
A labor source confirmed to TPMDC tonight that the AFL-CIO voted to back new Senate candidate Lt. Gov Bill Halter over Sen. Blanche Lincoln in the May 18 Democratic primary in Arkansas. Three unions within the umbrella group have committed to a $3 million independent expenditure on Halter's behalf.
In the day since he officially announced his intention to take on Lincoln in the primary, Halter has lined up the support from Democratic base groups, including progressive groups MoveOn.org and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. Those two, among others, raised nearly $500,000 for Halter from progressives across the country in less than 24 hours.
Lincoln still enjoys the support of at least one prominent national progressive though. The White House says President Obama backs Lincoln as he would any Democratic incumbent.
The backing of the AFL-CIO is an important one for any Democrat. For Halter, it signals that the unions are prepared to put their money where their mouth has been for almost a year now when it comes to Lincoln. When Lincoln came out against the "card check" provision in the Employee Free Choice Act, unions balked and threatened to fight her. Now it seems Halter has given them their chance.
Halter now adds the AFL-CIO's significant support to efforts on his behalf from grassroots progressive groups, which have publicly claimed some of the credit for Halter's decision to run today. Ben Tribbett, executive director of the progressive PAC Accountability Now and an organizer of the online campaign to draft Halter into the race, promised today that his group's efforts to help Halter will continue.
Tribbett told TPMDC Monday afternoon that his group plans to be a hub of netroot support for Halter as the primary unfolds. The PAC collected thousands of names of potential Halter donors in the months it spent urging him to enter the race and said it will leverage them to create another funding source for Halter starting now. With the primary just a couple of months away, Tribbett said Accountability Now will devote itself to quickly raising funds for Halter, whose candidacy the group calls its first candidate recruitment success.
"Halter needs to raise hard dollars fast," Tribbett said. "So that's what we're going to do."
The deep pockets of the AFL-CIO, albeit not directly available to Halter, will likely help him close the resource gap with Lincoln, who has $5 million in cash to spend on on a reelection bid. The AFL-CIO can use its millions on things like independent advertising and field operations targeting Lincoln in advance of the May 18 election.
Not all labor groups have taken sides in the primary yet. When we asked SEIU earlier today what they thought about Halter's entry into the contest, the union reiterated its past high praise and financial support for Halter, but declined to make an official endorsement in the contest.
"What happens in the Arkansas primary is up to working families there," SEIU spokesperson Lori Lodes said. "They will be the ones to decide who will work best for them. It's clear that working families are looking for candidates and elected officials who will do just that, work for them."
Additional reporting by Christina Bellantoni
chimpale
March 1, 2010 10:21 PM
Thank you, AFL-CIO!
Say goodnight, Blanche. The party's over.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Dogger
March 2, 2010 8:26 AM in reply to chimpale
I agree. And it's not just the money. The union puts people on the ground for a "get out the vote" operation. That's important enough for the general election, but for the primary it is critical.
With the union raising votes for Halter and not Lincoln, and with the tilt towards progressives you find in the primary, Lincoln has a much more difficult fight ahead of her.
There are some who say this strategy puts the seat in Republican hands. To them I say, "How would you tell?"
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
jdb316
March 1, 2010 10:23 PM
How much of a chance would Halter have of winning the general election in Arkansas? Is he too liberal for the state? What is his name recognition compared to the Republican candidates?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
toshiaki
March 1, 2010 11:13 PM in reply to jdb316
There isn't huge name recognition among the GOP candidates relative to the Lt Gov. They largely have three things going for them:
* they're not Blanche
* they're not Dems
* Big Business will flood them with $$$
Halter has three positives:
* he's not Blanche
* Blanche has pissed off and turned away the Dem base in Ark
* he's an "outsider" who can run anti-Big Business against both Blanche and the GOP
Blanche's positives:
* Big War Chest
* Big Business Money
* Establishment Dem Support
Basically... money, and more money. Big Business will hedge: give her more (to kill off Dem Primary) and give tons to the GOP (to buy off that candidate) for a win-win.
But the Dems in Ark aren't really thrilled with Blanche, which damages her in the primary. And the anti-DC / anti-Dem vibe runs against her.
To a degree this is probably the best things for Dems. Blanche has zero chance of winning the general election. It's a long shot, but possible, that Halter could win it.
