% dickheads to represent them
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mostman
October 26, 2009 3:52 PM in reply to oleeb
I think you might be surprised on how common opt-out policies are in this country. Most federal dollars given to states come with an opt out. I mean, hell, the stimulus was an opt out as well. Some states tried, none had the balls to carry it out.
No state will opt out.
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oleeb
October 27, 2009 3:49 PM in reply to mostman
That is simply not true. Most federal dollars are not tied to any opt out provisions particularly with respect to programs that do not cost the state government any money.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 4:00 PM in reply to oleeb
Strongly disagree. This is political gold that will be a stake in the heart (or rather space where a heart should be) of any GOPer who seriously tries to push for opting out. This will be a political third rail. As I mentioned up-thread, imagine being a Gov. or state legislator and trying to sell to your constituents that you have to limit their choice in insurance whereas other states have more options.
Not a single state will opt-out. And remember, Medicare was/is opt-in when it was passed. So this is even more deadly a political minefield for the GOPers.
This is pure political manna from heaven (and I say that as an unapologetic atheist I might add).
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lousgirl84
October 26, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
I totally agree Lestaldec. I am an unapologetic atheist myself.
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Kevin Cassidy
October 26, 2009 10:55 PM in reply to Lestatdelc
I do apologize but I am basically a theist. Oh well.
Anyway, I find myself counting my chickens and am concerned that I shouldn't be. I certainly can't determine how many chickens there actually are. It seems like we won.
Did we win this one?
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Dorn76
October 26, 2009 3:51 PM
Wouldn't a State Legislature's consent be required to "opt-out"?
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 3:56 PM in reply to Dorn76
I would assume the bill's language would leave that up to the states. Either Gov. or State Legislature but I can;t realistically see a single one moving on this. There might be some media posturing, but like the stimulus bill, not a single one will do it (opt-out).
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Indie Pro
October 26, 2009 3:58 PM in reply to Dorn76
that's the details
how do they opt out
when can they opt out
and if a state opts out, which would increase the cost to the Fed, what then?
not to mention the questions surrounding the PO and Coop.
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Dorn76
October 26, 2009 4:13 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Aye, get your reading glasses, folks.
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Prudy
October 26, 2009 3:53 PM
Are you actually suggesting that in a state where the majority of voters want a public option that a insurance industry-bought Governor would somehow be able to overcome that? I think the real danger is with the voters themselves - aka, if you've got 20% of the state's population who will not vote for a public option no matter what, just because it's government-run.
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freshwaterluddite
October 26, 2009 4:29 PM in reply to Prudy
What about Jindal, Pawlenty, et al? http://thinkprogress.org/2009/10/23/pawlenty-opt-out/
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MichaelG1986
October 26, 2009 3:57 PM
The Empress Olympia of Snowe does not like this one bit. No she does not.
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lousgirl84
October 26, 2009 4:07 PM in reply to MichaelG1986
She comes from a state with (I believe) one or two choices for insurance. The people of Maine may punish her if she continues this stance. The folks in Maine have not many choices as it stands.
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_jonny_5_
October 26, 2009 4:05 PM
I would assume the Opt-out(at least initially) will resemble the Stimulus with a few Gov's talking shit and the state legislators overruling them. However, I wouldn't be too suprised if in 2013 a few states with lower per capita health costs Opted out for more drastic measures like a state level single-payer or something that can lower the cost even further for their state.
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Jezreel
October 26, 2009 4:11 PM
I just called Reid's office to thank him for taking a stand on behalf of real health care reform and the American people.
Until today I have been critical of Sen. Reid and his handling of Senate during several significant debates. I am glad to have the opportunity to finally compliment him on something he's done well.
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toomuchpr
October 26, 2009 4:22 PM
This is political GOLD for the Democrats. It forces the Republicans to opt out and face voter rage. I love this on a political level.
However, I am sad for the concept of America. Knowing that we're allowing some Republicans to create a third world, tiered society based on who can afford healthcare and get immunity to the latest FLU strain. Having shots is being and will be increasingly used as a basis for discrimination in the workplace, travel and for attending schools.
