
By June 1, there will be about 100,000 troops in Afghanistan with a mission of weakening the Taliban, rooting out Al Qaeda and helping the Afghan government bolster its own forces.
President Obama's wartime decision comes after weeks of private Situation Room meetings between key Cabinet members, generals and his national security team. After nine of those meetings, Obama also has spoken with world leaders and allies who are backing him by sending more troops of their own.
Republicans after weeks of blasting Obama for taking too long already are hailing the decision as the right one. Meanwhile, left-leaning groups question the cost in both blood and treasure, and Code Pink is out with a tough new flier mocking Obama's "hope" slogan and marching in front of the White House today.
Obama at 8 p.m. in a speech at West Point will set a timetable for withdrawing those troops and benchmarks, the White House says, for evaluating success there.
Mindful of the political repercussions, the DNC tells the 2.7 million on the Obama Twitter feed that he will "lay out the path forward" in Afghanistan.
White House aides say Obama is not making the decision lightly - especially given the letters he signs to grieving military families and his recent trip to Dover to honor fallen troops returned home for burial - and the administration knows with more boots on the ground that will inevitably lead to increased casualties.
No one should be surprised Obama has upped the troops in the region - it's an issue he campaigned on from the beginning of his presidential run in 2007.
But it's also important to remember that Obama already sent more troops to Afghanistan - nearly 40,000 more. This new surge of troops comes following a highly publicized report by Gen. Stanley McChrystal, who warned without an increase of at least 40,000 the U.S. would face "mission failure."
TPMDC interviewed military families and those currently serving, and a common theme has emerged - they are worried the policies Obama put in place to allow for longer "dwell" time between deployments might have to go out the window to maintain such a high number of forces in Afghanistan.
When Obama nearly doubled the number of troops in Afghanistan earlier this year, pundits declared it was now "his" war. Now, MSNBC's Keith Olbermann is calling for the troops to come home and some Democratic leaders are suggesting a "war tax" to pay for it.
CNN is reporting that Obama will bring the war to a close within three years and administration officials are saying the war will end before Obama's term is up. (Officials told reporters later the drawdown would "start" in 2011, but be subject to conditions on the ground.)
Beyond the specifics, which the White House will lay out in more detail for reporters this afternoon, here's what we know.
The White House (and Pentagon) were frustrated with leaks during the process.
Obama is wary of the cost, with Press Secretary Robert Gibbs repeatedly telling reporters that 10,000 troops equals about $10 billion.
"The costs of our involvement in Afghanistan, both in terms of our men and women in uniform, the health of the force, and what this will mean budgetarily I can assure you have been part of this discussion from the very beginning," Gibbs said Monday.
We also know that historically the American people will rally behind a president following a wartime decision.
Jon Soltz, and Iraq War Veteran and Chairman of VoteVets.org believes Obama will get a boost after the speech, but cautioned the polls may not hold given the war has gone on for eight years.
"There will be a tremendous amount of skeptics on his left, and that will continue to grow after [tonight] because after that he owns it," Soltz said.
Soltz said VoteVets members are worried the policies such as the 2-year dwell time between deployments are "at risk" because "the math doesn't add up."
A poll of members showed more than 50 percent want a limited mission, he said.
Soltz said he is concerned about corruption in the Karzai government and fears Obama is "putting the burden of this country's foreign policy on a 21-year-old kid" instead of the taxpayers, the nation or Congress.
Ed. Note: This post has been updated.
SpiderPig
December 1, 2009 1:00 PM
He's damned if he does, and damned if he doesn't. I'm trusting that he's received the best and wisest counsel and is making his decision based on that. He thinks long-term and it's played out for him in the past. We'll have to wait and see how it goes...
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ondioline
December 1, 2009 1:12 PM in reply to SpiderPig
You must not have been around yesterday. Those are the OLD rules. Thinking long-term? Waiting and seeing how it goes? No, no, no. You're supposed to have already decided that the plan, which we still haven't heard outlined by the man who is responsible for it, is the wrong decision. You can't be so patient if we're rushing to judgement. Rush to judgement now!!!
(And yes, I'm being snarky...)
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AJM
December 1, 2009 3:13 PM in reply to ondioline
Where have you been for the last eight years?
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ondioline
December 1, 2009 4:50 PM in reply to AJM
Silver Spring, MD. Washington, DC. Chicago, IL. Detroit, MI. Raleigh, NC.
Where have YOU been for the last 8 years?
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theWalrus
December 1, 2009 1:26 PM in reply to SpiderPig
Sadly, he's simply following Bush's lead:
http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2009/12/01/afghanistan/index.html
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 1:41 PM in reply to theWalrus
What do Obama and Bush have in common?
HINT
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Dorn76
December 1, 2009 3:18 PM in reply to theWalrus
Didn't the surge, in conjunction with the Sunni Awakening, work?
