
The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll coming out later today will show opposition to the health care bill growing -- mainly from disappointed liberals, who are very much disappointed to see the public option getting thrown out.
The poll has 47% saying the Obama health care plan is a bad idea, to only 32% who say it's a good idea.
Chuck Todd writes on Twitter: "Most of the movement on the 'bad idea' comes from some of the president's core support groups, folks upset about lost public option." He also writes: "Still, large majorities of the president's core support groups believe his plan is a 'good idea,' but the margins have shrunk."
In addition, 44% now say it's better to not pass this bill -- seemingly a large bloc of conservatives, plus some liberals -- to 41% who say it's better that something pass: "First time NBC-WSJ poll had that upside down."
wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:37 PM
Not among the insurance companies and their toadies in the Democratic Party. And as we now know: they are all who matter.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 5:26 PM in reply to wbgonne
Demonization is fun and easy. It allows you to automatically be on the side of goodness and right and allows you to reduce those you oppose to two dimensional cardboard cutout villians. No need to consider complexity, no need to face choices between lesser and greater evils because there's really only all black and evil and all good and white and no troubling shades of grey.
Thus, it is completely impossible that there are people who genuinely believe it would be a good thing for more people to have access to, and help paying for, health insurance, even if that means, horror of horrors, somewhere an insurance company makes a buck.
Yep, Krugman, Bowers, Benen, Yglysias, Ezra Klein, Obama, Rockefeller, Schumer, Sherrod Brown--each and every one of them simply a corrupt cartoon villian venally sucking at the insurance industry's teat.
And just ignore that striking resemblance to the simplistic black and white absolutism of the hard right. You'll sleep better.
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Dizzy Izzy
December 16, 2009 5:33 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
Isn't demonization exactly what you are doing to opponents of this legislation?
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 5:56 PM in reply to Dizzy Izzy
Not at all. I acknowledge and respect the goodwill of the poster. I'm not assuming he(?)'s acting from bad or venal motives. I'm just pointing out the self-evident reductionism and the corrosiveness of attacking people's motives rather than arguing their positions.
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JadeZ
December 16, 2009 10:32 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
what bull.
even if you are not aware of it there is such a thing as truth.
and there are no invisable badges that give halos to people who think they make a clever argument that proves their morality;
if children are starving you feed them.
you dont barter to make sure the provider is earning profits first.
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Tanjaoui
December 17, 2009 8:17 AM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
I suggest reading Kos' "20 Answers" at dailykos.com. It's a reasoned - and ultimately winning - argument in favor of killing this bill as it stands. It doesn't start out 50 yards in front of you if you like this bill.
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Donald from Hawaii
December 16, 2009 6:05 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
I'm supporting the health care legislation, albeit reluctantly, and with the very big caveat that I firmly believe that progressive opponents have a very real and valid point to make here on what's amounted to a classic Beltway bait-and-switch.
I have a pretty good idea that you haven't read the draft bill, and therefore you should take a good, long look in the mirror before you accuse those progressives opposing the bill of demonizing its proponents, rather than cheelead for a piece of legislation about which you truly know very little.
As I said, I'll support the measure, but I'll further state that I'll also support any Democrat who chooses to offer a primary challenge to congressional incumbents like Bart Stupak, Blanche Lincoln, Max Baucus and Ben Nelson. With "Democrats" like those, who needs the GOP?
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 6:18 PM in reply to Donald from Hawaii
Actually, we're all talking about a bill none of us have read, given that Reid has yet to put out a new manager's bill pending CBO scoring. I'm not sure which bills you've read. You have no idea which ones I've looked at.
What I do know is that the increasing tendency of both the left and the right to attack strawmen to whom they've ascribed the worst possible motices rather than argue policy is corrosive and dangerous to democracy.
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Official A
December 16, 2009 8:17 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
Steve, I think a lot of us are very angry because the Dems continue to bring luffas to a knife fight. Maybe this bill is better than nothing, but how close to nothing are we willing to settle for? I voted for change I could believe in.
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 8:44 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
The more I hear about this bill, the closer I am to Dean's position. The mandate is in. Rescission is still an option for insurance companies. This looks like it's going to end up making health care insurance more expensive for middle class Americans who are struggling.
I'm not shooting it down, but there's no way I can advocate moving forward with it.
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FebM
December 16, 2009 7:38 PM in reply to wbgonne
The president who brings Public Option will be credited with healthcare reform no matter how merger that option will be. The Obama Admin is caught up in the details of the current bill to bring down cost and cover, but sometimes its the IDEA that is most important. Having the PO language in the bill was crucial, it is the PR stump on the bill for this admin, and thats what history remembers.
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ilovebacon
December 16, 2009 3:38 PM
bullturd numbers. after the thing passes, people will say it's great. which is why the GOP is stalling the inevitable. it WILL pass. they just don't want to mope on xmas.
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EastWest
December 16, 2009 4:03 PM in reply to ilovebacon
"People will say it's great." Yep. And lemmings going over a cliff say, "So far so good!" right up until they go splat.
It isn't great. It's a sellout. There's no public option; there's no new regulation; and uninsured people must buy the most worthless, junk-bondesque policies - at rates set by the insurance companies - or face prosecution. These are the "30 million uninsured people" being touted by the Democrats.
"Opposition to the health care bill [is] growing -- mainly from disappointed liberals...." Ya think?
