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Paul Ryan: Repealing HCR Will Be The First Goal Of A GOP Congress


Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) and former state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R-FL)

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On a conference call with with Florida Republicans just now, Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) promised that if the GOP gets control of the Congress this fall, repealing a Democratic health care reform bill will be the number one priority.

"Our goal if we take the majority is H.R. 1 and S. 1 are [bills] to repeal this law," he said on the call, which was hosted by Senate candidate Marco Rubio (R).

Rubio promised to be a supporter of Ryan's legislative agenda if he makes it to Washington next year. "If there's only one vote to repeal this bill in the Senate, it will be mine," he said. "But I'm hoping there will be a lot more."

Despite their readiness to repeal the health care reform bill, both men predicted Republicans won't need to because the bill won't pass the House in the first place, despite the promises made by Democratic leaders in recent days.

That's probably the best case scenario for Rubio, considering that NRSC chair John Cornyn has admitted that GOP promises to repeal the health care bill will probably go unfulfilled even if the GOP takes back the Senate majority.

Ryan said that it's still probable that reform opponents could stop the final House bill dead in its tracks.

"[Speaker Nancy] Pelosi doesn't have the votes," Ryan said. "She's down about 7-10 votes at this point."

Ryan said that members of what he called "the Stupak dozen" won't support the Senate measure, meaning that Pelosi is forced to find votes among Democrats who already voted no. He said that was a tough job, and called for continued pressure from Republicans on former no-vote Democrats who might be wavering this time around.

Rubio, who Ryan endorsed in January, also called on his conservative supporters to keep jamming the phones in Congress and pressure Democrats thinking about voting yes.

Ryan was only on the call for a few minutes, meaning most of the focus of the call was on health care, and not the shadow budget proposal for which the representative has become famous.

Both men on the call tried to make it clear that it wasn't health care reform they opposed -- it's just the Democratic form of it. Ryan promised that after repealing the most comprehensive health care reform package in decades, a Republican-led Congress would replace it with their own plan to make America's health care system work better.

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March 18, 2010 12:39 PM   

That would NEVER happen. That means that there will be a donut hole for seniors, no tax breaks for small businesses. There will be recision, etc.

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March 18, 2010 12:44 PM    in reply to Maritza

Not to mention a veto. This is bullshit political grandstanding at is finest. Seems that's all the GOP does these days.

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mcc

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March 18, 2010 12:48 PM    in reply to Maritza

It's interesting because they say they want to repeal the bill but I don't think they could, if asked, even explain what it does.

What exactly in this bill are they going to repeal? Are they going to repeal the section that institutes euthanasia panels? Are they going to repeal the part where government takes over all health care in the country? Are they going to repeal the part where the government buys you abortions? Maybe they will get really creative and repeal the provision that legalizes gay marriage.

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March 18, 2010 1:03 PM    in reply to mcc

Oh, I expect Ryan could explain what it does if he wanted; he seems like a member of the lying faction, not the stupid one. But your point is well taken -- they're grandstanding on this in one last attempt to spook congressional Democrats, because they know that once it passes, they'll have to campaign on repealing its actual provisions, rather than on having rescued grandma and the teabaggers from their fictional scare stories. (Well, they'll still lie about what's in it, but it will be a lot harder.)

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March 18, 2010 4:26 PM    in reply to Maritza

The issue seems to be this. They said that this bill would destroy the fabric of our nation and kill baby seals and such. That motivated their base, and you need a motivated base to win an election. The problem is when the sky does not fall, and people see real tax breaks and real relief prior to November the swing voters will not support repeal. If the GOP backs off of repeal their base becomes unmotivated. If this passes the GOP are kind of in a hard to win situation, because they painted themselves in a corner with the rhetoric they used to try to kill this.

The GOP keeps claiming America hates this bill, but they know the real numbers. A significant portion on those against the bill are because it is not liberal enough, and the GOP will not get those votes. If only pro-repeal people vote for them they get like 40%.

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March 18, 2010 12:51 PM   

Closing the donut hole will be a big issue for a lot of old timers in Florida and I believe that happens right away. I don't know how running against HCR is a big winner in Florida.

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March 19, 2010 11:27 AM    in reply to Walter Mitty

You understand what the doughnut hole is and how it works, right?

If you do, then please tell me what you think the effect will be once Medicare's drug payments from Part D rise significantly as a result of paying for so many drugs and the Part D premiums people have to pay rise proportionally?

