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Poll: GOPer Leads Race For Murtha Seat


PA-12 House candidates Mark Critz (D) and Tim Burns (R)

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The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the PA-12 special election gives Republican businessman Tim Burns the edge in the race for the House seat formerly held by the late Democratic Rep. John Murtha.

The numbers: Burns 46%, with Democratic candidate and former Murtha aide Mark Critz at 40%. The sample of likely voters has a ±4% margin of error. The Democrats have held this seat since 1974, when Murtha picked it up from the Republicans in a special election held in the midst of the Watergate scandals. The special election will be held on May 18. The TPM Poll Average gives Burns a lead of 43.0%-40.3%

Two key numbers: President Obama's favorable rating in this western Pennsylvania seat is only 38%, with an unfavorable rating of 55%. Respondents were also asked this question: "Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports and will work to improve the new health care reform law, or a candidate who will work to repeal it completely?" The answer: candidate who supports the bill 34%, candidate who would repeal the bill 48%.

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April 30, 2010 2:47 PM   

How did the Daily Kos (Chaos) poll get out? Or this TPM story, for that matter?

Libs will dismiss these numbers as "Faux" News "lies":

Burns 46%, with Democratic candidate and former Murtha aide Mark Critz at 40%.

"President Obama's favorable rating in this western Pennsylvania seat is only 38%, with an unfavorable rating of 55%."

How can this be? I thought EVERYONE loves Obama, ObamaCare, and all the "good" things Democrats are doing.

"Respondents were also asked this question: "Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports and will work to improve the new health care reform law, or a candidate who will work to repeal it completely?" The answer: candidate who supports the bill 34%, candidate who would repeal the bill 48%."

Who knew all the Fox News "dupes" and tea partiers were such a large number? Don't worry. Dems in Congress and Obama will keep pushing full speed ahead on their "progressive" agenda.

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April 30, 2010 3:45 PM    in reply to acriticalthinker

Really, shut the hell up and take that bullshit to Redstate.

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April 30, 2010 4:44 PM    in reply to Hobbes83

Hobbes

You have demonstrated what routinely happens when a closed minded liberal is faced with facts and reasonable opinions that the liberal does not like and cannot refute with facts and reasonable (not to mention civil) opinions and arguments of his own: an angry and frustrated "go away kid, ya bother me". Actually, your "reply" had less name-calling and profanity than many other liberal attempts to shut me up (and I thought you libs were the examplars of civility, tolerance, open-minded inquiry, and love for "diversity", blah, blah, blah).

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April 30, 2010 4:47 PM    in reply to acriticalthinker

If you don't like it then go away.

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April 30, 2010 8:38 PM    in reply to Hobbes83

I don't particularly appreciate the uncivil and closed minded attitude and replies that non-liberals seem to attract from liberals here, but I expect and understand that that is what liberals do. They can't or don't want to actually engage in a reasonable dialogue on facts or issues. So, the tactic is to ridicule, marginalize, and clear the playing field of any opposing facts or viewpoints that are "inconvenient". See Alinsky's Rules for Radicals, especially rules 5 and 13.
http://www.scribd.com/doc/24986505/Summary-of-Saul-Alinsky-s-Rules-for-Radicals

I am not easily intimidating into "going away" because of mere name-calling and irrational replies with little or no substance.

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April 30, 2010 10:52 PM    in reply to acriticalthinker

There's a lot of projection going on here. You keep throwing the liberal label around, even though I really haven't espoused any liberal beliefs or attitudes. You've made an assumption based on little to no actual evidence. The reason why I make the comments that I do is because I know an idealogue when I see one, and I know that there isn't any common ground with an idealogue. You come on forums, spout your "facts" and "truths" and then in a very Rovian way attack people like me for your weaknesses.

The fact of the matter is that I am a pragmatic moderate. A person who doesn't care about blame-shifting and winning or losing. I care about things that help this country out. And I'm not trying to intimidate you, I don't bully people. I simply think that you need to stop trolling this site if you don't like the content and go to Redstate or National Review Online, where the forum and the reporting fit your attitudes and system of beliefs.

I know you won't leave this site however, because you like to annoy people. I admire the fact that you won't get into name calling, that's an admirable trait. But what isn't admirable is the fact that you will not admit that both sides have problems and have put us in this situation. I've seen your posts, and for all the moral high-ground that you think that you're claiming, you don't acknowledge that. And the refutation and quotes are coming in 3, 2, 1...

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May 1, 2010 5:10 PM    in reply to Hobbes83

"There's a lot of projection going on here. You keep throwing the liberal label around, even though I really haven't espoused any liberal beliefs or attitudes. You've made an assumption based on little to no actual evidence."