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Schmed
December 16, 2009 4:14 PM in reply to EastWest
In defense of lemmings: lemmings don't commit mass suicide. In fact, humans commit suicide far more often than lemmings. And lemmings don't even vote....
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:16 PM in reply to Schmed
Do they donate money? Big money? Because if so, I'm sure we could make HCR lemming-friendly.
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EastWest
December 16, 2009 4:20 PM in reply to Schmed
Sorry, you're right. I was stereotyping.
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henk
December 16, 2009 4:50 PM in reply to Schmed
Republican lemmings vote. There are 40 of them in the Senate.
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lousgirl84
December 16, 2009 5:09 PM in reply to Schmed
ROFLMAO!!! Good one. The only lemmings I know are republicans
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Donald from Hawaii
December 16, 2009 6:07 PM in reply to Schmed
Well, there are lemmings, and then there are the weasels that prey upon them.
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howie
December 16, 2009 4:22 PM in reply to EastWest
"there's no new regulation" Huh?
I wanted the public option, favor single payer, but this statement just isn't true.
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Stroszek
December 16, 2009 4:45 PM in reply to howie
EastWest is what you might call a tad "unhinged." Concern for the truth rattled out of his little mind a long time ago.
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DA in LA
December 16, 2009 5:08 PM in reply to howie
Sure, there's regulation. There's just not any important, meaningful regulation. Annual limits still there, lifetime limits still there, no anti trust, etc.
It's a bad bill.
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Stroszek
December 16, 2009 5:14 PM in reply to DA in LA
There's quite a bit more to the bill, actually, but it's obvious that the kososphere has descended into Palin-land.
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Tanjaoui
December 17, 2009 8:21 AM in reply to Stroszek
Kos' arguments in favor of killing the bill as it stands are pretty well reasoned at "20 Answers"
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gharlane
December 19, 2009 10:11 PM in reply to Tanjaoui
You're expecting Stroszek to respond to reason?
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dudeguy
December 16, 2009 4:27 PM in reply to EastWest
Progressives need to start blogging, commenting, and answering polls in ways that prioritize achieving actual change over achieving political catharsis.
Progressives wonder why Obama didn't bend arms on the public option. He didn't because he knows that no matter what he does, he can't please his entire base. And his base is not loyal -- it's a sunshine base, shown here in the polls.
Congress would never listen to his threats because they know that he won't have the clout to save their asses in 2010. Because his poll numbers were always destined to go down. Because, we, the progressives, like to whine, storm out the door, and leave our politicians vulnerable.
There's nothing wrong with criticizing Obama, but too many progressives do it without affirming their support. And without progressives' support, Obama truly is powerless.
Blah. These poll numbers are more depressing than anything Congress will be passing in the next three years.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:29 PM in reply to dudeguy
Wow! Talk about blaming the victim. Is anything NOT the fault of progressives?
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dudeguy
December 16, 2009 4:46 PM in reply to wbgonne
Swine flu.
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dudeguy
December 16, 2009 4:57 PM in reply to wbgonne
Seriously, though, wbegonne, your comment is a little like the pot calling the kettle black. I'm tired of progressives doling out blame to Obama which should fall squarely on (1) the GOP, (2) the nuts in the tea party movement and their Fox overlords, (3) Joe Lieberman, who needs a slap, and finally (4) ourselves, for not out-shouting the shouters at the town halls because we had deluded ourselves into believing that change had come.
We, progressives, went from yes-we-can to yes-we-did in a heartbeat. We grew complacent, and the more I hear now about how disappointed people are in Obama, the more I feel like we're handing the GOP some fresh talking points.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 5:13 PM in reply to dudeguy
And Obama's role in all this was what precisely?
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 5:25 PM in reply to AJM
Omg! Deaf!
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 5:06 PM in reply to wbgonne
Will Progressives EVER look at what they are doing wrong? you constantly complain that you are always getting screwed over? If a friend came to me and said that every guy she goes out with treats her like shit, I'd turn to her and say, "Why do YOU keep picking guys who treat you like shit?"
People who do not analyze or take responsibility in a situation gone wrong - will keep making the same mistakes over and over.
Example: While blasting Obama for being all talk, the Left latched on to other "heros" like Sherrod brown, weiner, schumer, and even harry reid just for SAYING what they were feeling, like Obama did during the campaign. At the end of the day, however, these guys voted to move the bill forward, they compromised, they caved (as you would put it) and what followed? more moaning that you were once again screwed and unofficial removal of their "true" Progressive status.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 5:16 PM in reply to Viva!America!
Don't worry: quite a lot of people are not going to be going out to vote for him again unless he gets his act together.
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 5:24 PM in reply to AJM
Well, conventional wisdom is that if Obama wants something bad enough he can get it. So if that's true, he will get re-elected if he really wants a second term.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 5:59 PM in reply to Viva!America!
He worked for his election. Doesn't appear to have worked for public option. Hasn't had much success in explaining why this is a great bill without it or why accepting this mess is a better idea than working his tail off to elect real Democrats and trying again post 2010. Ought to be a lot of primary challenges.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 6:17 PM in reply to AJM
And this time voters will judge him on what he had done rather than on his promises.
Note I said on what he personally has done -- whether he has fought for the positions he claimed to support.
And, Viva, get over this idea that you can simply order people to think your way. You have to persuade them.
