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House Braces For Final, Painful Compromises But Leadership Confident They'll Win Over More Blue Dogs

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House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., House Education Chairman George Miller, D-Calif., House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., House Transportation Chairman James L. Oberstar, D-Minn., and House Appropriations Chairman David R. Obey, D-Wis., during a news conference.

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House Democrats believe they will secure additional health care reform votes from Blue Dog Democrats thanks to the Senate's more conservative version of the legislation. And despite deep misgivings, the House Democratic leadership expects to lose few if any progressive Democratic votes over the demise of the public option, paving the way to get a final bill to President Obama's desk by Feb. 1.

As the Senate prepares for a final vote to clear the bill, TPMDC chatted with several top House aides to get a sense of where things stand and what can be expected over the next few weeks. There are four key sticking points to be negotiated: the public option, abortion language, immigration and how taxes are applied to pay for it.

Leadership aides say progressives are prepared to take it on the chin and will vote for a final bill without a public option. But they say pro-life Democrats will seek direction from the U.S. Conference of Bishops as to whether they can support an amendment weaker than Rep. Bart Stupak's, thus setting up what will likely be the most difficult negotiation before a final vote.

Senate Democrats have repeatedly warned that any substantive changes to the bill they will pass tomorrow night will lose the fragile 60-vote coalition they've built, and it looks like they will get their way.

"I don't see how we don't largely accede to the Senate," a House leadership aide said.

The House bill raises taxes on people earning more than $500,000 per year and the Senate's does not. House aides point out the idea actually polls well and suggested they could meet in the middle and increase the income threshold for the new tax so it affects fewer people. Also, unions are not happy with the Senate's plan to tax high-end insurance plans so the House will argue that point.

Our sources tell us they expect a swift conference committee made up of relevant House chairmen Reps. Charlie Rangel (D-NY), Henry Waxman (D-CA) and George Miller (D-CA) but that most of the tough negotiating on the items above will be done by leadership and the White House health care team outside of the formal conference process. They expect it to function in a similar fashion as the perfunctory February conference on the $787 billion economic stimulus, which lasted less than a week.

The consensus among leadership aides is that the report would be completed and approved by both chambers in mid to late January, before Obama gives his first official State of the Union address.

"A long conference committee doesn't serve anyone's interests besides Republicans," one aide said.

Another Democratic aide told TPMDC that rank-and-file members are irritated Obama has shown more deference to his former colleagues in the Senate throughout the entire process. Still, the aide conceded that members are going to have to accept the Senate version because they are ready to be done with the fight.

"I don't think you'll see that much that's left up to chance, the negotiations will likely play out much farther in advance," the aide said.

Progressives will demand a good explanation from Senate colleagues on how choice and competition can be accomplished through their bill, another aide said.

"It would serve the House well to go another round on this, it's important to send a message to our base and some of our progressive allies that we're not just going to roll over on this," the aide said.

In 2010 it will prove politically valuable to have picked the fight, even though progressives understand it won't make the final compromise, the aide said. But it's not clear what that fight will amount to beyond a lot of grousing for effect on TV, all with the knowledge that in the end they will have no choice but to give way.

On the immigration front, aides believe that a promise of comprehensive immigration bill will probably be enough to quell any House dissent about illegal immigrants not being allowed to get coverage under the new legislation.

Leadership believes these issues can all be dealt with, noting weary staffers and members want to clear the decks.

"It's time to pass a good bill and move on" so members can start campaigning on its benefits for the 2010 midterm elections, an aide said.

The confidence that Democrats would add to the 219 members who supported their bill last month is thanks to the Senate bill being substantially less progressive than the bill the House passed in October, several aides said.

Democrats doubt they will get any Republicans - and may even lose the lone one they had, Rep. Joseph Cao of Louisiana - but think Blue Dogs will have a hard time voting against legislation that cuts the deficit while also having no public option. The numbers give them political cover, aides said.

Aides said despite the political discouragement from progressive members, there is optimism the bill will actually help people and do a lot of good, even at its most bare bones.

Comments (100) | Join the Conversation!

Recommend Recommend (2)

December 22, 2009 9:55 AM   

Why did the House even waste its time passing a bill if the Senate Conservadems were writing the bill all along? Anyway, nice that the Dems have removed that second-hump from our bi-cameral legislative body. Fitting, really, that the People's House is now irrelevant b/c the World's Greatest Deliberative Body doesn't take advice. Just money.

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December 22, 2009 10:27 AM    in reply to wbgonne

Actually, it seems most of the bill was written during secret meetings between health care industry lobbyists and White House staffers.

Just like the Founding Fathers intended!

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December 22, 2009 10:29 AM    in reply to Why oh why

its disgusting, and equally so to see this cheered by TPM and other progressives that once seemed outside the establishment.

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December 22, 2009 10:31 AM    in reply to Indie Pro

I about ready to pack it in on TPM.

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December 22, 2009 10:40 AM    in reply to wbgonne

they seem all too happy to let progressives and those to the left of "center right", who are vocal about problems with the Senate bill, become the enemies of the democratic party in order to polish up their turd of a bill. OK.

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December 22, 2009 10:43 AM    in reply to Indie Pro

I've begun to suspect that some of these clowns like FreeRider the Whaletail are actually RNC operatives. It would be a smart tactical move to engender a schism in the Dem party. (Not that the Dems need any help doing that.)

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December 22, 2009 10:48 AM    in reply to wbgonne

I don't know. I guess there are simply plenty of people in the democratic party, and around here, who want a center right party. Who like the DLC, and all they bring, like NAFTA, and no longer fighting againt losing any ground on Roe V Wade.

But then, people talk about progressives around here in the same manner as the GOP. Hard to tell.

