
The new national survey from Public Policy Polling (D) finds a stunning result: If an election were held today, President Obama could potentially lose to Mike Huckabee.
Obama was tested against several Republicans: Huckabee 45%, Obama 44%, within the ±2.8% margin of error; Obama 49%, Sarah Palin 41%; Obama 44%, David Petraeus 34%; and Obama 44%, Mitt Romney 42%. "It's a good thing for Barack Obama that he's not up this year," said PPP president Dean Debnam, in the polling memo. "It's a tough time to be a Democrat."
A Fox News poll yesterday also showed Obama ahead of various Republicans, though Huckabee wasn't tested: Obama 47%, Romney 35%; Obama 55%, Palin 31%; Obama 53%, Newt Gingrich 29%; Obama 48%, generic Tea Party Movement candidate 23%.
felix
January 22, 2010 1:35 PM
Eric, you're easily stunned.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
trblmkr
January 22, 2010 3:59 PM in reply to felix
Guess that means Fox will be quotong the PPP poll instead of their own.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
geofu54
January 22, 2010 1:35 PM
generic Tea Party Movement candidate 23%
23%. That's the only valid and meaningful number there at this point.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
SFCWallace
January 22, 2010 3:12 PM in reply to geofu54
The stunning part is that that means I could get 23% today...I'm as generic as they come...
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
nova voter
January 22, 2010 1:38 PM
it was also stunning how bad hillary was going to stomp obama's ass in the primaries.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
nova voter
January 22, 2010 1:38 PM in reply to nova voter
you know ... until the actual primaries.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Constantinople
January 22, 2010 1:40 PM
Huckabee would have to win the GOP nomination first. That might not be so easy after giving a get-out-jail-free card to someone who subsequently murdered 4 police officers.
But then, who am I kidding? IOKIYAR.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
hollywood
January 22, 2010 1:55 PM
All you can really say about these polls is that the American people as a whole are incredibly painfully stupid. After the reign of Bush the Younger we as a people are so completely fucked by our ignorance of what is really in our best interest that the decline and fall of this empire is guaranteed. The wars, the debt, and the crushing economic collapse are all right wing ideology gone to it's logical end. Congratulations morons your work here is nearly complete. With the Supreme Court giving corporations unlimited power to buy and sell elected officials we have officially ended democracy and begun the empire of the fascists. The American Dream is dead.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
chrisl
January 22, 2010 2:06 PM
It's not a shock. Americans never like losers. If Obama keeps retreating, he will be a one-term president.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
lousgirl84
January 22, 2010 4:04 PM in reply to chrisl
They loved Bush and because of him we are now all losers.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
TrivTriv
January 22, 2010 2:07 PM
There is literally no way that Huckabee will beat Obama in '12. Absolutely none, no way, never.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Jorge
January 22, 2010 2:14 PM
There is literally no way that a black man with the middle name Hussein will become President in 2008. Absolutely none, no way, never.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Khyber900
January 22, 2010 2:19 PM
Not a shock. The 2008 Huckabee was actually a pretty good candidate. Socially conservative, but sane on the economy and foreign policy. If he brought that same campaign to 2012, he could win.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
EnnuiDivine
January 22, 2010 2:34 PM in reply to Khyber900
Sane on foreign policy? The guy who made a religious case for abandoning negotiation for a Palestinian state and refused to rule out nuking Iran?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
eratosthenes8
January 22, 2010 2:19 PM
There's no one to blame for these poll results but Obama himself.
He hasn't delivered on the promises that Americans expected when they elected him president.
He spent the better part of the last year operating under the delusion that his charm and eloquence -- or, alternately, his willingness to listen to GOP complaints -- would be enough to enamor Republicans into agreeing with his proposals.
In the end, he delivered great speeches and gave in, time and again, to Republican concerns on legislation...but didn't get any Republican votes in return.
I guess it's easier to be a media darling and rock star than it is to actually lead and get things done.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
bdh
January 22, 2010 4:20 PM in reply to eratosthenes8
"I guess it's easier to be a media darling and rock star than it is to actually lead and get things done."