Take mandates, Obama campaigned against Hillary by claiming to be against them. So he's already one strike down with the independents because he dropped something they cared about. So who has been out there explaining why mandates are necessary as was clear from the moment universal coverage was proposed (and which I believe Obama understood but chose to lie about it because they are not popular.) The reason they are necessary is because if they don't exist, a significant number of individuals will free-load betting they are not the ones who are going to get ill and not paying into the kitty because they feel that would only help others. Of course, this type of person who does not care about other people doesn't hesitate to sign back up the moment they become ill if allowed and spend the money the other folks have been contributing. And from the insurance companies point of view, they don't know how to price their produce unless they know who their consumers will be. If you are only insuring middle aged ladies, it makes quite a jolt if you are suddenly paying the costs of a motor cycle accident from some 26 year old who signed up after the accident.
So who is making the case that mandates are a good thing? And explaining, if true, that in the absence of the public option, that they can be imposed without turning the American public into captive consumers of pricey insurance?
Your turn.
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slb
December 16, 2009 6:20 PM in reply to dudeguy
So, according to you, Obama is justified in not even trying to toss his base a few crumbs because he has somehow decided that they will never be satisfied with anything he does, but he is also justified in pretty well gutting the health care bill of any meaningful reform in order to please people who will never vote for him and whose leaders have demonstrated amply that they will oppose him vigorously no matter how many concessions he makes?
I guess in some alternate universe, that makes sense.
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dudeguy
December 16, 2009 6:43 PM in reply to slb
Nope. Obama is justified in not coming out strongly in favor of the public option because there's no real indication that doing so would make a lick of difference. If he could count on progressive loyalty, then it just might have made a difference. But he can't, so it wouldn't, it would just make passing the bill harder.
Obama is not gutting the bill. The GOP is. The tea partiers are. Joe Lieberman is. And every progressive that has declared Obama to be "Bush light" gives the GOP an assist.
Now some of the dimmer progressives are calling for a third party. Because that Nader experiment worked out so well. No thanks.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 6:57 PM in reply to dudeguy
Loyalty is earned. Please tell me what Obama has done to earn that loyalty?
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dudeguy
December 16, 2009 9:12 PM in reply to AJM
Seriously, if you can't see why Obama is 100 times better than the best Republican candidate out there, then there's nothing I can do to convince you. Even if this BS about him "doing nothing" were true, it would be so much better than the damage caused by a conservative.
No, he hasn't done everything I'd like. But I can accept that doing what I and most progressives would like would be political suicide. And I feel a lot better with him in the White House than I have for eight long, ridiculous years.
So, yeah, I'm pretty happy with Obama. With progressive support, we can make some slow progress with him as our leader. If the whole base abadons him, we will never have progress in this country. Just people who are proud of their useless ideological purity.
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slb
December 17, 2009 3:42 AM in reply to dudeguy
Obama is justified in not coming out strongly in favor of the public option because there's no real indication that doing so would make a lick of difference.
It would have made a difference to me. I can respect someone who fights for what they believe, even if the fight is ultimately unsuccessful. I cannot respect someone who just says, "Oh, well."
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lousgirl84
December 16, 2009 5:08 PM in reply to ilovebacon
Absolutely correct. The whiners need something to whine about.
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CT Voter
December 16, 2009 3:39 PM
I don't get the sense that Democratic senators and the WH really get how this is seriously angering many who will be inclined to sit home come the election.
I really don't. Who votes in midterm elections? Those who are interested and knowledgable about what's going on in the government. And a not insignificant chunk of Democrats aren't going to vote.
But hey, Joe Lieberman is happy.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 3:46 PM in reply to CT Voter
And then there are people like us...who will go to the polls, be pissed off at who we are being forced to vote for, but consider it the lesser of 2 evils.
How do we break the cycle?
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:50 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Third Party. Only way. The two parties are just monstrous corporations who have made so many "strategic alliances" with Big Business that they are indistinguishable.
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Schmed
December 16, 2009 3:55 PM in reply to wbgonne
DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING! DING!
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whitesauce
December 16, 2009 4:03 PM in reply to wbgonne
Multiple parties would be great. I'd love to have instant run-off voting. But really, we should be focused on taking over the Democratic party on a local level and then ork our way up. I know that sounds difficult, but it's no worse that building a new party. The point is that we can't speak of change passively. We all have to get involved.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to whitesauce
I don't think so. The Democratic Party is simply too entrenched with Big Business now. I thought Obama might be able to pull it off but no. And if he can't do it after the Bush Dark Age, the Dems just can't get it done. Time to look elsewhere. It won't be easy but it is possible. For god's sake, look at what the TeBaggers have done!
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 4:12 PM in reply to wbgonne
I agree. It's just not going to happen at the Senate level. House maybe, but the House is fairly progressive already and we've seen how well that's worked out for us...
Obama turned an about face on major issues when he took office. Here's a great article from Rolling Stone a few days ago on his financial team:
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/31234647/obamas_big_sellout
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:15 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Matt Taibbi is the best political writer today.
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dtr
December 16, 2009 4:22 PM in reply to wbgonne
Did you see the modest shout-down Yglesias received today after Y. swore if one more...if if...then he'd give them (the Dems) the "Taibbi treatment." The commentators saw right through him the poor thing.
