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Poll: Americans Want Dem Health Care Reforms, Not Dem Bills


President Barack Obama talks with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in the Oval Office.

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In advance of tomorrow's bipartisan health care reform summit at the White House, a new poll shows Democrats have the upper hand when it comes to what Americans want fixed in their health care system. But they remain unhappy with both bills passed in the Democratic-led Congress.

A CNN national poll out today confirms what health care reform advocates have been saying -- Americans want health care reform, and they favor (if only slightly) most of the reforms Democrats are pushing. But the poll also confirms what Republicans and reform opponents have been saying for months: Democrats are walking into the summit with a set of bills basically no one wants.

According to the poll, 48% of Americans want Washington to scrap the current Democratic bills and start over on a reform package. Just a quarter of the country wants Congress to "bill similar to the legislation that Congress has been working on for the past year." The other 25% want Congress to stop working on health care all together.

But when asked about the individual components of the various reform packages, Americans polled by CNN favor requiring companies to provide insurance to their employees, end preexisting condition screening by insurance companies and ban cancelling health coverage for beneficiaries who become seriously ill.

A large majority of respondents (66%) also favored limits on malpractice suit awards, a central GOP talking point in the health care debate. The also oppose mandates, another key Republican message.

On a public option, the public is split. Fifty-one percent favor some kind of government-run insurance plan as part of reform, while 48% say they oppose it.

So, heading into tomorrow, the room for compromise (at least in the eyes of the public) seems to fall on the issues of tort reform and the inclusion of a public option. Still, despite the strengths the Democrats seemingly bring to the table, the GOP dominance of the messaging side of the reform debate -- evidenced in the overall dissatisfaction with the bills that have passed in Congress -- gives Republicans plenty of ammunition of their own.

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February 24, 2010 5:35 PM   

This poll is no surprise.

Democrats routinely win on questions of policy. And they routinely lose on questions of politics.

People like Democratic ideas...but that's all for naught -- in the near term, at least -- if the Republicans win the message war.

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February 25, 2010 7:58 AM    in reply to eratosthenes8

And what is less surprising is that the Republicans "win" the messaging war — since their positions and talking points are so readily and unquestioningly repeated ad nauseum by the corporate mass media.

Case in point being yesterday, when the Repugs trot out the line that using reconciliation is the "nuclear option." Almost to a person (except maybe Rachel Maddow), the CMM talking suits pick it up without challenge. "Democrats are now talking about using the nuclear option [or "ramming through legislation using the 'majority-rule option'] in advance of the alleged bi-partisan summit!" they say.

Any nitwit who has reported DC news for more than 10 minutes knows the "nuclear option" is something named by in 2005 that ends the senate filibuster. It's not reconciliation, which has been used in passing everything from tax cuts for the wealthy through changes to health care since 1980 16 or 22 times it's been used.

Do the TeeVee or radio flapping gums point that out, or suggest the Repugs are knowingly lying when they trot out that line? Of course not. They just dutifully repeat it as though it's real.

No wonder the polls always reflect their messages, since the loudest political megaphones are literally owned by their message machines.

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February 25, 2010 8:01 AM    in reply to TheRealFish

Typing faster than proofing: My first sentence, paragraph 2 above should read "Any nitwit who has reported DC news for more than 10 minutes knows the "nuclear option" is something named by Republicans in 2005 that ends the senate filibuster."

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February 25, 2010 8:03 AM    in reply to TheRealFish

Reading faster than proofing, take 2: Make that first sentence, paragraph 3. Sheesh. I have to go to work now... .

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February 24, 2010 5:35 PM   

So, offer tort reform (promise it will come later, like we've been told about the reconciliation public option) and ask what they will offer in return. Then watch them squirm.

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February 24, 2010 9:49 PM    in reply to Powkat

In return for tort reform we will offer to allow more people to buy into insurance by making private insurance more available to those who are 65 and older. (Heh, heh!)

