
Conservative Democrats couldn't have asked for better top-line numbers from the CBO on Senate health care legislation. Low total cost, big long-term deficit reductions, millions insured, and a public option that insures perhaps one percent of the population. But is that enough to actually cool their heartburn?
Well, yes and no.
"Listen, anytime you add more to deficit reduction, you have to say that it's a move in the right direction," Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE) told reporters yesterday. "So there's no doubt...that clearly would be one [area of improvement]--but again you have to have a lot of faith and trust in the scoring system."
Nelson cautioned that the CBO numbers released yesterday are preliminary, and subject to some uncertainty, but basically applauded the bill for being fiscally responsible.
But is that what's really driving the moderates' skepticism?
Surely there are other issues, and one of them seems to be that, no matter how dramatically Democrats scale back their bill, Republicans will attack vulnerable members for offering even the most trivial level of support.
"I wanted to make it clear that [the vote on the motion to proceed] is, unlike some are suggesting, is not the vote...it's a motion to enter into the debate and possible amendments and improvements of the legislation" Nelson told reporters yesterday. "The vote is the second cloture vote, and that is the cloture on a motion to cease debate, and I wanted that clear, because I've already begun to see people out there say, 'oh no, no, if you vote [to take it up] you've voted for health care."
The "people" he's talking about are top Republicans, who last month threatened explicitly to accuse Democrats who voted simply to debate a bill as having voted for tax increases and all the rest.
"So our view is that cloture on the motion to proceed to the bill is a vote to endorse a half a trillion dollars in Medicare cuts, $400 billion in new taxes, and higher insurance -- health insurance premiums for everyone else," Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell told reporters last month.
Democrats hit back on that statement pretty hard: "We are glad that Senator McConnell has made clear his position on cloture votes," said Rodell Mollineau, spokesman for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. "By his logic, Senate Republicans' vote last week against proceeding to the defense bill means they don't support our troops in a time of war." But the writing was on the wall.
So are these conservative Democrats going to play nice? On the first procedural votes, it seems as if they are. Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) said she'd make her decision on that score today. Several weeks down the line, though, these same Democrats will be health care kingmakers. If this decision's taken such a toll on them, just wait for the next one.
Walter Mitty
November 19, 2009 11:47 AM
How did Bush get past cloture with much less than 60 seats? Let me guess, Sen. Reid didn't require one, whereas McConnell reuires one one every bill no matter how big or small. And in cases where they were required, I bet the Dems who voted for cloture also voted against the final bill came from the same pool of Dems now accepting the GOP frame that "A vote for cloture would be a vote for the final bill" and parroting that quote to anybody who will listen.
Republicans need 50%+1 majority, Dems need 60 seat super majority. Funny how that works. When are the Dems going to go on offense with the bald faced obstructionism? They can't because they have 60 seats, so it's on the Dems if they can't get their own bills through. Specter switching was the worst thing that could have happened.
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mans_best_friend
November 19, 2009 11:58 AM in reply to Walter Mitty
Dems have scruples. Republicans don't. Would you rather the other way around?
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human
November 19, 2009 12:03 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
uh, yeah, at least when it comes to procedural matters and actually getting to a damn vote on critical legislation.
ask people who are going broke and dying how much precious scruples mean to them as opposed to getting something real done.
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rbe1
November 19, 2009 12:50 PM in reply to human
Amen. What use are scruples when someone is beating your brains in ? Scruples are for civilized people.
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ericf
November 19, 2009 12:16 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
I specifically remember the FISA bill where some Democrats did that, voting to end debate and voting against the bill. It seems for conservatives of either party, majority rule is not a principle at all, but purely a matter of the bill at hand. The problem is all these senators can decide for themselves which is the greater principle, and they can change their minds as often as they like. But out here it looks like dysfunction --- and I'm reasonably sure that impression is right. I certainly consider the Senate a dysfunctional body. Maybe if conservatives (of both parties) didn't think they should filibuster everything they disagree with that wouldn't be the case. As it is, the Senate basically doesn't work.
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AnswerFrog
November 19, 2009 12:34 PM in reply to ericf
Exactly. The fillibuster should be gotten rid of. The House once had it and got rid of it about 100 years ago. Works a lot better now.
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AnswerFrog
November 19, 2009 12:18 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
True. But since GOP mostly wants to destroy govt and everything wholesome and pure, it is an easier task to simply obstruct and oppose everything in the most ruthless fashion.
If your goal is to make the country better, you can get suckered into working with your opponents quite easily (like Sen. Kennedy did with Bush's education bill). And then this favor isn't returned.
It's assymetrical warfare. Dems have failed, but the devious nature of their opponents is partly to blame.
It's sort of like being stuck on an deserted island with a nutcase, who you feel you must try to get along with to survive. Meanwhile the nutcase is mostly sharpening their knives and planning on how to properly slit your throat while you sleep.
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TheRealFish
November 19, 2009 12:28 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
If only it were that simple, but it's not.
The Rethugs remaining in congress are deep-Right only. The Dems "tent" has liberals, moderates (a few), and many DINOs who are really pretty conservative. How Bush got his legislation past cloture is because 1) the Dems didn't threaten filibuster on every damn piece of legislation as the Rethugs are now. They (the Rs) have broken every record for numbers of filibuster threats in the entire history of congress; 2) those conservadem DINOs voted for cloture with the Rethugs on many occasions. You would be hard-pressed to find one Rethug that would side with the Dems over there on the Senate side (why people like Snowe gets such attention).
So, yeah, the Dem Senate "majority" include Lieberf*ck, who is the deepest, darkest DINO of them all, which means the Dems can't "get tough." The numbers DO NOT support it.
