
It's been apparent for quite some time that the Senate is unlikely to follow the House's lead in calling for the creation of an economy-wide market in greenhouse gas emissions. But today, at a town hall meeting in Nashua, NH, President Obama seemed, however reluctantly, to acknowledge the political reality.
"The most controversial aspects of the energy debate that we've been having: The House passed an energy bill, and people complained about, well, there's this cap and trade thing, and you just mentioned, you know, let's do the fun stuff before we do the hard stuff," Obama told former New Hampshire Rep. Dick Swett.
The only thing I would say about it is this. We may be able to separate these things out, and it-it's conceivable that that's where the Senate ends up, but the concept of incentivizing clean energy so that it's the cheaper more effective kind of energy is one that is proven to work and is actually a market-based approach.
The remarks represent the first time the President has acknowledged that the Senate may not be willing to adopt a cap and trade system: the central feature of the climate change initiative that Obama ran on during the 2008 campaign.
Obama's tacit acceptance of the move to drop emissions pricing from a comprehensive climate and energy bill appears to make that result only more likely--and will likely raise the ire of environmentalists, who see an emissions market as key to addressing the dangers of climate change.
[ed. note: This post has been edited from the original.]
i said GOOD DAY sir
February 2, 2010 3:56 PM
If he thinks that clean energy sources can become cheaper without capping emissions from dirty sources, he's dreaming. Hopefully Obama will not succumb to the magical thinking that somehow if we throw 6B at clean energy that that is going to upend the status quo.
Honestly, I think they should just scrap the entire effort if they don't pass cap and trade. To say that a renewable electricity standard of 15% by 2020 is going to do anything is ridiculous, given that the EIA already thinks that we'll be at 15% by 2020 with no subsidies at all.
There comes a time that the Democrats have to lead or simply admit they're keeping the seats of power warm for the GOP and their corporate masters.
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socraticgadfly
February 2, 2010 5:00 PM in reply to i said GOOD DAY sir
Environmentalists, hell... the ire of House Dems just went up, too. Barack Obama Carter, anyone?
More seriously, what's really going to force action is a hammer from abroad -- the EU eventually adopting carbon tariffs. It would hit us hard, China harder.
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Maritza
February 2, 2010 4:04 PM
Cap & trade is deader than health care reform. Health care reform at least has a pulse since the White House, the Senate leaders, and the House leadership met today on HRC.
Cap & trade just won't happen. Instead expect there to be an energy bill that has a lot of tax breaks for clean energy.
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wbgonne
February 2, 2010 4:08 PM
Cap & Trade was hopeless after the HCR debacle. I said from the beginning that HCR was child's play compared to energy. THe ONLY way energy was going to get done was if Obama built up momentum from HCR. Um, that didn't happen. Let's see: what else will the Democrats fail at?
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kw_1981
February 2, 2010 4:10 PM
This doesn't mean that there will be no limitations on carbon emissions.... it just means that Congress cedes that role, to the executive branch... and EPA is showing that it is moving forward with or without Congress
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wbgonne
February 2, 2010 4:14 PM in reply to kw_1981
Agreed. But we'll see how much stomach the White House has to take this on alone, especially when the counter-atacks start (which won't be long now that the legislation is officially dead).
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storm
February 2, 2010 4:11 PM
I'd like to add what France did. Add an assessment on all carbon energy, then every so often cut everyone a check to distribute all the money collected.
Argue it isn't a tax, since it is revenue neutral.
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masanf
February 2, 2010 10:40 PM in reply to storm
Yeah, that would be super awesome for the economy.
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dswx
February 2, 2010 4:19 PM
As someone who was involved with it, the fact of the matter is that we have absolute proof that cap and trade works to reduce pollution while not hurting the economy. The acid rain precursor emissions of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides were quite effective reduced in the 1990s due to the market-based cap and trade program that came about following the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. Emissions of both pollutants from fossil-fuel power plants dropped tremendously over the years. And none of the scary scenarios put forth by industry and the Repubs came to pass. Not a one. In fact, even the government cost estimates turned out to be high. Meanwhile, the economy grew in the 1990s.
Anyone who believes cap and trade will cause economic hardship is 1. lying through their teeth and 2. simply parroting false claims from industry. Market-based cap and trade worked great. It was a win-win. There is no legitimate excuse for it not to work this time.
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wbgonne
February 2, 2010 4:21 PM in reply to dswx
Well, it's not going to work b/c the Senate Republicrats won't let it pass.
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Brainpicnic
February 2, 2010 4:26 PM
Use the EPA to regulate emissions. Fuck 'em.
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For Want of a Nail
February 2, 2010 4:29 PM
This would be hilarious if it wasn't so sad.
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nowhereman
February 2, 2010 4:29 PM
The recent Harper's Magazine (not conservative) contained a critical review of CaT proposals and how it currently works in the world. The conclusion was not positive for such carbon controls and supports Obama's (newest) approach. I favor a concentration on clean energy. I just get this feeling of a huge carbon market bubble that would rise ominously from the Halls of Congress and corporate boardrooms across the world.