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Dorn76
December 1, 2009 3:22 PM in reply to Dorn76
As a tactic, I mean, I am not surprised Obama is going this direction. As an overall strategy, this strikes me as different.
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FZ1999
December 1, 2009 4:35 PM in reply to Dorn76
Completely different situations.
Afghanistan is much rougher terrain, lacks the numerous urban centers of Iraq, has not yet suffered an ethnic cleansing on the scale of Iraq [which contributed more to peace than the 'Awakening' open source counterinsurgency], and its only exportable resources are drugs and 'terrorism.' It borders a nuclear power whose role in the continued conflict is ambiguous and acts as a shelter for our declared enemies, as well as an aspiring nuclear power hostile to the US.
In Iraq, our COIN doctrine was centered around the building up of the 'host governments' legitimacy (read the COIN manual, Ch. 1), yet we quickly departed from that by co-opting tribes to do our 'kinetic' dirty work. The major objective of COIN was to 'create the security necessary to foster political space' in order to solve outstanding issues over the new federalism, Kirkuk, revenue sharing etc. None of these issues were solved during the Mandate period, the Monarchical period, the Republican period, or Saddam's reign. International Crisis Group has produced numerous reports on the political situation [esp vis à vis the Kurds] that should be labeled 'Must See' for anyone who claims the "surge" was a success.
To think that "drop more soldiers in, try to buy off tribes" is going to work just because it 'worked' in Iraq is dreamy.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 1:33 PM in reply to SpiderPig
In Vietnam we won every battle, and still lost the war. The same thing is even more likely to happen in Afghanistan. There is no military solution in Afghanistan. And by turning the war over to generals who think that there is, rather than maintaining a broader strategic objective, Obama has made the same mistake as Lyndon Johnson.
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 2:48 PM in reply to SpiderPig
This same thing could have been written about the Bush administration from the rethuglican perspective.
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Viva!America!
December 1, 2009 1:07 PM
While I am a fan of Keith O. I don't give a shit what he is calling for. We should not give such importance to a pundit.
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SpiderPig
December 1, 2009 1:12 PM in reply to Viva!America!
Ditto.
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again
December 1, 2009 1:47 PM in reply to Viva!America!
My goodness, how is it that the most vociferous defenders of this cool and well-spoken President are so hot-tempered and foul-mouthed?
I myself don't care what a pundit such as K. Olbermann has to say. But I do care what a constitutional litigator such as Glenn Greenwald has to say, or a retired Colonel, Andrew Bacevich have to say. And they've been far more critical of the President on this and other issues than K. Olbermann.
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Viva!America!
December 1, 2009 2:23 PM in reply to again
Pundits should not be given the importance that Keith O did in this article. Look at the people that were spoken to or quoted in this article and then the author mentions that Keith O wants out. If I had no idea who this guy was, I would think that this guy was some uber influential head of state who has access to the President. He calls for? Why should the president worry about what Keith O. calls for?
And Greenwald, constitutional litigator? fancy. yeah, I don't care what he "calls" for either.
I don't mind criticism of the President. I just find the level of importance that is given to a paid pundit, absurd.
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again
December 1, 2009 2:38 PM in reply to Viva!America!
But Viva, regardless of whether you think of Greenwald as "fancy" (your word), it seems that no matter who disagrees with the President's decision, either they or their concerns are routinely dismissed by you.
I don't know why I should care that you continue to do this, as I don't know that I find you particularly "fancy", yourself. However, I do fine your comments typical of the somewhat rote thinking of the remaining Obama loyalists.
BTW, what did you make of those Rasmussen numbers? Or do they also not matter?
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 2:59 PM in reply to Viva!America!
I suppose his criticism was right on, or at least you didn't object, when Bush was President. This is typical of the democrat hypocrites.
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Dorn76
December 1, 2009 3:20 PM in reply to T Groan
Call the waaambulance.
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Middle Road
December 1, 2009 3:54 PM in reply to again
I agree with you. I am getting so tired of reflexive support for Obama. He isn't going to do anything unless we make him and we aren't making him do anything unless voices criticizing his actions are not silenced. When we call him out, we are not necessarily all republicans.
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FreeRider
December 1, 2009 4:36 PM in reply to Middle Road
Reflexive support? LOL. From whom? Olbermann, Huffington, Greenwald, Krugman, Kos, Salon, Fire Dog Lake, MoveOn, OpenLeft, Maddow, Schultz?
Give me a break! The left hasn't stopping pissing and moaning since Obama was sworn in!
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Virginia
December 1, 2009 1:08 PM
I really, really like the idea of a war tax - although I recognize that it won't happen. Just the same, I would love to see all of these hawks have to put their money where their mouths are.