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December 22, 2009 3:48 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

I don't think that is what they want particularly. The problem is that they don't know what a liberal party is and their points of reference are skewed so far to the right they think they are simply being practical and pragmatic just like the ill-informed faker at 1600 Penn. they so willingly follow to the gallows. It's sad, but as with most issues, they will learn (after it is way too late) how foolish they were and what a rotten decision it was to allow the worst, least ethical, and most onerous special interests write this bill and prevail.

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December 23, 2009 7:29 PM    in reply to oleeb

I've wondered whether they're Dem apparatchiks. They want unity and money (for the party). Good policy is incidental.

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December 24, 2009 4:34 PM    in reply to Tanjaoui

Bingo!

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December 22, 2009 12:34 PM    in reply to wbgonne

whoa, that would completely explain why whenever I read FreeRider and VivaAmer my HR goes up.

And I'm a Dem, not a progressive.

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December 22, 2009 11:06 AM    in reply to Why oh why

Right, I am sure that the industry LOVES having to cover preexisting conditions. I am sure that the industry LOVES getting rid of the predatory rescission practices.

It's a baseline. Is the bill perfect? Of course not. Anything that requires Lieberman's vote is going to be deficient. He's an idiot. So is Nelson. When Reid decided that he'd get 60 votes, the dialogue changed. The public option went out the door. Is it fair? Of course not. But, it's about as decent a bill as we can expect from 60 U.S. Senators.

The House should appreciate the fact that a super-majority is needed in the senate. And, frankly, it should cave on the public option.

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December 22, 2009 11:12 AM    in reply to Mateo123

Judging by their share prices (going through the roof), the industry LOVES everything about this bill.

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December 22, 2009 11:24 AM    in reply to Why oh why

Lots of factors are at work in assessing share prices for any given industry. To be sure, buyers today are excited about the prospect of some $400,000,000,000 in federal subsidies to their revenue line. But, their margin is still only about 3.5% because insurers have to insure the additional 17,000,000 people that will likely purchase insurance in the private market.

I guess what I am saying is that share prices will rise, but high share prices don't translate to high profits all the time. I mean, Bear Stearns was trading at $60 per share in the weeks before it plummetted. Likewise, Merrill, WaMu, many other firms were doing so as well.

We progressives should be happy we have a health care bill. The fact that it's done through the private sector isn't necessarily a bad thing.

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December 22, 2009 11:35 AM    in reply to Mateo123

Yes. Unfortunately, even smart progressives are too stupid--or ignorant of history--to know that. So, come 2010, they'll sit home--'cause there's no difference between the parties, right?-- or they'll follow Dan K and join the UFFD and hold back their money.

And then we'll deliver the House and Senate to the Republicans. Then all the lines will be clear again. We can go back to having a clear enemy. Obama will be trashed as too wishy-washy and beholden to special interests.

And we'll go looking for purer candidates like Kucinich or Lamont who stand firm for progressive ideals but who won't win. Then we'll blame the press for not doing their job and giving these candidates-- who clearly represent a majority of "the people" even though the people never vote for them--the exposure they give bought and paid for candidates.

Progressives are Republicans best friends. They live in a fantasy world. They think that purer candidates who won't budge on the key principles can win the day. And when progressives don't get their way, they stay home with the UFFD and windge in front of their TV sets.

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December 22, 2009 11:57 AM    in reply to Tintin

Yes, you are right, a lot of progressives will sit out the next election.

Doesn't this make you happy? Read the comments here (and your own) -- a lot of Democrats really, really hate progressives. So why should a progressive work and vote for Democrats in the next election?

To quote your post: Progressives are stupid and the Republicans best friends. You'll be glad to see the back us.

Sounds like a winning strategy to me.

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December 22, 2009 12:01 PM    in reply to Tintin

So progressives should just be happy we got "a health care bill". Or we're just too stupid to know that the Democratic Party has abandoned us for our own good. Good one. Close your eyes and think of England!

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December 22, 2009 12:08 PM    in reply to jah627

I think the poster was saying that certain progressives are too thick-headed to acknowledge that sitting out an election and thereby helping hand power back to the Republicans will make us all even worse off. Too thick-headed to acknowledge that the Bush Administration and any subsequent Republican Administration is worse by a factor of a thousand...Too "hurt" by feelings of "betrayal" that they're willing to help the Republicans get back in control and finish the dismantling of the Constitution far faster than the Democrats would...

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December 22, 2009 12:19 PM    in reply to Jarl van Hoother

far faster than the Democrats would

hilarious. I look forward to that being the next Dem slogan:

Slower Constitution Dismantling!

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December 22, 2009 12:25 PM    in reply to Jarl van Hoother

In terms of dismantling the Constitution, the former constitutional scholar is giving Republicans a run for their money:

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2009/11/24/civil_liberties/index.html

One could also mention Iraq, Afghanistan etc...

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December 22, 2009 12:37 PM    in reply to Jarl van Hoother

But intelligent to recognize that if we keep voting for "the lesser of two evils" we'll never get anything else.

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December 22, 2009 12:03 PM    in reply to Tintin

So progressives should just be happy we got "a health care bill". Or we're just too stupid to know that the Democratic Party has abandoned us for our own good. Good one. Close your eyes and think of England!

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December 22, 2009 12:59 PM    in reply to jah627

I think everyone should acknowledge that there is an ideological divide between many Democrats and those that call themselves progressives.

What many Democrats don't seem to understand is that progressives were serious when they said they wanted an end to the endless wars, environmental legislation, an end to discrimination against gays, and fair and affordable health care (among other things).

What seems to confuse some Democrats is that progressives would STILL want those things, as if winning the White House was enough and now issues are irrelevant.

