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GOP Deploying Resources And Top Talent For Massachusetts Senate Race

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Senate candidate Scott Brown (R-MA).

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National Republicans have a new rallying point in Massachusetts Senate nominee Scott Brown, with presidential contenders and party committees flooding the zone with cash, staff and endorsements as health care becomes the central issue at stake for the special election.

2012 hopefuls Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty are helping the campaign, and Sen. John McCain endorsed Brown to win over attorney general Martha Coakley.

Republicans believe the key in what's expected to be a low turnout race will be independents, and note the trend in Massachusetts is similar to what's been seen nationally - voter frustration over spending issues and the economy.

Brown (R-MA) and Coakley (D-MA) are neck-and-neck in some polls leading up to next Tuesday's special election for a permanent replacement for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy.

Tarah Donoghue, a spokeswoman for the Massachusetts Republican Party, told TPMDC Brown has been boosted as health care put the race in a national context.

As Eric has been reporting, Brown says he would attempt to block final passage health care bill if elected.

But Republicans are accusing Democrats of making backroom deals and circumventing the legislative process, pointing to this article to suggest the majority party would stall the official vote certification if Brown wins.

Republicans say that Brown has been more active on the trail than Coakley, and note he's had television ads on the air for two weeks. They also say he's using technology smartly to generate support and a get-out-the-vote machine via text messaging and email.

Today, Brown is nearly halfway to his goal of raising $500,000 in an online "Money Bomb" today and he is winning the backing of state troopers hours before the final debate.

Also today, Romney did a fundraising push to his mailing list and Pawlenty set his sights on Massachusetts by helping raise cash for Brown.

Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, has done fundraising appeals for Brown and one of his top political advisers is working with the Brown campaign.

"Massachusetts is not as monolithic a liberal state as people think," Romney said recently on Fox, a clip displayed prominently on his Web site.

"There's a lot of anger in Massachusetts among independents in particular about the Obama health care plan," Romney said. "He's a guy who very well could win this thing."

In a blog post today Pawlenty announced a "new Website" that links to a fundraising page allowing for regular "monthly" donations as well as one-time contributions.

"If Scott wins, he'll be the 41st vote we need to defeat the Democrats' ill-conceived government take-over of health care," Pawlenty spokesman Alex Conant wrote.

As Brian reports, possible 2012 contender Sarah Palin isn't expected to be on the scene.

Former Sen. Fred Thompson and the Tea Party Express have backed Brown as well.

A Republican strategist noted that the Democratic National Committee deployed spokesman Hari Sevugan to Boston for the final week of the campaign.

"The reality is that if this was a 15 or 20 point race, the DNC would not be sending staff up to Boston right now. There's no reason this race should be close, it's one of most Democratic states in the country," the strategist told TPMDC.

Late Update: Asked about the race, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said during his briefing today that "the president doesn't have any travel plans to campaign in Massachusetts."

Also, GOP Senate hopeful Rob Simmons in Connecticut sent out an appeal asking for help to make Brown the "41st vote."

Comments (19) | Join the Conversation!

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January 11, 2010 12:02 PM   

It is correct to say that turnout is the key. The rest of the GOP junk is nonsense--better known as political speak for "low turnout isn't "really" the reason we have hope.

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January 11, 2010 12:16 PM   

Note in the Coakley-Brown debate, how quickly Brown volunteered that he is "not Bush-Cheney", but just plain ol' Scott from the 'hood (groan).

If ever the hand of GOP political consultants were more visible, I don't know when that would be. If we had real news media, or even if Chris Matthews were just feeling an ecumenical "gotcha", someone would face down some former high-profile Bushie, and ask: "How do you feel about the fact that Scott Brown in Massachusetts, the Republican candidate for senator, is vigorously distancing himself from what he terms 'Bush-Cheney'?"

Because, as codified Republican policy, it breaks the "Eleventh Commandment" of Reagan. Right now however, Brown's handlers obviously hope just to do it in passing, without garnering any publicity about exactly what they're trying to do.

They need to be called on this.

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January 11, 2010 12:27 PM   

I think this will backfire. I think the best chance for Brown was no publicity for the vote, and hope most Dems stayed home and Brown got enough of his support out. However with the GOP going all out now, I think this rallies the sleeping giant in Massachusetts - the sizable Democratic base.

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January 11, 2010 12:50 PM    in reply to Walter Mitty

I agree with you. I am very encourage to learn that the DNC message guy is going to Massachusettes to help with the Coakley campaign which has been asleep until just a couple of days ago.

The DNC knows that they have to win this race and that is why the main guy is being sent there. He will make sure that Coakley will have a better message in this last week than she has had since she won the primary. Plus Democrats are gearing up for GOTV starting this past weekend with call ins.

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January 11, 2010 1:35 PM    in reply to Walter Mitty

The real sleeping giant in MA is the independent voter (47% vs. 34% Dem. and 16% Repub.) Waking them up in a commonwealth where most Dem politicians are unpopular and have declining numbers is the real challenge. So far, Martha & Co. ain't gettin' it done.

