
Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has signed a letter urging Democratic leadership to pass the public option via reconciliation.
In a fund-raising email to supporters, Schumer announced that he had signed the letter, becoming the 17th senator to do so. He lauded the "tenacity" of the four senators who originally signed the letter.
"This is far from a done deal, but it's an opportunity to break through the obstructionism Republicans have pushed for the past year," he wrote.
The letter, written by Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO), will be sent to Majority Leader Harry Reid.
The signatories so far: Sens. Bernie Sanders (VT), Al Franken (MN), Patrick Leahy (VT), John Kerry (MA), Sheldon Whitehouse (RI), Michael Bennet (CO), Sherrod Brown (OH), Kirsten Gillibrand (NY), Jeff Merkley (OR), Dianne Feinstein (CA), Roland Burris (IL), Barbara Boxer (CA), Jack Reed (RI), Tom Udall (NM), Barbara Mikulski (MD) and Frank Lautenberg (NJ).
(H/T Greg Sargent)
Maritza
February 18, 2010 3:40 PM
This is GREAT news!!!
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lousgirl84
February 18, 2010 3:48 PM in reply to Maritza
Yes it is. We are making progress. If Diane Feinstein signed on - she is a very conservative democrat but a shrewd one even though I don't like her, I did call her office to thank her. I see Boxer signed on too. It's looking better than yesterday when there were only 6. I think they might realize they better do this. I have a feeling reconciliation is around the corner for health care and for other things. I heard Bernie Sanders on Rachel's show last night. I doubt they will do all he thinks can be done, but the public option is still alive.
YAYYYYYY
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mans_best_friend
February 18, 2010 4:03 PM in reply to lousgirl84
What you have is a bunch of Senators who were already on record as favoring the PO signing a letter saying they favor the PO. They haven't moved the ball one inch. How is this progress?
Progress would be getting some of these people to sign:
Baucus, Bayh, Begich, Carper, Conrad, Dorgan, Hagan, Klobuchar, Landrieu, Lincoln, McCaskill, Nelson (NE), Nelson (FL), Pryor, Lieberman
With 41 Republican Nay votes you need to flip at least six of these 15. Someone please point them out to me, because I'm not seeing it.
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EastWest
February 18, 2010 4:06 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Exactly.
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Tommy Douglas
February 18, 2010 9:05 PM in reply to EastWest
I GUESS THE SENATORS HAVE SEEN THIS POLL.
CALL THE UNDECIDED SENATORS AND RECITE THEM THESE NUMBERS:
Quinnipiac poll, 14 Jan 2010.
Nationwide sample, conducted 5-11 January 2010, 1,767 registered voters, MOE +/- 2.3%
Question #28. Do you support or oppose giving people the option of being covered by a government health insurance plan that would compete with private plans?
Results:
Support: 59%. Oppose: 35%. DK/NA: 6%.
Democrats: Support 82%. Oppose 12%
Republicans: Support 34%. Oppose 59%.
Independents: Support 61%. Oppose 34%.
Liberals (self-described): Support 85% Oppose 11%
Moderates (self-described): Support 69% Oppose 26%
Conservatives (self-described): Support 35% Oppose 59%
Support fairly evenly spread across all age groups 18-55+ (spread 53%-68%)
Support even more evenly spread across all income groups $100K (spread 57%-62%)
****
Read those numbers again. 69% of MODERATES support a public option. 61% of INDEPENDENTS support it. Good God, over a third of conservatives, and over a third of Republicans, support it.
Real Reform is what America WANTS!!!
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IndyLinda
February 18, 2010 4:15 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Klobuchar has signed on. That being said, I am unconvinced this is for real. It would be nice to see, but I wonder how much is a publicity stunt to fire up the base.
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Walter Mitty
February 18, 2010 4:19 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Not to mention Webb, Warner, Feingold and Byrd.
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mrut
February 18, 2010 4:22 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Actually, of the senators you name, I see possibilities for six converts. The only definite "no"s are Landrieu (coward), Lincoln (doesn't realize she has zero chance of re-election), and Lieberman (inveterate a**hole, and not a Dem, anyway). Nelson (NE) is not a definite "no" on the public option, though a likely one.
Baucus, Bayh, Begich, Carper, Conrad, Dorgan, Hagan, Klobuchar, Landrieu, Lincoln, McCaskill, Nelson (NE), Nelson (FL), Pryor, Lieberman
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mans_best_friend
February 18, 2010 5:18 PM in reply to mrut
I think you're dreaming, but that's not the point. Having Senators who are already on record as being in favor of the public option signing this letter isn't progress. If you want to move the ball you have to start getting some of the Senators on this list to sign on.
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rwc
February 18, 2010 5:45 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
yea I agree. I think there are 40 Dems at best who will back a PO and using reconciliation. When I start seeing some of those 10 least likely signing on, then I'll believe.
