The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of Arizona gives Sen. John McCain a big lead over his challenger in the Republican primary, former Rep. J.D. Hayworth.
The numbers: McCain 52%, Hayworth 37%, with a ±4% margin of error. There is no previous Research 2000 poll of this race for direct comparison. A Rasmussen poll from two weeks ago — before Sarah Palin visited Arizona for a high-profile campaign appearance with McCain last week — gave McCain a somewhat narrower lead.
The current TPM Poll Average gives McCain a lead of 48.3%-40.3%.
From Daily Kos’s analysis: “Despite the conventional wisdom that McCain could be vulnerable to an intra-party challenge, we find that McCain has a fairly solid level of favorability among Republicans. His current favorability among GOP voters stands at 76%, with only 19% expressing disapproval.
“Hayworth, meanwhile, may well have some upside in the GOP primary, as he is still unknown to about a quarter of the electorate. And it is worth noting that among Republicans, he is well liked (a 61/16 favorability spread).”
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
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