I'm not a big one for polls, and I understand that 18% undecided can make it go either way, but when on earth did being ahead by 5% qualify as a narrow lead?

There's one puzzling thing about this weekend's turn of events. If this had been better thought out by Scozzafava, and if her aim was to sincerely boost Owens' candidacy, then she should have done nothing and remained in the race. It seems like that would have been more beneficial to Owens than her pulling out of the race, even with her subsequent endorsement of Owens. Guess we'll see tomorrow night...

I hope the Dem-minded voters still intent on voting for Daggett change their minds when they get in the booth. If that happens, Corzine will win this one by a narrow margin - the Dem GOTV is very good in the Garden State. Sadly, my parents are intent of voting for Daggett even though they pretty much despise Corzine and are basically liberals. They're calling it a protest vote...they think Corzine is a nice guy and they agree with him on just about every issue, but they don't think he took on the special interests enough...they think he's too nice of a guy for the state. I told them that voting for Daggett could throw the race to Corzine...they don't care.

That said, the Dems - at least in my area (pretty blue) - appear to be doing a pretty good job of trying to get folks out. They were canvassing the neighborhoods this weekend and there are multiplate full sized billboards in the area with the tagline, "Keep It Going", and Obama front-and-center. Dem mailers have definitely exceed GOP mailings, although we did recently get two mailing from the god squad, informing us that Corzine wants to kill babies and turn our kids gay. (a strange strategy in NJ and especially in my town, where voters tend to be more Dem than GOP and where we have a rather large gay community...but then my wife's maiden name is Irish and both were addressed to her)

Kleefeld won't call it anything other than a crap shoot

I will....Hoffman

“Hoffman’s favorability rating shot up from a net positive four points to a now net positive 14 points – 47-33 percent,” said Siena pollster Steven Greenberg in a release accompanying the survey results. “Owens’ favorability dropped slightly from a net positive four points to a net negative one point.”

It will come down to how many Republican voters simply couldn't vote for a Democrat nor for a wack-job such as Hoffman. If enough feel that way the results will reflect the polling prior to Scozzafava's withdrawal.
In other words, a toss-up. Can anyone say: recount/s?