In case you don't understand it, let me outline it for you: Of the Medicare users, some population want drug coverage and don't get it elsewhere - these people can sign up for Part D.

Part D, which is run by private (mostly non-profit) organizations, agrees to pay for drugs according to various rules in exchange for premiums. The total amount collected from all premiums must pay for the majority of the drugs provided - thus the doughnut hole was created to be a first dollar and last dollar program, but it had to leave the middle quantity of coverage open because it was decided that premiums should generally be below a certain level.

Most low income seniors are already exempt from all or part of the doughnut hole and most deductibles.

So go ahead and fill that hole in. Just understand that you face the same problem as when it was created: significantly higher drug coverage premiums MUST result.

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March 18, 2010 12:58 PM   

They won't have the votes. Even if they could muster a House vote for this, they'd have to pass it in the Senate as well. They can't pass it through reconciliation because that would require *reducing* the deficit and repealing the bill would increase the deficit by $1.3 trillion at least over 20 years. So they'd need 60 votes in the Senate to overcome a filibuster, assuming the filibuster still exists. This is all bluff.

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kth

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March 18, 2010 11:40 PM    in reply to cassady

Actually if they don't have Obama's signature (which they won't), they need 67.

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March 19, 2010 11:38 AM    in reply to cassady

That's not exactly how it works. They could decide to repeal most of the new health spending and leave some portion of the revenue piece in place, which would result in an even greater net positive effect on the deficit. I would guess that many in the GOP would support keeping some or all of the Cadillac tax in place. It's a decent cost suppression idea.

Or, they could include an offset in their budget resolution that made up any difference from other spending reductions out side of health care. The deficit effect is concerned only with bottom line numbers, not their component pieces. So as long as the there was room for whatever repeal path they took in the budget resolution, which is NOT signed by the president, then the reconciliation bill would survive a point of order.

Certainly, the president would need to sign the reconciliation bill, which would enact any policy changes, but since most of the main plan elements won't kick in until for 6 years they can wait out the current administration and hope to run on needing that signature in 2012.

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March 20, 2010 12:19 AM    in reply to truth > spin

I'm not sure they could pull it off. One of the biggest Republican gripes is the personal mandate, and repealing that wouldn't necessarily meet reconciliation rules. And you can't kill the major spending portions of the bill without killing that, because otherwise you'll be shifting the burden of meeting the mandate onto some people who can't afford it, and that will not go over well. (And of course you can't kill both the spending and the personal mandate without also killing the ban on pre-existing condition clauses, or else the insurance industry would collapse in a massive and hastened death spiral.) Basically, they just can't do it.

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March 18, 2010 1:00 PM   

Repeal is virtually impossible once it passes - this is nothing more than a bunch of red meat being thrown out to the rabid base, not something they would be able to actually accomplish.

Since the Republicans have made 60 votes the de facto new majority in the Senate, do they think they could muster 60 repeal votes (no matter how many seats up from their current 41 they pick up)? They won't have a majority, let along 60 seats.

But even if they do, they forget that Obama is President until at least January 2013, probably January 2017. There is this little thing called a veto, something that requires 2/3rds in each house to override. On what planet do they think that is possible?

And if they somehow think they can do it under some 51 vote budget reconciliation motion, they are ignoring the reality that a huge part of the legislation is policy that cannot be addressed with reconciliation -- and still is subject to a veto.

But even those practical barriers are nothing compared to the political reality -- once this thing passes, the American public isn't going to want Congress to spend another year fighting over health care. And they certainly aren't going to be able to defend re-imposing pre-existing condition exclusions, removing small business tax credits, getting rid of new enrollees in Medicaid, abolishing the high risk pool for currently uninsurable folks, taking away subsidies to buy insurance, and re-opening the donut hole in Part D....

These things are going to be popular, and a Congress that decides their first priority is getting rid of them will see a public uprising that will make the tea parties look like afternoon tea at some fancy English hotel.

The Republican leadership knows that opposition to the legislation will be at the highwater mark right before it passes -- once it is in place, it will work to Democratic advantage - in November and beyond.

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March 18, 2010 1:03 PM   

Ryan promised that after repealing the most comprehensive health care reform package in decades, a Republican-led Congress would replace it with their own plan to make America's health care system work better.

Best laugh I've had all morning!

