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2010 Campaign Preview: Democrats To Say GOP Still Party Of Bush

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Last week TPMDC explored the conditions that led to the Republican takeover of the House in 1994 and point-by-point detailed why a similar rout in 2010 is unlikely despite a tough political climate.

Today, Rep. Chris Van Hollen who is in charge of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, dismissed potential signs of trouble but stayed on his message that no matter what happens next year members won't be caught unprepared.

He said as confetti was still falling last fall when Barack Obama won the presidency he was warning members they faced a tough mid-year cycle.

"This is not going to be 1994 all over again," Van Hollen told reporters at a briefing at the DNC. "The fundamentals are very different today."

Their strategy: GOP just wants to rewind the clock to Bush era.

"The Republican party in Washington today is no different than the Republican party that ran the Congress before," Van Hollen said.

It's a message they will push especially in districts where there are repeat Republican candidates

Democrats think the economy will actually work to their advantage - if there is an uptick, they can say they stepped in to save it from a deeper dive and say Republicans voted 'No' on every piece of legislation that helped to turn it around.

"The big question will be who was on your side during this very difficult period of time," he said.

But if it doesn't get better?

Then there's real danger, Democrats say privately.

But to give a sense of how much more difficult the landscape is this time around, Van Hollen detailed that 42 members are in their "Frontline" program of toughest battlegrounds, a number that has increased as they scooped up GOP seats over the last few years.

"We are living with the results of our own successes," he said.

That gives them a smaller playing field to go on offense.

As we have reported, Van Hollen said the Democratic message next year will be deficit reduction, from President Obama's State of the Union address on down to the rank-and-file.

Van Hollen was pressed on whether a frustrated base of liberal Democrats would stay home from the polls next year, and he said that while many have forgotten about children's health care, the fair pay act and education reform, they are "all measures we could not get passed" under then-President George W. Bush.

Van Hollen said members who benefited from record turnout in 2008 "will have to be very clear that the future success of the Obama agenda is at stake and even though president is not on the ballot that everyone who supported the president in the last election has to get out and support candidates [to boost] the president's agenda."

He said members must hold their voters plus the independents who voted for Sen. John McCain and a Democratic member of Congress.

Van Hollen also said fears of retirement floods are overstated, and though he thinks it is possible there will be more announced soon, "we absolutely do not expect a large surge in the order of 1994."

Republicans are gloating about their position in 2010, and Democratic members are prepared for "a challenging year."

Based on history, members knew they should "fasten their seatbelts and get ready from the start," he said.

The health care news from the briefing is here.

Comments (49) | Join the Conversation!

Recommend Recommend (1)

December 17, 2009 6:56 PM   

The Democrats should try to push a bill focused on getting people back to work in infrastructure projects and on training people to work in a renewable energy economy.

They should push the Public Option or Medicare expansion not just for policy but politically, it polls well in places like North Carolina, Iowa, Arkansas. Force Republicans to position themselves in the way of a popular measure. Also push to allow importation of cheaper drugs.

Also push repealing Bush's tax cut for the richest Americans as a way to keep the deficit under control. If the GOP wants to try to block this let them.

The Party of No Changing What Got Us Into This Crisis can be trapped on bad political terrain.
Go get 'em.

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December 19, 2009 10:01 PM    in reply to sirclown

a recipe for disaster

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December 17, 2009 7:00 PM   

Duh!

"The Republican party in Washington today is no different than the Republican party that ran the Congress before," Van Hollen said.

Jeez, We KNOW that. Unfortunately, it's also the same Democratic Party that we had during Bush. THAT'S the real problem.

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December 17, 2009 7:23 PM   

Making people aware of what the GOP has done or not done in 2009 should be enough. You don't even have to say W's name.

Listen, just recruit the team from The Daily Show and go from there.

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December 17, 2009 7:30 PM   

It is more the party of Palin-Bachmann 2012 and Oily Taint . . .

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December 17, 2009 8:04 PM    in reply to Richard L. Adlof

Absolutely. Bush? Yeah, please, let's not take notice of conditions as they are now and exploit them. Instead, let's do the "safe" thing and plan to refight the last war. That's always a recipe for success.

Make the Republicans own the crazy in 2010.

It's right there under your noses, and in your faces, day after day, you fools.

Make. Them. Own. The. Crazy. In. 2010.

Make them the party of DeMint and Bachmann and Steve King. Make them own the obstruction. Make them own the Teabaggers and the gun nuts. Get the simple hard truth through people's heads that the three Republicans they see on the Sunday shows are not the real face of the party. The inmates are running the asylum and all the guards and the doctors have run away screaming in terror.