Progressives will continue to fight on the issues and they will use the Democratic Party to try and make change. But the party is a means to an end -- not the end itself.

If Democrats want to throw the progressives overboard so be it -- we're used it. No progressive with any experience at party politics trusts the Democratic establishment.

But when the Democrats come crawling back asking for our help (and they will because there is no Democratic majority without the progressives) you know exactly what we will want in exchange: the same thing we wanted last fall.

Progressives don't throw away their values for a couple votes in the Senate -- Democrats do that.

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December 22, 2009 2:47 PM    in reply to numediaman

well said

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December 22, 2009 5:00 PM    in reply to numediaman

The problem is that even though Progressives dislike, and don't trust the Democratic leadership, walking away and refusing to vote for them only leads to a Republican majority, and loss of their seat at the table. At least with a Democratic majority, Progressives have a voice, but let the Republicans get into power, and that voice gets muzzled. Have they forgotten the Bush years already?

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December 23, 2009 1:00 AM    in reply to numediaman

Bravo!

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December 22, 2009 12:24 PM    in reply to Tintin

I know, it's like they insist on being in the minority even when there's a twenty-seat majority created largely because progressives -- young progressives -- showed up to vote for Obama.

Look, he's not perfect. Rahm Emanuel is a long way from the ideal Chief of Staff. But, Obama is getting things done. Do you think that the stimulus bill would have been done without Obama? Heck, if we didn't have 60 senators, that bill never would have had a chance.

So, I would say that with the way things are run in DC right now -- and I am talking about the filibuster -- we should be thrilled we had a stimulus bill and we should, generally, be happy that we have a health care bill that includes a nation-wide private plan that will likely help drive down premiums. It's not perfect -- at all -- but it will help millions of struggling people afford health insurance.

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December 22, 2009 6:36 PM    in reply to Mateo123

If you'd invested in Cigna in mid-October, your return by now would be over 20%. That's extraordinary.

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December 23, 2009 12:15 AM    in reply to Mateo123

If you support this bill you are not a progressive. It's that simple. So stop calling yourself one.

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December 22, 2009 12:40 PM    in reply to wbgonne

The House hasn't had much influence for years. It's not right but as long as the House can pass by majority and the Senate has to have 60, that's the way it will be.

The House bill was my last hope for getting a reasonable rate for older people.

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December 22, 2009 1:57 PM    in reply to Andreams

Yup. The Senate is perhaps the MOST un-democratic legislative body in a Western democracy that I know of.

Each of us in California (and I assume New York and Illinois) is virtually unrepresented in the Senate compared to someone living in Nebraska.

Makes you sort of disdain our "founding fathers."

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December 22, 2009 2:19 PM    in reply to Cal Gal

I'm in Florida. The senator for here got a Medicare Advantage freeze for those already on it. What he's totally ignoring is the 55-64 age group. We're getting royally screwed. Florida has a giant senior population but we also have a large group of soon to be seniors and the age/ratio in the senate bill should be criminal.It's higher than it already is in Florida and I was hoping for better, not worse.

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December 22, 2009 3:40 PM    in reply to Cal Gal

Well, hey, the structure of the Senate is itself the result of a compromise, one that was necessary to get the small states on board with the Constitution in the first place. But the Founders aren't responsible for the internal rules by which the Senate is run, like the filibuster and the numerous things that require unanimous consent.

They're only responsible for setting up a body in which the number of delegates from an area was not proportional to its population. But that sort of proportionality was a radical new concept at the time. The British House of Commons didn't choose members in proportion to the population at the time. And here in the U.S., time has skewed things to worsen the disproportionality in the Senate. The ratio of the population of the largest state to that of the smallest state is wider today than it was in 1789. We urgently need to address that widening gap, because it skews not just the Senate, but the Electoral College as well.

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December 22, 2009 7:55 PM    in reply to wbgonne

I hope they are prepared to lose in '10 and '12??? No independent that voted for "change" in '08 will turn out for these corporate sellouts.

http://www.actblue.com/page/killthesenatebill?refcode=postaction

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December 22, 2009 8:13 PM    in reply to wbgonne

For this reason, Pelosi suggested after the Senate "compromise" became known that in the future, the Senate will have to move first on legislation. House members have every right to be pissed at having to declare for a strong health care bill that will never see the light of day. They stuck their necks out only to have Senators cut them off. It doesn't bode well for trust of the upper body by the lower.

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December 28, 2009 4:14 PM    in reply to Big River Bandido

Yeah, and now they will all pay the political price for inaction.

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December 22, 2009 10:03 AM   

Runnin' things. It ain't all gravy.

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December 22, 2009 10:07 AM   

Please tell me that the U.S. Conference of Bishops is completely separate from the Catholic church and is registered as a political lobbying organization. Otherwise, the church has some mighty hefty back taxes to pay.

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December 22, 2009 10:40 AM    in reply to sunnysteve

More importantly, which members of Congress are in their back pocket? I want to know.

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December 22, 2009 1:59 PM    in reply to sunnysteve

Uh, not really. The tax code prevents non-profits from backing candidates, but not from lobbying on issues.

Not that I don't agree that "religious" should not equal "charitable" when it comes to tax exemption.

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December 22, 2009 10:19 AM   

"most of the tough negotiating on the items above will be done by leadership"

Only if trying to convince Nancy Pelosi and Steny Hoyer to put corporate interests first can be described as "tough."

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December 22, 2009 10:19 AM   

The worst fears of those who opposed John F. Kennedy's candidacy in 1960 are coming true - U.S. politicians are now consulting the Catholic clergical hierarchy for instructions on how to run the country.

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December 22, 2009 1:06 PM    in reply to Virginia

Exactly. It's absurd.

