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Virginia Democrats Say There Is Strong Turnout But Reports From Field Suggest Otherwise

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VA-GOV Candidates Creigh Deeds (D) and Bob McDonnell (R)

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We've been hearing all day about low turnout in Virginia, with no lines and fewer ballots turned in at this point in the day than one year ago when there was record participation.

But gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds, who is banking everything on turnout, is telling people otherwise.

Deeds Campaign Manager Joe Abbey tells reporters in an email:

"We are seeing encouraging numbers in key parts of the state. Northern and Central Virginia in particular look strong. The Charlottesville area, which includes areas represented by Creigh Deeds in the state Senate is particularly strong and 10 percent of voters in key Democratic precincts had already voted by 10 AM. Meanwhile, voters in the populous and Democratic precincts of Alexandria and Arlington have been voting at rates well above the average in other parts of the Commonwealth."

That runs counters to reader emails and the Twitter feeds we've been monitoring today.

In one example, Reader ZM tells us things look "weak" in Norfolk.

"There are a grand total of FIVE people making GOTV calls for Deeds in NORFOLK. FIVE. Their field operation is looking WEAK. Any hope of mass turnout is not looking good at this moment. I don't think this has anything to do with Obama. I repeat FIVE people total. Election day GOTV has to do with your field operation and Deeds' is not looking too strong. The narrative that the media will create will be, McDonnell crushing Deeds, is somehow a referendum on Obama, but to me it just looks like he didn't have a well oiled campaign operation. If Obama taught us anything last year it's that organization on the ground makes a huge difference."

McDonnell texted voters this morning: "Good Morning Bob McDonnell Supporters! Polls are now open, so don't forget to get out there and vote today! For info on where to vote ..."

Later in the day, Deeds texted, "If you haven't voted already, make sure to head over to the polls during lunch time! Find your local polling location here ... "

Late update: Abbey sent an update at 3 p.m.:

"Our afternoon reports have shown that Charlottesville continues to be a bright spot for Deeds turnout today, with numbers running way ahead of targets. Democratic turnout has surged in Roanoke over the past several hours and we are hitting our targets in Democratic precincts in that market. And turnout continue to look strong in key precincts in Northern Virginia."

The Deeds camp also sent us video of him casting his ballot today:

Comments (10) | Join the Conversation!

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November 3, 2009 1:59 PM   

McDonnell et al signs all over the entrance near my polling location when the polls opened this morning...in a strongly Democratic district. Not a single Deeds sign. There was one Jody Wagner sign which appeared after I came back outside after voting.

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November 3, 2009 2:16 PM   

I'm not afraid to go against my party when they're wrong. -- Creigh Deeds

Brilliant strategy for a base election.

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November 3, 2009 2:23 PM   

I'm not afraid to go against my party when they're wrong. -- Creigh Deeds

Brilliant strategy for a base election.

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November 3, 2009 2:31 PM   

I held my nose and voted for Creigh. He lost the last vestige of my respect when he was asked about health care reform and his response made me think he had never given it any thought up to that moment. My polling place was pretty active this morning, but I don't know which way the wind was blowing, so to speak. I did see several old Emily Couric bumper stickers.

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November 3, 2009 3:06 PM   

Virginia can have McDonnell. Maybe only then they will see the error of their ways. Remember Jim Gilmore??? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Gilmore

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November 3, 2009 3:22 PM    in reply to lousgirl84

And George "Macacca" Allen!

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November 3, 2009 3:23 PM    in reply to dswx

Oh yes - him!!!

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November 3, 2009 3:18 PM   

Wishful thinking, Deeds.

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November 3, 2009 4:50 PM   

Similarly my polling place had low attendance. The ballot machine had 272 votes tallied at 9:15am.

There were GOP and Democrat reps out front handing out sample ballots and plenty of Deeds and McDonnell signs along the road.

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November 3, 2009 7:00 PM   

Christina, I'm disappointed that you appear to be looking at the wrong metric. You compare today to last year, and that's an absurd comparison. Turnout is ALWAYS lower in non-Presidential elections than in Presidential elections. The correct metric is 2 million voters, as that's the 2005 turnout for VA-Gov. And of course one must adjust for population increase and voter registration increase, so that a virtually equal number of votes as 4 years ago effectively is a slight drop in turnout. But 2008 had 3.7 million voters, so OF COURSE there's a drop from last year!

All the twitter feeds and other turnout reports I've read show that turnout is roughly comparable to 4 years ago. Maybe slightly lower, but not overwhelmingly so.

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