Make them own the crazy.

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December 17, 2009 8:56 PM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

Yeah, make the party that is in the minority in both Houses of Congress own 2010. The party that doesn't even have enough senators to filibuster is going to own 2010.

In other, related news: Democrats on left wing websites write stupid, illogical bullshit.

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AJM

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December 17, 2009 9:54 PM    in reply to masanf

Make the Rethuglican party own their own votes like the ones against Franken's rape amendment and own their own crazy tea baggers and consorting with birthers and failing to inform their constituents that yes, Medicare is a well loved government program and no we wont let you have Medicare for all. And, oh yes, the global climate deniers who propose to let your grandchildren fry. Nevermind Bush, the current crop are well to his right but better said are even crazier.

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December 17, 2009 10:04 PM    in reply to masanf

A more careful reading of the comment may have revealed that NCSteve wrote "own the crazy in 2010" and not "own 2010." It looks similar but I assure you the meaning is very different.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:35 AM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

Yeah, it's a helluva a strategy. Too bad the Democrats will never, ever, EVER find the spine to employ it. It's the party of no vs. the party of weak-willed, scared little boys and girls.

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December 17, 2009 7:44 PM   

Bush yesterday, Bush today, and Bush tomorrow. Hang it around their necks at every opportunity, they've earned it. Start every answer to every question with something like, "Well, if you want to go back to the republican Bush years, you can do that by voting for a Republican, but if you want to move forward..."

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December 17, 2009 7:57 PM   

Aww c'mon. It's gonna take 50 years before history will be able to judge the Bush/Cheney years.

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December 17, 2009 8:20 PM    in reply to jeffgee

I haven't got fifty years. So, if it's all the same to you (or, even if it's not) I'll start judging them now.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:49 AM    in reply to jeffgee

No, it's going to take 50 years before history will CONVICT the Bush administration.

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December 17, 2009 7:57 PM   

I'm not sure about this strategy...

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December 17, 2009 8:54 PM   

And Republicans can respond that the Dems are the party of Obama because at this rate, Bush will be more popular by the time the midterms roll around.

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EH

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December 17, 2009 9:09 PM    in reply to masanf

Progressives should start calling Democrats the Party of Cheney.

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December 17, 2009 9:47 PM    in reply to EH

The funny thing about your comment is that you think Americans know the difference between a Progressive and a Democrat.

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EH

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December 17, 2009 9:50 PM    in reply to Viva!America!

I'm not talking about Progressives as seen by "Americans," I'm talking about people to the left of the current Democratic Party.

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December 17, 2009 9:59 PM    in reply to Viva!America!

I will answer this question for you Viva because I used to at one time wonder about the difference between socialists, communists and Nazis. I finally realized that only they would know the differences but the main this is that they were all evil. It is like that with Progressives, Democraters and liberals.

I loved the title of this article! It is real good to know that I have become even more appreciated in my retirement. McCain/Palin tried to go mavericky on us but we are still the party of me! And we will persevere by continuing to keep on trying.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:42 AM    in reply to The Decider

Bush didn't write this! It's far too cogent. Next time, mispell sum wordz, bee wrong gramakally, and lose yur...your...ya know, that big things on traks -- oh yah, your TRAIN...yur train of...um, I can't be fooled again.

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December 18, 2009 5:12 AM    in reply to masanf

Maybe in your reality. You really should take up permanent residence there...Noone wants you here.

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AJM

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December 17, 2009 10:00 PM   

The proposed Bush method needs to be pre-tested by Madison Avenue advertising wizards. This is practically a neurological science in how to manipulate and the Democrats have yet to catch up with the Rethuglican's Sputnik in this regards.

If this proposed reminder is simply a verbal reference to Bush I suspect the voters will say to themselves Bush is history and how dumb do you think I am. On the other hand, if you simply show the candidate at some event supporting a bad bill with Bush and don't say much beyond saying that the candidate still supports this bad position people will feel uncomfortable and won't know why.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:47 AM    in reply to AJM

And you honestly believe the Democrats are this insightful, purposeful, and organized?

"I am not a member of any organized party -- I am a Democrat." -Will Rogers

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December 17, 2009 10:43 PM   

Shit, this isn't rocket science, just steal their 2002 mid-term campaign:

"Those Republic Party obstructionists need to give us an uppadown vote, uppadown now."

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December 17, 2009 11:40 PM   

Too bad the Democrats are looking more and more like the OTHER George W. Bush party.

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December 18, 2009 12:26 AM   

Dems would be wrong saying that.

The GOP has given up Bushism.