I tend to subscribe to the pro-life view (but believe that I am consistent in that I oppose the killing of all human life), but this is not the bill to use to kill abortion. And, frankly, it's not surprising to see insurers covering abortions. Doing so puts the issue of universal health care squarely in the abortion debate (or abortion squarely in the discussion on universal health care).

The Bishops, historically, have been pretty progressive on a lot of social justice issues like health care, crime, death penalty and the like. But, it's absurd to allow them to draft the language that fits into the health care reform bill.

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December 22, 2009 3:54 PM    in reply to Virginia

When I read that, my first thought was to wonder when the U.S. adopted the old European estate system that made the clergy an official part of government!

We've got a Supreme Court that is 2/3 Catholic, and now we have to consult the Conference of Bishops as to what legislation is "acceptable"?? This is an intolerable situation. I'm sorry if that sounds like anti-Catholic bigotry; it's just that I am tired of the way the Catholic Church has intruded itself into politics, just as I am tired of the way Protestant evangelicals have intruded themselves into politics.

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December 22, 2009 10:19 AM   

We're stuck with the Founding Fathers' legacy -- the Senate wasn't meant to be reflective of popular will, and it sure ain't. The reality is as long as the filibuster exists -- and make no mistake it wouldn't exist if the Dems didn't want it to exist -- you can't do nothin' without 60 votes, and there's no guaranty that anything that steps outside the broad outlines of the Senate bill will get 60 votes. "It ain't all gravy."

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December 22, 2009 10:20 AM   

My only question, if this is the leaderships' position, which do we eliminate completely? The House or the Senate? Because this statement says one is irrelevant, the House, and the Senate's Legislation is useless.

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December 22, 2009 10:33 AM    in reply to Connecticut Man1

The People's House is irrelevant b/c the Big Money Senate controls everything. An appropriate marker for the state of the nation and the Democratic Party.

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December 22, 2009 10:27 AM   

the special interests/corporate-centric US system wins again. Business as Usual under a new administration. Money wins.

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December 22, 2009 10:28 AM   

Get this done and move on. One of the reasons why Americans are down on health care reform because they see it seen as a distraction to what Americans REALLY care about which is JOBS JOBS JOBS.

The sooner that Democrats move off of health care and on towards JOBS the better for their prospects in 2010.

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December 22, 2009 10:40 AM    in reply to Maritza

Yup. And then we when we fucked on jobs you'll say move on we need to tackle climate change. And we again get fucked on climate change you'll say move on we need to tackle immigration. You are what is wrong with this democracy.

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December 22, 2009 11:54 AM    in reply to CranialRectalLoopback

"Democracy" means that when a conservative Senator who has a deciding vote wants to negotiate a compromise, you negotiate a compromise. I doubt seriously if it were 2001 and the PATRIOT Act were on the table, and it came down to one Democratic holdout who insisted that Republicans make changes to secure that Democrats' vote, you would be complaining about the failure of "democracy." You'd be championing it.

If we had 63 Democratic Senators, I doubt very highly there would be as much complaining about the failings of the Senate. We don't, and there is.

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December 22, 2009 10:31 AM   

That consultation with the Bishops, ie, getting permission, tells anyone listening about the ultimate status of democracy in the Christian tradition.

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December 22, 2009 10:33 AM   

My question is. At this point why even have a House of Representatives? They obviously no longer have any actual power. What a bunch of Spineless sellouts. I think it's time for a majority rule amendment to the Constitution. I think it's also time to do something to curb the Senate's power overall with something like a House overide. Something like - If the house votes for the exact same bill three times over 90 days and the Senate cannot pass it goes to the President for signature without the Senate. The Senate is a very undemocratic institution. It may have had a place when 90% of the country had no more than a 6th or 7th grade education but it is now clearly thwarting the will of the people far more often than serving it.

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December 22, 2009 2:09 PM    in reply to SolonLysander

I think it's also time to do something to curb the Senate's power overall with something like a House overide. Something like - If the house votes for the exact same bill three times over 90 days and the Senate cannot pass it goes to the President for signature without the Senate.

That's pretty extreme, though. The British pared down the House of Lords in 1911 with a much more moderate change - if the same bill was passed by three separate House of Commons, it became law without the Lords' approval. That pretty much destroyed the Lords' veto, and has only needed to actually be used a handful of times, because it put them on notice that they were the subordinate body. Something along those lines would be good - the Senate can delay and modify legislation, but doesn't get to prevent things that the more popular body wants passed from ever becoming law.

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December 22, 2009 8:12 PM    in reply to SolonLysander

My question is. At this point why even have a House of Representatives? They obviously no longer have any actual power. What a bunch of Spineless sellouts. I think it's time for a majority rule amendment to the Constitution. I think it's also time to do something to curb the Senate's power overall with something like a House overide. Something like - If the house votes for the exact same bill three times over 90 days and the Senate cannot pass it goes to the President for signature without the Senate. The Senate is a very undemocratic institution. It may have had a place when 90% of the country had no more than a 6th or 7th grade education but it is now clearly thwarting the will of the people far more often than serving it.

To have the override you want, you have to amend the Constitution and the procedure for amending the Constitution is very precisely set forth in that document. If you want it changed, work for the election of people who will do that.

If you are instead complaining about the filibuster, that isn't in the Constitution and it can be much more easily eliminated. But it probably won't be because both sides of the aisle have used it to their advantage and want to keep that option open in the future.

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December 22, 2009 10:37 AM   

Why, then, is there a House of Representatives?

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December 22, 2009 10:50 AM    in reply to CranialRectalLoopback

Because Nothing begins without them. They may be irrelevant this time around because of the historic nature of this bill, but going forward on other issues, they will be an extremely important part of the legislative body.