One wonders if the White House, the DNC and the DSCC starts looking at the tea leaves and asks several Senators like Spector and Blanche to "pull a Dodd" to get out of the race because they're all dead in the General Election.
While we're at it, I really wonder what the deal is with Biden Jr. He pretty much has handed that seat to the GOP. What's the hidden story there? It's pretty clear that it's a seat that the Dems needed to defense, and it's his old man's seat.
John
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
zonk
March 2, 2010 9:08 AM in reply to toshiaki
Specter's on the upswing, polling-wise... and frankly, I never really understood why Specter/Sestak ever took on the ideological tilt it has. I like Admiral Joe, too, but the guy hardly has much of a progressive record behind him. In fact, just comparing voting records while they've both been in office - I think Arlen actually shakes out further to the left (you can certainly argue that he's voting for primary cred, but wasn't that supposedly the point to begin with?)
As for AR - I'm happily supporting Halter, just dropped him some cash, despite the fact that I'm one of those oh-so-evil pragmatists who refuses to get in line and mewl the "public option, public option, public option" chorus.
The Senate and the party would be better off with Halter than Lincoln, and there's precious little to lose if a GOPer takes Lincoln's seat (barring nationwide electoral disaster).
Beyond that, as I and other allude below - an election isn't the same as legislation.
In an election, even a primary election, things are much simpler. It's an easy, this or that choice. You pick the best option from the choices. It's not complicated, the broader issues can be boiled down to simple A or B (or A, B, or C) choices.
I do hope, however, that folks jumping on the Halter bandwagon do so with open eyes. It's easy to see where Halter would cast better votes than Lincoln, but I would hate to see tons of effort poured into this race, Halter pulling off an upset -- and then watch him get castigated the first time he casts a vote at odds with the national base that's supporting him now... and I guarantee that if he pulls this out, he'll cast that vote sometime in the first half of 2011.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
dijamo
March 1, 2010 10:25 PM
Umm, who's the prominent national progressive that's backing Lincoln?
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
readytoblowagasket
March 1, 2010 11:25 PM in reply to dijamo
Hahahaha! ;-)
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
geofu54
March 1, 2010 11:59 PM in reply to dijamo
OK, THAT is funny.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Rockridge
March 1, 2010 10:27 PM
My hunch is the state is lost to the GOP anyway, as of now. If Lincoln looked like she could beat a Rep, I'd support her, even though.... A lot depends on what happens now in the state.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
bdtex
March 1, 2010 11:09 PM in reply to Rockridge
You're probably right,but it's Lincoln's fault. In trying to please everybody,she's not really pleased anybody.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Steaming Pile
March 1, 2010 10:31 PM
Holy motherfarking shiat! The moneybomb has MIRV capability! Awesome.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
pmb50
March 1, 2010 10:37 PM
Nice
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
J0hnGalt
March 1, 2010 10:37 PM
If she loses to a Republican, I say let it fall. When most of the rest of the country gets increased health benefits and her red state "opts out," perhaps they will realize they voted wrongly... But even then, I doubt it... It will be the "Fed'rel Govmint'," conspiring against them...
I'm torn... Torn like an old sweater....
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Ethan
March 1, 2010 11:01 PM in reply to J0hnGalt
But the Arkansas governor is a Democrat.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
verite
March 1, 2010 10:38 PM
Hat tip to the AFL-CIO. Hope the other corporate Demsheed the warning.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
chimpale
March 1, 2010 10:40 PM
Whether or not Halter is able to win it, there will be something for Arkansas progressives to get energized about. I think he's got a much better idea of what middle class Arkansans are going through than Lincoln does and he should be able to connect with them.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
ns
March 1, 2010 10:53 PM in reply to chimpale
>Arkansas progressives
.. both of them.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
mcc
March 1, 2010 11:26 PM in reply to ns
THIS IS KEVIN'S MOMENT, DO NOT TAKE IT FROM HIM
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
hoppycalif2
March 1, 2010 11:17 PM
Apparently Halter is too liberal to ever be elected to any office in Arkansas, right? I mean, I'm assuming he was put in his current office of Lt. Governor by magic, and didn't get elected.