It seems contrary to the Bill of Rights and the Constitution that a person who cannot afford healthcare or whose parents or state opts out of healthcare, will be denied the job and school of their choice.
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Darrius
October 26, 2009 4:37 PM in reply to toomuchpr
The fact is that a single-payer is the best way to cover everyone. The closer the plan is to that the better it will work. That is why the industry and the Republicans are fighting it so hard. They think/know that once the government offer health insurance or an equivalent that it will be so much more efficient that the public is going to naturally choose it.
No state is going to opt out if they get it in the first place. As long as the opt-out public option is allowed to go into effect in the state before the state is able to opt out of it then no state will chose to opt out.
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Beagle
October 26, 2009 4:23 PM
Snowe who?
If this bill passes it will be interesting and fun to follow red states gubernatorial campaigns after 2014.
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FlownOver
October 26, 2009 9:33 PM in reply to Beagle
It may be interesting, and not much fun, sooner than that in Kansas. Sam Brownbacks running for governor next year.
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FlownOver
October 26, 2009 9:35 PM in reply to Beagle
It may be interesting, and not much fun, sooner than that in Kansas. Sam Brownbacks running for governor next year.
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Brainpicnic
October 26, 2009 4:30 PM
"There will be a co-op in this bill", why? I got a co-op out here in Washington state, and all it does is pit my need for medical services against my gatekeeper pcp. If it saves any money its due to discouraging people from getting service. It's not the answer, but part of the problem. Ditch it Harry!
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toomuchpr
October 26, 2009 4:47 PM
It will be interesting to see how moderate, fiscally conservative Red States vote versus Fundamentalist Christian Right Wing compromised States.
With opt-out, there is no need for a single Republican Vote!!! They can opt out and face the music!
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Mr.E.
October 26, 2009 5:01 PM
As a student of both politics and negotiation strategy, the one thing that is a certain is that when finesse is required, one cannot open with an offer of the desired outcome. My regret is that it will be years, if not decades, before the inside story of the planning for this HCR gets out, and many years more until the real inside story is confirmed.
The most plausible case is that Obama was very good at covering his bets. He had a range of options, and was careful not to show his hand or get too far out in front. From a policy side he recognized that the best option is single-payer, but he played the political side, knowing that any reform that provided more universal coverage, less exclusions or lower costs would be seen at least as a start, and possibly as a win. Now the probability that we will get all three is increasing.
He and Emanuel are very aware how the Clintons owned the 93-94 attempt at HRC, and knew that anything he actively supported would be a lightning rod for the opposition. So he revived the art of politics from an era we haven't seen for a very long time.
I'm not sure which scenario makes me smile more, the one where Obama was truly masterful at reading the tea leaves and quietly orchestrated (or at least encouraged) this process or the one where he was a bit too eager to compromise, but the grassroots involvement and push-back supported by the facts and progressive politicians and experts proved compelling and irresistible.
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Lestatdelc
October 26, 2009 5:09 PM in reply to Mr.E.
Exactly.
This is what I have been trying to say for weeks when many here and elsewhere on the left-blogsphere were losing their minds at the administration for not drawing lines in the sand over this that or the other.
Well said.
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Tanjaoui
October 26, 2009 5:22 PM
I hope the po isn't subcontracted out to private industry. Wasn't that part of the HELP Committee bill's language?
