Poll: Massachusetts Race A Statistical Dead Heat

Too Close to call? jeez, the front page made me think today was the election.

Tim Kaine and/or the WH better know what they are doing by not sending Obama up there. Who cares if it signals panic? He should be able to rev up the base.

Make what you will of polls but the democrats are seeing they will pay mightily for disregarding the average American in favor of the bankers and wall street.

There are no safe states if a dem can be this close in the Kennedy seat.

No one is coming out to support the democrats who showed that even with control of the government they wont pass a single bill that will help the working class during this depression.

The worse is yet to come because obama already a republican light, will need them to pass any bills after the midterms.

And while he wont mind that ,its not good news for people who actually want to make this country a better place for the average American and not just the war machine and the bankers.

In Massachusetts, for Ted Kennedy's seat.

She should be ahead by 30 points. Even on a Rasmussen Poll.

The fact that its even near the margin of error, speaks to just how seriously the conserva-dems, vis a vis heath care, have damaged the enthusiasm of the base of the Democratic Party.

Its going to be a rough mid-term for Democrats if Coakley can't defend this seat for the Dems.

"She should be ahead by 30 points."

Um....no, she shouldn;t. In fact, VERY BERY FEW Democrats have been able to broach even 60% in elections since the 980s.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/massachusetts-chart-of-day.html#comments

"but the notion that the Democrat always wins by a 20- or 30- point blowout is just not true. The Democrat received more than 60 percent of the vote on only 4 of 19 occasions and averaged 56.2 points to the Republican's 39.9. And although I generally disdain comparing governor's races to races for the Congress, it is worth remembering that Republicans' controlled the governors' office for 16 consecutive years from 1991 through 2007."

The real question is whether this is a poll that Rasmussen thinks he can rig to pleasure his conservative sponsors/clients, or whether it's high enough visibility -- and likely enough to be remembered after the election -- that he feels he has to play it straight.

I'm guessing the former. Polling in a special election is usually a total crap shoot anyway, which makes it more like that Rasmussen figures he can get away with putting one of his big fat thumbs on the scale.

I wonder if the remaining Dems in the Senate would have the stones to take on the validity of the filibuster? If she loses, we may finally get to find out.

I doubt that. More media bias against the woman candidate. She would be well ahead without the prejudice.

Dave Weigel...Rasmussen confirms the obvious

The really surprising thing about this poll? While Brown has made his campaign explicitly about the chance Massachusetts voters have to block the health care bill, Rasmussen finds a solid majority of voters in support of the bill. According to the internals, 52 percent of voters back “the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats” to only 46 percent who oppose it. A plurality, 41 percent, of voters say the stimulus package has helped the economy–only 23 percent say it’s hurt. Coakley’s bumbling campaign can’t close the deal with an electorate that agrees with her on the issues

Nate Silver too albeit not as bluntly
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/massachusetts-its-not-just-about.html

I am all for pollsters like Rasmussen. Dems need a wake-up call, and the stupid, blindingly ignorant frenzies that the Right is fomenting are just the ticket to piss Libs off just like we got pissed off in 2006 and 2008.

I also sent money today, and will remote-phone-bank to get people out.

The teabaggers want a fight? Let's go. They are going to regret it. I love how surprised wingnuts are when they get a hard smash to the mouth, and they realize Liberals can fight.

And win, like we have in NY-23, and every other special Election for years now.

Turn out, turn out, turn out. Get the women out FOR SURE. Where are the PUMAs when you need them? As to the unions, are they so pissed off about the health insurance plans getting taxed that they won't get out for a Dem in Mass?

Does Mass use either Dibold or ES&S voting equipment and systems? And when will the Dems in congress ever investigate those GOP shills?
Any election showing polls even slightly close where those systems are used will absolutly fall to the GOPer.