And if they ever bothered to come up with that plan, they'd be happy to share it with us. But whatever it is, it will certainly involve slashing taxes on the wealthiest 5%.

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March 18, 2010 1:17 PM    in reply to psyclone

Ryan's Roadmap to Catastrophe (er, America's Future) does that and more. It's a Republican trifecta: gut entitlements, cut taxes on the wealthy and explode the deficit. Now THAT's a plan a freedom-loving patriot can really get next to!

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March 18, 2010 1:07 PM   

"[Speaker Nancy] Pelosi doesn't have the votes," Ryan said. "She's down about 7-10 votes at this point."

"Our goal if we take the majority is H.R. 1 and S. 1 are [bills] to repeal this law,"

I can't tell if this is the Republicans trying to officially hedge their bets or the call for a strategic withdraw.

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March 18, 2010 1:07 PM   

Oh, and may I just say that boy do I hope they follow through on this! I don't envy their position -- the teabaggers will demand nothing less than a pledge to support full repeal, and any Democrat with a brain will turn that into "Republican X wants to let your insurance company dump you when you get sick!"

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March 18, 2010 1:08 PM   

More proof of GOP insanity. They have been approaching it for 30 years, and I though Palin was the culmination of nuttiness, but they just keep going. I know it's mostly blowing smoke for the rubes, but Ryan seems like the kind of fanatic who believes what he says.

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March 18, 2010 1:11 PM   

Please, please, please make this a major plank in your platform this fall. Along with privatizing Social Security and eliminating Medicare. Sounds like a winning formula. Go for it.

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March 18, 2010 1:19 PM   

Aside from the bill being created, sponsored, and enacted by Democrats, and aside from the lies about what the bill actually does ("kill grand-ma", "government take-over", "socialist medicine", etc.), what exactly are the substantive reasons why Republicans and conservatives are fighting this tooth and nail? Is it all just politics? The lies whip up their supporters into a frenzy. The obstruction and demagoguery is really reaching into CRAZY-land here. So, the Republicans don't want to make health-care insurance affordable to more people, they want the insurance companies to be able to raise rates whenever they want, they want the insurance companies to be able to kick people off of their plans for pre-existing conditions...am I totally missing something? What substantively don't they like? How it's being paid for?

I hear them say "it's a bad bill" and "the American people don't want this", but I have yet to hear any coherent argument against it.

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March 18, 2010 1:33 PM    in reply to likembrave

Is it all just politics?

Yes.

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March 18, 2010 1:31 PM   

So all these Democrats are actually talking to Ryan about how they're going to vote? Really?

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March 18, 2010 1:37 PM   

Marvelous. Passing this measure will bolster sagging support for the Good Guys and having the repugs campaign for repeal will further limit dem losses. Great call, morons.

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March 18, 2010 1:41 PM   

Dream on, dream on, dream on, .....

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March 18, 2010 2:38 PM   

Yeah, Ryan and your new toy boy Rubio, that's going to be a real winner of a strategy.

Go up against Nuns and Catholic hospitals to pro-actively take away healthcare. Line up with a bunch of pedophile Bishops instead. Way to go!

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March 18, 2010 2:46 PM   

GOP Congress? No problem.

All the Dems need is 41 senators and everything stops dead.

... er, right? RIGHT?

I am so FUCKING sick of "my" party, being the permanent, proverbial 90-lb. weakling! And it's all because we matter less than their corporate constituents!

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March 19, 2010 10:19 AM    in reply to Barry Champlain

Go whine somewhere else...

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March 18, 2010 3:44 PM   

Yeah, Mr. Ryan, ever heard of the veto?

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March 18, 2010 4:06 PM   

I think these guys are believing their own Fox/Astroturf hype a bit too much. To run on a platform of repealing reform sounds like a great way to expedite your own extinction.

And that would be a good thing.

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March 18, 2010 4:43 PM   

Ryan needs to repeal his Pet Shop Boys hair style...

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March 18, 2010 5:03 PM   

Go ahead, Ryan, make my day!

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March 19, 2010 9:25 AM   

Of course Ryan and Rubio don't support health care reform! The Repubs have never tried to reform anything...they have always tried to repeal everything!!! Rubio is a Cuban who doesn't seem to know that Cuba has a better health care system than the U.S., and Ryan spends more money on haircuts and ties to even care about it. The GOP is worthless.

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March 19, 2010 10:25 AM   

ANOTHER BLUE EYED DEVIL AT WORK!

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