Come on now, Eric, this is just embarrassing. You correctly characterize a 43-42 result as a statistical tie, but you call a 45-44 result an "edge" to Carnahan. Either go back to your Statistics 101 class or leave this stuff to Nate Silver.

Carnahan is only even with Blunt because she refuses to be a real Democrat. She has demured from even taking a position on the HCR bill, let alone the public option, etc... If she would simply campaign as the liberal she is, she would pull way out ahead of Blunt who is corrupt as the day is long and a tired old right wing hack. But, like most wannabe DC Democrats, Carnahan doesn't have the courage to be a real Democrat in public so the public is being given a choice between a real Republican and Republican lite. This is a foolish move by Carnahan who ought to know better considering her mother was defeated for the Senate after playing the same stupid game. Despite being against going to war in Iraq, Carnahan voted for the war in hopes of not appearing "soft" on terror like so many other cowardly Dems in DC. The Republicans pistol whipped her with that vote anyway and she lost. Had she actually differentiated herself from the right wing Republican whe would have won. Same is true for Robin as for her mom. Her Dad, Mel, the dead Governor was known as a straight up liberal and that's why he's the only dead man ever to be elected to the US Senate.

Caranhan is trying to follow Claire McCaskill's method of playing down the middle. It did work for Claire, but she also had Iraq and Stem Cell Research working in her favor as well that year. I suspect Claire thinks it's the middle of the road that worked more for her rather than "Not Being GOP".

Not saying she's wrong, but I also think that Dems far too often run from their platform positions.

John