But one other point, I think those progressive should insist on a vote even if they know they are going to lose. So far Reid seems to only want ot hold a vote if they are going to win, on the theory, I think, that it's bad politically to lose. But voters need to know who the bad guys are. Make them vote.
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lousgirl84
February 19, 2010 9:49 AM in reply to mans_best_friend
Do you enjoy being negative all the time? Must be a pretty miserable life.
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Titan1024
February 18, 2010 4:28 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
I could see a "Yea" from Klobuchar, Begich, Hagan, Carper, Dorgan, McCaskill, Pryor and Nelson (FL). They'd be the last to sign on, but I could even see Conrad and Baucus voting for it at the last minute.
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mrut
February 18, 2010 5:58 PM in reply to Titan1024
I agree. Surprisingly, I think Byrd and Feingold might the holdouts, on parliamentary grounds.
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lousgirl84
February 18, 2010 6:33 PM in reply to Titan1024
Klobouchar has already signed on. So did Feinstein and Boxer. There are now 18. I still see this as a very good sign
I agree we need to call them and to call the ones who have signed on to show support.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 4:31 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
If any of your Dem Senators have not signed on, please call them. And ask your friends to do the same. All the phone numbers are here:
http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm
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randomname
February 18, 2010 5:14 PM in reply to wbgonne
I called McCaskill's office today. She's a tough woman. It's too amazing to me that she's cowering to the middle of the state.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 8:17 PM in reply to randomname
Good for you. Call again tomorrow. We can DO this.
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ABrod
February 18, 2010 4:45 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Wait, if it is passed by reconcilation it doesn't need 60 votes?
Or am I missing something.
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mans_best_friend
February 18, 2010 4:47 PM in reply to ABrod
Nope. Reconciliation measures cannot be filibustered. A simple majority (or a tie with the VP casting the deciding vote) is enough.
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goldiera
February 18, 2010 8:32 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
It is a game of musical chairs....it is total BS. You are right!
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kgb999
February 18, 2010 9:03 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Klobuchar already flipped. There is no way Baucus would refuse to vote for it if it came to the floor. He's already on record saying he personally supports it, and he took a beating at home for the mess his "gang of 6" made out of the process.
Also, Bayh isn't supporting the public option (or opposing it), but he has agreed he'd support reconciliation. Unless he's done with politics as a democrat, I don't see how he could vote no when it came to the floor unless the whip count let him be a crossover.
The PO is clearly popular with both independents and democrats. But the most important thing is that Reid wants to be reelected - and it's popular in Nevada. Those who call him weak are friggin fools. Nobody fights for an election like Reid fights for an election. He was my senator for 11 years (and 3 cycles). Based on a poll out today, the simple numbers are 58% of Nevadans (61% independents) want to see the Senate bill die. 53% of Nevadans (56% of independents) say they would be more likely to vote for democrats if they pass the bill with a public option and no republican votes rather than a "bipartisan" bill lacking the public option. 56% of Nevadans (60% of independents) want a medicare-style public option. 52% of Nevadans (58% of independents) support reconciliation. With the inverted question, only 33% (23% of independents) said they would be actively opposed to reconciliation. This is typical for almost every poll ever taken on the subject and very consistent with the internals from the MA post-election polling. Even for those in marginal districts.
IMO, they are going to pass it with a public option or it will die. Really, what we are dealing with here is Pelosi and Reid fighting White House sabotage. No way in hell Reid is going to take the fall for Rham. Look at the names already on the list. I don't see some of them participating without Reid's blessing - and it doesn't help him personally one whit unless they take the win. IMO, his #1 electoral best case is to pass a bill and win on the PO. His #2 electoral best case is for it die quietly and have the discussion move on to jobs and Western issues like water with a regroup passing stuff piecemeal - which Pelosi set the stage for a few weeks ago. This is some serious hardball.
If you can explain how passing the Senate crapfest helps Reid when his voters hate it, I'm all ears. Even if it doesn't screw the middle class by some fairy magic (which, in analysis using math, is *does*) ... it doesn't kick in until 2014. So the bill's "benefits" can't be expected to help - it's all a battle of media perceptions. You may be foolish enough to think democrats can change the narrative, but I doubt Pelosi or Reid are.
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3star2nr
February 19, 2010 12:06 AM in reply to mans_best_friend
its an inch the ball wasnt before. That is a difference.
In politics and football Momentum makes a hell of a difference
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Kenneth Thomas
February 19, 2010 12:41 AM in reply to mans_best_friend
McCaskill has supported the public option from the beginning. Can't tell you how robust she'd go, however.
I talked to her staffers the other day; she was abroad visiting troops so it will probably be a few days to see if she'll sign.
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Mateo123
February 19, 2010 9:48 AM in reply to mans_best_friend
Here is where I would go next if I were running this:
Levin
McCaskill
Klobuchar
Begich.
If we get those four, then there is a sense that this is possible. But, this is a start.