The GOP is now the T.E.A. Party.

Bush wasn't whacko enough for the GOP. They are now a party of total lunatics, Ignorants and bigots.

My Black neighbor wonders why I'm surprised at what GOPPERS look like when they finally came out of the closet, take off their sheet and showed off their fear of the future, intolerance, hatred, bigoty and stupidity.

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December 18, 2009 1:33 AM   

George Bush just hanging out, giving a few speeches. He left an odd situation in DC. All the newspeople aren't handling no PAC that good. I don't think he's really keeping up with Obama in the media, more or less missing in action.

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December 18, 2009 7:30 AM   

The message should be less Republicans are like Bush and more Bush is Republicans, they are one in the same. The point is Bush could not have destroyed the country without his rubber stamping Republican enablers. They were more than happy to throw out their fiscal responsibility ideals to make the rich richer. Less blame Bush, more blame Republican congress.

Republican congressional power equals a doubled national debt. American families' incomes actually decreased by 4% during Republican power. Poverty and the uninsured increased by 20% during their reign. This is what history has proven happens to the American public when Republicans get what they want. Then follow with "Can we trust Republicans to do what is BEST for our country?" "Can we believe what they say, when they have been proven to be liars time and time again?" Also highlight all their hypocrisy. This should take the wind out of their base a little bit since the Bible doesn't look too fondly upon hypocrites.

The next line of attack should focus on the fact that Limbaugh, Beck, Palin, and the psycho teabaggers are in charge of the GOP. A vote for a Republican should be synonymous with handing power to extremist frightwingers. This should run a lot of the independents away. Also use their Nazi-like "purity" test to make moderates run away. Today's GOP doesn't represent or respect moderate ideals. They are only the voice of the fringe. Unfortunately this fringe has been allowed to grow.

Let's get our game face on, and to all my disappointed dem friends, just focus on being anti-republican. Our future depends on it.

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December 18, 2009 9:00 AM   

There's only one way for the Dems to win: More Algore poetry!

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December 18, 2009 9:25 AM   

Democrats may be coporatists and in it for the money, but atleast they aren't the GOP. Inspiring.

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December 18, 2009 10:14 AM    in reply to Indie Pro

It's more than enough to get me to the polls.

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December 18, 2009 10:38 AM   

Perhaps the Republicans can run on the platform of "Republicans: At Least We Aren't Pussies"..

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:52 AM    in reply to Rick, King of the Jews

As a lifelong Democrat, may I say....Amen!

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December 18, 2009 10:47 AM   

Oh what a surprise! After failing to do anything about some of the worst, most dangerous, illegal and corrupt practices of the Bush years, the Democrats are going to focus on Bush's personal lack of popularity instead of policy differences since they really don't have much to run on in that respect. Disgusting.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 11:58 AM    in reply to oleeb

Because the whole two-party ruse is about nothing but misdirection and deception. Rather than bickering about the differences between Democrats and Republicans, we, the people, should focus on creating viable independent or third party candidates. But then we wouldn't be playing into the hands of the "hold onto power by any means possible" Demo/Publican political machine, would we?

- Assume your Senators are on the take. They are.

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December 18, 2009 10:49 AM   

How can Dems now argue that the Bush administration was such a disaster when our own President Obama decided not to investigate their crimes AND now supports many of their policies?

The biggest failure of the Obama administration was that early decision not to hold former Bush administration officials accountable for their various legal and ethical crimes during their 8 year reign of terror. This early signal emboldened the Republicans (yes, the same ones who praised Bush's lawlessness) to go into full obstruct mode. What did they have to lose? As each vital and important legislative issue comes up and is blocked that decision will haunt the Obama administration.

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December 18, 2009 10:50 AM   

Oleeb:
You are quite correct. Maybe someday the Dems will realize they serve a function other than to capitulate to Republicans then call their lack of spine "bipartisanship"...

They are truly disgusting...

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December 18, 2009 10:52 AM   

Pathetic. It's time for a Tea-party / Progressive alliance to tear up both political parties and start over.

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December 18, 2009 10:53 AM   

You know, maybe a better strategy would be to blame everything on Herbert Hoover.

Or, how about, "It's all Richard Nixon's fault."

Yep. There's the ticket!

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December 18, 2009 11:03 AM   

I would run against Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck and the teabaggers. Make them own the kooky crazy haters.

Bush is getting a little passe.

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December 18, 2009 11:12 AM   

With Democrats like Joe Lieberman and Ben Nelson, who needs Republicans?

The idea that we have 60 Democrats in the Senate is ridiculous anyway. Everyone knows by now the actual number of Democrats in the Senate is much lower than that; the House has the same problem.