I hope the other conservative Democratic senators are watching this. Maybe they will lose a few nights of sleep.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
valgal
March 1, 2010 11:19 PM
Halter has a good bio and should have decent name recognition as Lt. Gov so perhaps he does have a good chance. Oh yea, this is Arkansas. One to watch at least.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
mcc
March 1, 2010 11:35 PM
A link somebody posted on Balloon Juice awhile back... Richard Trumka, August 2009:
I'm in a pretty good mood right now!
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Backcountry
March 2, 2010 12:33 AM
Telegram for other DINOs: If you pander too much to the right, and act too much like a Rethuglican, you're fair game. And people like me, who don't really give a damn about Arkansas, will donate to your primary opponent. And maybe even to the Rethug in the general since we apparently have nothing to lose in losing a DINO.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
EvanR
March 2, 2010 4:39 AM in reply to Backcountry
I think it's great that a credible progressive Dem like Halter is challenging Lincoln, who has proven herself both unusually disloyal and mortally weak. At worst, Halter will light a fire under her from the populist, progressive Democratic left. Maybe he'll break through and win and actually have a shot as a more populist and principled outsider. I don't live in Arkansas either -- the closest I got was Memphis for a year. But I do care about the disadvantaged and poorly represented people in Arkansas as much as in any other state. Let's organize and contribute to the extent we're able for a Halter win. However, you lost me with the flippant comment about contributing to Republicans. You obviously don't care about Arkansas -- or the rest of our country, for that matter. Blanche Lincoln isn't much good, but she is far better than the right-winger the Republicans will try like hell to get into office. Fine by you, just so long as it isn't a "DINO". Yet another trenchant observation from the left-wing Teabagging school of politics.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Homefries
March 2, 2010 12:51 AM
The WH position that Barak supports all incumbents hardly sounds like a ringing Blanche endorsement to me. He's trying to herd a room full of cats right now, the last thing he wants to do is piss one off.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
midnight rambler
March 2, 2010 4:27 AM in reply to Homefries
I'm sure you would never, ever see a sitting president endorse a primary challenger to someone in his own party. But I wouldn't be surprise if Obama is hoping Halter wins, given what a PITA Lincoln has been.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Zephyrus
March 2, 2010 7:20 AM in reply to midnight rambler
FDR did in the late 1930's.
It ended up disastrously and alienated Southern conservative Democrats from the New Deal. Actually ignited the first big step toward the Republican realignment in the South.
Obama has two factors to weigh: the first is the likelihood of his endorsement actually putting a better Democrat in office. More likely than not, we're going to lose AR this year, even though Halter might have a slightly better chance than Lincoln.
The other factor is creating incentives for current members of the Senate to vote correctly. So whether he should endorse Lincoln or Halter depends on whether Lincoln has acted more to help or harm Obama's legislative agenda. And that we honestly don't know--her entire shittiness might've been a giant kabuki theater, while Obama's known all along she'd end up on his side when the push came to shove. Alternatively, she might just be shitty.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Barfood
March 2, 2010 8:28 AM in reply to Homefries
Barack, not Barak
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Barfood
March 2, 2010 8:30 AM in reply to Barfood
Unless, of course, the "AK" spelling was meant to tie him to Arkansas. Which it can't, because that's short for Alaska.
I am helping.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
Homefries
March 2, 2010 1:20 PM in reply to Barfood
Bah, I fail at spelling. Also, I've been reading a lot of the online Haaretz articles recently (the Israeli media never fails to amaze me with their willingness to present both sides of hard hitting arguments); I got the Barak in Ehud Barak confused with the Barack in Barack Obama.
Wasn't any attempt to be clever.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
oleeb
March 2, 2010 1:48 AM
Bravo to the labor movement for having the balls to do the right thing! Buh Bye Blanche!
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
nova voter
March 2, 2010 4:20 AM
fuck. you. blanche.
it's one thing not to vote with your party on the substance of a bill. but to vote against your party on procedure -- to filibuster -- appears to have consequences. GOOD.
take note, ben, mary, et al.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
JohnW1141
March 2, 2010 7:18 AM
What we have today is a business friendly Democratic Party and a business friendly Republican Party and that's why the majority of Americans are getting screwed. We get supply side economics from the Republicans and supply side representation from the Democrats.