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goldiera
February 18, 2010 8:31 PM in reply to lousgirl84
Don't you get it? These idiots claim to favor something only when it is obvious there are not enough votes to make it happen. They pass the issues around like a basketball; one week Lieberman is bad guy, next week it is Snow, etc. Feinstein could care less about the middle class, she voted with GW Bush over 80% of the time. Thank her? She ought to be run out of office along with slimey Schumer and the rest of them.
I voted for Obama and worked hard to support the progressive ticket. Now, I realize it was a waste of my time and money. The way these clowns talk, have hearings and do nothing for the American people is an outrage.
These bastards work for and serve the corporations, including the insurance companies. The supreme court made it official last month, now we have no voice and no vote. What does Congress do? Talk about something else, jobs or health care, neither of which go anywhere at all.
Thank these clowns if you like, but you are making a fool of yourself.
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gordonot
February 18, 2010 4:02 PM in reply to Maritza
Haleluja, I'm a Democrat! Er...a bipartisan one, if need be - whatever, just get the corporations out of the health insurance monopoly, whatever it takes!
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 4:24 PM in reply to Maritza
This is great news! I'm for passing HCR -- the Senate version, the House version, the Senate version with a House-based fix through reconciliation, this current P.O. idea. Whatever you want to call it -- just pass it! On that note, I called both of my Senators today -- thanked one for signing the letter and asked the other one to add his name to the list.
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tchamp77
February 18, 2010 3:49 PM
Well if Roland Burris is board, it's a done deal, folks.
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theone718
February 18, 2010 3:53 PM
If Democrats manage to get this done, it would fire up their base something serious. Oh boy would we be amped.
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 4:20 PM in reply to theone718
Exactly!
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jcbhan
February 18, 2010 3:58 PM
Just called Shaheen's office. She was supportive of PO generally but wouldn't commit on the letter. She's gettable- keep calling!
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kgb999
February 18, 2010 9:14 PM in reply to jcbhan
*If* this is a serious play by the leadership, I think they are using the same momentum strategy Obama used when rolling out superdelegates. In other words, it might not be her turn yet. Keep calling for sure!
If they can keep it up for a week they make it VERY difficult for Rham to write a bill from the White House taking the PO off the table before the summit.
Or maybe it's smoke and mirrors. But letting a letter like this build and then failing to bring a vote to the floor would be horribly damaging for Reid. I don't think he's that stupid - he be keeping this on the fringes and pressuring the caucus to hold their fire if he didn't want it to come to the floor. His #2 came out and endorsed the effort earlier today.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 4:06 PM
Yeah, but Schumer also promised us many, many times last year that the public option would be in the final bill voted on in the senate. Needless to say, no version of it actually made it in. There weren't enough votes to pass it by reconciliation then and there are clearly even fewer now. And as much as I hate Nelson, Landrieu, needless to say Lieberman, for the tricks they pulled, I would be far angrier if nothing significant had cleared the Senate at all. As flawed as that bill was, clearing those jokers was amazing accomplishment. I think Schumer is just doing what he needs to do to show his base and maybe liberals in the House that he shares their view and is making an effort. I don't think this makes passing the public option by reconciliation one bit more likely. I would be delighted to eat my words if it comes to pass. But where on earth are the votes? Schumer very adroitly plays this game of posturing as the pragmatist's progressive. So that when the votes aren't there he can sort of shrug and say "I did my best to keep it alive". All that counts is actually passing a decent bill. Not playing games and getting people's hopes up over one aspect that can't clear both chambers. I am afraid this is just a distraction that is going to infuriate and demoralize even more of the left when it goes nowhere. And that's something we can't afford. We have to pass the best bill possible. Schumer's done this kind of thing before. They are nowhere near fifty-one votes.
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tollef
February 18, 2010 4:25 PM in reply to EvanR
I have to agree with you. While I'd love to see the PO resurrected, I can't help but think we are chasing ghosts here.
How happy I would be to be wrong!
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lousgirl84
February 18, 2010 6:33 PM in reply to tollef
I would be happy to.
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goldiera
February 18, 2010 8:37 PM in reply to EvanR
You have it figured out. They won't pass anything that would benefit anyone but the corporations. Probably a mandate with no consumer protections. These congressmen pass the ball like a basketball, none of them do a thing the corporations don't want.The supreme court made it official and legal. What is being done to regain what sorry voice we had in the system? Nothing.
BS and more BS.
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Realist
February 19, 2010 8:57 AM in reply to EvanR
"As flawed as that bill was, clearing those jokers was amazing accomplishment."
Getting these bribe-taking Senators to give the country to health insurance companies and pharmaceutical manufactures was an "amazing accomplishment"?
You are easily amazed.
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Progressive Party
February 18, 2010 4:10 PM
Can't say I'm excited w/ Schumer signing on...he's all for the PR but short on delivering...but if it ain't dead (PO) that is at least some good news!
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Maritza
February 18, 2010 4:12 PM
"The public option is dead...Long live the public option"!