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 4:23 PM in reply to wbgonne
The Left does not have guts like the Right. You are all sitting here typing waiting on someone to "lead" you when you can do that for yourselves. you know what you want - go get it.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:31 PM in reply to Viva!America!
Um, isn't that guy in your picture supposed to do . . . something? You know, the guy we got elected.
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 4:35 PM in reply to Viva!America!
Wow! I didn't realize that. Thanks for telling me!
Back in the real world, phone calls and letters to Sens. Nelson, Landrieu, and Lincoln fail to persuade them. I suppose I could quit my job and go hang out near their offices in DC. Maybe I could get their attention that way. Maybe I could get them to listen to me for ten minutes or so. Or, maybe I could get arrested just for the attempt. And then there's Lieberman. There's nothing that anyone can do about him. Anyone.
I and many many others put a lot of time and effort into helping to get Obama elected. I worked hard to help Al Franken get elected. But, the reality of it is that I'm not going to get the attention of these people who have blocked the public option, no matter how compelling the argument, when I'm not a corporation or an industry that can shovel truckloads of cash into their campaign coffers. There's a time and a place for that "Little Engine That Could" narrative. This ain't it.
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agio
December 16, 2009 4:43 PM in reply to chimpale
Have you thought about faking your death on the Capital steps... I hear that's all the rage, these days.
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 5:21 PM in reply to chimpale
My point chimp is that the Left thumps its chest and talks a lot of trash, but they don't back it up with action. It was in response to a poster who was once again grandstanding.
You say no one could have moved Joe Lieberman? I agree. Does that apply to Obama also?
You say the ones who are against the PO could not have been moved by anyone. After reading Nate Silver's post, I agree. Does that apply to Obama also?
And it's good on you that you worked hard for Obama and Franken. If you did all that then my post should not have offended you. In addition, the hard work doesn't start until after the election.
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 8:57 PM in reply to Viva!America!
I wasn't offended. But, hard work, harder work, super-hard work--none of it matters when a Lieberman can single-handedly kill a meaningful bill and force us to choose between a gift to the insurance companies and nothing.
We have no role in this, and wishing or imagining we did won't change that.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 4:05 PM in reply to wbgonne
With rare exception, third parties in the US are usually either extremely weak (on message and also on financial wherewithal) , or beholden to the same interest groups, but unable to wrangle a nomination from a major party.
I have been somewhat optimistic that we may splinter soon enough, if the Conservatives and the Progressives can establish their own popular leadership, there might be a chance to break the cycle.
Conservatives - Republicans - Democrats - Progressives
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:08 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Progressive Party. Howard Dean.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 6:11 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Yeah, more fragmentation into hardened ideological blocks, that's what we need in this country.
Third party vaporing is just typical grass is greener on the other side of the sense bullshit by people who can't reconcile themself to the imperfection of democracy and human nature. Things deemed sacred principles have to be compromised in order to create a governing majority in a democracy no matter how many damn parties there are in the system. When no one does it, you have chaos and paralysis, like in Italy back in the days when they used to change governments every three days.
In a multiparty system, you get to feel more pure on election day than you do in a two party system. That's the only real difference. The day after the election in a multiparty system, a government has to be formed, deals have to be cut, compromises get made, and the wailing and gnashing of teeth by the disillusioned purehearts who bear none of the responsibility of governing or of failing to govern begins. Same tune, different key.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 6:15 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
i think we see the plan is to get a big conservative industry giveaway, and then try to sell it as progressive
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 6:20 PM in reply to Indie Pro
I think maybe you meant to reply to a different comment of mine ????
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 6:27 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
I think you are correct. I hate it when it gets so thick in a thread.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 7:14 PM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
Point taken. But the current system is far too entrenched and should be uprooted.
Alliances would be made--along the same lines they're made today in most cases. However with delineated parties, you're essentially opening the door for (hopefully) stronger leaders in all parties. The 'Progressive' and 'Conservative' leaders can have their own time in leadership positions. Sure you have a lot of squabbling, but how is that different from today? The difference is that the progressives wouldn't have to lay down their hands and fold to Reid and Baucus on every issue just to have party unity. It also makes polling their constituents a lot easier.
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Jeff Wegerson
December 16, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to wbgonne
We already have FOUR parties in the Senate!!!!!
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diamondjoe
December 16, 2009 5:41 PM in reply to Jeff Wegerson
Hmm...
Progressives (East/West Coast Liberals - Sanders, Wyden)
Democrats (Blue Dogs - Webb, Nelson)
Republicans (Pro-Business Corporates - Snowe, McCain)
Conservatives (Religious Right - Grassley, Enzi, Inhofe, etc.)
...or something like that?
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dannyluv
December 16, 2009 4:30 PM in reply to wbgonne
Find a suitable progressive candidate and 5crew the Democratic party. Maybe Howard Dean can get the ball rolling. It's that or stay at home on election night because this liberal has had enough
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CT Voter
December 16, 2009 3:53 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Well, if Democrats get handed their hats in the next two elections, perhaps they'll be forced to reconsider their strategy of concession and conciliation with Lieberman et al.
But I wouldn't count on that. I think what will happen is that the progressive left will get blamed, there will be media masturbation about how Dems moved to far left, and it will be business as usual for Dems: back in the minority, and complaining.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:55 PM in reply to CT Voter
And it will remain that way until our leaders -- and most especially our president -- get out and start changing the national dialogue. When Democrats play on the Republicans field, the Dems will lose every time.
