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Mass Retirements? Not So Fast, Dems Say

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DNC Chair Tim Kaine

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Democrats are grumbling over headlines portraying their party as "dropping like flies" given the flood of recent retirements and say the press is ignoring there actually are more Republicans opting against reelection.

It's especially prominent in the House, where campaign types correctly say their retirements are fewer than Republicans. And they still are far fewer than the scenario in 1994, when massive retirements helped the GOP win back the House.

The Democratic National Committee emailed reporters today a Washington Monthly story that summarizes their frustration:

"So, to review, Republican retirements outnumber Democratic retirements in the House, in the Senate, and among governors. The preferred Republican/media meme of the day doesn't match up well against reality," reads a section from the story

By the numbers:

14 House Republicans are retiring; 10 Democratic incumbents
Six Senate Republicans are retiring, 2 Democrats
In the states, 3 Democrats have opted against reelection to governorships; 4 Republicans have made the same decision

To defend the press a bit, last night's retirement announcements came in all at once and in one day justifies the "dropping like flies" picture.

Late Update: A Democrat reminds me that RNC Chairman Mike Steele said this week he wasn't sure the Republicans would win back the House.

Later Update: The DNC's Hari Sevugan chimes in:

"We know that Republicans would like to do anything to distract from their utter lack of accomplishment this year, but their bloviations and the breathless prognostication by some others should be taken with more than just a grain of salt. We woke up yesterday morning with more Republican retirements than Democratic ones in the House, Senate and state houses. And today there are still more Republican retirements than Democratic ones in the House, Senate and state houses. At the same time Republicans are engaged in bloody primaries throughout the country as the far right wing radical faction of the party tries to stage a coup d'etat and purge the party of moderate voices. And while Democrats are going to be able to talk about getting things done that have helped the American people Republicans are going to have to defend their obstructionism and why they only stood up for the well heeled, the insurance lobby and Wall Street. While mid-term elections are historically tough for the party in power, Democrats, for these reasons, remain well positioned."

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January 6, 2010 11:14 AM   

Well, it would have taken "the press" about 10 seconds to check those numbers, and isn't "dropping like flies" generally used as a numerical reference?

Anyway, why do you need to defend "the press?" If I were your boss, I would want TPM's job to be separating itself from a failed industry by being consistently excellent, not by defending its dismal colleagues.

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January 6, 2010 11:27 AM   

Try defending the facts, not the press.

The facts have a better track record.

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January 6, 2010 11:35 AM    in reply to bignose

But facts have a well-known liberal bias. Better to be seen as Fair and Balanced™ — NOT!

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January 6, 2010 11:44 AM   

Shorter Christina: "Whoops! My previous post was bullshit. Time to cover my ass."

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January 6, 2010 12:05 PM    in reply to Xantar

You mean this:

Ripping Off The Band-Aid: A Flood Of Democrats Announce Retirements

wasn't entirely accurate? There isn't a "flood"?

Hilarious. Except I expect better from TPM.

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January 6, 2010 12:01 PM   

Defend the press? The press is following these retirements right? Don't you guys add this stuff up prior to writing your headlines or setting the meme? They weren't caught off guard by the announcements last night, you all got lazy and just copied each other's homework - as usual.

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January 6, 2010 12:09 PM   

Kaine Photo Caption: "Ya gotta understand, folks. Christina's glass is only about half-full."

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January 6, 2010 12:14 PM   

If you watch or read "All the Presidents' Men," most of the story is taken up by the efforts of Woodward and Bernstein to gather the most basic facts about the Committee to Reelect the President. Who was on it, where did the money come from. Stuff like that. They wore out shoe leather, worked the phones, cultivated second and third tier sources by the dozen, and had the occaisional clandestine meeting in a garage with their one high level, now famous, source. (When you watch the movie, it's amazing how obvious who it was when you listen to the kinds of things he knew). They even had another reporter doing a little flirting with an ex-boyfriend who worked for the RNC.

It took them weeks to find out stuff you'd get in about fifteen minutes on the Internet today. Maybe a few hours or a few days if you assume we had no post-Watergate disclosure laws, but did have an Internet and the reflexive tendency of the owners of sites to dump data into them.

But that's what reporters thought their job was in those days: gather facts, try to piece them together until it looked like they added up to a discernable story and report it.

It really makes me think the whole degeneration of journalism over the last three decades could be just this simple: in the old days, reporters valued facts because they were hard to come by. Nowadays, facts are easy to get, reporters think they're worthless.

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January 6, 2010 12:20 PM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

Good points, but I would add one thing:

Sure, "facts" are easy to come by on the internet. The problem is that not all of these "facts" are true, but there is so much out there, who has time to parse it all out? Not (Our not so intrepid) reporters, that's for sure.

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January 6, 2010 12:22 PM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

Nowadays, facts are easy to get, reporters think they're worthless

I'm old enough to remember having to do literature searches through the card catalog. It was incredibly time-consuming and tedious. Therefore, you had to really choose your keywords carefully; otherwise, you'd be lost on a pointless trail that just consumed massive amounts of your time.

Now? Much less thinking goes into the process, because it's just so easy.

Reporters don't have to care about facts; they can just discuss the implications of the "facts" that are out there without checking the "facts" to see if they are, in fact, facts.

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January 6, 2010 1:41 PM   

As a former journalist (print -- wow does that make me old), I have to report that hearing of my 17-year-old's switch of interest from journalism to education midway through the college search process filled me with a delight I cannot express.

And THAT is sad. But it's the young "journalists" here at TPM who always seem to be the ones making the dumb mistakes and bringing down the excellence of reporting. So I pretty much figure that the country's journalism education is where the problem lies, and I just didn't have faith that even the well-known programs where she wanted to apply have figured out yet how the industry has failed and how to fix it. Still teaching the same old crap that got us to where we are now, it seems.

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January 6, 2010 2:18 PM   

The New York Times is making the same mistake today. This is their top story right now: Retirements in Senate Signal Tough Year for Democrats. Many people in the comments to the article are pointing out the innaccuracy of the premise.

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January 6, 2010 2:27 PM   

Profoundly stupid line in local news radio report this morning:

"Experts say this could be the beginning of a wave of Democratic retirements."

No names, not even a hint of the usual anonymous source identification. I'm assuming this means "I asked a guy at the station who seems to know stuff."

Idiots.

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January 6, 2010 4:36 PM   

I think some comments are going a bit far. The fact is the Democratic retirements have come in a short time, and they're more recent. That's bound to make news. The fact Democratic retirements are coming later might mean something. I doubt it's more than coincidence, but I can't prove it. We'll know if the retirements stop, and they'll be meaningless if Democrats lose fewer seats than expected.

And let's not forget that the appointed senators from Delaware and Illinois aren't running, so that's four seats democrats are voluntarily vacating. So I think Democratic problems are overstated, but still real, and we should work as if circumstances are against us and the Republicans won't implode. And if we actually gain seats, we get to watch pundit and conservative heads spin.

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January 6, 2010 10:02 PM    in reply to ericf

Now, now, ericf. You can't very well interrupt the TPM Bash-Fest that erupts every time the fan club deems a TPM headline Insufficiently Loyal.

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January 6, 2010 5:47 PM   

Internationalsexguide.info has a nice follow up story on thsi one.

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