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February 25, 2010 4:05 AM    in reply to Powkat

The reason for large judgments is to take care of the expense of rectifying an iatrogenic mistake. If a single-payer plan is passed tort, reform makes more sense, because the system will take care of people who've been screwed over.

Tort reform without single-payer makes no sense. With that you get screwed by the system and you get no money to take care of the problem.

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February 24, 2010 5:38 PM   

In other words - most Americans are as fucking dumb as a bag of hammers - and are getting precisely the governance they deserve.

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February 24, 2010 5:52 PM    in reply to GayIthacan

They aren't stupid. They figure the bill is too big and complicated and there is plenty hidden in the fine print that no one has told them about.

You are asking Americans to buy the entire menu and you aren't even listing the prices.

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February 24, 2010 11:16 PM    in reply to bluebell

Yes and no. They're against the mandate without realizing that without it their insurance rates will be higher.

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February 24, 2010 5:40 PM   

Requiring all Americans who do not have health insurance to get it
Support 45%
Oppose 53%

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February 24, 2010 5:45 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Yet they overwhelmingly support guaranteed issue.

You can't have that without a mandate.

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February 24, 2010 5:48 PM    in reply to eratosthenes8

that's not true, as Obama argued during the primaries, and why he was once upon a time against mandates, like he was once upon a time for the public option, like he was once upon a time against the tax as well.

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February 24, 2010 5:48 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

hey, that is change!

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February 24, 2010 6:47 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Ha! Nice...

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February 24, 2010 5:56 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Seriously, what would be the incentive for a person to buy health insurance in advance of a major illness if he knew he could buy it at a reasonable rate once he became afflicted with some horrible disease?

It might be an attractive option if you have money to burn. Otherwise, people not bound by a mandate are only going to purchase insurance when the cost of coverage is lower than the cost of going without.

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February 24, 2010 6:01 PM    in reply to eratosthenes8

Oh, I don't, (since this was argued by Obama and many others in the primaries and since) how about conditions in the bill, concerning pre-existing conditions and policies bought within the last year or so, as many have expressed, numberous times. Or a provision that nationalizes the application process, standardizes it, and then advocates signing people up, as vermont, and other states have done successfully...etc. This isn't new.

like I said:

as Obama argued during the primaries, and why he was once upon a time against mandates, like he was once upon a time for the public option, like he was once upon a time against the tax as well.

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February 25, 2010 3:42 AM    in reply to Indie Pro

But this was a political ploy. Most economists never thought it was a viable way to control costs. If the public can't live with a mandate AND a public option, HCR is dead.

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February 24, 2010 6:07 PM    in reply to eratosthenes8

You'd think this would be blindingly obvious. Who would buy fire insurance if you could buy it after your house was on fire? And if you could, what would it cost?

Without the mandate you get into a death spiral. You add all those people with pre-existing conditions and lose the young healthy people. Prices have to rise because the average cost per insured person has gone up, providing even more incentive for healthy people to opt out, and around and around we go.

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February 24, 2010 6:18 PM    in reply to mans_best_friend

you think it would be blindingly obvious that people actually want healthcare, and insurance -that isn't the issue.

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MP

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February 24, 2010 6:29 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Can you point to a single, credible healthcare policy analyst who believes - and clearly explains - how you can have guaranteed issue without a mandate? From everything I've read, insisting on one without the other is a lot like insisting you can cut taxes and increase spending, and everything will work out just fine.

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February 24, 2010 6:46 PM    in reply to MP

oh, we've been through this before, but here's a quick internet search, from wiki, so they have citations you can follow to read the articles for yourself, if you are actually interested,

or you could look at places like vermont (etc) or even Mass, where 20% of the people who have mandated insurance are too poor to actually use it, and as everyone says, it matches what the President is proposing.

anyway, shorthand response:

A 2004 editorial in USA Today asserted that United States Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) data show the uninsured are unfairly billed for services at rates far higher—on average 305% at urban hospitals in California—than are the insured; USA Today concluded that "millions of [uninsured patients] are forced to subsidize insured patients."[12] The Wall Street Journal reported that mandates squeeze "those in the middle" in Massachusetts and that nationally CBO estimates "as many as nine million legal American residents might still go without insurance under the initial House legislation released in July, despite its subsidies."[13] The Los Angeles Times reported in 2009 that current proposed mandates without cost controls "add up to higher costs for taxpayers and consumers."[14] The Washington Post reports that even with mandates insurers will likely continue discrimination to "chase away the chronically ill," quoting Karen Pollitz, research professor at the Georgetown University Health Policy Institute: "The race is to the bottom."[15]

National Nurses United, the nation's largest registered nurses organization and a supporter of Medicare-for-all, ranked the individual mandate first in a list of 10 problems explaining their opposition to the current Congressional proposals.[16] The California Nurses Association, which supports single-payer healthcare, added that due to "insurance company pirates and their predatory pricing practices...subsidies and tweaking will amount to little more than an umbrella in a hurricane."[17] Physicians for a National Health Program, which also supports single-payer healthcare, wrote that "mandate-based health reforms don't work."[18]

Citing data from the Urban Institute and the experience of Massachusetts (see below), the Cato Institute argues that without the uninsured, "The insured would pay more, not less."[19] The Pacific Research Institute argues that the uninsured subsidize the insured, do not drive up the cost of health care, and use fewer services than the insured.[20]

There is also disagreement as to whether federal mandates would be constitutional,[21] and state initiatives opposing federal mandates may lead to litigation and delay.[22][23] In 1994, the Congressional Budget Office issued a report describing an individual mandate as "an unprecedented form of federal action." The agency also wrote, "The government has never required people to buy any good or service as a condition of lawful residence in the United States."[24]

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MP

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February 24, 2010 8:08 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Thanks for taking the time to post, and I did read through what you wrote. There was a lot in there about how a mandate, particularly in the absence of good regulation, can be problematic, but there was nothing in there about a death spiral.

I'll put it in personal terms. I've got a policy that covers my wife and myself, and last year the premium was $370/mo roughly (FWIW, the premium increase was around 25% from last year to this year). However, it's a high deductible policy, so barring some sort of catastrophic illness, it's unlikely the insurer will ever pay a dime.

So basically, I've got the policy for a catastrophe and if someone told me I didn't have to have it, that I could buy insurance guaranteed with no pre-existing condition whenever I wanted it, you can bet I'd drop it in a heart beat. And so would millions of others. So, insurers would be left with only those unprofitable customers that needed their product.

Look, I'd love single payer as the CA Nurses Association supports, or it'd be great to have a largely private, but highly regulated system like they have in France. Both would be worlds better than what we have now, and they'd be better than what's on the table. But what's on the table is what's significantly better than what we have now and I'll take that if that's the best we can get through the feckless Senate. Get the framework in place, improve it down the road.

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February 25, 2010 8:00 AM    in reply to MP

The problem is, this legislation (if I've understood correctly) would perpetuate the same flaws; with a bronze plan, you'd pay about what you're paying now, but with a high deductible. That's what we have in MA now. You end up paying lots in premiums and voluntarily foregoing health care to avoid paying that high deductible. It gives the appearance of insurance coverage without really making health care accessible. It covers up a problem without really tackling it. Very bad for the future. And worse with 10% unemployment. Finally...this is a problem we will have to deal with. It's not now or never. It has to be now. So if HCR dies now, we'll still have to address the issue, but in a more responsible manner. Better to take this as a lesson learned (how not to solve the problem), in my view.

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February 24, 2010 6:33 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

Where's the money going to come from to cover people who have pre-existing conditions? There's only one source - adding healthy people who will pay in more than they get back. If you know of another place for the money to come from, I'd love to hear it.

I hate to burst your bubble but a lot of the people who are uninsured are uninsured by choice, and the reasons aren't that hard to understand. For a large majority of people health insurance is a bad bet - they pay out a lot more than they get back. It HAS to work that way. Absent a mandate, the same people who are uninsured by choice now will be uninsured by choice later.

