TPMDC

Poll: Both Dems Trail GOP In Arkansas, Though Lincoln's Gaining Ground


Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D-AR) and Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR)

Share

Twitter Fark Reddit Send to a Friend

Send to a friend!

To email:    Your Name:    Your email:

Arkansas Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (D) may be giving Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) headaches now that he's officially a candidate for Senate, but a new poll shows that so far, Republicans needn't be any more worried about Halter than they are about Lincoln.

In the first public polling since Halter officially announced his candidacy yesterday, a Rasmussen survey of 500 likely voters in the state shows both Halter and Lincoln trailing the entire Republican field.

But the poll also shows Lincoln is on an upswing, gaining ground against GOP candidates in the past month. Halter, making his first appearance as candidate in general election polling, holds his own but trails the GOP front runner by a significant margin.

The biggest threat for Republicans remains Rep. John Boozman (R), considered the frontrunner in a crowded field of GOP contenders. He leads Lincoln by a margin of 48-39 in the new poll. But that shows considerable forward momentum for Lincoln -- in the last Rasmussen poll, taken on Feb. 1, Boozman led 54-35.

Halter, on the other hand, is well back of Boozman. The Republican leads Halter in the new poll 52-33.

It's the same story for the other GOP candidates in the race. Lincoln has closed to within single-digits or better of the main GOP candidates in the new poll, a dramatic shift forward for her over the Feburary poll. By comparison, Halter's position is mixed. Though he's behind Boozman by a greater margin than Lincoln is, Halter holds his own with the other contenders in the race, matching Lincoln's performance against them.

Comments (9) | Join the Conversation!

Recommend Recommend (0)

March 2, 2010 2:51 PM   

A RaT-musty poll telling us that Blanche could pull this thing off so Democrats won't give the nomination to Halter.

Y-A-W-N . . . .

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 3:07 PM   

I can't take polls this early out seriously. There is too much ahead of us, like summer and the primaries.

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 3:18 PM   

wow, rasmussen has the Progressive trailing, what a surprise.

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 3:22 PM   

Articles like this are why I stopped really taking TPM seriously.

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 3:30 PM   

Four points in a poll of 500 people is "considerable forward momentum?" Is there a survey research methods professor in the house?

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 4:06 PM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

"Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence"

weaksauce.

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 4:07 PM    in reply to onecrappyusername

the survey, that is

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 3:30 PM   

It's a Ras poll that magically wants Blanche to stay in the race. Shocker!

I see Evan has taken over for Eric in the "Bad Poll Articles" department.

John

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

March 2, 2010 4:17 PM   

Polls done in one day like this one are rarely that accurate.

Reply | Flag Abuse

Are you sure this comment violates TPM's Terms of Service?

Leave a comment

Your response:

Follow us!

Most Popular

TPM Stories Now Surging on