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agio
December 16, 2009 4:45 PM in reply to CT Voter
It didn't happen the last time they got their asses handed to them, I don't see why it would happen now.
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EastWest
December 16, 2009 4:07 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
"Us"? You got a mouse in your pocket? Speak for yourself. If you want to reward this sellout, go right ahead. At least you won't have long lines to stand in, come election day. On second thought, maybe you will. There'll be a LOT of teabaggers there. Should be fun.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 4:28 PM in reply to EastWest
Us = CT Voter and myself. And I don't think I spoke out of turn with that comment. CT can correct me if I did (and I apologize if I did).
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CT Voter
December 16, 2009 4:34 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
No problem. I interpreted it the way you meant it.
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Donald from Hawaii
December 16, 2009 6:09 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
That's what Democratic primaries are for.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 7:16 PM in reply to Donald from Hawaii
And it's looking similar for Republican primaries now too.
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mcc
December 16, 2009 3:56 PM in reply to CT Voter
What are they supposed to do about it? A bunch of upset bloggers is nothing compared to the massive collapses they face if they don't pass a bill at all.
The only thing the democrats can really do about the left is get some bill passed as quickly as possible and move on to some other priority the left cares about more.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 4:00 PM in reply to mcc
now that's leadership. hilarious
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 4:00 PM in reply to mcc
why you think anything else is gonna be more progressive is beyond me.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:02 PM in reply to mcc
Yes, no one will notice. Not like when Jumpin' Joe detected happiness in the voices of Wiener and Dean and sprung into action to smite the object of their pleasure.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 7:02 PM in reply to mcc
Current poll numbers suggest they will have a massive collapse if they do pass it in its current form. Including pissing off a significant portion of the liberal portion of Obama's base. So you can quit mumbling about it's just you bloggers.
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slb
December 17, 2009 3:49 AM in reply to mcc
This was the issue I cared most about. And I think there are a lot of people for whom that is true.
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Tanjaoui
December 17, 2009 8:32 AM in reply to slb
Me too. And I don't think anyone's going to like the mandate when they get a load of what they get in return...if they get seriously ill, bankruptcy.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 4:12 PM in reply to CT Voter
On the flip side, I don't think people around here get that there are few if any viable alternatives. I also don't think the bill will get a fair hearing so long as the public option is gone.
Why this whole "Better to make Lieberman happy than do good policy that a majority of the public supports" notion is the operative presumption of the day is beyond me. If they didn't need to hold Lieberman's vote, than he wouldn't matter. It sucks, but what's left to do?
Nope. Not reconciliation. And definitely nope: don't just kill the bill.
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CT Voter
December 16, 2009 4:30 PM in reply to fbacon2
Right now, there's nothing left to do. The Dems are going to be screwed either way, thanks to how this was handled. Starting out by declaring the single-payer system off the table is not how you go about getting a meaningful piece of legislation.
I understand why the WH took such a hands-off approach to this because otherwise, Congresscritters would have their panties in a twist, but in retrospect, it was a mistake.
The apparent continued belief that Max Baucus was going to get bipartisanship from the Finance Committee was bizarre. Obama isn't LBJ, but couldn't there have been just a little arm twisting? Maybe there was, and we won't know until years.
And Obama's ratings started dropping right at that time. Excellent strategery, WH.
We have a bill that is going to impose mandates. It will do other things that are good, but the bottom line (and public story) will be about mandates, mandates, mandates. And those will be mandates that people have to pay. So the reform is going to appear like a big chunk just got removed from an individual family's budget. That's some reform!
Add to the fact that this won't take place for quite some time, and it makes me wonder if Dems and the WH were deliberately trying to give the insurance industry a great big kiss.
I don't really think that, but days like this do kind of make me wonder.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 4:44 PM in reply to CT Voter
I think you're making a common error that buys into the notion that the WH was simultaneously AWOL from the debate and yet pulling all the strings to create the exact outcome we're seeing.
Yes, we'll get a better sense of what happened behind the scenes when the history is written, but our understanding of the contemporary debate was fatally wounded by incessant conspiratorial ideation. The deference to Baucus was a mistake, but I've yet to see what the other options were when the Senate Finance chair made promises that were within his sphere of influence. Baucus set us back at least three months, but that was his fault. One could blame the WH for "letting" Baucus drag things out, but stepping all over his turf while he had more clout brings on other problems for Congressional strategy.
I get why mandates are now a rallying cry in the absence of the public option, and Obama's primary campaign bears some responsibility for that, but I find the general argument to be a convenient proxy to take out our frustrations on the loss of the PO. If this were 1993, opposing the mandate would be the line in the sand to draw accusations of traitor from the progressive base.
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Stroszek
December 16, 2009 5:12 PM in reply to fbacon2
Exactly. The mandates are just a convenient foil for public option supporters who want to make absurd comparisons to slavery. If a 2.5% income tax hike coupled with a tax incentive for buying insurance is such an unbearable atrocity, why the hell did we all unanimously oppose the Bush tax cuts?
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henk
December 16, 2009 5:17 PM in reply to fbacon2
"...the notion that the WH was simultaneously AWOL from the debate and yet pulling all the strings to create the exact outcome we're seeing."