Zing! He's like Paris Hilton and Britney Spears!
Very Nice!
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
GTFOOH
January 22, 2010 2:27 PM
...And if a pig had wings...
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Solomon Drek
January 22, 2010 2:31 PM
I wonder how Obama polls against Alan Keyes.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Frex
January 22, 2010 2:40 PM
More evidence that Obama is shedding support faster than a dog does hair in the spring.
Clinton is right when he says that Americans would rather their leaders be strong and wrong (hence Bush's reelection) than weak and right. And to much of America, Obama is a 98 pound weakling.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Kristin126
January 22, 2010 4:22 PM in reply to Frex
I do think you're correct on this.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Kristin126
January 22, 2010 2:41 PM
It's ridiculous to be polling for a presidential election almost three years away. Really. It is.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Steve LaBonne
January 22, 2010 3:47 PM in reply to Kristin126
Indeed. Wake me up in the summer of 2012.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Powkat
January 22, 2010 4:21 PM
Let's all just vote for Huckabee/Palin or vise versa and let the country go to hell on steriods as opposed to the death by 1,000 cuts we've been dealing with since 1980. Then maybe Canada will invade us for our own good and we can have something resembling sanity.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve
January 22, 2010 5:14 PM
On the long list of utterly inconsequential ca-ca that some people confuse with meaningful information but that I really don't give a flying fuck about, polls of hypothetical matchups one year into a president's term are down below even the latest dope on Tiger Woods' sex life and the opinions of Rutabega Ridgepole.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
bill
January 24, 2010 1:14 AM
While I respect Mr Harris’ opinions, these are the key questions and the factual answers.
Who are Obama's 'constituencies'? Follow the decisions and identify Obama's constituencies:
1. Decision - Ignore previous Republican crimes and misdemeanors: Constituencies - Republican voters and Republican Congress people he hoped would go 'bi-partisan'.
2. Decision - Support a stingy stimulus full of tax breaks and pork: Constituencies - investors, special interests.
3. Decision - Kill the only option that would have slowed the cost of health care & led to universal coverage: Constituencies - Health insurance and pharmacy industries.
4. Decision - Accelerate the Bush bailout: Constituency - Financial industry.
5. Decision - Escalate a meaningless and fruitless war: Constituencies - military and corporate mercenaries.
6. Decision - Gut real financial reform and substitute finger wagging and silly taxes and fees: Constituencies - financial industry and the wealthy.
7. Decision - Not help people with bankruptcy and mortgages remediation: Constituencies - financial industry, banks and wealthy.
and
8. Decision - Fiddle around and not pass a jobs bill: wealthy and Republicans.
Obama’s constituencies are the health insurance and pharmacy industries, military-mercenary complex, the financial industry and banks, and the wealthy.
Why has Obama lost the support of the voters? Based on the decisions Obama has made, these appear to be the reasons for the lose:
1. Republicans are better off with real Republicans, so why vote for Obama;
2. Independents, who wanted change, see the status quo protected and coddled, so they've lost faith in the man (no 'change you can believe in' there);
3. Democrats see a so-called Democratic White House and so-called Democratic Congress pushing Republican policies and catering to traditionally Republican constituencies, so why support Obama and the Congressional 'leaders' who cannot support the middle class.
Obama has made decisions that have hurt most Americans, and, he is either:
1. Oblivious to them,
2. Doesn’t care, or
3. Erroneously assumed the military-mercenary, health insurance-pharmaceutical, financial-banking industries and wealthy constituencies would remain loyal and rescue him from troubles.
Obama is apparently constitutionally unable to support the middle class and the traditional Democratic constituency. It is not difficult to understand why Obama's ratings and his 'agenda' have been rejected and Democrats no longer enjoy the support of the majority of voters.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
sharonsj
January 24, 2010 2:31 PM
Just what the country needs: another religious nut in the White House. Every proposed Republican candidate is loony tunes, and if the Dems can't figure out how to beat them, we deserve to be screwed.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?