But I can say I can sigh a great relief.whew!. Because honestly it would have made me literally sick to my stomach to see that puppet michael steele and the repugs popping champagne bottles with those satanic grin of theirs rejoicing that they killed health care reform. just the thought of that makes me want to smash my television.

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December 22, 2009 11:27 AM    in reply to BossDrop

You bet. But folks think that Michael Steele is the running the Democratic Party.

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December 22, 2009 10:47 AM   

The problem is not the Senate. The Senate was created so that small states or states with low populations would have adequate representation relative to large states (2 Senators per state). It does that.

The problem is the filibuster rule set at a 60 vote threshold.

That rule is an obvious power grab by the Senate, so the Senate will have more power and influence over legislation than the House. Its great for individual Senators. But very bad for the United States as a whole.

As we've seen time and time again.

When people talk about gridlock in Washington D.C., the filibuster rule is what they are talking about. It can all be traced back to that.

It needs to go.

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December 22, 2009 10:52 AM    in reply to willia451

well said.

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December 22, 2009 11:56 AM    in reply to willia451

I agree with this, and I like the idea of a phased out reduction of the filibuster.

It takes 60 to defeat a filibuster now. Make it so that in 2012 it takes 58, and in 2014, 56; in 2016, 54; in 2020, 52; in 2022, no filibuster.

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December 22, 2009 1:11 PM    in reply to willia451

Exactly. Drop the filibuster

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slb

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December 22, 2009 4:36 PM    in reply to willia451

The problem is both things, because you could control a simple majority of the Senate with Senators that together represented only a very small portion of the population.

According to Wikipedia, about 50% of the population is in just 9 states: California, Texas, New York, Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Georgia. That's only 18 votes in the Senate for half of the country. (Note: the Wikipedia pie chart includes the territories as well.)

If you add up the population of the 25 smallest states (see http://www.worldatlas.com/aatlas/infopage/usabypop.htm ), which would give you half the votes in the Senate, the total (about 53.8 million) comes to just 17.72% of the population.

Wyoming, the state with the smallest population, has just over half a million people. It gets two Senators and one representative. The city of Los Angeles (not the Los Angeles metropolitan area, just the city proper) has 3.8 million people. The whole metropolitan area contains 12.9 million, larger than 44 or 45 other states. New York City has about 8.3 million people, and 18.8 million in the metropolitan area. Only three other states are larger than that: California, Texas, and New York itself.

Washington, DC has a resident population of 591,833. It is larger than the state of Wyoming, but it gets no representation in the Senate at all, and the only representation they have in the House is a non-voting delegate. Washington residents as a group pay more in federal taxes than those of 19 other states, and pay the highest per capita federal taxes.

We seriously need to change the whole structure of the body.

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December 22, 2009 10:49 AM   

I think it's also time to do something to curb the Senate's power overall with something like a House overide. Something like - If the house votes for the exact same bill three times over 90 days and the Senate cannot pass it goes to the President for signature without the Senate.

Sounds sorta Brit to me, with the Senate standing in for the House of Lords.
A simpler solution would be a provision inserted in Article I stating that debate on any measure on the floor of either house of Congress may be brought to a close by a majority of the members present. No more filibusters, in other words.

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December 22, 2009 10:56 AM   

Wow. When I read the part about pro-life Democrats seeking legislative guidance from the U.S. Conference of Bishops the first thing I thought of was a certain Middle Eastern country ruled by conservative clerics.

I.e.: Iran

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December 22, 2009 11:02 AM   

It doesn’t matter whether the democrats are powerless or control everything the one constant is they ALWAYS bend over and take it. There isn’t one brave one in the bunch. How inept are you if you get outplayed and out couraged by Leiberman and Nelson. So pathetic. Claiming defeat from the jaws of victory. Good luck in 2010.

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December 22, 2009 4:48 PM    in reply to pmb50

I wouldn't call what Leiberman and Nelson have displayed as "courage." Nerve, chutzpah, maybe. Lack of concern for the good of the country, definitely.

The problem most Democrats have is that they are concerned about governance. Republicans and very conservative Democrats don't give a rat's ass about governance -- they'd be just as happy to see the whole government collapse. So they are free to hold it hostage, to try to bring things to a screeching halt, and too bad for any innocent bystanders who happen to suffer as a result. But the center and left of the Democratic party happen to believe that a properly run government can be a force for good don't want that to happen, and thus are at a serious disadvantage in trying to negotiate when the sides become polarized and the anti-government forces decide to dig in their heels.

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December 22, 2009 11:05 AM   

US Conference of Bishops!? This is f*****g disgusting! I suggest they spend their time and energy in getting to the bottom of the sex abuse rampant in churches and stay the hell out of policing abortion. How come none of them have any issues about the wars we are fighting? All the people (Americans and others) that are being killed in these pointless wars. Oh wait! Those people are now out of the womb. The American right only gives a shit about you BEFORE you are born. Once you are out, the free market is supposed to take care of you.

Assholes!

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December 22, 2009 11:08 AM   

It seems we will get the bill that Obama/Rahm wanted all along. Very sad to read that the House will conform to Senate bill after only one day of news--- we would have hoped there there would be a vigorous debate in the conference. But the progressives seem to have their marching orders from the WH and DNC.

I'll still petition the progressives to fight it, even stop it if need be. We need public option w/ drug reimportation, prochoice and regulation of the insurance corps like Holland-- otherwise this is another Obama boondoggle for the corps.