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February 24, 2010 6:38 PM    in reply to mans_best_friend

Their essential argument is the only way to get everybody covered is if the government forces you to buy health insurance. If you don’t buy it, then you’ll be penalized in some way. What I have said repeatedly is that the reason people don’t have health insurance isn’t because they don’t want it, it’s because they can’t afford it."
-- Barack Obama, Nov. 24, 2007

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February 24, 2010 6:59 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

I'm in just such a situation. Live in Mass, which has a form of what the Senate's proposing. Every year I have to downgrade my insurance because the premiums keep going up. So now I have a plan with such a high deductible that I try not to use any health care. BCBS is making a tidy sum off my insurance, which I'm required to have. They have to carry me. I have to pay them. But they don't have to offer very much in the way of benefits. It's a lousy system.

The poll results look very much like the public would support an expanded Medicare solution.

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February 24, 2010 6:55 PM    in reply to mans_best_friend

There are other solutions - expanded Medicare (Medicare for All) or an all payer system as in Germany.

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February 25, 2010 1:05 AM    in reply to mans_best_friend

I hate to burst your bubble but a lot of the people who are uninsured are uninsured by choice, and the reasons aren't that hard to understand. For a large majority of people health insurance is a bad bet...

And so we propose to enact a cumbersome, laborious structure (the individual mandate) to combat the free-rider problem, that dramatically enhances the profits of, and reinforces the power of, an industry which has been documented to have violated the law and the rights of its customers an uncountable number of times. (Last Monday the Republican Commissioner of Insurance in California issued a finding of over 700 violations of the law by a single actor in this industry, Anthem Blue Cross, between 2006 and 2009, in a single state. Violations included failure to pay claims, misrepresenting policy and other information to consumers, and stonewalling regulatory agencies. This same actor has paid over US$4.2 billion in dividends to its parent company Wellpoint since 2004. Wellpoint's CEO's compensation package last year totaled US$9.6 million.)

If you think you've got a free rider problem, then typically what you do is recognize you're dealing with a public good and fund its provision through taxation. Like national defense, or local police and fire services. Now let's see, if only someone could figure out how to do that for health care....

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February 24, 2010 6:31 PM    in reply to eratosthenes8

What's the incentive for the insurance company to approve treatment of a mandated customer without robust competition and draconian enforcement?

If you are going to put the IRS on the back of every barely making ends meet family in American, they better regulate the hell out of the insurance industry.

They won't.

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February 24, 2010 7:49 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

I sell insurance for a living. You CAN NOT cover people with pre-existing conditions. Both the mandate to buy coverage and the single-payer system have the same goal, that is....

TO USE THE LAW TO COVER ALL PEOPLE SO THAT THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A PERSON WITH A PRE-EXISTING CONDITION BECAUSE ALL PEOPLE ARE COVERED BY THE SYSTEM.

The question is how much fat will we allow to get in the system.

As I said before, I sell insurance for a living. People try to buy health insurance after they get sick now. If we make it legal everyone will do that.

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February 24, 2010 10:27 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

His opposition to the individual mandate was basically a political ploy to differentiate his health care plan from Clinton's. I knew that at that time, but voted for him anyway (I support Obama, but I don't idolize him).

The excise tax claim is barely, barely true. McCain wanted to eliminate the deduction entirely. Obama wants to limit the deduction after 2018 in the most expensive plans. There's a big difference between 5% and 100%.

He did support the public option. Don't we all! Ain't gonna pass this year.

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February 24, 2010 10:52 PM    in reply to Indie Pro

News flash: Tax hikes and speeding tickets unpopular.

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February 24, 2010 5:49 PM   

This kind of thing is nothing new. When Reagan was president people overwhelmingly approved his agenda while simultaneously rejecting pretty much every individual element in it. It's all about the framing and the Dems pretty much suck at it.