These things are not mutually exclusive. Actually they are parts of the same process. Publicly he wasn't pushing much. His last public speech on health care was in Sept. where he put the $900 billion cap on it.
You may be right that we will never know what went on behind the scenes but we've always heard that he's playing 11 demensional chess while everyone is playing checkers. So is a guy who's that sharp NOT working behind the scenes? Or is the Chess stuff a bunch of bullshit?
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 5:30 PM in reply to henk
The straw man of 11-dimensional chess is what's BS.
I didn't say we'll never know the whole story, but I did guess that when more history is written, we're going to learn that the contemporary reporting and hyperventilating was wildly off the mark.
What I've argued is that the demand for more public pronouncements, "lines in the sand," veto threats, etc. from the progressive base (ignoring the national town halls, televised press conferences, speech to Join Session of Congress in Sept., and generally staking the presidency on health care) were more out of a desire for emotional satisfaction than achieving real legislative results.
The WH was actively involved in the process and generally acted as rational players trying to get the best bill possible through the Senate.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 5:56 PM in reply to fbacon2
here's an active admin:
The White House is playing hardball with Democrats who intend to vote against the supplemental war spending bill, threatening freshmen who oppose it that they won't get help with reelection and will be cut off from the White House, Rep. Lynn Woolsey (D-Calif.) said Friday. "We're not going to help you. You'll never hear from us again," Woolsey said the White House is telling freshmen.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 6:02 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Ok. We've seen this counterargument, and I take it seriously.
Here's a rebuttal. People can disagree, but it's a legitimate point that doesn't lead to obvious conclusions about motives and intent that Greenwald likes to make at the drop of a hat.
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/12/the-bill-he-wanted.html
"Greenwald then cites the White House threatening to not help House freshmen with re-election if they voted against the supplemental war spending bill to prove what the "White House can do when they actually care about pressuring someone to vote the way they want." This is false equivalency. The White House denies that they pressured freshmen on this issue, which is to be expected, but assuming that the Obama Administration did pressure freshmen congressmen in this manner, it doesn't prove that the Obama administration could have forced the Liebermans and Nelsons of the world to bend to its will. Freshman congressmen need to stay in the good graces of the White House and DNC much more than multi-term centrist senators. The White House might have calculated from the start that "this was the best bill they could get," but a large part of that calculation hinged upon how much they could strong arm centrist senators."
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Donald from Hawaii
December 16, 2009 6:16 PM in reply to fbacon2
You know, if you were a cheerleader at a game, I've no doubt that you'd chant, "You don't have to be ahead - you just have to BEAT THE SPREAD!!"
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 6:39 PM in reply to Donald from Hawaii
I guess this is an insult directed at me. But if we're sticking to sports analogies, the Kill the Bill crowd must the team that says, "Screw you guys," and takes their ball home. That'll sure show them.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 6:55 PM in reply to fbacon2
The accusation is more serious -- looks like the insurance companies bet on the game, and I can sure see the insurance company campaign contributions and if I don't see some real fighting spirit on the field don't expect me to sit in the stands and cheer. And, oh yeah, don't expect me to buy a ticker next time.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 6:58 PM in reply to AJM
We can mix the metaphor a bit more. Insurance companies are betting on the game, and the netroots are the spectators more interested in the fights than running up the score and executing a game plan.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 6:18 PM in reply to fbacon2
how about that today the administration is attacking Dean, but they haven't attacked Nelson, Lieberman, etc
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 6:37 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Because they need their votes to get the danged bill through the Senate, and they don't need Howard Dean's. What they want from Dean is for him to STFU before he helps collapse support in the Congress by making claims that may not actually be right (e.g. reconciliation). What Dean realistically hopes to accomplish is a mystery to me, but achieving ends has ceased to be part of the discussion with a large segment of his fan base.
Publicly calling out, slamming, breaking, or standing up to Nelson and Lieberman (whichever phrasing we have in absence of a strategy) would be gratifying to spectators but not really helpful in passing this bill or the next one on the agenda.
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AJM
December 16, 2009 7:12 PM in reply to fbacon2
Actually it might. Authoritarians trample all over those they perceive as weak and grovel to those they perceive as strong. So a good swift kick might lead to improvement.
Or look at them as rational economic actors -- what has it cost them for opposing the Democrats.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 7:31 PM in reply to AJM
Might. My point is that the netroots have made a lot of demands and invested a lot of anger in a big "might" that they pretend is a surefire route to success. Funny thing is that the answer to every ill seems to be public floggings of Rogue Politician X.
Note that I said "publicly" calling out these guys, which is what the demand really is. In the blogs, it seems if people can't link to it or embed it, then it never happened. This leaves us doing silly things like parsing repeated affirmations of support for the public option because it wasn't given with feeling.
Plus, I don't think Lieberman's an authoritarian. I think he's a sociopath.
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The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
December 16, 2009 6:30 PM in reply to CT Voter
Here's my problem with all that handwringing. How many people in Massachusetts are expressing their outrage over the horror of mandates? Folks there are pretty satisfied, I hear.
Mandates are critical to holding down the cost of insurance. Without mandates, healthy young people are more likely to bug out. With them, they subsidize the sick people, just like working people subsidize Social Security recipients (albeit with a hated intermediary taking some of it for themselves).
