
President Obama is doubling down on the rhetoric when it comes to the crisis in the Gulf this weekend, but it's not yet clear if that will be enough to stop the slide in public support for the way he's handled the worst oil spill in American history.
Yesterday, USA Today made a splash with its new poll, conducted in conjunction with Gallup (margin of error: 4%), showing 53% of Americans gave Obama a "poor" rating when it comes to handling the oil spill. But that poll is just one of many showing public trust in the White House's ability to handle the crisis has declined since the spill first began in late April.
Most of the polls show slight majorities disapprove of the way the President has run things since the oil spill began. When put in contrast with the epically terrible ratings given to BP by the public in the same polls, the Obama slide may seem slight. But for a White House trying to shake accusations -- however ridiculous -- that the spill has become a new Katrina the numbers show that the administration has work to do before it regains public confidence.
A May 23 CNN national poll shows 51% of voters disapprove of Obama's handling of the spill, while 46% approve. Those numbers are in line with a poll from CBS taken around the same time that showed 35% of respondents approved of Obama's handling of the crisis while 45% disapproved. The margin of error for both polls is 3%.
Compare that with national polls from Fox News taken in the early days of the crisis. On May 5, 50% of respondents to the Fox poll said they approved of what Obama was doing to take care of things in the Gulf, while just 29% disapproved. Two weeks later, as oil continued to pour from the ocean floor, there were signs that the public was starting to grow nervous about Obama's handling of things. In the May 19 Fox News poll, Obama's oil spill approval rating was 44-36. Both Fox polls have a margin of error of 3%.
Obama is headed to the Gulf tomorrow, and just wrapped up a televised press conference on the crisis at the White House. But as he steps up, it remains to be seen if the public is ready to get back on board with his handling of the oil spill.
Still, at least Obama's not BP. Polls have consistently shown the public has little faith in the company. One example: in a May 10 NBC/Telemundo poll (margin of error: 3.1%), just 11% of respondents said they approved of the job the company has done in the wake of the offshore drilling rig explosion that marked the beginning of the crisis.
Research assistance by Polling Fellow Thomas Rhiel and polling intern Marc Kilstein.
Smitallica
May 27, 2010 3:01 PM
So a month and a half ago he was an overreaching, power-mad socialist tyrant who was strangling private enterprise.
Now he's not doing enough to clean up after a massive multinational oil corporation's fuck-up?
Ok. Got it.
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kunda311
May 27, 2010 3:20 PM in reply to Smitallica
That's 'cause he is Barack "Sybil" Obama - changeling, turncoat and weirdo. It couldn't possibly be due to the population at large being ignorant, fickle and idiotic.
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Nutter
May 27, 2010 3:22 PM in reply to Smitallica
The funny thing is I did not first hear these retarded accusations that contradicts the same blog post from the right.
Actually, it is not funny.
It is sickening.
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again
May 27, 2010 3:44 PM
'When put in contrast with the epically terrible ratings given to BP by the public in the same polls, the Obama slide may seem slight. But for a White House trying to shake accusations -- however ridiculous -- that the spill has become a new Katrina the numbers show that the administration has work to do before it regains public confidence.'
that's an exceedingly optimistic outlook given that the toxic effects of the dispersal agent alone will first begin to show in the months and years ahead.
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Viva!America!
May 27, 2010 3:50 PM
All agencies and parties involved should just focus on the people in the area who are directly affected by this mess. Forget the polls right now.
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mans_best_friend
May 27, 2010 4:02 PM
This is just a case of The Guy in Charge Gets the Blame, regardless of whether he actually could have done anything about it or not.
Ask people what he should have done and you'll get a lot of vague ideas or impossibly unworkable solutions. I heard the numbskulls on Faux News last night talking about constructing a berm. Right. A 500 mile long berm. Great idea.
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jonez
May 27, 2010 4:23 PM
Every time a reporter asks a Republican who's complaining about Obama's response, what they think the President could do, they have no answers. Nothing at all. I've been agonizing over this for weeks, and the only thing I can come up with is to pressure the guys who caused it to fix it. Also, there is really no reason to start cleanup operations, cuz it's still coming out. You send tons of troops or hire people to clean the beaches, well guess what, another wave will come in and you're back to square one. First let them stop the leak, then look for clean up and restitution processes, and send f***ing BP the tab.
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artappraiser
May 27, 2010 4:50 PM
But for a White House trying to shake accusations -- however ridiculous -- that the spill has become a new Katrina
Why do you imply such accusations are "ridiculous" Mr. McMorris-Santoro?
The comparison is not meant to compare the disasters in their effect, but to compare the federal and presidential responses to the disasters in the first weeks after the disaster.
It's ironic because if one were to judge the latter from TPM's coverage in that time period, our government basically didn't do anything at all, i.e., certainly we don't know of anything they did from your coverage.
I don't think it's a ridiculous thing to think about at all, and neither does the Obama administration, it seems, or they wouldn't have held today's press conference, he wouldn't be traveling to the area for photos ops tomorrow, and everything would continue as in weeks past. They're doing P.R. damage control now because they realize they made a mistake in not doing it in the past.