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February 24, 2010 5:54 PM   

I am reminded of this scene:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4pB5_0AUVk

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February 24, 2010 6:28 PM   

Why don't I own health insurance? Hmmm... Let me think about it again.

I'm self-employed, so no group rates.

I live in a crap state with no competition. Only one company in the entire state offers individual policies that cover pregnancy which my wife and I would want covered.

The 2 policies differ only in that one has a $5000 deductible and lower copay and the other has a $2500 dollar deductible and a higher copay percentage. Both max out at $10000 out of pocket per year. For a family of 2, with some pre-existing conditions we were quoted rates of approx. $900 per month for policy #1 and $800 and change for #2. Plus no coverage for any pre-existing condition for 18 months.

Neither I nor my wife have been to a doctor for anything that wouldn't be labeled a preexisting condition in years. So, we would have to pay about $15000 over the next 18 months for 1 or 2 annual exams for my wife. Yeah, I'm going to get right on that. $10000 a year for a policy that might cover something but probably won't? LMAO.

I'll roll the dice.

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February 24, 2010 8:16 PM   

They should have asked some questions to see if those surveyed could name any provisions of the Democratic bills. I doubt that many could. Republican messaging has managed to convince the public that the bills contain death panels, rationing, and higher premiums. I wonder how many people know that the bills have non-recission, coverage of pre-existing conditions, and subsidies for the middle class.

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February 24, 2010 9:40 PM   

“A mere seven months ago (that would be around June 2009), The New York Times/CBS poll found that 72% of Americans ‘supported a government-administered insurance plan—something like Medicare for those under 65—that would compete for customers with private insurers.’”
From then until now, Obama has rejected single payer; stiff-armed the government option; mandated premium payments to private sector insurers; assured tax payers subsidies for private sector insurers; stipulated that private sector health insurers have to spend only 80 cents of every 100 cents on actual health care services, while spending 20 cents of every 100 cents on lobbying, 'sympathetic' candidates, CEO bonuses, 'administration' and fighting your claim for treatment.
Those 'reforms', which Obama and Senate Democrats have 'crafted', are pure and simple corporate subsidies in the Republican tradition - hardly based on 'liberal principles' or 'leftist ideology'.

If the Democrats had intended to reform health care they would have included a public option. The Democrats have no intention of giving the American people the reforms they want. That is why Obama's 'reform' is set to fail: It is no reform, simply the current system on Federal subsidies.

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February 24, 2010 10:28 PM    in reply to bill

How many times are you going to cut and paste this same damn post?

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February 24, 2010 11:03 PM   

How about this:

Enact the entire Republican health care plan. Give them about a month to put together legislative language comprising their wish list including curbing lawsuit abuses, allowing insurance policies to be sold across state lines, expanding HSAs, allowing Association Health Plans, and funding whatever level of increase for community health centers and high-risk pools they want.

Then pass it word for word, but add a new section that says if after 5 years (7, 10 whatever) the average coverage premium has increased more than the increase in normal inflation OR if at least 50% of currently uninsured Americans are still unable to buy affordable coverage then Medicare Buy-in for all will trigger.

You make that trigger section part of mandatory spending, which means it could only be repealed if those who wanted to do that held majorities in both the House and Senate, had the votes to overcome the 60-vote filibuster and also held the White House. Without being able to do that, it would be an unstoppable train unless those conditions were met.

Either the GOP plans works or it doesn't. If it works, great, we all win. If it doesn't work the fail safe executes and will have a workable system, which is admittedly not perfect but at least has demonstrated an ability to manage large user populations, with low admin costs while keeping popular support.

I wouldn't worry about who gets credit. Be the team that sends winning plays into the game, regardless of uniform, and let the adoration take care of itself.

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February 25, 2010 8:06 AM    in reply to truth > spin

It's a great idea. Most essential components of the Democratic plan aren't scheduled to kick in until 2014 anyway. And Medicare expansion should sell itself with high unemployment and a proven track record. It just needs a budgetary fix, but that's doable. The network of providers is huge, so choice isn't a problem. Let everyone buy in.

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