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Poll: Obama In Close Races For 2012, Huckabee Has One-Point Edge

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President Obama and Former Gov. Mike Huckabee.

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The new national survey from Public Policy Polling (D) finds a stunning result: If an election were held today, President Obama could potentially lose to Mike Huckabee.

Obama was tested against several Republicans: Huckabee 45%, Obama 44%, within the ±2.8% margin of error; Obama 49%, Sarah Palin 41%; Obama 44%, David Petraeus 34%; and Obama 44%, Mitt Romney 42%. "It's a good thing for Barack Obama that he's not up this year," said PPP president Dean Debnam, in the polling memo. "It's a tough time to be a Democrat."

A Fox News poll yesterday also showed Obama ahead of various Republicans, though Huckabee wasn't tested: Obama 47%, Romney 35%; Obama 55%, Palin 31%; Obama 53%, Newt Gingrich 29%; Obama 48%, generic Tea Party Movement candidate 23%.

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January 22, 2010 1:35 PM   

Eric, you're easily stunned.

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January 22, 2010 3:59 PM    in reply to felix

Guess that means Fox will be quotong the PPP poll instead of their own.

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January 22, 2010 1:35 PM   

generic Tea Party Movement candidate 23%

23%. That's the only valid and meaningful number there at this point.

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January 22, 2010 3:12 PM    in reply to geofu54

The stunning part is that that means I could get 23% today...I'm as generic as they come...

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January 22, 2010 1:38 PM   

it was also stunning how bad hillary was going to stomp obama's ass in the primaries.

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January 22, 2010 1:38 PM    in reply to nova voter

you know ... until the actual primaries.

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January 22, 2010 1:40 PM   

Huckabee would have to win the GOP nomination first. That might not be so easy after giving a get-out-jail-free card to someone who subsequently murdered 4 police officers.

But then, who am I kidding? IOKIYAR.

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January 22, 2010 1:55 PM   

All you can really say about these polls is that the American people as a whole are incredibly painfully stupid. After the reign of Bush the Younger we as a people are so completely fucked by our ignorance of what is really in our best interest that the decline and fall of this empire is guaranteed. The wars, the debt, and the crushing economic collapse are all right wing ideology gone to it's logical end. Congratulations morons your work here is nearly complete. With the Supreme Court giving corporations unlimited power to buy and sell elected officials we have officially ended democracy and begun the empire of the fascists. The American Dream is dead.

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January 22, 2010 2:06 PM   

It's not a shock. Americans never like losers. If Obama keeps retreating, he will be a one-term president.

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January 22, 2010 4:04 PM    in reply to chrisl

They loved Bush and because of him we are now all losers.

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January 22, 2010 2:07 PM   

There is literally no way that Huckabee will beat Obama in '12. Absolutely none, no way, never.

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January 22, 2010 2:14 PM   

There is literally no way that a black man with the middle name Hussein will become President in 2008. Absolutely none, no way, never.

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January 22, 2010 2:19 PM   

Not a shock. The 2008 Huckabee was actually a pretty good candidate. Socially conservative, but sane on the economy and foreign policy. If he brought that same campaign to 2012, he could win.

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January 22, 2010 2:34 PM    in reply to Khyber900

Sane on foreign policy? The guy who made a religious case for abandoning negotiation for a Palestinian state and refused to rule out nuking Iran?

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January 22, 2010 2:19 PM   

There's no one to blame for these poll results but Obama himself.

He hasn't delivered on the promises that Americans expected when they elected him president.

He spent the better part of the last year operating under the delusion that his charm and eloquence -- or, alternately, his willingness to listen to GOP complaints -- would be enough to enamor Republicans into agreeing with his proposals.

In the end, he delivered great speeches and gave in, time and again, to Republican concerns on legislation...but didn't get any Republican votes in return.

I guess it's easier to be a media darling and rock star than it is to actually lead and get things done.