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Tanjaoui
October 26, 2009 7:39 PM in reply to Tanjaoui
Before breaking out the champagne, I want some answers. The following is by an avowed proponent of single payer, Medicare for All. But it raises a lot of good questions about some hurdles the po will face:
http://pnhp.org/blog/2009/07/20/bait-and-switch-how-the-%E2%80%9Cpublic-option%E2%80%9D-was-sold/
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Tanjaoui
October 26, 2009 7:53 PM in reply to Tanjaoui
And this answer to some of the criticisms leveled against the original 'Bait and Switch' article, with some very good points.
http://pnhp.org/blog/2009/08/08/reply-to-critics-of-%E2%80%9Cbait-and-switch-how-the-%E2%80%98public-option%E2%80%99-was-sold%E2%80%9D/
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Tanjaoui
October 26, 2009 8:18 PM in reply to Tanjaoui
And finally, and most disturbingly:
http://pnhp.org/blog/2009/08/14/the-senate-help-committee-%E2%80%9Cpublic-option%E2%80%9D-will-be-multiple-%E2%80%9Coptions%E2%80%9D-and-these-will-be-run-by-insurance-companies/
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Kuyleh
October 26, 2009 5:25 PM
Well, that's that, I guess. I still won't be getting any insurance, but I'm happy for everyone that will get covered.
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toughguy
October 26, 2009 5:31 PM
The genius in the "opt out" is that those "red state" politicians who do opt out will be forced by economics to eventually participate in this plan; just as they have done for the stimulus. Picture Republicans presenting those big cardboard checks to the localities while having voted against the stimulus legislation.
The "opt out" will provide enough cover and allow enough votes for cloture and an "up or down" vote thus eliminating the need for 60 votes in the Senate.
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Don JD
October 26, 2009 5:56 PM
While it appears that a celebration is occurring here, being the pessimist that I am, I count nothing until the final legislation, with all additional ancillaries, is voted on and signed into law...
Additionally, it should be noted that even if the "public option" is included in the final bill, it will only cover approximately 10 million people, and there will be no so-called "public option" for the general population as a whole - hence the need for the addition of the Wynden Amendment, which gets no real consideration from the Senate Majority Leader ... (Hopefully, in another decade or two, this issue will be re-visited, as future health insurance premiums sky-rocket)...
Additionally, while I strongly support this type of HEALTH INSURANCE REFORM, there remains nothing proposed that advances real HEALTH CARE REFORM, which remains problematic... (And there is a huge difference between the two)...
Lastly, concerning Sen. Reid, D-Nev., assuming he pulls this off, each of us should write an e-mail, to him and/or his office, thanking him for standing firmly on this issue, or at a minimum for even trying... Indeed, I never thought Sen. Reid had it in him and I'm pleasantly suprised...
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Neil
October 26, 2009 5:58 PM
well, the at least the GOP still has their fallback argument:
"the public option is unfair and bad becasue private insurance can't compete with a public option in an open market, becasue nobody would choose PI on quality or cost efficiency given a fair choice.
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johnsoni37
October 26, 2009 6:05 PM
am i the only one who heard him say "White Whore"??....and then he smiled about it, naughty naughty Reid...
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slb
October 26, 2009 7:19 PM in reply to johnsoni37
My impression was that what he started to say was actually "White Horse."
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robbie
October 26, 2009 7:10 PM
I for one believe nothing is going to change with this "public option" thing. We'll be paying the same or even higher premiums in coming months and years. "Public Option" is just another abracadabra thing. Something different will show up from other pocket soon. These political tricks are to keep the "progressives" or rather 65% percent of us happy for the day. I'm as pessimistic as Don JD stated earlier. Opt-out is a OK for me, but if Public Option is not universal, then give me a break.. it's all a joke. Sorry to be too pessimistic.
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Don JD
October 26, 2009 7:22 PM
While it appears that a celebration is occurring here, being the pessimist that I am, I count nothing until the final legislation, with all additional ancillaries, is voted on and signed into law...
Additionally, it should be noted that even if the "public option" is included in the final bill, it will only cover approximately 10 million people, and there will be no so-called "public option" for the general population as a whole - hence the need for the addition of the Wynden Amendment, which gets no real consideration from the Senate Majority Leader ... (Hopefully, in another decade or two, this issue will be re-visited, as future health insurance premiums sky-rocket)...
Additionally, while I strongly support this type of HEALTH INSURANCE REFORM, there remains nothing proposed that advances real HEALTH CARE REFORM, which remains problematic... (And there is a huge difference between the two)...