Lots of Hillarites were screaming about this during the primaries and, yeah, they were right. Obama's people made a bad call and once they made it on the trail, they were stuck with it because the political consequences of admitting error were too high. But he did the right thing and flip flopped off a bad idea after he won.
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Tanjaoui
December 17, 2009 8:57 AM in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
No...there's universal coverage in MA. But we also have the most expensive health care in the world. And it keeps getting more expensive as the quality goes down. And, from what I understand about the legislation under consideration is that its regulation is much weaker (more regressive) than that in MA. It would also effectively gut state regulations, allowing insurers to form interstate compacts and apply regulations in states with almost no regulation to customers in states where regulations are strong. That's just one example of how proposed legislation allows insurers to game the system. And once it's in place, it will be very difficult to overturn. Who will decouple our resulting dependence upon and fealty to private insurers? Progressives? Not with the backing they've received from this President. No, the legislation as it stands either needs to be improved or shitcanned. And if you think it will be improved...well, fine, but their latest move was to throw out a proposed exceedingly watery public option (open to very few people, tied to a level playing field negotiating status, unable to form synergies with existing federal programs like Medicare, Medicaid and VA, and perhaps [if it had gotten that far]tied to triggers and looking very much like coops) and the Medicare buy in.
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Tanjaoui
December 17, 2009 8:43 AM in reply to CT Voter
There's only one really good argument to explain why this bill was handled so poorly: it was handled masterfully, by Obama and his team, to get exactly what he/they wanted - painless 'don't rock the boat' health care 'reform' (because that's what they're calling it, right?) by the time he makes his State of the Union address. What we know about the Senate bill so far is that its regulation is weak and riddled with loopholes and that it would enshrine in law a new corporate entitlement that would be nearly impossible to turn around later. Only a Democrat could pass such a bill. If it were a Republican, posters at this site would be all over it. This is not reform.
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Walter Mitty
December 16, 2009 3:40 PM
Good thing for Obama that he doesn't read or follow the polls. I think he's really misreading things on this one.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:41 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Arrogance and stupidity. Or stupidity and arrogance. You pick.
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Darrius
December 16, 2009 3:52 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
Obama isn't mis-reading the politics at all.
If no bill passes the entire Democratic Party will be viewed as impotent to everyone, not just you guys saying that he should kill the bill. Moreover, you guys who are complaining about the bill will still stay at home. Furthermore, your cries to politicians will fall on deaf ears for the rest of you life because all politicians will expect you to turn on them if they are unable to get it passed.
The only people reading this wrong are the people who think they can get HCR later if they kill this bill now.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:53 PM in reply to Darrius
Kill. The. Bill.
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ohyeathatsright
December 16, 2009 3:58 PM in reply to wbgonne
...and then use reconciliation.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:00 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
Woo-Hoo!
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Darrius
December 16, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to ohyeathatsright
You can pass the bill, AND STILL USE RECONCILLIATION.
Killing the bill will eliminate all political will to change health care and it will takes any power Democrats have to make health care the topic. Once Republicans have power they won't even bring it up for debate; Democrats won't either if the left crucifies them for failing after an honest try.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 4:14 PM in reply to Darrius
Let's examine that clause, shall we?
First, is it "the left"? Or is it the millions of Americans who actually want a public option?
Second, "failing after an honest try"? Honest try? Nice try. Obama the Sphinx did NOTHING to help HCR. There was no try, honest or otherwise. Just why do you think people are so pissed off?
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Darrius
December 16, 2009 4:35 PM in reply to wbgonne
It was an honest try.
First of all, Obama did not have to make this the topic. Republicans NEVER address health care reform.
Second, Obama was trying to court Olympia Snowe early in the process. In exchange for her vote she wanted a triggered public option. But the left cried out that they wanted a public option with no triggers. Now what do we have???? No public option at all, that's what we have.
Third, if Obama doesn't force the hand now the bill won't pass, Dems will take critical damage, and HCR will be dead for another 60 years.
People are pissed because they are emotional, irrational, and panicking. We can still use reconciliation and other options if we keep power but only if we keep power.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 4:36 PM in reply to Darrius
looks like labor ain't by the BS:
"Though there’s no official word yet, early indications based on talks with various officials are that the groups will either formally oppose the legislation or, less dramatically, just not fight very hard to ensure its passage"
-S Stein reporting
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 4:44 PM in reply to Indie Pro
not only does it look like labor is done, but it looks like many dems are ready to throw the president under the bus for this as well:
"The president keeps listening to Rahm Emanuel," said Rep. John Conyers (D-Mich.). "No public option, no extending Medicare to 55, no nothing, an excise tax, God!" he exclaimed about the Senate health care bill to Roll Call. "The insurance lobby is taking over."
Rep. Dave Obey (D-Wis.), told Politico of Senate delays, "It's ridiculous, and the Obama administration is sitting on the sidelines. That's nonsense."*
more here:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/12/16/democrats-lash-out-at-oba_n_394424.html
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 3:57 PM in reply to Darrius
I can hear the DLC and conservative democrats singing now:
I did it all for the election! Election! Election! So you can take your healthcare reform and stick it up your...
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 3:59 PM in reply to Darrius
And how is that different from our cries falling on deaf ears now? These senators are beholden to corporations. That won't change until public financing of campaigns is passed. And, since that would mean an end to the gravy train, it ain't gonna pass.
I thank Obama for letting us believe, for a little while at least, that we could really change things and that voters could have more power than the entrenched special interests. It was fun while it lasted.
