Rep. Joseph Cao (R-LA) may have an interesting built-in line of defense against Republicans who would want to seek retribution over his vote for the health care bill: His overwhelmingly Democratic district.
I asked Club For Growth executive director David Keating, whose group has often supported insurgent conservatives -- Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Stephen Laffey and Doug Hoffman, just to name a few -- whether the group might support a primary against Cao. "Our PAC doesn't plan on backing any primary challengers to him," said Keating, "because it would be a waste of money, probably, for the general election."
Cao's district, centered around New Orleans, voted 75%-23% for Barack Obama in November 2008, by far the most Democratic district to be currently represented by a Republican. Cao won a shocking 50%-47% victory in a specially scheduled December election (due to hurricane damage) against Democratic Rep. William Jefferson, who was then under indictment and was later convicted on corruption charges.
Keating said that he doesn't know of anybody currently working on a primary challenge against Cao. He said that while such a challenge could potentially be successful among Republican primary voters, the chances would be low for the new Republican nominee to win the district in November, and that Cao would have a much stronger chance as an incumbent.
"It's not a good place for someone to get involved there, it's such a tough district for a Republican to win a general election in November," said Keating. "The circumstances that he won the race under were unusual to say the least. It's not every day that a Congressman has tens of thousands of dollars in his freezer, and to have the money seized by the government."

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Michael A
November 9, 2009 1:25 PM
But, but, I thought it was all about "values" and such. They are dumping their "values" over a couple of bucks? Very odd. Primary the guy. He isn't a pure repuke. What is up with that?
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brewmn61
November 9, 2009 1:28 PM in reply to Michael A
Too bad. Now Democrats will have to spend the money to get rid of him.
"They are dumping their "values" over a couple of bucks?"
Their values ARE acouple of bucks. OK, more than a couple.
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Xantar
November 9, 2009 1:29 PM
Spell check? Come on, guys, I know quality assurance is down these days, but "challening"? No red underlines popped up for that?
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johnmccsf
November 9, 2009 2:29 PM
How now brown Cao!
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johnmccsf
November 9, 2009 3:14 PM
The future is Cao
http://thinkprogress.org/2009/11/09/boehner-cao-health/
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DrToast
November 9, 2009 3:17 PM
Is that the Club licking their wounds over NY-23? Since when has a tough general election prevented them from purging someone.
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docrocktex
November 9, 2009 3:41 PM
It's pretty sad that we can predict which party will win solely based on the skin color of a district's constituents.
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FreeRider
November 9, 2009 4:13 PM in reply to docrocktex
Or it could have something to do with the fact that 66% of the registered voters in that district are registered as DEMOCRATS!
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Steaming Pile
November 9, 2009 3:51 PM
He'll probably lose anyway. He barely beat Jefferson, and that guy was dirty as hell.
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geofu54
November 9, 2009 6:57 PM in reply to Steaming Pile
That's what I think too. He's done after the current term, no matter what. That district will never heart his voting record which is pretty consistently along the party line. And one (albeit high-profile) vote cannot rewrite that.
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neesy08
November 9, 2009 4:02 PM
club for growth sponsored hoffman? i would think they would be trying to an alyze what went wrong in their white gop district than on ow a asian who is a gop in a black dem district voted against the white gop.
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stevelaudig
November 10, 2009 7:16 AM
Why spend money in a primary where the Republican candidate that is selected is sure to get creamed in the general. If the gang of criminals that calls itself the "Club for Growth" knows anything it is the value of money. They aren't stupid simply wrong about everything.
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