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 4:15 PM
To be clear: I am not sitting on my hands or just sneering at this effort. I support the public option and have expressed that to my Senators and Rep many times. If people realize it probably can't pass, but are fired up enough by the effort to get reengaged in pushing for a bill that actually can, I can appreciate that. What kills me is this fixation with one or two pet policies that don't have the votes. And then crying "betrayal" and sinking the entire reform legislation because you're toxically disappointed that a couple of features couldn't command enough votes.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 4:35 PM in reply to EvanR
I don't think you understand how important the public option is, either policy-wise or politically. Abandoning the PO has sunk Obama and the Dems deeper than anything else.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 5:15 PM in reply to wbgonne
Thanks for the condescension, but I don't think you know remotely enough about me to make that assertion. As i've posted elsewhere, I have put my heart on my sleeve supporting the public option again and again. I have rallied in public repeatedly in favor of its inclusion and made sure my representatives know I support it. But I inhabit reality. And I am still focused on getting a decent, comprehensive bill passed, even of there aren't the votes for this one provision. Public option fetishists like you are operating like you would rather obsess over that one provision than actually get a decent bill passed. Can we agree that, short the requisite number of votes a bill or provision within a bill cannot become law? And is, therefore, useless as a matter of concrete -- not abstract -- public policy? Please tell me where you guys are hiding the magic votes that will get the public option (or even some symbolic vestige of a public option) through the Senate --by reconciliation or any other means. I already know that a bill including a real public option is better policy than one without. What never ceases to amaze me how many progressives who supposedly support comprehensive health care reform are obsessed with this one provision to the point that they effectively oppose the passage of any legislation that does not include it.
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mans_best_friend
February 18, 2010 5:20 PM in reply to EvanR
It's easier to tilt at windmills than to tackle real problems.
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gharlane
February 18, 2010 11:44 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
It's easier to tilt at windmills than to tackle real problems.
As Evan R noted above, thanks for the condescension.
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mrut
February 18, 2010 6:06 PM in reply to EvanR
I think the public option as actual policy will be weak tea for those who have staked everything on it (I have supported it, too), so I agree that it is far from what "public optionists" (of whom I consider myself one) want.
But it would be nice to have in this bill, as a foothold to a stronger public option in the future. That goes for the whole bill as approved by the Senate--not perfect by a long shot, but an enormous step forward in achieving universal coverage.
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kgb999
February 18, 2010 9:22 PM in reply to mrut
I agree. But what it does is create the program. If that happens, expanding it will be a question of "do you want YOUR family to have the opportunity to participate?" You must admit, that would be far more likely than seeing the clusterfuck we call congress coming back with a stand alone Public Option bill or Medicare buy in, ever in our lifetime, after this thing passes.
If the democrats REALLY can't do a health care bill again. Ever. Period. Unless this passes ... NOW!!1!11!!!, we'd better make sure it's what we want to live with forever. Because pussies like that sure aren't going to be improving the legislation any time soon.
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gharlane
February 19, 2010 12:16 AM in reply to EvanR
What kills me is this fixation with one or two pet policies that don't have the votes.
Using the word "pet policies" gives the lie to your protestation that you are not sneering at this effort.
What kills me is the blindness, or the corporate-funded venality, of legislators who aren't able to see how massively popular this "pet policy" is with the American public -- in poll after poll after poll, stretching back eight months or so, there are consistent supermajorities of support among Democrats and independents, liberals and moderates (and even a healthy third of Republicans and conservatives), for this "pet policy". This "pet policy" is more popular by far than the Senate bill, more popular by light-years than either house of Congress right now, and more popular than the POTUS. (Tommy Douglas has posted the Quinnipiac Jan 14 numbers above, which are completely in line with other polling, and this is after months of "death panel" wingnuttery from the usual suspects.) There is just no political downside to passing this thing, and a HUGE downside to NOT passing it. (Psst: those people in the conservative rural states who, you are now probably speculating, aren't as in favor of the PO as these national numbers demonstrate also aren't wild about the current Senate bill without the PO.) And yet the self-described "grownups" and "realists", whose heads if not the rest of them are firmly planted inside the Beltway, persist in framing this extraordinarily popular policy as some pet policy beloved only by a few fringe lefties who are totally lacking in rationality and just out to get their petty childish emotional needs met.
The money quote is from kgb999 below: "But even granting a genuine belief in the free-rider unicorn, the reason this bill represents a sell out is because it mandates coverage and then leaves the ability to price-fix within the hands of the insurance industry." And you know something? Sometimes it takes the (whiny, petulant, unGrownup, unRealistic) kid to stand up and say that the emperor has no clothes -- something the Adults In The Room are resolutely determined not to see.
And with condescending posts like this one and the rest of what you've littered this thread with, braying about toxic emotional tantrums from your favorite whipping boys on the left, your posturing about "inhabiting reality" (unlike those fringe lefties), "paroxysms of purity", "public option fetishists", "true believers" and all the rest -- you have one HELL of a lot of chutzpah complaining about someone else's condescension. Project much?