Lastly, concerning Sen. Reid, D-Nev., assuming he pulls this off, each of us should write an e-mail, to him and/or his office, thanking him for standing firmly on this issue, or at a minimum for even trying... Indeed, I never thought Sen. Reid had it in him and I'm pleasantly suprised...
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Don JD
October 26, 2009 7:24 PM
While it appears that a celebration is occurring here, being the pessimist that I am, I count nothing until the final legislation, with all additional ancillaries, is voted on and signed into law...
Additionally, it should be noted that even if the "public option" is included in the final bill, it will only cover approximately 10 million people, and there will be no so-called "public option" for the general population as a whole - hence the need for the addition of the Wynden Amendment, which gets no real consideration from the Senate Majority Leader ... (Hopefully, in another decade or two, this issue will be re-visited, as future health insurance premiums sky-rocket)...
Additionally, while I strongly support this type of HEALTH INSURANCE REFORM, there remains nothing proposed that advances real HEALTH CARE REFORM, which remains problematic... (And there is a huge difference between the two)...
Lastly, concerning Sen. Reid, D-Nev., assuming he pulls this off, each of us should write an e-mail, to him and/or his office, thanking him for standing firmly on this issue, or at a minimum for even trying... Indeed, I never thought Sen. Reid had it in him and I'm pleasantly suprised...
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bmags
October 26, 2009 7:29 PM
A couple comments on the Beutler story on Sat., so I feel I'll respond.
Josh Marshall did respond to a couple of emails to me over the weekend, essentially saying that it was impossible to report this stuff w/o anonymity, as he's said in the comments section, and a sort of implication of trusting TPM is doing their due diligence. I feel anonymity is handed out like candy, that's why no one will speak their name even when not much is at stake. And this trust, well, could evaporate. But I'm not there yet, and they have done a great job reporting since I began reading TPM.
SO, with that said, I'm not so sure that one part of this story doesn't convince me that the reports they received could in fact be true. Snowe received the call from Reid on Friday, the story ran saturday. With Snowe's displeasure, I don't think it would be out of the ordinary for the White House to then push the Senate to try and retain her. What I don't know is if this amounted to them actually pushing for the trigger option in the Senate, hence my reservations on the story.
But, the spirit of that article may well have been true, but I still find it vague and am not surprised it has been controversial.
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AnswerFrog
October 26, 2009 8:26 PM in reply to bmags
I didn't find the story convincing mostly because it was an outlier. Nobody corroborated it independently although TPM kept citing it themselves. I guess I like a lot of data points to confirm something, especially for something that goes counter-narrative. (ie. for half a year it was the Senate that was wobbly, not the WH. The PO would be declared dead time and again, until Obama, seemingly alone would go on TV to push it)
Josh gave a good defense of anonymous sourcing and all -- it really might be impossible to get this kind of inside info without it. But it does depend upon trusting your sources to be honest and accurate. Perhaps their sources were misinformed themselves or perhaps there was really mixed messages from the WH. It plausible but I wasn't convinced.
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slb
October 27, 2009 2:57 AM in reply to AnswerFrog
For a long time, the Washington Post was an outlier on the Watergate story, too.
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AnswerFrog
October 26, 2009 8:16 PM
Awesome, thank you Harry! I take back all the bad things I said about you. Or more precisely, when this passes. But this is an important milestone.
What really happened here is the Congress wised up that their chances in 2010 are dependent upon grassroots support and enthusiasm.
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toughguy
October 26, 2009 9:11 PM
AnswerFi: "their chances in 2010 are dependent upon grassroots support and enthusiasm " Precisely.
The Democrats lost Congress in 1994 because the Democratic Congress treated President Clinton, a Washington "outsider", with disdain and obstructed his legislative agenda, including health care reform. Clinton was reelected in 1996 but the Democrats lost control of Congress. This was because Democratic politicians were more beholden to lobbyists and the Washington bubble than to their base and the President.