Failing a tax, how about a voluntary "support the troops" funding campaign, a la the public TV and radio drives. It would be very interesting to see just how strongly the American people feel about the need for overseas military adventures, when it's a matter of opening up their wallets to support them.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 1:20 PM in reply to Virginia
It will be a great day when our schools get all the money they need and the Air Force has to hold a bake sale to buy a bomber.
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Bushie
December 1, 2009 1:53 PM in reply to Virginia
The Bush/Obama war tax is backing a cut in inheritance tax to the tune of 230 Billion bucks. Your DLC in action
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FreeRider
December 1, 2009 3:19 PM in reply to Bushie
Nobody is talking about an inheritance tax cut. That story was about what they proposed 5-6 years ago.
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again
December 1, 2009 1:13 PM
"We also know that historically the American people will rally behind a president following a wartime decision."
Don't count on it.
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Kubrick
December 1, 2009 1:14 PM
The important question to ask for us liberals is what could happen if he pulled out? Could Afghanistan really become a breeding ground for terrorist groups - would our pulling out have led to a further destabilized Pakistan, which has nukes?
I'm sure they looked at everything, and now I hope that this mission succeeds. I don't see Obama conducting war because he wants to, and if Afghanistan is really over in a few years (and we have secured the area, is it worth it?) More questions than answers here...
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SpiderPig
December 1, 2009 1:16 PM in reply to Kubrick
Welcome to his world.
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AJM
December 1, 2009 3:23 PM in reply to Kubrick
And also consider whether having more of us in Afghanistan will lead it to become an easier recruiting ground for terrorists and/or simply send Al Qaeda to some other failed state.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 1:18 PM
"CNN is reporting that Obama will bring the war to a close within three years."
Good luck with that. My own crystal ball says that we will be even more tied down there, and that it will be even more difficult to withdraw in the midst of an escalated war than it would be to withdraw today. In the meantime, Iran (and other nations in the region) will make sure to escalate their own material aid to the Taliban, knowing that as long as they can keep American forces tied down, they can safely proceed with the construction of an atomic bomb. While Karzai and his crooked relatives continue looting what's left of any value in the country, secure in the knowledge that American forces will continue sacrificing their lives to maintain him in power. Next to Barack Obama, Lyndon Johnson is beginning to look like a brilliant strategist.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 1:29 PM in reply to rstephen
What does your crystal ball say about the alternative of pulling all U.S. troops out now, allowing the Taliban to reacquire control of the country, thereby allowing jihad to spill over into Pakistan with OBL and Al Quaeda getting their hands on the Pakistani nukes, causing Iran to open wide their borders and their nuke development technology to their brother revolutionaries? I imagine you might have to get a second crystal ball to keep track of all of the possible political and military vectors arising from that point on.
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again
December 1, 2009 1:51 PM in reply to Schmed
Has it occurred to you that in escalating in Afghanistan, we're actually putting ourselves at greater risk of a terrorist attack?
Do you even recall what it was that so set off Osama Bin Laden in the first place?
Let's be frank, if we can't capture OBL, there's little we can do to fix Afghanistan and Pakistan.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 2:07 PM in reply to again
Has it occurred to you that in escalating in Afghanistan, we're actually putting ourselves at greater risk of a terrorist attack?
Yes, it occurred to me. Then, I dismissed the notion with the conviction that cutting and running would be the worst strategy imaginable given the political turmoil that it would cause Afghanistan, Pakistan and India (plus those Middle Eastern opportunists in the Iran / Iraq theater). You don't go into a war half-assed (a lesson Bush never learned) and you don't pull out of one half-assed, particularly when there are nukes to be had.
Do you even recall what it was that so set off Osama Bin Laden in the first place?
Yes, I do. U.S. troops are still in Saudi Arabia. Precipitously withdrawing from Afghanistan isn't going to change that. Israel is still a presence in Palistine with our support. Precipitously withdrawing from Afghanistan isn't going to change that either.
Let's be frank, if we can't capture OBL, there's little we can do to fix Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Your premise is faulty on 2 counts: 1) we could have captured OBL, but Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld needed a bogeyman to whip up fear and support for their little adventures; 2) we aren't going to fix either Afghanistan and Pakistan and it would be sublimely naive to think we could. The objective is to contain the enemy long enough for the locals to incapacitate them permanently.
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again
December 1, 2009 2:15 PM in reply to Schmed
"I dismissed the notion with the conviction that cutting and running would be the worst strategy imaginable given the political turmoil that it would cause Afghanistan, Pakistan and India (plus those Middle Eastern opportunists in the Iran / Iraq theater). You don't go into a war half-assed (a lesson Bush never learned) and you don't pull out of one half-assed, particularly when there are nukes to be had."
Cutting and running? How is that defined? Would any graceful and humble exit have to be called "cutting and running?" (Wasn't cutting/running the obsession of Bush and Cheney and McCain?)