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Davran
February 18, 2010 4:17 PM
Ah yes: the sweet sound of fiddling. Perhaps they missed the whole "Rome is burning" thing.
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Clavis
February 18, 2010 4:22 PM
I wrote to Schumer and bugged him about it. Guess it worked!
LOL as others here have pointed out, the problem is that Democrats make nice noises and then waffle and collapse. They could take a note from the ruthless scum on the Republican side of the aisle, who relentlessly vote as a cultish bloc.
If it weren't so obvious that Democratic politicians are just making their own party-of-one private deals with corporations to enrich themselves once they're out of office, I'd wonder why the Dems don't hold together more.
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bibimimi
February 18, 2010 4:37 PM
Nobody breathe!!
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Jorge
February 18, 2010 4:42 PM
Does anyone else feel like this public option letter might just be a threat to the republicans that they better play ball?
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lousgirl84
February 18, 2010 6:35 PM in reply to Jorge
No it doesn't. The dems know there is no way the thugs are on Board. They can do this. They need to do this. Fuck what the thugs say. They will bitch no matter what - so fuck them!!
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Powkat
February 18, 2010 4:47 PM
I've been praying to St. Jude (patron saint of impossible causes) for a bit now, and every day it gets better; he always comes thru (but never quite how you expect.) My money is on St. Jude.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 4:52 PM
The Senate isn't a genuinely representative institution -- certainly not in the sense of "one person, one vote". Hell, it took a constitutional amendment to even allow for the direct election of US senators. The body is the result of a compromise giving disproportionate power to small, rural states. As many have pointed out, Senators representing no more than 10% of the US population can stop legislation in its tracks by using the filibuster. And even many usually liberal senators are obsessed with tradition and institutional privilege (remember Sen Byrd threatening to kill the Clinton health reform bill if they tried to use reconciliation? Of course that bill didn't even make it out of committee(s).) Add to all of that the overwhelming influence and corruption of corporate money, and it was an incredible accomplishment to get even the badly flawed senate bill to clear sixty votes. Now we don't even have that many votes. Many senators who supported that bill would not have supported passing it via reconciliation. Let alone would support using reconciliation to pass a provision like the public option that they personally oppose. There's a reason so many Democratic Presidents have tried to pass comprehensive health care reform and failed. But now we're closer than we've ever been. In spite of all the carping about Obama and Reid. Public option or not it's essential we support passing the best bill that can clear both chambers. Anything else is just talk. We've had seventy-five years of talk of reforming health care and look at the system that's gotten us. Remember the previous President? He was adamantly opposed to funding a modest program that insures poor children. That's the alternative.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 5:00 PM in reply to EvanR
You want health care passed? Call your senators and ask them to sign the letter supporting a public option through reconciliation. Once the Senate reaches critical mass, it can happen. Without the public option -- whether you like it or not -- there will continue to be grave dissension within the party that hampers the chance of enacting any health care reform. At this point, even in the most crass analysis the public option is the only sensible way to go. Plus it's the right policy because it will lower the cost of health care reform. And it's great politics because it is overwhelmingly popular with Democrats and Independents and it will re-energize the base. It's a grand slam.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 5:49 PM in reply to wbgonne
Once it reaches critical mass? What does that mean? The point when opponents of the public option and of reconciliation -- conservative Democrats in conservative states who have hard ideological, policy and, most of all, political incentives to oppose those things are magically converted? I do, have and always will support the public option. Read my other posts if you'd like. My senators are Schumer and Gillibrand and I think it's nice they support this; and I've told their staffers so. So, long as doing so doesn't become a counterproductive distraction from actually getting comprehensive legislation passed. When you say, "there will continue to be grave dissension within the party that hampers any chance of health care reform" are you talking about the true believers who would rather kill comprehensive reform entirely than see one pet provision fail to pass? My peers on the left who think they've never seen a greater barrier to progress than Obama or Reid? The Democrats in extremely safe House districts who'd rather pander to and delude their most liberal supporters instead of facing reality and passing the best bill that could (pre-Scott Brown) actually clear the Senate? Whether you're on to something or not I suspect will come down to this: how will the purists who say they want a public option or nothing, who say they'll stay home this fall without one, react when the Senate simply doesn't have the votes to pass the public option via reconciliation? Will they be encouraged and energized that Democrats tried? Or, will they feel doubly demoralized, angry and betrayed, because they were led, once again, to believe that the Democrats could somehow do what they wanted, in spite of not having the requisite votes? I'll make a promise to you, since I sincerely believe we're on the same side: I will continue to do what you recommend; we're both supporters of the public option. afterall. Please promise me that if it doesn't make it through, you'll work just as hard to pass the best possible reform legislation, and do your best to convince your angry progressive friends that even a middling bill that insures thirty million more Americans and imposes serious restraints on insurance company abuses is far, far better than failing entirely in a paroxysm of purity.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 6:23 PM in reply to EvanR
If the Democrats do the right thing they won't have to worry about the base collapsing. Simple as that.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 6:41 PM in reply to wbgonne
If you say so. I think -- and recent experience seems to show -- that your contention depends on a level of rationality and sense of common purpose that's been sadly lacking so far among many activists on the left. I am still deeply concerned that people are being misled and having their hopes inflated in a way that will only backfire and divide the base further. Tilting at windmills, as some have put it, and exploitatively pandering and posturing to the naive, is not necessarily "the right thing" when it confuses and distracts from passing the only legislation that has/can actually clear the senate. We'll see. Personally, I think the base is being used and exploited. That this move is a gimmick. I hope you and many others will prove me wrong and stay engaged in passing a decent bill after this public option gambit comes to naught.