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December 22, 2009 11:30 AM    in reply to bluestorm

The odds are stacked against the progressives because the Blue Dogs are basically Republicans that call themselves DEMs. The only hope real Democrats have is to elect more progressives. Howard Dean had the right strategy, but Rahm threw money at too many ConservaDems and now we have a Party without real unity. These GOP types pretending to be DEMs need to be primaried by good progressive candidates.

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December 22, 2009 12:11 PM    in reply to xargaw

Yes, here's a statement I see a lot and don't understand. Sure, I get it if you're talking about Connecticut and Lieberman, but, say, Nebraska and Ben Nelson? Would Nebraska seriously vote for someone "progressive"? Wouldn't they just choose the Republican instead? And isn't having a Republican who calls himself a Democrat and is at least willing to Consider Democratic legislation better than having one more Truly Insane Republican? I'll take a Ben Nelson over an Inhofe or McConnel any day of the week...

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December 23, 2009 7:46 PM    in reply to Jarl van Hoother

We need leaders who are willing to lead and educate the public. Progressives have a lot of very common sense solutions to problems that people can understand. Single payer (call it Medicare for All) - a perfect example - has never been given a serious hearing. The Dems should be supporting candidates who stand up for good policy. Even if we lose one round, we move the debate in the direction of merit based policy rather than beating each other with ideological cudgels. That's why the public hold Congress in such utter contempt. They feel condescended to.

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December 22, 2009 11:10 AM   

The senate filibuster is the most un-democratic object since the Florida voting machine.

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December 22, 2009 11:13 AM   

So the sell out will be complete with a few more televised theatrical flourishes on the part of wimpy House progressives. To be fair, this WILL change the rules of the health care insurance game, but not their power to extract profits using the time-honored method of crony corporatism the Democrats continue to embrace, along with their Republican cohorts. Business as usual.

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December 22, 2009 11:13 AM   

It seems the more people 'hear' about the healthcare reform bill 'before' it's complete, the more confused and frustrated they become. Because it will continue to change. At this point, the general public really has no idea what they think they are 'approving' or 'disapproving', since there is no final bill.

It may be that it's only the news media and the RNC/FOX that are benefiting from this ongoing confusing/frustrating media circus. Each day there is a new article written to press a different 'emotional' button for one group or another.

A prime example is Irresponsible CNN running a poll on the American approval rating of Healthcare Reform, when the poll was actually done 'before' the Senate completed it's version to vote on. Just to get hits on their website, and no concern to what their actions are doing to the mental health of American people.

So it seems at this point, it's 'much ado about nothing', until we have a completed bill.

My guess is that the millions of Americans who can't afford healthcare for their families, who were dropped, who are being denied coverage, or are about to lose their healthcare have not changed position.

We are just waiting for the bill to be done, so we can then evaluate it's benefit in our own lives.

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December 22, 2009 11:19 AM   

I don't notice much comment from the "they'll fix it in conference" crowd. In fact, I don't notice any comment at all.

Face it, we've been jobbed once again.

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December 22, 2009 11:33 AM   

In other words the neo-aristocracy should be congratulated for running the country on behalf of the plebes...who are here to pick the cotton...

I am sick of it...it makes me want to vomit...

and as soon as I can (unlike some Hollywood hypocrite) I am leaving...and hope never to return...the "republic" which never truly existed, is dead...

healthcare "reform" without a robust public option is evil...it is another piece of our system of glorious economic apartheid...

Gary Wills was right; Obama and the office of the president are the bitch of the system...owned controlled and under orders to preform...without provoking a coup...the individual described by Wills and the office itself being the tool of those who run the empire is incapable of doing anything to change the system...

and while it is true that the "system works" what is repugnant is that those words are uttered by the aristocrats with absolutely no sense of irony...of course the system works...just the way the aristocrats of the 18th century intended...rule on behalf of the permanent wage slave majority...who are denied basic human rights at every turn...

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/23110

so it goes...

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December 22, 2009 12:07 PM   

"House Democrats believe they will secure additional health care reform votes from Blue Dog Democrats thanks to the Senate's more conservative version of the legislation."

And they will lose millions of liberal voters like me. Why is the Senate the be all and end all of national legislation? Why do we even bother having a House of Representatives?

The political system is broken to the point of being unable to govern.

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slb

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December 22, 2009 4:54 PM    in reply to tommyo

The problem is that there is just absolutely no wiggle room on the Senate side. The Senate version of the bill looks like the only one that is capable of getting the 60 votes that are necessary for passage. Just about any concession to the House version of the bill is going to lose at least one Senator's vote, and is not likely to pick up anyone else.

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Jay

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December 22, 2009 12:16 PM   

If we must accept the Senate compromise of two non-profit plans supervised by the federal government but run by the private insurance companies can we at least leave the $6 bil seed money in the budget for non-profit health care coops to be started by state governments. In some states this might be a useful alternative to the private insurance non-profits.

Maryland Max

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December 22, 2009 12:17 PM   

James Madison explains the Senate

Should experience or public opinion require an equal & universal suffrage for each branch of the Govt., such as prevails generally in the U. S., a resource favorable to the rights of landed & other property, when its possessors become the minority, may be found in an enlargement of the election districts for one branch of the legislature, and an extension of its period of service. Large districts are manifestly favorable to the election of persons of general respectability, and of probable attachment to the rights of property, over competitors depending on the personal solicitations practicable on a contracted theatre. And although an ambitious candidate, of personal distinction, might occasionally recommend himself to popular choice by espousing a popular though unjust object, it might rarely happen to many districts at the same time. The tendency of a longer period of service would be, to render the body more stable in its policy, and more capable of stemming popular currents taking a wrong direction, till reason & justice could regain their ascendancy. http://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/v1ch16s26.html

By the owners, for the owners.