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bdh

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January 22, 2010 4:20 PM    in reply to eratosthenes8

"I guess it's easier to be a media darling and rock star than it is to actually lead and get things done."

Zing! He's like Paris Hilton and Britney Spears!

Very Nice!

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January 22, 2010 2:27 PM   

...And if a pig had wings...

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January 22, 2010 2:31 PM   

I wonder how Obama polls against Alan Keyes.

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January 22, 2010 2:40 PM   

More evidence that Obama is shedding support faster than a dog does hair in the spring.

Clinton is right when he says that Americans would rather their leaders be strong and wrong (hence Bush's reelection) than weak and right. And to much of America, Obama is a 98 pound weakling.

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January 22, 2010 4:22 PM    in reply to Frex

I do think you're correct on this.

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January 22, 2010 2:41 PM   

It's ridiculous to be polling for a presidential election almost three years away. Really. It is.

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January 22, 2010 3:47 PM    in reply to Kristin126

Indeed. Wake me up in the summer of 2012.

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January 22, 2010 4:21 PM   

Let's all just vote for Huckabee/Palin or vise versa and let the country go to hell on steriods as opposed to the death by 1,000 cuts we've been dealing with since 1980. Then maybe Canada will invade us for our own good and we can have something resembling sanity.

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January 22, 2010 5:14 PM   

On the long list of utterly inconsequential ca-ca that some people confuse with meaningful information but that I really don't give a flying fuck about, polls of hypothetical matchups one year into a president's term are down below even the latest dope on Tiger Woods' sex life and the opinions of Rutabega Ridgepole.

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January 24, 2010 1:14 AM   

While I respect Mr Harris’ opinions, these are the key questions and the factual answers.

Who are Obama's 'constituencies'? Follow the decisions and identify Obama's constituencies:

1. Decision - Ignore previous Republican crimes and misdemeanors: Constituencies - Republican voters and Republican Congress people he hoped would go 'bi-partisan'.
2. Decision - Support a stingy stimulus full of tax breaks and pork: Constituencies - investors, special interests.

3. Decision - Kill the only option that would have slowed the cost of health care & led to universal coverage: Constituencies - Health insurance and pharmacy industries.

4. Decision - Accelerate the Bush bailout: Constituency - Financial industry.

5. Decision - Escalate a meaningless and fruitless war: Constituencies - military and corporate mercenaries.

6. Decision - Gut real financial reform and substitute finger wagging and silly taxes and fees: Constituencies - financial industry and the wealthy.

7. Decision - Not help people with bankruptcy and mortgages remediation: Constituencies - financial industry, banks and wealthy.
and 

8. Decision - Fiddle around and not pass a jobs bill: wealthy and Republicans.

Obama’s constituencies are the health insurance and pharmacy industries, military-mercenary complex, the financial industry and banks, and the wealthy.

Why has Obama lost the support of the voters? Based on the decisions Obama has made, these appear to be the reasons for the lose:

1. Republicans are better off with real Republicans, so why vote for Obama;
2. Independents, who wanted change, see the status quo protected and coddled, so they've lost faith in the man (no 'change you can believe in' there);
3. Democrats see a so-called Democratic White House and so-called Democratic Congress pushing Republican policies and catering to traditionally Republican constituencies, so why support Obama and the Congressional 'leaders' who cannot support the middle class. 



Obama has made decisions that have hurt most Americans, and, he is either:

1. Oblivious to them,
2. Doesn’t care, or
3. Erroneously assumed the military-mercenary, health insurance-pharmaceutical, financial-banking industries and wealthy constituencies would remain loyal and rescue him from troubles.

Obama is apparently constitutionally unable to support the middle class and the traditional Democratic constituency. It is not difficult to understand why Obama's ratings and his 'agenda' have been rejected and Democrats no longer enjoy the support of the majority of voters.

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January 24, 2010 2:31 PM   

Just what the country needs: another religious nut in the White House. Every proposed Republican candidate is loony tunes, and if the Dems can't figure out how to beat them, we deserve to be screwed.

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