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gharlane
February 19, 2010 12:43 AM in reply to EvanR
Okay, educate us.
Explain to us poor, emotional, childish, public option fetishists and true believers about those serious restraints on insurance company abuses in the Senate bill. Show your work. Exact language, with references to sections, in the Senate bill. Be sure to address the points about medical loss ratios that kgb999 raises below. Tell us exactly how this bill does not, in kgb's words, "mandate[] coverage and then leave[] the ability to price-fix within the hands of the insurance industry", or "promis[e] the insurance industry the government will buy policies at full market rate on the individual market for all of them - with the reimbursement rates set based on an easy to game formula." Despite your loquaciousness on this thread, and your tendency toward extreme condescension (even while complaining when you think the same is directed at you), you've been conspicuously silent about the points kgb999 raises.
When you're done doing that, please explain how it's a political win for the party to pass a highly unpopular HCR bill (Quinnipiac 14 Jan 2010: 54% disapprove, 34% approve) without a highly popular policy provision (same Quinnipiac poll: 59% approve, 35% disapprove; Democrats: 82% approve, Independents: 61% approve; Liberals: 85% approve, Moderate: 62% approve). Please explain how that's going to work out for the party this November.
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gharlane
February 23, 2010 2:00 AM in reply to gharlane
Crickets. As I thought.
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Measure for Measure
February 18, 2010 4:55 PM
No. Not great news. The House doesn't have the votes to pass the public option. With a public option you pick up a maximum of two Representatives (Massa and Kucinich) and lose a rather larger number of blue dogs. That's politics, baby.
See Nate Silver:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/after-massachusetts-road-to-218-is-long.html
On the other hand, keeping the Public Option "In play" is a good thing moving forward, provided that they Pass. The Damn. Bill.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 5:00 PM in reply to Measure for Measure
The House already passed a bill WITH a public option.
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mcc
February 18, 2010 5:09 PM in reply to wbgonne
It passed the House with a watered-down, "negotiated rates" public option (which would be more expensive than private insurance and do nothing to control costs). And the only reason it was able to pass the house with such was that the bill included the largest restriction on private abortion since Roe v Wade.
The House abortion restrictions are gone and will not be coming back. There is no guarantee that the public option can pass the House now. And even if it did pass the House, we know it would not be the version of the public option we want.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 6:24 PM in reply to mcc
Pass it as is. Fix it later when rates continue to skyrocket.
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goldiera
February 18, 2010 8:48 PM in reply to mcc
Yep, a mandate everyone buy insurance from the same thieves who have taken our health care to such a low. Thats about it, no protection for consumers, price or otherwise. Huge new customer base for the insurance companies thanks to congress.
Pay too much for drugs because congress works for the pharma corporations.
Nothing will be done for the American people. We have lost our voice for good. Nothing is being done, nothing is being done, nothing is being done about:
1.Supreme court giving unfettered powers to corporate interests to buy and sell all political candidates from president to city official.
2. The banks who are running wild with our money, literally gambling at the expense of the American taxpayer, taking millions when they win, taking more money from the fed when they lose...they always win that way.
3. Credit default swaps, banking excesses.
4. Health care: Exploding costs with no containment of care or drug costs.
5. Jobs that are disappearing for good.
The list is endless, but I'm sure you get the point. Nothing is being done, nothing is being done.....nothing is being done ad infinitem!
We are being thoroughly screwed, and I am one who is fed up with political theatre. Nothing real happens where we can see it, it is all a show for the suckers.
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mans_best_friend
February 18, 2010 5:12 PM in reply to wbgonne
It also had the Stupak amendment. And it passed by two votes. They're already down two via death and retirement (Murtha and Wexler), so they have no votes to spare. Would you be OK with a PO AND the Stupak amendment??? No??? Then you're going to have to make up those extra votes from somewhere. Probably not as difficult as getting the votes in the Senate, but no slam-dunk, either.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 6:26 PM in reply to mans_best_friend
Nothing about this is a slam-dunk but I really think the tide is turning. Yes. We. Can.
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 6:29 PM in reply to wbgonne
I agree.