"Precipitously withdrawing from Afghanistan isn't going to change that either."
But precipitously building up in Afghanistan is even less likely to change that.
"we could have captured OBL, but Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld needed a bogeyman to whip up fear and support for their little adventures."
Does that mean that we haven't captured OBL in these last ten months because Obama needs a bogeyman to whip up fear and support for new little adventures that he hasn't the spine to say no to?
"we aren't going to fix either Afghanistan and Pakistan and it would be sublimely naive to think we could. The objective is to contain the enemy long enough for the locals to incapacitate them permanently."
Pure Vietnam War rationale. Didn't work back then, either, and the Vietnamese were a good deal more amenable to peace than the Afghans.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 2:41 PM in reply to again
Cutting and running? How is that defined?
Withdrawing our troops in such a way that leaves the country even more destablized than when we entered it. Pulling troops out quickly for a political "win" without developing a local structure that can withstand enemy military and political attacks.
But precipitously building up in Afghanistan is even less likely to change that.
No one said it would. You brought up OBL's motives, so it's for you to explain how those have any bearing on how Obama conducts the war in Afghanistan.
Does that mean that we haven't captured OBL in these last ten months because Obama needs a bogeyman....?
No. It means your premise was faulty. It still is.
Pure Vietnam War rationale. Didn't work back then, either....
Analogies are only as useful as the similarities. As in Vietnam, we're in a war we shouldn't have started and we want out. Withdrawal is the objective. You can withdraw quickly (cut & run), pulling your resources and supports out in such a way that creates further instability and power vaccuums, thereby inviting chaos and the inevitible collapse of any kind of manageable political and social framework. You can also withdraw in an orderly fashion based on providing enough resources to stabilize the situation long enough for local control to develop and take control. Unlike Vietnam, the military consequences of taking shortcuts in Afghanistan for political points at home are far more devastating to us and the world.
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AJM
December 1, 2009 3:37 PM in reply to Schmed
"long enough for local control to develop and take control"
Any reason other than wishful thinking to think that this will occur?
Isn't the real question whether or not our presence in Afghanistan will backfire by causing even more resentment? Or put another way -- the fewer wedding parties we shoot up the better.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 3:44 PM in reply to AJM
Any reason other than wishful thinking to think that this will occur?
I expect to have some idea sometime after 8:00 pm tonight.
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Dorn76
December 1, 2009 4:15 PM in reply to Schmed
"Cut and run" is a Republican talking point used to paint Democrats as soft or weak on defense. Don't co-opt it as a way to support this Democratic President's war policies.
Withdrawal does not have to mean cutting and running.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 5:43 PM in reply to Dorn76
Republicans don't have sole title to the English language. Also, the intensity with which some posters here are expressing the desire to bring troops home strikes me as more than precipitous. "Cut & run" sounds appropriate to me unless and until the schedule of withdrawal is more clearly defined as tempered.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 2:04 PM in reply to Schmed
Unfortunately, you are merely parroting another version of the domino theory that was always used to keep us stuck in Vietnam. Though your version of the end of the world is even more improbable than the one used then.
The world didn't come to an end after the communists took over Vietnam, and it is even less likely to occur if the Taliban take over Afghanistan again. Pakistan has lived with a Taliban government in Afghanistan before - in fact, they are the ones who invented the Taliban, and Afghanistan is still no match for Pakistan's military forces.
Furthermore, the Taliban are unlikely to make the same mistake and invite another American invasion, and the subsequent loss of power for another decade. They would likely prefer to live in the presidential palace rather than in caves. Though if they are as crazy as you assume they are, and provoke another military confrontation, America always maintains the option of forcing them back into their caves. We are, after all, still the most powerful country in the world.
Declaring victory and withdrawing from Afghanistan would actually allow us to rebuild a military that has been severely damaged and demoralized by two wars that we should never have gotten into for as long as we have. Prolonging the war in Afghanistan is neither strengthening America's military nor our position around the world. It's precisely the opposite.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 2:22 PM in reply to rstephen
The comparison to Vietnam is your bugaboo and it isn't a particularly apt comparison. The world wasn't particularly threatened by a communist overrun of a third world country that had virtually no geopolitical import outside of US domination fantasies. OTOH, if the jihadists get their hands on Pakistan's nukes, your blithe dismissal of the consequencies may let you sleep well at night, but I'm not nearly so sanguine. Do you really think that the Taliban will be content to remain in Afghanistan? If so, why is the Swat Valley no longer a big tourist draw? Peshawar is in turmoil right now and Islamabad is not so far away from there. How do you plan on neutralizing those rogue nukes from afar?