About the question of this article, what would be enough to pull these process traitors into line? Maybe we need to pay them more than their corporate overlords. You know, good old fashioned bribery, since that is the real master they serve.
I'm just sayin.
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trblmkr
November 19, 2009 1:31 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Yeah, the hypocrisy galls me too. Call me a cynic but I don't see Nelson/Landrieu's 'objections' as being rooted in philosophy or electoral politics but pure bribery.
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Indie Pro
November 19, 2009 11:57 AM
His words make conservative democrats look like cowards, not very good at talking to people about what their actions mean.
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TheRealFish
November 19, 2009 12:43 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Just like Lieberf*ck, the words are really not the important thing; they are just a spew of fog attempting to create an impression that covers the actual truth, that they are corporate whores defending thier corporate pimp masters. He and the other DINOs have just as many principles as their Rethug bretheren. It's what I like to call a Plus-Zero philosophy.
I personally find it more instructional to realize that Ben Nelson, just like Bart Stupak, Sam Brownback, Bill Nelson, Tom Coburn, John Ensign, Mark Sanford, and oh so many others, are all members of Doug Coe's quasi-religious organization the Family, and that their ultimately power-centric and the great unwashed masses be damned philosophy is the Plus-Zero one that rules all their actions.
If you haven't yet, you might read Jeff Sharlet's book (The Family) for a thorough discussion of thier distorted — and highly politically influential — motus operandi.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
November 19, 2009 12:06 PM
i still simply cannot fathom the continuing abuse victim mentality among the red state Democrats that if only they will vote correctly, the Republicans won't beat them up them next election.
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human
November 19, 2009 12:07 PM
"The vote is the second cloture vote, and that is the cloture on a motion to cease debate, and I wanted that clear, because I've already begun to see people out there say, 'oh no, no, if you vote [to take it up] you've voted for health care."
Wrong, and Nelson knows it, so he's just flat-out lying. A vote on a motion to cease debate isn't the vote either, that would be the final vote on whether or not to pass the bill. Nelson, like other phoney Democrats, doesn't want the real vote to happen, because he's a coward who never wants to go on record as voting against HCR.
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xargaw
November 19, 2009 12:15 PM
Mary and Ben do not need convincing. There is nothing substantial with respect to the bill to convince them about. They have been bought by corporate interests and now they are both between a rock and a hard place. Their excuses have flown out the window and there is no sound reason to obstruct. They have to decide. It is up to the voters to make them understand that it will be far more harmful to them to screw the voters than their corporate benefactors. They have been led to believe over and over again that there is no price to pay for shafting the people. Let them know that this is NOT TRUE.
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Progressive Party
November 19, 2009 12:24 PM
Conservative Democrats know already know their end game on their vote. They keep away from the public to withold any public wrath or scorn while trying to line up more money and favors to their own self-intererts. Fucking ignore them and flush them down the toilet bowl of life!
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Mateo123
November 19, 2009 12:53 PM
I think we need to just accept the ridiculously conservative senate and move ahead. It looks like Reid insists on keeping the filibuster. As such, we need to address Mary and Ben separately, later, once the votes are tallied and we have a form of a public option.
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FlownOver
November 19, 2009 1:27 PM
Better question: can they be primaried? Tell me where to send a contribution.
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trblmkr
November 19, 2009 1:46 PM in reply to FlownOver
If this article is indicative of Nebraska's own peculiar brand of crazy, I would say the answer to your question in Nelson's case is 'no.'
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/20/us/20stem.html?hp
The latest science v. crazies battleground.
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Mateo123
November 19, 2009 1:59 PM in reply to FlownOver
They cannot be primaried.
But, Democrats can win more seats. Take South Dakota. Thune should be in big trouble. We have to compete in Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Missouri. I mean, I am frustrated with Nellie and with Lincoln. But, we have to expand our majority. I know, hard to imagine, but the GOP is a regional party, for the most part. It appeals to rural southern voters. Fine. We'll take Florida and Arkansas (which is less rural than you think, given the Memphis MSA) and the rest of the states outside of the south. They can have the rest of the South.
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theone718
November 19, 2009 1:33 PM
This bill won't change too much from what it was before. The final bill never does. Hopefully we get some more expanded coverage and affordability. Ezra Klein says this is a pretty darn good bill, so I can accept that.
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sanssouci0
November 19, 2009 2:53 PM
The democratic party is absolutely pathetic and I see no other viable alternative to it in our duopoly, winner-take-all system. After eight years in exile, you forget how aweful the democratic party actually is, and remember why voting for Nadar, (so long as you don't live in Florida), was not a bad idea.
It is hard for the democratic base to rally around this bill, and if the Carper sleight of hand is introduced or Stupak nonsense added, the democratic majority is looking at a historic route in 2010.
The democratic party as a group, Obama included, has no moral fiber, conviction or substance. Democrats are a sheer negation of some of the most extremist positions in the increasingly radical republican party. The most devasting aspect of this "disenchantment" of the base, is that it will be all the more dramatic, as it follows a paroxysm of optimism following 2008.
Although at first one may have harbored some hopes that Obama's bipartisan approach may have been a strategical ploy, it now appears simply hopelessly weak, naive, and passive. The democratic party has let every major substantive piece of reform be defined and framed by the republican party and their facilitators in the MSM. Because Obama has been so reactive in all his decisions, even when his administration does take such strong moral positions such as 9/11 trial decision, they appear weak and "defensive."
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rbe1
November 19, 2009 4:23 PM
One look at their photos convinces me that here are two people who don't have any fun.
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