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3star2nr
February 19, 2010 1:11 AM in reply to mans_best_friend
id take the PO and stupack deal
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Measure for Measure
February 18, 2010 6:18 PM in reply to Measure for Measure
I'll say this: if the Obama actually signs a health care bill with a robust public option, the Dems really would have pulled a rabbit out of a hat. As I noted below, Nate Silver doesn't think that this is impossible, just very, very hard.
I haven't seen a Senate vote count for the public option: it wouldn't surprise me if they could reach 50 though, given that Feinstein has signed on.
Let's not let the better become the enemy of the good. Health care experts think that even the Senate bill as it stands has a lot to offer. Any bill with near-universal coverage, serious steps at cost containment and surpluses over a 10 year period would strengthen America. And conservatives are right about one thing: federal programs are a lot easier to tweak and improve than they are to abolish outright.
Pass. The Damn. Bill.
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Measure for Measure
February 18, 2010 4:58 PM
ETA: Ok, Nate Silver is somewhat more sanguine than I made him out to be, but only a little: see his addendum at the bottom of my link.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 5:07 PM
Jeanne Shaheen just signed.
http://whipcongress.com/?source=letter#house
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 5:48 PM in reply to wbgonne
I think she's Number 20 on the list to pubicly declare support for the letter.
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Flybynite
February 18, 2010 5:23 PM
Interesting stuff. And what will Obama's position be at the big funfest next week with the GOP top slime? Hate to say it but I'm betting on let's be nice, we were just kidding about reconciliation.
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McMia
February 18, 2010 5:32 PM
First off, if Congress actually passes HCR this session there will be no public option. Period. End of story.
The public option has been dead since Barack "it's just a sliver" Obama signaled it's death last summer and sent Kathleen "the public option is not the essential element" Sebelius out to nail up the coffin the following day.
Second, I don't know which is more pathetic, that dirtbag Democratic Lucy's have absolutely no compunction about lining up that football for the Charlie Brown base, yet again, or that the Charlie Brown's would buy into it, yet again.
Scumbag politicians doing a little fund-raising. That's all this latest "push" for the PO is about. The final chance to milk the base suckers for a little more green.
Pathetic all the way around...
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goldiera
February 18, 2010 8:51 PM in reply to McMia
You said it well. I agree, that is all there is to it.
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tropicgirl
February 18, 2010 5:34 PM
Unfortunately, this is also political theater. The neolibs are using the left wing again as clout against the republicans. That is all we are good for... to them.
Besides, its too late. We begged the pompous Obama to stop the lying, insider crap months ago when he still had some sort of credibility. Now its all gone and government is paralyzed. Somebody please tell them.
Its too late now. The insurance companies WANT THAT MANDATE ON THE KIDS SO BAD THEY CAN TASTE IT. And Obama is willing to use the left, once more, to scru us all. THIS DEAL WAS MADE BEFORE THE ELECTION. The insurance lobby overplayed its hand. And the threat to raise rates is just that, to get the mandates. Nice people. And with the Democrats help.
Watch.
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mrut
February 18, 2010 6:20 PM in reply to tropicgirl
Wait a minute. You're arguing that the insurance companies have raised rates lately to cause the passage of HCR?
Yes, they like the idea of getting more young people into the pool of insured, but not enough to surrender the blank check they've had to charge premiums and deny payouts.
Think about it. In the long-term, HCR only increases the prospect of regulation and the pressure on the government to rein in increases in healthcare costs.
I know it's fun to be prophesy paranoically, but you just don't make any sense.
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lousgirl84
February 19, 2010 9:54 AM in reply to mrut
Don't feed the trolls. Tropicgal is a troll.
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EvanR
February 18, 2010 6:30 PM in reply to tropicgirl
Once you're done hyperventilating about the deeply corrupt Democratic Judases that you see behind every twist and turn of health care policy making maybe you can answer a couple of questions: First, if all the Democratic politicians you abhor only support mandates because they've sold out to the insurance lobby, why do most principled, independent liberal policy experts and serious liberal columnists support the same policy -- have they all been bought off, too? Please tell me you remember two years ago when Paul Krugman was ceaselessly attacking Obama for *not* supporting a mandate, unlike Hillary Clinton who did. Second, why do you think truly progressive policy experts and principled liberal opinion makers and advocates support a mandate? Because insuring everyone -- even the incredibly sick -- and keeping costs for everyone relatively low -- requires a large enough risk pool. And, having (virtually) everyone insured has the duel benefit of encouraging people to take advantage of low-cost, preventative care that improves everyone's quality of life and reduces the need for extremely expensive procedures later. Having a large enough risk pool is what can allow us to ban denial for preexisting conditions and ban recision (dropping) current customers simply because they get sick. It also allows us to reverse the horrendous insurance company policy of capping the lifetime coverage a person can receive; and, instead, capping the maximum amount a seriously ill person will ever have to pay. A bonus question: is floating lame conspiracy theories about the people who are actually trying to get something useful done for the most vulnerable Americans who desperately need help the way you entertain yourself? If you don't want comprehensive health care reform to pass, just say so. I'd rather support a bill that covers thirty million uninsured and cracks down on evil insurance company abuses.