Nature abhors a vaccuum and so does political instability. Cutting and running will create a political vaccuum that will be filled, count on that. The repercussions of that thunderclap will suck us back into war within 5 to 10 years, possibly a nuclear one. Considering that option, dominos is the least apt comparison for which you could grasp.
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maven81
December 1, 2009 2:38 PM in reply to Schmed
The Taliban is NOT Al Quaeda! You discredit your entire post by making such a vast logical fallacy. And assuming that Al Quaeda is in Pakistan, or elsewhere, fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan does absolutely nothing. In fact occupying it longer only plays in the hands of the Taliban since it takes people that may not be radical, and sends them into the hands of the radicals.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 2:46 PM in reply to maven81
I haven't equated the Taliban with Al Quaeda. They do, however, work together against a common enemy (us and our allies) and are both in Pakistan and Afghanistan. We are fighting both entities in both places. That's the reality now and for the foreseeable future.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 3:23 PM in reply to Schmed
"The world wasn't particularly threatened by a communist overrun of a third world country that had virtually no geopolitical import outside of US domination fantasies."
That certainly wasn't what people like you thought at the time. And if America was never threatened by a communist takeover of southeast asia, it is certainly much less threatened by a Taliban takeover of a country that really isn't even a country. More of a collection of tribes and warlords.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 3:52 PM in reply to rstephen
That certainly wasn't what people like you thought at the time.
What people like me thought at the time was "this war is total bullshit. I have nothing against the Vietnamese and I have no intention of either enlisting or being drafted into the Army. My family is perfectly happy to relocate to Canada if it comes to that." That's what people like me thought of the war in Vietnam. Any more speculative bullshit about "people like [me]"?
And if America was never threatened by a communist takeover of southeast asia, it is certainly much less threatened by a Taliban takeover of a country that really isn't even a country. More of a collection of tribes and warlords.
I'm not the one plugging the false Vietnam comparison. Don't expect me to defend it. My concern here and now is the danger of nukes falling into the hands of those who have no compunction about using them, not some foolish bullshit about the similarities between Vietnam in the 1960's and Afghanistan in the 2000's without a passing regard to their differences.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 5:59 PM in reply to Schmed
"What people like me thought at the time was "this war is total bullshit."
No, that's what people like me were thinking. People like you were thinking the same thing you're thinking now: that it's impossible to just leave, because that would invite certain disaster.
"My concern here and now is the danger of nukes falling into the hands of those who have no compunction about using them."
Then you should be more concerned about what Iran is going to be doing while we're bogged down in Afghanistan, since the Taliban doesn't have nuclear capability.
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Schmed
December 2, 2009 1:28 PM in reply to rstephen
No, that's what people like me were thinking. People like you were thinking the same thing you're thinking now
I doubt that there are people like you. Arrogant stupidity of your stripe could only reside in a singularity. The juxtaposition of "think" and "you" is a perfect oxymoron: a thinking person would find it impossible to comprehend the mind of someone they've never met.
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maven81
December 1, 2009 2:25 PM in reply to Schmed
As I recall exactly the same things were said about Iraq. If we pull out now the radicals will take over, there will be a bloody civil war, Iran will gain a foothold in the region etc.
Well guess what, there will be civil war whether we leave or not. OBL is probably In Pakistan anyway, and Jihad is already there. Pakistan brought this upon themselves as they've been supporting the Taliban either openly or through inaction.
Regardless, even if you believe that some sort of military presence must be maintained, I don't see why it has to involve boots on the ground. The air war being carried out by UAVs seems to be relatively successful, and doesn't put any soldiers in danger.
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Schmed
December 1, 2009 2:57 PM in reply to maven81
As I recall exactly the same things were said about Iraq.
Are the Pakistani nukes as mythical as the Iraqi WMD?
Well guess what, there will be civil war whether we leave or not.
You break it, you own it. We started the massive bloodshed in Afghanistan in 2001. We have an obligation to at least suppress it if not eliminate it before we pack our bags and go home. This country acquiesced to the will of the warmongers for 8 years. Now we want to pull our finger out of the dyke without getting wet(ter). Guess what? The flood is coming and we better build some boats before we pull out.
Regardless, even if you believe that some sort of military presence must be maintained, I don't see why it has to involve boots on the ground. The air war being carried out by UAVs seems to be relatively successful, and doesn't put any soldiers in danger.
That's based on the premise that we can operate those from a long, long distance. We can't, which is why we suck up to Pakistan so shamelessly.
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MrMasterson
December 1, 2009 1:22 PM
We created Osama when we pulled out prematurely after helping them get rid of Russia. We trained them then left them with a nation that wasn't sustainable by any other means other than opium production.
This has to be done. I don't like it anymore than anyone else but it has to be done.
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again
December 1, 2009 1:29 PM in reply to MrMasterson
You could just as easily say that we created Osama (who is not, after all, from Afghanistan) when we started the first gulf war under the first President Bush.