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December 22, 2009 4:58 PM    in reply to BenP

Madison and most of the others were worried about demagogues like Sarah Palin being able to sway large numbers of largely uneducated people with a stirring populist appeal.

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December 22, 2009 12:22 PM   

"But they say pro-life Democrats will seek direction from the U.S. Conference of Bishops"

What the fuck??? Who gives a shit what those assholes think? It's past time they started paying their taxes, although I'm sure the gutless Obama would never even consider mentioning such a thing.

What has happened to the Democratic party? JFK wouldn't be welcome in this pathetic excuse of a political party.

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December 22, 2009 1:03 PM   

Do understand that what people are reacting to in this article is what 'AIDES' said from their perspective, of what 'LEADERSHIP' said, from the perspective of the TPM Reporter.

There are no "quotes" from anyone specially on the topic of abortion or the U.S. Conference of Bishops.


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December 22, 2009 1:11 PM   

democrats, ushering democracy into its grave. heartbreaking, really.

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December 22, 2009 1:31 PM   

What Bush did to the Republican Party, Obama is doing to the Democratic Party.

The government will now coerce millions of Americans to pay premiums to private insurance companies. For the many Americans who cannot possibly afford this new tax, I mean *benefit*, our collective tax dollars will subsidize said payments to private insurance companies.

Private insurance companies wallowing in this new cash will do what?
A. Change into angels and provide the best possible health care for their premium paying, co-pay paying, and out-of-pocket paying clients?
B. Continue to be the ruthless, greedy, business men that they are, squeezing every possible penny of profit from every insured person, regardless of moral or legal imperative to provide actual health care benefits to such insured persons.

I'll take "B". I could be drunk, stoned, hit by a train, and recovering after a complete lobotomy, and I'll still take "B".

I think the quote that best captures what Obama and the Democratic Party means to me is:

"You've been hoodwinked. You've been had. You've been took. You've been led astray, led amok. You’ve been bamboozled.?

Malcolm X.

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December 22, 2009 2:10 PM    in reply to ScrewBush

So I imagine you think the state laws that require you to purchase automobile insurance are horrifying, too. How about the state laws that require you to purchase homeowners insurance? Are they a tax? What about the federal laws that require you to purchase flood insurance if you live in a flood area? Are they just as regressive? I mean, you're never going to use your flood insurance, in all likelihood, but the government still requires that you carry it if you live in a flood plain.

Look, there are a few different ways of achieving universal coverage. Subsidizing the consumer to buy private sector insurance is one of those ways. This isn't a bad deal. Sure, insurers love it because they will have more revenue, but more revenue doesn't equal great profits.

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December 22, 2009 4:22 PM    in reply to Mateo123

That's an interesting comparison that deserves some thought.

State laws do mandate that consumers who choose to purchase vehicles or homes must purchase private sector insurance. Such a mandate is predicated on liabilities that accompany the choice of purchasing those private sector products. Seems reasonable that private insurance be linked with such choices.

On the other hand, we don't purchase our bodies. Being born is not a consumer choice, and human beings are not private sector products.

I'm O.K. with the proposed mandate for health insurance so long as it is accompanied by a robust public option. Absent that option, the mandate should be removed or reworked before passage.

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December 22, 2009 6:39 PM    in reply to Watt Childress

I guess maybe people really are just things.

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December 22, 2009 2:03 PM   

Anyone who stops voting for Democrats because they don't like this bill is HELPING the ReThugs.

Don't you GET IT?

You probably voted for Nader in '00 and are still proud of it.

The lesser of two evils is not a lot of fun, but it sure beats the greater of two evils.

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December 22, 2009 4:51 PM    in reply to Cal Gal

Great slogan: "Vote for me, I don't suck quite so badly!". It sure gets me all fired up.

I think you miss the basic point, as long as we keep voting for the lesser of two evils (which is still evil) the Democrats will have absolutely no motivation to change and we will have lost any capability to influence them. After all, why take anyone seriously when you can take them for granted?

You need to face a simple fact, Ralph Nader did not cost Al Gore the 2000 election; a lackluster campaign, consternation over a Presidential blowjob, and a corrupt Florida election process did. But, I guess it's always easier to blame someone else. After all, if The Party didn't have Emmanuel Goldstein, it would have needed to invent him. And no, I didn't vote for Nader; I have no use for the man actually. It's just that I prefer to see him pilloried for things he actually did. But, even if he did suck away enough votes from Gore to influence the outcome, the fault isn't his, it belongs to a Democratic Party that took enough of its base for granted to lose an election.

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December 22, 2009 2:30 PM   

Hearing the "serious" people in DC tell us we should "hold our noses and accept" this thing reminds me of that really creepy scene in "The Sixth Sense" where this woman is shown poisoning her sick kid, and then admonishing her "Now don't tell me the soup tastes bad -- you know how that hurts my feelings..." The most screwed-up part of this whole situation is hearing the dysfunctional, Beltway-mentality crowd offer us poison soup and then telling us not to even complain about the taste... as if the problem was that we weren't satisfied, rather than the problem being that the DC crowd makes poison soup and then serves it to us.

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December 22, 2009 2:54 PM   

The main culprit in all of this are the lobbyists. The right of corporations to lobby is a right taken by force. Show me the court case granting them such a right. Obama is a constitutional law professor he knows he can kick out the lobbyist, tomorrow if he wants to.
Here are the grounds to kick them all out. A corporation can't be arrested. a corporation can't be sworn in court. A corporation can't hold public office. A corporation can't vote and never will. These four points are valid points that can't be disagreed with.

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December 22, 2009 4:00 PM   

Last I heard, Jane Hamsher has the signatures of 65 House members who pledged never to vote for a health care bill without a public option. If they keep their promises, and the GOP remains the Party of NO, then Nancy Pelosi does not have 218 votes.