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GermanyOrFlorida
February 2, 2010 4:36 PM
Use the EPA. Getting the Senate to do anything is impossible - they are absolutely worthless - all of them.
Maybe we get a couple freebies making the alt-energy tax credit permanent, some feed-in credits, funding for transmission lines, smart-grid funding, etc.
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nowhereman
February 2, 2010 4:38 PM
Power plants, the focus of sulfur and nitrogen CaT, produce 2.5b tons of carbon while cars produce 1.5b tons. Are individual auto owners to be a player in CaT? I fail to see how carbon trading is going to address the various sources of carbon not to mention other greenhouse gases.
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Sailormarlowe
February 2, 2010 4:46 PM
Obama, he pollute adoption limits.
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farnsworth
February 2, 2010 5:00 PM in reply to Sailormarlowe
Hey! It's the guy who thinks Sarah Palin is a military position!
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Gopherit
February 2, 2010 5:02 PM in reply to Sailormarlowe
Congratulations, Sailor. You have gone from being an inane parrot of right wing talking points to being completely incomprehensible.
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martis
February 2, 2010 5:05 PM in reply to Sailormarlowe
get help. seriously.
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Gopherit
February 2, 2010 5:05 PM
I am fully convinced that the Dems could have 100 votes in the senate and still would face filibuster problems on CaT and HCR.
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sunnysteve
February 2, 2010 5:09 PM
It is taking time to replace the carbon industries' lackeys embedded in the Executive Branch under Bush, but regulatory and scientific agencies will steadily become more independent of conservative ideology and the corporate interests of polluters. Victories were recently achieved with the Supreme Court upholding the EPA's authority and obligation to regulate carbon emissions and the removal of the ban on states setting more stringent emissions standards than the feds (with California setting the pace). EPA, progressive state governments, and investment in clean technologies may well be the only answers. We have a craven opposition party, incredibly incompetent and greedy corporate executives and a willfully gullible and ignorant public.
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fkaZk0sm0
February 3, 2010 9:16 AM in reply to sunnysteve
"We have a craven opposition party..."
and, more importantly (and more relevant to the politics of cap & trade in the senate), you have complicit 'conservatives' in your own party.
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jim43
February 2, 2010 5:16 PM
Obama is simply acknowledging the political reality in Washington. He does not need another health care-style fight on his hands.
http://www.political-buzz.com/
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lousgirl84
February 2, 2010 5:26 PM in reply to jim43
Exactly.
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cawleybo
February 3, 2010 7:30 AM in reply to lousgirl84
We wouldn't want to tie him up with all the governing stuff. It's so tedious.
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rmwarnick
February 2, 2010 6:04 PM
EPA regulations are the way to go. The Waxman-Markey ACES bill was a gift to the coal industry.
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Samson
February 2, 2010 8:50 PM
The key point to notice here is that he isn't even going to try.
He's putting the blame on the Senate, but Obama is the one taking the action at this point to take pollution limits out of the deal. My motto is to watch what they do, and ignore what they say. What Obama is doing is pulling pollution controls from the bill. I don't care what he says about the Senate as that's just him trying to shift the blame.
In terms of politics, this is actually rather stupid of the Democrats. The Republicans used to know how to push some bills and some fights just to make the opposition look bad in an election year. Somewhere around 70% of the population says that global warming is a problem and that the US should be doing something about it.
So, forcing this fight and making the Republicans act to kill it in the Senate would be very good politics for the Democrats. A Republican filibuster to kill this would make for great TV for the Democrats.
Thus, what you are really seeing is the Democrats not even bothering to push a fight that would be beneficial politically to them.
Watch what they do, not what they say. Who knows how the Senate would vote with the pressure on and Obama going on national TV to tell people to call their Senators to urge them to pass this. We won't know, because its Obama making the decision not to even try to pass this.
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doggie daddy
February 3, 2010 6:56 AM
Prez-lite can't get the repugs to play nice.
Well so much for your friends across the aisle.
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drury
February 3, 2010 10:59 AM
Cap and trade was never the way forward on energy/climate legislation. It would do nothing to reduce carbon emissions. It would only tax the system, and pass the tax onto the consumer. Ultimately, we all may have to pay more for our energy consumption (maybe even a lot more than we currently do), but this shouldn't happen unless there is a system in place to dramatically reduce overall carbon emissions. Cap and trade is not such a system.
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drury
February 3, 2010 11:00 AM
Cap and trade was never the way forward on energy/climate legislation. It would do nothing to reduce carbon emissions. It would only tax the system, and pass the tax onto the consumer. Ultimately, we all may have to pay more for our energy consumption (maybe even a lot more than we currently do), but this shouldn't happen unless there is a system in place to dramatically reduce overall carbon emissions. Cap and trade is not such a system.
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