Bush was forced to do a "buck stops here" mea culpa, however reluctant he sounded about it:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k8az4CfEDpw
So far it looks like the Obama team is going with "I've been doing it all along, I just wasn't telling anyone about it, it was a secret."
I see right now they have the Admiral answering questions in detail about what they are doing and why and why you don't see certain things being done and why you see others being done. That's a first since the spill. Like with Katrina, there haven't been many answers on what was going on with the Feds at all, answers and explanations were M.I.A.
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again
May 27, 2010 5:15 PM in reply to artappraiser
I'm sorry, but your analysis was not only too rational and too lacking in knee-jerk defensiveness about the administration, it also lacked sufficient expletives for TPM.
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May 27, 2010 6:04 PM
The amount of oil spilled corresponds well to the amount of campaign contributions BP and the rest of Big Oil have made to lawmakers to ensure their profitability and allow them to ignore things like a "blowout preventer."
http://www.facebook.com/campaigncorner
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Beleck3
May 27, 2010 8:08 PM
the big Obama is owned by the big BP and the Big Oil. so what's the surprise here?
can't see much of a difference between Bush and Obama, other than skin color.
both part of the Villager Banksters
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LBS
May 27, 2010 8:32 PM
There doesn't seem to be a lot of research going into some of the comments I'm hearing. Obama is no progressive, but anyone concerned about (and active in) environmental protection will tell you that since Obama took office, things have improved tremendously -- though not in ways that get press. Now we have an actual, active, working, EPA generally staffed with people who know what they are doing.
Friends who work with environmental remediation tell me that the Obama EPA actually works to get things done.
I have often argued on these pages that TPM can be a bit tetchy when it comes to progressives, i.e. if a person makes a comment or takes a stance that "seems" progressive or un-moderate, it tends to get a comment like "uhh" or (between-the-lines) "another crazed progressive." However, progressives can be equally to blame when it comes to those who actually note positive changes when democrats are in office. Obama is, often, always wrong, always in the hands of big-oil-health-military, etc.
I am sure I am guilty, too.
However, facts are what facts are -- and they rarely fit into comfortable rhetorical frameworks. Arguments do, however. That's why facts and arguments are rarely the same.
___________________________________
A note:
I am no expert on the facts-on-the-ground when it comes to this oil spill. My guess is that Obama is doing both more and less than arguments suggest.
The one point that I think important is this: Obama can sometimes be a bit too unflappable. Sometimes the arguments count - sometimes (as Pennsylvania's Rendell suggests) "putting on a wetsuit" counts. That's how Obama killed McCain in Iowa when the flood hit there. He showed up. He showed concern. And being there -- actually being a symbol -- does make a difference.
This is where I would fault Obama: he has not been enough of a symbolic presence. He has underestimated peoples' needs in this regard.
However, that has little to do with the facts-on-the-ground, as does Rendell's quip that Clinton would have put on a wet suit. Rendell is presiding over perhaps the most environmentally disastrous periods of Pennsylvania history (which for PA is saying a lot).
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LBS
May 27, 2010 8:54 PM
One additional comment: I understand the Republican attacks on Obama. I certainly understand the progressives when they attack him -- generally, they have something important to say (for example, though I often avoid his column because of it, Glenn Greenwald is generally right on-target when he critiques Obama regarding civil liberties). Even when not backing their arguments with facts, progressives are consistent. Those who are angry about the handling of the oil spill have generally had real problems with oil drilling, and with energy policy as it stands and have made arguments in that regard.
What I don't get, appreciate, or have respect for are the (forgive me) Clintonites: Carvelle and Rendell, who have suddenly popped out of the toaster to critique Obama. Carvelle (sic) -- has he ever argued against off-shore drilling? I'd like to know. My guess is that he has been as cozy with big-oil/energy as anyone else.
And Rendell? Oy. What can you say about a man who has managed to run a disasterous budget while allowing Halliburton and natural gas companies free-reign in almost every part of his state? The Allegheny forests have been leased for drilling, and they are now pocked with pits full of chemical waste with little-to no clean-up strategy. The areas surrounding Pittsburgh have seen fish-kills, dried-up streams, and, most frightning, an increase in air pollution (the kind, studies have shown, is associated with Leukemia -- Texas has had trouble). In my neck of the woods, in year or so we've already had a well explosion, multiple illegal dumps of dangerous chemicals into wetlands, a waste-pit rupture onto a major byway, and entire neighborhoods without water - not even to shower in.
Rendell has never showed his head in any of these areas. The only reason I know what he looks like is because of the work he did for Clinton.
So, I can understand the Limbaughs of the world using this tragedy to attack Obama. I can understand Progressives being concerned that it is another instance of democrats doing much to little, to late (and, in the end, benefiting corporations). However, run-of-the-mill democrats who attack Obama now deserve neither attention nor respect.
That's my argument.
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