The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary gives Rep. Joe Sestak a narrow lead over incumbent Dem Senator and ex-Republican Arlen Specter, with the election coming up this Tuesday.
The numbers: Sestak 45%, Specter 43%. The poll of likely Dem primary voters has a ±5% margin of error. Two months ago, Specter led by a healthy 51%-32% advantage. The TPM Poll Average now gives Sestak a lead of 44.3%-43.0% — the first time ever that Sestak has led in this measurement.
In addition, the poll has Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey leading Specter by 49%-41% in a general election, and leading Sestak by 45%-40%. The TPM Poll Average gives Toomey a lead over Specter of 45.6%-38.8%, and a lead over Sestak of 39.1%-35.4%.
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
Facebook Conversations
Questions about commenting with non-Facebook accounts like Yahoo, or other concerns? Click here to read the TPM Commenting FAQ.