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wbgonne
February 18, 2010 6:56 PM in reply to EvanR
Wouldn't it be funny if you were an insurance company troll? Wouldn't it? You certainly seem to have a lot of time to write demoralizing, pro-insurance company stuff. Paid by the hour, perhaps. Or paid by the word.
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kgb999
February 18, 2010 10:49 PM in reply to EvanR
No. Honestly they assert mandates are necessary because of a completely speculative belief in human nature without a lick of empirical evidence to back it up (or if it exists, I've not been able to track it down and never debated anyone who can produce it). It's called the "free rider" theory. According to this theory, nobody who is healthy would ever elect to purchase insurance without being coerced. That most would wait to get coverage until they are critically ill and had developed a preexisting condition that in today's market would bar them from purchasing coverage.
To me it is kind of absurd on it's face. Obama's position was that we should ensure the programs in place were effective and make mandate determinations based on empirical evidence. Which is the logical way to do it. Pretty easy to add a mandate if the system isn't working. Pretty much impossible to strip one once it's in there by virtue of granting an undocumented theory the mantle of truth.
But even granting a genuine belief in the free-rider unicorn, the reason this bill represents a sell out is because it mandates coverage and then leaves the ability to price-fix within the hands of the insurance industry. It uses essentially the same mechanism for cost containment as was built into TARP to unfreeze credit for small businesses and to save underwater homeowners: ask the industry "pretty please with sugar on top."
At the same time, they are putting millions of people on the dole and promising the insurance industry the government will buy policies at full market rate on the individual market for all of them - with the reimbursement rates set based on an easy to game formula. This motivates upwards price pressure on the low-end of the insurance market. Logic would seem to follow that anyone stuck buying at the low end, who doesn't get a government financed plan will see prices rocket - and their new penalty tax will be handed right to an insurance company to pay for someone else's policy.
And don't give me shit about the medical loss ratios. The insurance companies own medical services companies. They just move the costs into the delivery side. The shareholders take a bit of a hit, but the executives get a great bonus for growing the subsidiary's business. Trust me. We lost Cigna as a client when they bought Inracorp even though Intracorp ended up charging them about 5x the rate for lesser services specifically to pad the profits of Cigna executives who put the deal together and got a cut of the growth. This whole thing is a fucking scam, they had your number long before this ever came down the pike. There is nothing in the Senate bill they don't already have a loophole for.
That is why it's a sell out.
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bluebell
February 18, 2010 7:04 PM in reply to tropicgirl
Yes, I fear you are correct. This is why I have implemented my personal "payment upon delivery" plan. I don't care how many times you pose in favor of public option, single payer, whatever -- it does not count until you DELIVER.
I suppose this is to pretend to listen to the left before the left gets locked out of the summit.
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 5:51 PM
Now is not the time to give up. If you want HCR to pass, keep calling your Senators and Reps.
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ottis
February 18, 2010 6:09 PM
I called my Senators, McConnell and Bunning. I don't think I convinced either of them.
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barbara63
February 18, 2010 6:15 PM in reply to ottis
I'm impressed that you called them. It doesn't hurt to call Republicans. Tea Partiers seem to focus on those who don't agree with them. While I think our time is better spent encouraging Senators on the Dem side to support HCR, Republicans need to hear from us, too.
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ottis
February 18, 2010 6:34 PM in reply to barbara63
Evidently Lieberman was wanting to be asked to support the Dems. in 08. They might be persuaded, you never know for sure.
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Measure for Measure
February 18, 2010 6:22 PM in reply to ottis
Perhaps a polite, but quizzical, letter to the editor is in order? Finding incoherence in a Republican Senator's stance can't be that hard.
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ottis
February 18, 2010 6:13 PM
My Rep. Jeof Davis doesn't seem to be agreeable either. Sorry
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lamonth
February 18, 2010 11:14 PM
do not worry, our corporatist senators will come close to the number needed but just will not make it. this is what the democrats do all the time to keep their base in line. but we all know whose their real daddy - the corporate donations. i think a lot of these old senators that have been in office for awhile need to be voted out - they do nothing but scheme
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ivy22
February 19, 2010 8:04 AM
Non Repub senators, get out your pens. Flex your political power and this done. Just do it. Then work on jobs and busting up the Wall Street monopoly strangling our economy.
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junkmailqueen
February 19, 2010 10:59 AM
Called the only senator I have, Chris Dodd. (sarcasm about Lieberman intended) He is "committed to the public option but hasn't made a statement yet on Sen. Bennet's letter." I think she read it straight off a memo to the staff.
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Fong
February 23, 2010 11:28 AM
Republican obstructionism? Are you kidding me? You HAD 60 Senators for the year and still can't pass the bill. You HAVE a majority in the House and you can't get it done. You needed not one Republican to vote for this bill to pass, it is your own Democrats who hinder and slowed your bill. I guess common sense is not a common virtue.
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