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Schmed
December 16, 2009 4:04 PM in reply to chimpale
I thank Obama for letting us believe, for a little while at least, that we could really change things and that voters could have more power than the entrenched special interests. It was fun while it lasted.
Yes, it was fun going to an inauguration with some actual optimism.
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agio
December 16, 2009 4:12 PM in reply to Schmed
Hope is a fun drug, but the hangover is a bitch.
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Powkat
December 16, 2009 4:10 PM in reply to chimpale
"That won't change until public financing of campaigns is passed."
That's true, but how do we get public financing? I really don't expect the majority of bought and paid for politicians to vote for it - it's not in their interest. This way they get ooldles of money, free vacations as long as they pretend to do a little work, well-paying jobs for family members (jobs which require little or no real work) and all kinds of other perks. Since they have made it clear over and over again that they will always put their own interests over that of their constituents and their country, I ask again, 'how do we get public financing?"
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 4:22 PM in reply to Powkat
Like I said: "And, since that would mean an end to the gravy train, it ain't gonna pass."
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Darrius
December 16, 2009 4:19 PM in reply to chimpale
And how is that different from our cries falling on deaf ears now? These senators are beholden to corporations. That won't change until public financing of campaigns is passed. And, since that would mean an end to the gravy train, it ain't gonna pass.
Your cries are not falling on deaf ears now. Your ideas just didn't have enough votes to pass. Your cries falling on deaf ears is what happens when Republicans control the government. There is a difference.
With a Republican government you cry and cry for health care change and the government only talks about starting new wars and tax cuts. When Democrats control the government Harry Reid tries to pass the public option even when everyone knows he doesn't have the votes.
Kill the Bill people on the left want to punish Democrats for actually listening to them and trying to give them what they want even though they don't have enough votes to pass it. They are emotional and suicidal.
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Darrius
December 16, 2009 4:22 PM in reply to Darrius
The first paragraph is supposed to be in quotes.
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 4:49 PM in reply to Darrius
Some of the behavior of the Senate Dems has been self-defeating. They defied common sense and the advice of people across the spectrum who told them not to waste their time trying to get the Republicans on board. Weeks, if not months, went by while the Republicans made clear that there was no way they'd support a bill no matter what was in it.
So, no, they weren't listening to us. Do you think Nelson was listening? Did it seem to you like Landrieu was listening, much less comprehending, what we were trying to tell her?
You can't get through to these people. I don't know why they wanted to be senators in the first place, but clearly it wasn't to help give a voice to all those millions of people out there who can't afford to buy one.
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Viva!America!
December 16, 2009 4:12 PM in reply to Walter Mitty
You really think he doesn't read the polls?
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AJM
December 16, 2009 3:43 PM
Poll following has its place. You don't nuke a good policy because it is unpopular but you do weigh the benefits of that policy against the hazards of passing it. If passing HCR without public option costs you your majority in both houses, was it worth it versus waiting until after 2010 to see if you could get it done right?
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Stroszek
December 16, 2009 4:51 PM in reply to AJM
The other estimation is that not passing it will both have a more dire impact and make any kind of improvement impossible after 2010.
The reality is that if you pass this, there's a strong foundation for further reform, though you piss off some on the left. If you don't, Congress isn't going to try comprehensive health care reform for at least another decade and you also piss off the remaining 41% who want this passed.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 3:45 PM
Given the popularity of the PO vs the popularity of the senate bill in prior polls, this shouldn't be a shock.
I'm sure leadership is hoping with a few frilly words in a well read speech they can get the progressives and liberals counting ceiling tiles again.
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Indie Pro
December 16, 2009 3:54 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Sen. Russ Feingold (D-Wis.), among the most vocal supporters of the public option, said it would be unfair to blame Lieberman for its apparent demise. Feingold said that responsibility ultimately rests with President Barack Obama and he could have insisted on a higher standard for the legislation.
“This bill appears to be legislation that the president wanted in the first place, so I don’t think focusing it on Lieberman really hits the truth,” said Russ Feingold
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Schmed
December 16, 2009 4:06 PM in reply to Indie Pro
I don't expect that the WH will be issuing any strenuous denials.
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fbacon2
December 16, 2009 4:15 PM in reply to Indie Pro
From the mouth of Feingold. Must be gospel. Maybe he can work it into his groundbreaking hearing on the proliferation of WH czars?
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EastWest
December 16, 2009 4:16 PM in reply to Indie Pro
And the apologists fall in line. Brown, Feingold....
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Donald from Hawaii
December 16, 2009 6:23 PM in reply to Indie Pro
Well, before you sing the praises of Russ Feingold too loudly, you best also be aware that he was adamantly opposed using the reconciliation process to break the Senate's 41+-vote logjam and push it through to conference with a public option legislatively encumbered.
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wbgonne
December 16, 2009 3:48 PM
Yes, the public option remains overwhelmingly popular despite its 500 deaths and incessant undermining by the Power Dems. But you know what? Popular opinion don't butter the bread: the Oligarchists do.
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chimpale
December 16, 2009 3:51 PM
Are you following this, ConservaDems? Have you started to figure it out, yet? You keep blowing off the progressives (or "leftists" as you would call them) and you're not just screwing them, you're screwing the rest of the party AND yourselves. Try listening for a change, assholes.
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