Except for "Really, shut the hell up and take that bullshit to Redstate." That is not a conservative or even a moderate talking. I made a reasonable assumption based upon evidence before my eyes.

"The reason why I make the comments that I do is because I know an idealogue when I see one, and I know that there isn't any common ground with an idealogue."

I concede, as a former liberal who knows how liberals think and FEEL, I have strong convictions. However, I am open to new information or rational arguments based upon facts, history, and thinking through the implications of policies. It is just that I see little of those things here from the left, and very few non-liberals are made to feel welcome here. Your reply to me is one of the milder responses I routinely get.

"You come on forums, spout your "facts" and "truths" and then in a very Rovian way attack people like me for your weaknesses".

I plead guilty to "spouting" facts and truths, as I and other rational people see them, but I don't "attack" them for MY weaknesses. I challenge them on the weaknesses of THEIR facts, logic, history, and lack of rational argument (but with plenty of name calling and profanity to make up for the above).

"The fact of the matter is that I am a pragmatic moderate."

It all depends on who is in the room with you. Perhaps in relation to Pete Stark, Ted Kennedy, Maxine Waters, or Hugo Chavez, you could be considered a moderate. Usually someone who calls themselves a "moderate" is just not honest enough to admit he or she is a liberal (which is understandable these days since most liberals avoid that label and call themselves moderates or "Progressives".

"A person who doesn't care about blame-shifting and winning or losing. I care about things that help this country out."

I will wait to see evidence of that.

"And I'm not trying to intimidate you, I don't bully people."

Of course not.

"I simply think that you need to stop trolling this site if you don't like the content and go to Redstate or National Review Online, where the forum and the reporting fit your attitudes and system of beliefs."

I don't subscribe to the circle jerk philosophy of forums. I came here to check out alternative and diverse views here and provide some balance and a point of view (and facts on occasion) that liberals usually are not exposed to and in fact avoid at all costs.

"I know you won't leave this site however, because you like to annoy people."

I am NOT here to annoy people, but I am here to get people to THINK, to question their own unquestioned positions, and to challenge me to do the same---which some here do in a good way. Check out my first quote on my profile under "favorite quotes". I really believe that.

"I admire the fact that you won't get into name calling, that's an admirable trait."

I try to avoid name calling but I can understand the temptation to call someone an idiot, etc.

"But what isn't admirable is the fact that you will not admit that both sides have problems and have put us in this situation. I've seen your posts, and for all the moral high-ground that you think that you're claiming, you don't acknowledge that.'

I have acknowledged that both sides have problems and will do so again when appropriate.

"And the refutation and quotes are coming in 3, 2, 1..."

No refutation and quotes unless you consider some of my responses as refutation of your statements.

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AJM

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April 30, 2010 8:45 PM    in reply to acriticalthinker

The HCR thing will turn around for Democrats. Maybe not in time for this special election but McConnell is already trying to take credit for parts of it. LOL

And, as long as Dems keep the House, I hope Critz loses. I bet there all pro-choice people across the country are thinking again about whether or not to support an anti-choice candidate after Stupak.

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April 30, 2010 3:42 PM   

Murtha's district is a very blue collar, industrial area. The voters are the reagan democrats who are most likely Fox viewers...........they are low information voters who vote against their own best interests.

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April 30, 2010 10:05 PM    in reply to sconset

"The voters are the reagan democrats who are most likely Fox viewers...........they are low information voters who vote against their own best interests."

WOW! Nice diss of Democrats in Murtha's district! As for Fox viewers (when was the LAST time you actually watched Fox News for more than 30 seconds). I challenge you to watch the news at 6:00 Eastern time and report on all the "faux" news, "lies", and GOP talking points you hear there. It will be a very short report, I can assure you. But, it is unlikely that you will take me up on my challenge. It is much more comfortable to stick to what you believe and "know" without having to actually check your beliefs and knowledge against reality. Maybe I am wrong, but I will be waiting for your report and expose (X PO Zay)

I get what you said about voting against their own best interests, though. I guess that is why they elected and re-elected Murtha for 35 years. Makes sense.

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April 30, 2010 3:46 PM   

I will never understand how people can vote for a party that has categorically done nothing to help this country in the past two years. Shoot, we can take that back to 94.

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April 30, 2010 4:29 PM    in reply to Hobbes83

I totally agree with you. It is dumbfounding that ANYONE votes for a Democrat.

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May 1, 2010 7:53 AM   

Democrats won a special election in florida recently and not a word from the media. Now that the democrats are going to lose this seat, the media is screaming "ITS OBAMAS FAULT". Where was "ITS OBAMAS FAULT" when democrats won in florida?

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