Recent events have made that painfully obvious to everyone.

And for those calling on the Progressives to create their own Party. That is ridiculous as well. We already HAVE one. Its called the Democratic Party.

It's the Blue Dogs and Centrists that need their own.

And by the way, the Republcans don't want these people in their Party any more than we do.

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December 18, 2009 11:13 AM   

I would run against Sarah Palin and Glenn Beck and the teabaggers.

Palin, Beck and the teabaggers aren't responsible for the mess we're in. The Dems, OTOH, are responsible for any accomplishments that get us out of this mess. If I were running as a Dem, I'd run on those accomplishments.

Of course, it would be nice if I could enumerate some of those....on one hand even....

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December 18, 2009 11:21 AM   

LOL. Blame it on Rio. BTW, can someone explain what exactly is the distinction between Obama and Bush? Afghanistan? Iraq? Debt? Maybe competence... yea, that's it.

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RKT

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December 18, 2009 12:02 PM    in reply to davidal66

Wait! You believe George W. Bush was COMPETENT?! Do you also believe Attila the Hun was liberal?

I really needed a good laugh this morning. Thanks.

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December 18, 2009 12:19 PM   

Me too. He was not competent; that's the point. While facing a near-depression here, Obama continues Bush's policy in Iraq and surges in Afghanistan, continuing the epic cost of tens of billions per week. Money that is needed at home.

It is precisely this policies, started by Bush and continued by Obama, which demonstrate this incompetence.

Of course there are stylistic differences. Obama is coherent and, at times, eloquent; Obama the mumbler and bumbler. Is there a single issue that Obama believes passionately about? The public option? The one issue he goes to the mat for, alienating his progressive base(obviously I'm not progressive as fair disclosure)is the one issue which is draining and ruining our country.

For it is not enough to show a picture of Bush and say, "Here's the shmuck who's bankrupted America, draining HUNDREDS upon HUNDREDS of BILLIONS of dollar in useless wars...." Not when the obvious retort is, "Here's Obama who continues W's policies, spending even more money in Afghanistan."

This is a bit 1984 this a.m. at TPM with the giant picture of E. Goldstein AKA GWB. What's next Eurasia is now our friend?

A review of Obama's principled distinction with Hillary on the 'mandate' for health care during the campaign is instructive, and laughable. As is his pledge of having the entire machinations with health care played out on c-span. As was his support for the public option, and subsequent abandonment of the public option. As was his embrace of Lieberman and scorn for Dr. Dean.

RKT. You miss my point completely. President Obama is not Cheney's cousin at all; he's Bush's twin.

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December 18, 2009 12:58 PM   

You know, Schmed-ley December 18, 2009 11:13 AM, may be on to something!

Hey, let's start listing the accomplishments ... on the one hand, there's ...

Give me a minute here! Uhhh ...

Hold on ...

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December 18, 2009 6:27 PM   

All the Republicans will need to do is show:
how HIGH the debit has risen under Obama.
What is really in the medical bill. Doesn't matter what is in it at 2000+ pages this is going to have a LOT of JUNK
50% already don't want this whole medical takeover to happen
Cap & Tax is being debunked day by day.

NO global warming since 1998. Ice caps are INCREASING in the north the last 2 years. Climategate. Polar bear numbers are actually rising. Taxes going through the roof, people are NOT going to like Obama's idea of drastically increasing utility bills, and driving companies to countries that do not have the same rules thereby destroying the remaining manufacturing jobs.

NYC increased taxes on the rich. Guess what? It didn't work. Some of them moved out. Some of them just reduced their income. Second earners quit to stay home with the kids, or decided to pay high priced accountants to find loopholes. So who do you think WILL end up paying higher taxes?

Durbin admitting that even HE doesn't know what is in the medical bill. If the #2 in the senate is pushing and going to vote for something he doesn't know about. How do you think that is going to turn out. Seriously, I don't care WHAT side you are on. That is there JOB to know what they are voting on. THEN after understanding it you make an INFORMED vote.

I think they are in BIG trouble.

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December 19, 2009 10:10 PM   

net win for repubs is plus 35 house seats plus 6 senate if things stay as they are now. if things get better it will be less. but, you all don't know what is happening, most banks are on the edge, unemployment will rise, perhaps to 13%, foreclosures still up, and the latest fad, commercial real estate is about to collapse. if you add in the very unpopular terrorist trails in NYC, and another terror attack, hell, hopey mcchange may quit and you wont be able to find a democrat in DC. BUT , IT ALL DEPENDS............

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