If the 65 break their promises, Hamsher and others have promised to run single-payer candidates against them in the primaries.

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slb

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December 22, 2009 5:05 PM    in reply to rmwarnick

That strikes me as just as bad as conservative Republicans insisting on strict adherence to a "no new taxes" pledge from their representatives. One of the biggest problems we have right now is politicians who adopt rigid positions and refuse to change them even in the interest of good governance and the overall good of the American people.

I mostly agree with Jane Hamsher, but in this I think she is flat-out wrong.

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December 22, 2009 6:34 PM   

It was a great year. In congress the corporate-acracy was saved and reinforced. Nominated the same guy who got a PhD on the Great Depression and whose sole job was to monitor the economy but yet failed to see the biggest recession coming down the pipe when all signs where there. Sent more troops over to Afghanistan with no clear plan but just as long as the DoD and the Petagon wanted it, it must be the right move! Could've ended "Don't ask don't tell" with an executive order and could've closed Gitmo and sent the prisoners to another facility on that same order. Let the entire Bush administration off the hook for their crimes against humanity.Looking forward to more spineless negotiating and kowtowing to extreme right-wing interest.

And yet you right-wing conservative buffoons still can't see how good you got it.


Birthers, teabaggers, radical right wing "christians", secessionist, healthcare anti-reformist,etc., are all the same core group of poor, uninformed ultra-conservative pawns tricked by the corporate masters and cheerleadered by AM conservative talk radio to get these people to believe and vote against their own self interest.

It isn't any wonder that the main weapon to keep the rank and file conservatives in check is fear. Conservatives fear that their guns are going to be taken away, they fear that U.S. will become socialist, they fear that health care reform will kill off the elderly, they fear that the president is a muslim, they fear that when minorities are in power that reverse racisms will run rampant, they fear that every nation under the sun wants to destroy the U.S. and on and on. This is the main message of Limbaugh, Beck, Hannity, et al. to be afraid. After 8 hours a day at least 5 days a week conservatives literally become
brainwashed through the radio and then some on Fox news to be afraid and angry.

Conservatives don't even know what exactly they are trying to conserve. They speak of fair play and freedom but when a group other than their circumscribed group speaks about and want such things (i.e. gay rights, immigrants, minorities, the poor)these ideas suddenly become liberal pandering.

Conservatives don't realize that what they fear most is change. The changing of American society and of the world. Thus their behavior is not much different from other conservative movements around the world, i.e. Taliban, Al Qaida, Likud, Abadgaran. These groups want to maintain the status quo and use fear and sometimes violence to achieve their means. These groups target the same type of people to believe in their ideology. These are usually the poor, rural denizens who feel that the rest of society is moving too fast and that they are being excluded because the city centers are thriving and they are not.

It is this simple mind trick that has allowed the military-industrial complex to roll along unabated for so long. The very thing president Dwight Eisenhower,a Republican, warned against. However, it was only recently that Republicans were up in arms against the slashing of the military budget and discontinuance of the F-22 and only a couple of days ago voted down the defense appropriations bill. This is just another example of how twisted and convoluted conservatism/republicanism is. It contradicts one of their venerated leaders and ideals.

Unfortunately, contradiction and hypocrisy have become the norm for conservatives, so much so that entire shows are based on it and have become very popular (The Colbert Report, Countdown, The Daily show etc.). When conservatives are confronted with this, the usual retort is that it’s the “main stream media” distortion, wholly ignoring that “main stream” = normal or average, non-fringe. Again this is just fear working on these people, fear that their ideology is being pushed to the fringe creating the us vs them mentality.

“No passion so effectually robs the mind of all its powers of acting and reasoning as fear.” Edmund Burke.


The recent tom-foolery in the Senate is further proof, that the jingoistic, uber-patriotic rhetoric by the republicans is just that, empty rhetoric. The republicans/conservatives don't care about human lives, concerning military operations nor domestic welfare. How can anyone support a party whose ultimate goal is political gamesmanship to keep the status quo? Democrats are not much better, being to spineless to hold up to their ideals. Negotiating like a bunch of dithering do-nothings.
People who support this type of buffoonary need to really look at what they are contributing too. This is the type of crap that makes government so inefficient, in particular the Senate. At least this debate on health care opens the eyes of the aveage lay person to realize how Senators have become the House of Lords and that this so-called aristocratic bunch believe they can play games while people are dying here and abroad. They have totally forgotten that they are supposed to be representatives of the people.

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December 22, 2009 7:19 PM   

Agree with your post, Iron. Great job. The Repubs got what they wanted and still get to attack us. Praying for world peace this year ... and for Obama to get a backbone.

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December 22, 2009 7:32 PM   

Charles Payne from Fox News said that he is concerned that Americans who already have health insurance maybe inconvenienced by so many Americans now having access to health care.

And he calls himself a Christian?

http://progressnotcongress.org/?p=3442

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December 22, 2009 10:23 PM   

Even in a Democratic primary, it's hard to win on a single issue, especially "single Payer", which isn't even popular. Just because single payer is a good idea doesn't mean you can win elections on it! Most people are perfectly happy with their employer provided insurance. Senior citizens are happy with Medicare, but they're afraid their benefits will be diluted if they are extended too wide. It's also a pure protest vote: obviously the single payer option will not have a chance in Congress for years.
The Democrats tried to run some candidates the last couple cycles on a pretty much pure anti-war platform (Shaheen, Tammy Duckworth), but they didn't do well, even though most people disapprove of the war.

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December 22, 2009 10:29 PM   

Traitorjoe, this bill raises taxes on wealthy people and puts a bunch of poor people on Medicaid, so that's not particularly Republican.

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