We need to replace red state, business friendly, conservative Democrats with liberals, it won't be easy, but that's what needs to be done.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
valgal
March 2, 2010 7:24 AM
Obama's track record on supporting down ticket races is not great this year, perhaps best he sits this one out.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
zonk
March 2, 2010 7:58 AM
The whole Obama/WH thing is a false canard.
As noted above, it's been more than 70 years since a President backed a primary challenger (and didn't work out then, either).
Bush supported Specter in his last match-up against Toomey, too.
Anyone upset that the WH isn't backing a primary challenger is fooling themselves - absent a scandal, it isn't done because it's always a bad a idea.
What's more, AR is one of the few red/purple states where Obama has never played well... so he's pretty much irrelevant to the race anyway.
He wasn't going to do Lincoln much good prior to her getting a primary challenge, he certainly won't now.
It's a pointless and meaningless angle to this story.
Now, if you'll excuse me, I need to go drop a sawbuck on Halter's campaign.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
daveminnj
March 2, 2010 8:08 AM
right- see what you mean.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
waltersobchak
March 2, 2010 8:19 AM
Where do Bill and Hillary fall in all of this; Halter served in his administration, after all, and its one state where he still has major stature.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
onecrappyusername
March 2, 2010 10:50 AM in reply to waltersobchak
He's got connections to both and will stay out of the primary, I expect.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
bcamarda
March 2, 2010 11:40 AM
I think the greatest value in this is the lesson it sends to other conservative Democrats that labor and the left are in fact capable of playing hardball. That there ARE things these politicians can do that will transform labor and the left into mortal enemies. They already know there's a potential cost for pissing off the right. They need to understand that there's a potential cost for pissing off labor, and this communicates that message loud and clear. Even if, as seems likely, the Arkansas seat is lost, I think this will reverberate quietly and positively in other votes by other Democratic politicians all year long.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
onecrappyusername
March 2, 2010 11:41 AM
Interesting tidbits:
Lincoln beat Jim Holt to become senator in 1994, who was later bested by Halter in the Lt. Gov race. Lincoln won re-election by beating Fay Boozman, the brother of John Boozman, who is the repub nominee this year.
Small state.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
ericf
March 2, 2010 12:46 PM
In our ongoing discussion over whether to live with conservadems or risk losing their seats, I'm for picking fights carefully. In this case, with a viable intraparty challenger and the high likelihood the incumbent will lose anyway, this is a prime opportunity. I'm sympathetic to the argument a blue dog might be as liberal a candidate as can win a given district, but that's not a free pass. Each situation has to be taken on its own.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
mrut
March 2, 2010 8:03 PM in reply to ericf
I agree one hundred percent. I'm not even against all conservative Democrats; I'm against Democrats who back away from tough stances because they are easily frightened and care only about their own seats.
I don't get the feeling Lincoln can be counted on to vote for any measure that would be difficult to defend back home. Basically, I think she doesn't have the guts (or the skill?) to make a case and stand by a decision that isn't immediately popular. That kind of person doesn't have what it takes to lead.
You are right, though, that the key element to the situation in AR this year is the fact that it looks like Lincoln will lose no matter what in the general election. Her weakness makes her a good candidate for an example to the rest of the Democratic Party.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
tmccarthy0
March 2, 2010 1:35 PM
Well Blanche how does it feel? Your refusal to back this President over the important issues of the day have sealed your fate. You were told unions would be mounting campaigns against you all, and you didn't take it seriously. It is difficult to stand up to tea party pressures and their bully tactics, but that is why you were elected. See you in the future when you become a lobbyist for some health insurance company.
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?
June 12, 2010 4:26 PM
As for AR - I'm happily supporting Halter, just dropped him some cash, despite the fact that I'm one of those oh-so-evil pragmatists who refuses to get in line and mewl the "public option, public option, public option" chorus.
The Senate and the party would be better off with Halter than Lincoln, and there's precious little to lose if a GOPer takes Lincoln's seat (barring nationwide electoral disaster).
Beyond that, as I and other allude below - an election isn't the same as legislation.
In an election, even a primary election, things are much simpler. It's an easy, this or that choice. You pick the best option from the choices. It's not complicated, the broader issues can be boiled down to simple A or B (or A, B, or C) choices.
m65 kamagra
Reply | Flag Abuse
Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?