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January 11, 2010 1:41 PM    in reply to Schmed

Sorry, those data are a bit dated. Here's something closer to now:

The Boston Globe/UNH poll routinely asks respondents about both their party registration and their party identification. Early in their interview they ask: "Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?" On their September survey, according to data Smith provided, 36% of all registrants said they were registered as Democrats, 14% said they were Republicans and the rest (50%) reported they were unenrolled.

Then at the end of their survey they ask: "GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?" To those who initially identify as independent, identify with another party or offer no preference they ask a follow-up: "Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?"

When Smith combined the initial identifiers with leaners in September, he found 50% were Democrats, 32% were Republicans and only 19% remained independent or without a preference. And a cross-tabulation of the UNH party registration and party identification questions shows that more than two thirds of the unenrolled voters identify or lean to either the Democratic (36%) or Republican (34%) parties.

So unaffiliated/independent was 50% on the party registration question, but only 19% on party identification (with leaners allocated). So again, it is a mistake to expect the party identification results produced by a poll to match the party registration statistics produced by the Secretary of State (and an even bigger mistake to weight results of a poll to match those statistics, but that's a topic for another day).

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January 11, 2010 2:59 PM    in reply to Schmed

Yup, that seems to me to be a pretty good look at registration vs. reality in MA.

My entire family is registered as Unenrolled, as it gives us some flexibility in primaries and keeps the Democratic folks in the state from taking us for granted. And in the event that a Republican or third party candidate is more appealing to a bunch of UUs, there's no guilt.
As I recall, there's no small "i" independent registration status available as an option - pick a party, or pick "no party".

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January 11, 2010 12:50 PM   

I do hope TPM will run a Coakley-centric article at some point this afternoon, because this one got a little ridiculous. Coakley has still raised much more money than Brown, and the polls that have them neck and neck are minuscule in comparison to the 15-point lead the well-respected UNH/Boston Globe poll printed yesterday. Bill Clinton is coming on Friday to attend a rally for Martha Coakley. Hopefully this blog will make note of that at some point.

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January 11, 2010 12:54 PM   

TPM: You've mislabeled candidate Browns photo (D-MA)! I thought that only happened on FOX.

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January 11, 2010 12:55 PM    in reply to theWalrus

I see somebody caught it. :-)

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January 11, 2010 12:54 PM   

Hey TMP. You pulled a Fox. Check out his picture above...the text below that.

Senate candidate Scott Brown (D-MA).

Is this guy really up to tea party standards or are they backing down?

Does he pass their purity test?

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January 11, 2010 3:12 PM    in reply to mike from Arlington

I wonder - it is Massachusetts, and while voters are not as monolithic in voting D as conventional wisdom suggests, the reputation has some basis in fact. There is certainly a native Tea Party presence that may have had some influence.

Bear in mind too - that is Boston Harbor off to the east, there, and there are still enough descendants of the originals in state to give pause. In my limited experience, the Stamp Act is still covered in grade school history classes as the impetus for the original Tea Party. Family pride could win out over civility. And that water is pretty cold this time of year.

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January 11, 2010 4:56 PM    in reply to kenga

The current tea partiers resemble the Stamp Act protesters as much as I resemble Palin. Taxation w/o representation is one thing, whining because you lost the election and *your representatives/Party* got booted out is quite another...

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January 11, 2010 12:57 PM   

Coakley ran in a "special" primary, in which she garnered 42% of the Dem.
voters, which translated to something like 320K votes. Brown won 89% of
the MA Republican vote, which worked out to something like 189K votes.
If all those same "special" voters turn out for the same reasons, she
starts out with 760K votes. Does anyone really think Brown is going to
close that gap? Martha wins this by between 10 and 20 points and the
national Republicans will claim it's a moral victory.

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January 11, 2010 1:35 PM   

Getting cranky Democrats to vote is definitely the key.

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January 11, 2010 2:16 PM   

Of course they're going all-out. They know that he's their last, best hope for scoing a legislative victory on health care. They know also that if they can't score a legislative victory on health care they'll be in a much less advantageous position going into November.

Going all-out makes a lot of strategic sense. The problem is, I don't think it will work. A lot of time and money will be wasted by the GOP on what was ultimately a fool's errand.

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January 11, 2010 2:19 PM   

I hope they do as good a job as they did in NY-23.

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January 11, 2010 3:33 PM   

If Mitt Romney is what passes for "top talent", then holy crap are Republicans screwed

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January 11, 2010 3:45 PM   

THE GOP HAS NO TOP TALENT...FREAKING JOKERS.


IF THEY DID, THEY WOULD HAVE DEPLAYED IT ON 11/4/2008.


MCLAME WAS THE BEST CHOICE THEY HAVE AND HAD AND THAT'S PRETTY SICKENING

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