And no, this does not have to be done. You are mistaken, and so is the President.
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Dorn76
December 1, 2009 4:17 PM in reply to again
That settles it then.
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again
December 1, 2009 1:23 PM
"I don't see Obama conducting war because he wants to, and if Afghanistan is really over in a few years (and we have secured the area, is it worth it?) More questions than answers here..."
I don't see Obama conducting war because he wants to, either. In the same way that I don't see Obama making closed-door deals with big pharma and insurers because he wants to. In the same way that I don't see Obama doing the bidding of the largest financial institutions because he wants to.
He's simply not strong enough to stand up to them.
That's not entirely his fault.
We have a profoundly broken system.
However, that does not excuse an escalation (and that is what sending 30,000 troops into Afghanistan is) just because you can't say no to the generals and the MIC.
Especially given that the severe recession we are currently experiencing means the buildup in Afghanistan will present very significant opportunity costs.
And who will we borrow the money from to fight this war?
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JimmyBobby
December 1, 2009 1:44 PM
I am disappointed.
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Kubrick
December 1, 2009 1:55 PM
OK, let's hear him out tonight...
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again
December 1, 2009 2:01 PM in reply to Kubrick
Indeed, I'm sure everything will change after the President explains it all for you. At least, for those who haven't lost or are at risk of losing family or friends or spouses in one of our recent military misadventures, or for those who don't remember the fallout from Vietnam - and not just in terms of veterans' lives, but in terms of how it rent the fabric of our society for decades and likely still does.
Or for health care workers who are still dealing with patients who are still dealing with the effects of Agent Orange.
Hey, I'm not against war. Like the President, I'm just against "dumb wars" (his words.)
This is a dumb war any way you slice it. And this is a truly dumb escalation.
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WaitWut?
December 1, 2009 4:56 PM in reply to again
It’s ignorant comments like this that make me sick.
My son (as I mentioned below) is a Marine. He has been for 7 years and will probably be for life. His decision was a well thought out, difficult one and made with the support of his family and friends. We are all aware of the risks involved. Yes. I worry. More than you could imagine. He is not only my only son, but my only child. His job is an important one and I will never doubt his decision. I support my son, my President and my country more than my liberal sensibilities should allow.
I don’t need you to tell me whether or not I should support our President’s decision. Will his speech change my opinions? Possibly. Will it make me worry more or less about my son or the thousands of other service members? Not a chance in hell. Will it change my opinion of war in general? No friggin way. I spent Thanksgiving with my son and his new wife quietly thinking to myself what the President’s decision could mean for them both. Don’t think we kid ourselves. We know all that could happen and we live with it every single day.
Do us military moms and dads a favor and don’t speak for us.
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again
December 1, 2009 8:15 PM in reply to WaitWut?
I hate to tell you this, but I can speak for the veterans I served, and for my friends in the military.
You can speak for your son. No one spoke for you. No one told you what to do. Don't presume what I did for you.
You come in and change the diapers and pick up the vomit and then you come back and tell me I have to be silenced by someone I don't even know on the internet.
You're on "before" and I hope you stay that way. Not all military personnel are so lucky.
Don't YOU dare speak for the mothers who lost their children, or who are coping with returned vets who don't have proper care.
And don't you dare tell me I can't speak for them.
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WaitWut?
December 2, 2009 12:14 PM in reply to again
You speak for all veterans? Really?
No. I can guarantee you don’t speak for my father, my uncle, several friends, a couple of ex-boyfriends and friends of my son. I live in a town with many veterans due to the local VA. I’ve done volunteer work with one of the veterans that I’ve known for over 8 years. I actually talk to the vets I know...and listen. I know their stories. Do I claim to speak for all of them? Hell no. Each of them has their own opinion and despite their physical and mental ailments, are all capable of speaking for themselves.
Do I speak for all military parents? Not a chance. I’ve been a member of an online military parents community for almost 7 years. Many have lost a child. One mother lost her only child, a son. She quit her job to protest the war and donate her time to disabled vets. Another mother that lost a son spends her free time, along with her daughter, working to send books, paper, pencils, etc. to Iraqi children because her son, before he was killed, told her how desperate the children were to learn. I don’t speak for either of them. I do support and respect their decisions and positions.
War is not a peaceful protest or sit-in. It’s pain, suffering, loss and fear. You obviously have a distaste for war, for good reason. But to say that you can speak for anyone else is arrogant and presumptuous.
I do thank you, however, for the “hope” that you give to my son. I only hide the fact that I’m terrified from him and his new wife. It’s his job. I would probably worry just as much, if not more, if he were a cop. I spent Thanksgiving with both of them and found myself just looking at them both and saying a silent prayer...to any God that would listen.
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WaitWut?
December 1, 2009 2:10 PM in reply to Kubrick
That's the smartest thing anyone has said, yet.