President Obama is popular, depite the protestations of the teabaggers in August. The campaign against health care reform has been an epic failure because of the energy and actions of progressives in keeping eyes focused on the opinions of the vast majority of the American people.
Many of the Democrats in Congress are, by nature, cowards. Only the relentless pressure of the Democratic base, which elected a President and restored Democratic majorities in Congress, forced these self-serving politicians to be held accountable.
We need to reward these politicians when they do the right thing and scream like hell and act with our wallet and our votes when they betray us. Unlike the teabaggers, we understand policy versus rhetoric and are truly representative of the majority of Americans.
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Odel Roo
October 26, 2009 10:29 PM
Everyone is being played... why yes celebrate!!! Paint that old clunker candy apple red, add shiny new rims and wheels and a kick azz sound system! put it all on a credit to boot (not alot of money coming in right now and I maxed out all my other credit so this is my last hoorah. Ya baby - shes a real eye catcher!
Unfortunately it is still a piece of crap that barely starts and may break down at any time. But it sure is pretty!
Good thing I can will it to my kids... (can't sell it, someone might want to peek under the hood or heaven forbid, take it for a test drive) maybe, just maybe, they can get the engine fixed and a new suspension. Then she will really purrrr.
I'm just tickled that everybody got to see her all shiny and stuff.
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Kevin Cassidy
October 26, 2009 11:00 PM
Odel Roo-
I can tell you're unhappy but I'm not clear as to what you are talking about exactly. While its true that my children and their children (icecaps willing) will be paying for our foibles, lowered heath insurance costs won't be the reason why.
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Odel Roo
October 26, 2009 11:27 PM
It's just amazing to me is all... we complain about health care reform... we say we want competition... to get that competition we need a large pool of people to keep cost down/competitive so hey... let make everybody pay! And if they don't like it then we can either fine them or throw em in the pokey (were they will get HC for free... go figure). So we cheer the great accomplishment that 10% might get it... and it's a bargain at 900 billion+.
Woohooo party like it's 2009!
I guess i'm being cynical... I should not have expected this much from these precious anointed few. After working a blistering 3 day work week im sure this is the best they can come up with. We sure are lucky to have them.
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Brody
October 27, 2009 3:57 AM
I would not get too excited about any of this news. The key is the fact it seems to have the approval of Max Baucus. If that is true, it means it also meets with the approval of the insurance industry. Max is owned body and soul (make that just body) by big insurance. He is, however, very useful as a shorthand method of knowing if a healthcare bill is good or bad. If he opposes, then it may be good. If he supports, it is a BJ for the insurance industry.
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barryashe
October 27, 2009 4:14 AM
Take Nevada off the list of possible Democratic Senate losses for 2010 and move it onto the Safe D list. I never thought it was anything but a sure thing for us anyway, but this puts the icing on the cake. Big Harry, Give 'em Hell Harry II, is going to make mincemeat of that pathetic Lowden, Tark the Snark, and whatever other flimsy nonentities the GypOP can dredge up from the disabled list. He's got a ton of money and as for the Daschle example, Nevada isn't SD and this is now, not then.
Same goes for Dodd. So what if he got a good deal on a home mortgage anybody with the same income probably deserved anyway. What difference does that make compared to helping pass a bill that can help millions of Americans lead a better, more secure life? Wins in 2010 in a landslide against that has-been Simmons.
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Odel Roo
October 27, 2009 7:13 AM in reply to barryashe
Give em Hell Harry huh... this is the same Harry that thinks $54 bill is a pittance. Just a paltry sum, not worthy of real savings when compared to taking on Tort reform. By his own words "give em hell Harry" could give a damn about what he can do to "can help millions of Americans lead a better, more secure life".
Some of these people have been in their castle entirely too long. When you are so out of touch that you think $54 Billion is chump change, there is a serious problem.
So if my understanding is correct, and I may be wrong, if maybe 10% or 30 Million folks will qualify for the "Public Option". What exactly are we getting for our $900 billion?
So what gives?
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