My son is a Marine and I'm waiting to hear what his boss has to say before passing judgement. I had hoped for total withdrawal with special, and training, forces to be left behind until (wishful thinking) the Afghan military was strong enough to take control. I'm tired of watching our military fight other countries wars. But, I'm no expert. Despite the obviously intelligent comments here, none of us has seen all the cards our President has been dealt. Each of you has your own excellent observation and opinion, but I'm not voting for any of you to take over his job.
No offense.
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Middle Road
December 1, 2009 2:00 PM
I am glad he is keeping atleast one of his campaign promises. I just wish it had been single payer, or closing Guantanamo Bay or something like that, that we actually cared about.
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FreeRider
December 1, 2009 3:22 PM in reply to Middle Road
Obama never campaigned for president on single payer. In fact, he made it clear that he opposed single payer because it was unworkable. But don't let the facts get in the way of a good anti-Obama riff.
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 3:34 PM in reply to FreeRider
Unworkable means campaign contributors will take a big hit financially. God can't have that !
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Middle Road
December 1, 2009 3:37 PM in reply to FreeRider
Hey, dont jump down my throat, I have been one of his biggest supporters.
Take a look at this, or just Google "Obama campaign single payer".
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/08/19/obama-touts-single-payer-system/
And please dont tell me he didn't promise to close Guantanamo Bay either.
We bargained away single payer even before we started negotiating and now we are bargaining away public option because "it is simply one feature amongst many" of HCR.
I am not a repub troll, don't you dare dismiss me with a flip "Don't let facts ....". Blind knee-jerk support is going to get nothing done. I would rather be a critic that holds his feet to the fire.
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Xantar
December 1, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to Middle Road
Ah yes, if they don't agree with your criticism of Obama, call them blind knee jerk supporters. Because that's going to get them to see it your way.
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FreeRider
December 1, 2009 4:32 PM in reply to Middle Road
Read the story. Here's what he said “If I were designing a system from scratch, I would probably go ahead with a single-payer system,” Obama told some 1,800 people at a town-hall style meeting on the economy.
When he was in the state senate, Obama made it clear that he thought a single payer system was best. But as a presidential candidate Obama always said "if I were designing a system from scratch . . ." He said implementing a single payer system would require dismantling our current health system, which is untenable.
Obama's healthcare plan was NEVER for a single payer system.
You are right, Obama campaigned on closing Gitmo. When he was sworn in he said he planned to have it closed within a year. He now states he is unlikely to meet that deadline but insists that it will be closed as soon as possible.
Is that what you call breaking a promise? I don't. If he doesn't close Gitmo by the end of his term, then he will have broken his promise.
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drwu
December 1, 2009 2:05 PM
Will it take a Nixon to get us out of Afghanistan? ("RN, Our nation turns its lonely eyes to you...")
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 4:11 PM in reply to drwu
I can definitely see someone like Romney, three years from now, offering America a 'secret plan' to get us out of Afghanistan with honor.
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again
December 1, 2009 2:08 PM
Presidents mess up. Health care workers get to clean up.
We'll get to clean up the amputated stubs, the diapers, the vomit when people are going through chemo for whatever weird agents we're using now that will come back to attack the body decades later. And that's the easy part - the hard part is given to the mental health specialists.
For decades upon decades we'll all be cleaning up.
But the DC adulators who post here supporting the President no matter what? They'll be conveniently shielded from the stench and the pain of what they support. Because they're lawyers, or they work as lobbyists, or something else that protects one from the reality of the body.
Neat trick. But I'm not buying it.
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 2:42 PM in reply to again
They're the democrat version of CHICKENHAWK.
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Jeronimo Dan
December 1, 2009 2:12 PM
All obama is doing is fine tuning his his one term in office.
Does he not understand that the Pentagon and his Generals have one intention and that is be in a continuous war. War is their bread and butter, so their budget stays in the high billions.
If he wants the truth about the war in Afghanistan, then talk to the grunts on the ground, with no rank in the room.
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 2:50 PM
Question to all the Obama supporters here: When are you enlisting?
Fucking hypocrits no better than Bush supporters.
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Zipperupus
December 1, 2009 3:36 PM in reply to T Groan
I enlisted on October 25, 2004. How about you?
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 3:43 PM in reply to Zipperupus
Alas I'm too old to sign up for Obama's folly. Not that I would have anyway. But then again if it was something I believed in maybe I would. My point was to show that chickenhawks cross both party lines. Both the dumbocrats and rethuglicans have big talking pompous asses that are at heart cowards and corporate whores.
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FZ1999
December 1, 2009 5:04 PM in reply to Zipperupus
Uh...Why would he enlist if he hates the conflict? That was kinda his point there.
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Syncrofly
December 1, 2009 2:56 PM
I don't understand what the mission is. If it is to create a secure Afghani govenrment, in the mold of democracy (rather than Dictators which we're good at) - where it is stable enough that it can resist the taliban and prevent it from becoming an Al quaeda stronghold (which is a farse cause they just go to the next weakest country and set up shop there) ---- then the Mission is asinine. If the 'mission' is to destroy, as best we can, the existing forces coming from over the border and give the Afghani people a good shot at a 2 year respite from the existing anti-American forces with help from the international community including their muslim neighbors - then maybe.... but I need to know what the damned mission is. All this talk of failure and success seems meaningless to me. And without it, our troops should be home.
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NotBornEveryMinute
December 1, 2009 3:30 PM
The decision to send more troops was never in doubt. The political calculation was overwhelming. Consider this scenario:
1. Obama doesn't send troops the military says it needs.
2. There is _any_ act of terrorism in the US attributable to Al Qaeda.
3. Democrats would be out of power for a generation.
Politically, Obama can withdraw from Afghanistan only after finding bin Laden.
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T Groan
December 1, 2009 3:36 PM in reply to NotBornEveryMinute
Like most rodents that have settled into the white house I suspect Obama's primary concern is getting re-elected. In order to do that the current fucked up system requires massive amounts of cash. Much of that cash will, most likely, come from many of those that have profited from war. A corporate whore, nothing more.
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FreeRider
December 1, 2009 4:41 PM in reply to T Groan
Yet, he somehow managed to get elected without money from war profiteers. You sound like an idiot. That's because you are! LOL!
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again
December 1, 2009 3:40 PM in reply to NotBornEveryMinute
Love the Herriman avatar.
But disagree with the premise. That premise made sense during the RE bubble of 2002-2007.
Americans are facing far bigger problems than terrorism.
The acts of terrorism in this country could easily have been prevented through a minimal increase in security spending and technology, and better surveillance. From M. Atta up through the Fort Hood shooter.
It doesn't require 30,000 troops.
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rstephen
December 1, 2009 4:05 PM
Obama's plan for victory in Afghanistan is eerily reminiscent of Johnson's plan for victory in Vietnam:
In 1965, Johnson escalated American forces to 200,000.
Obama is escalating American troops to over 100,000, along with a similar number private contractors doing things that American troops used to do (only much more expensively).
General Westmorland promised victory in three years, by the end of 1967.
Obama is promising victory and to bring the troops home in three years.
Even the plan for Vietnam is virtually the same as the plan for victory in Afghanistan:
Phase 1. Commitment of U.S. (and other free world) forces necessary to halt the losing trend by the end of 1965.
Phase 2. U.S. and allied forces mount major offensive actions to seize the initiative to destroy guerrilla and organized enemy forces. This phase would be concluded when the enemy had been worn down, thrown on the defensive, and driven back from major populated areas.
Phase 3. If the enemy persisted, a period of twelve to eighteen months following Phase 2 would be required for the final destruction of enemy forces remaining in remote base areas.
The only problem is that it didn't work then, and it won't work now.
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maven81
December 1, 2009 4:34 PM
"Are the Pakistani nukes as mythical as the Iraqi WMD?
The nukes are not mythical, the threat of someone using them against us is. They don't have missiles with the range to get them here, and smuggling a big warhead like that would be no trivial matter. Not to mention it's unlikely Pakistan would just hand them over without a fight, or that India would just stand by and watch.
The point is that even if say Iraq HAD WMDs it still wouldn't be a threat to a country that has thousands of warheads.
You break it, you own it. We started the massive bloodshed in Afghanistan in 2001. We have an obligation to at least suppress it if not eliminate it before we pack our bags and go home.
The seeds of this conflict started decades ago, not in 2001. We have about as much chance of suppressing it now, as we do to obtain peace in the middle east. Far too many mistakes have already been made along the way. I forget who said this, but the very definition of stupidity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome.
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ETSpoon
December 1, 2009 4:52 PM
The Pentagon is out of control and William Gates is not the guy to rein it in. In fact we may be passed the point were reining in Pentagon excess is possible.
As a Marine Corps vet buddy of mine is fond of relating: "When I got out of Vietnam my sergeant said, 'Boys, if your going to make a career of this (the Marines), whenever the politicians in Washington end it, be sure to tattoo your rating on your shoulder. 'Cause you're gonna have it for a long time.'"
The sorry fact of the matter is among the uniformed military war is the fastest and surest method for promotion both in rank and pay. And as we now have a large, standing All Volunteer Force, i.e. professional military, there is no disincentive for the uniformed military to stop waging war.
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Odel Roo
December 2, 2009 12:15 PM
hey? does anyone know what the mission is other than don't be another Vietnam? In the presidents speech did he state what the "Commanders Intent" is? So very sad.
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