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Tea Party Christmas: Rand Paul Is Kentucky GOP Senate Nominee


KY Sen. candidate Rand Paul (R)

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Updated at 11:07 ET

The tea party movement got its best chance at winning a seat in the U.S. Senate tonight when Kentucky voters chose Rand Paul as the the GOP nominee. As expected, Paul has won decisively, dealing a blow to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and the GOP establishment, which spent much time and effort trying defeat Paul's insurgent campaign and secure the nomination for Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson.

Rand currently leads Grayson by 59% to 35% with 99 percent of the precincts reporting.

Paul faces a general election campaign that will put the purest form of the tea party message on the Senate ballot so far this year. Democrats are enjoying the opportunity to mock McConnell for losing a battle with the ultra-right in his home state, but they haven't said much about how they plan to beat Paul themselves. Republicans, meanwhile, have said they're ready to stand behind Paul and say signs are good he'll hold the seat for the GOP.

The polls give Republicans reason to be confident -- Paul has performed well against Democrats in hypothetical matchups all year, and definitely starts the general election race as the frontrunner. In a matchup with Democratic nominee Jack Conway, the TPM Poll Average shows Paul ahead by a margin of 44.7-38.4.

For his part, Paul made it clear who was responsible for his seeming landslide victory. In his acceptance speech, he reupped on the tea party messaging -- and didn't have much use for the word "Republican."

Paul said he came to deliver "a message from the Tea Party."

"A message that is loud and clear and does not mince words," he said. "We've come to take our government back."

So now what? What will an establishment-backed Paul campaign look like? Will Paul stand with the party leaders he's been attacking for months?

McConnell is already doing his part to mend fences after his vocal support for Grayson in the primary. In a statement released shortly after the race was called, he praised the (mosty anti-McConnell) supporters Paul brings with him to the general election race.

"Dr. Paul ran an outstanding campaign which clearly struck a chord with Kentucky voters and I congratulate him on his impressive victory," McConnell said. "Now Kentucky Republicans will unite in standing against the overreaching policies of the Obama Administration."

NRSC chair John Cornyn said he's confident a Senator Paul would be a welcome part of the GOP caucus.

"I am confident that we will keep Kentucky's U.S. Senate seat in Republican hands thanks to Dr. Rand Paul's nomination today," Cornyn said in a statement. "After a spirited and open primary, Rand Paul effectively communicated his commitment to Kentucky values, and I am certain that he will serve as a strong and dynamic voice in the U.S. Senate."

Numerous national polls have shown that the vocal and powerful movement represents just a sliver of the overall voting populace, and nearly all of it conservative Republican. Will Paul's supporters on the far right follow him as he inevitably reaches out for votes in the center? For now, they're just reveling in their win.

"The political world is buzzing tonight," the Tea Party Express said in a statement. The group heralded Paul for "beating out an establishment politician and sending a message that the tea party is here to take our country back."

The group is ready to take the credit for Paul's insurgent win.

"[C]ongratulations fellow tea party supporters!" the Tea Party Express statement reads. "You've helped bring about major changes in this country!"

See Rand Paul's acceptance speech -- sure to become a tea party classic -- here:

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May 18, 2010 7:59 PM   

Not a surprise, but pretty awful news by any measure. This guy is probably going to the Senate.

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May 18, 2010 8:24 PM    in reply to Tanjaoui

I am confused. Has anyone noticed that the loser in the Democratic primary has more votes then the winner of the Republican primary? 103,000 for Conroy who lost vs 102,000 for Paul who won. What does that mean?

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May 18, 2010 8:26 PM    in reply to Marc

Oops. I mean Mongiardo with 103,000 votes.

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May 18, 2010 9:01 PM    in reply to Marc

Marc, missed your comment first time through. See mine below, expanding on your observation.

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May 18, 2010 8:00 PM   

"Ron Paul's libertarian base will be taking a serious victory lap in the next few weeks."

But it is not really. It is a win against the establishment Republicans and just shows how far extremist the GOP has become. It will alienate many and make many stay at home come November. To the Democrats advantage. The Teabaggers are such a tiny portion of the electorate who are given far more attention than they deserve by the media. And they have not beaten any Democrats. There is no way Rand can even pretend to move towards the center of the political spectrum for the November election. And campaigning with Caribou Barbie sure won't win over any votes!

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May 19, 2010 2:04 PM    in reply to dswx

I'm not sure I understand your post. You speak of how extreme Republicans have become, yet what Republicans have become is indistinguishable from Democrats. So are you saying that Democrats have also become extreme -- or are you trying to say that the One Party system is becoming more and more disturbing...?

Libertarians do not move towards the center for elections. Why would they...? Half of their positions already come from the left. Oh, you didn't know that...? I'm not really surprised. For some random and arbitrary reason people like to just tack libertarians onto the far right of the political spectrum despite the fact that this makes no sense whatsoever. And since they can't be bothered to learn what it is libertarians actually advocate they get all freaked out by the caricatures they made up themselves.

Do tell me: What objections would a principled progressive (one who actually walks the talk) have against a libertarian's opposition to war-mongering and endless foreign aggression...? What objection would a principled progressive have against a libertarian who pointed out how some well-intended policies were actually harming the poor...? (You don't want to keep harming the poor, do you...?)
What objections would you have to libertarian opposition to corporatism -- to government deal-making with the Big Corporations at the expense of the little guy...? What objections do you have to libertarian support for civil liberties...?

But excuse me if i have made any assumptions. Maybe you do object. And maybe Democrats have become so homogenized with Republicans that much of their former platform is indeed called extremism these days.

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May 18, 2010 8:02 PM   

Get the popcorn ready, it's going to be an amusing summer. I wonder if he'll try to walk back the crazy and what will happen if he does.

Conway just needs to keep rubbing Paul's nose in his own positions.

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May 18, 2010 8:16 PM   

Prominent, persuasive Princess Palin puts Paul in power. Gerbil Grayson gone to ground.

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May 18, 2010 8:22 PM   

The tea party movement got its best chance at winning a seat in the U.S. Senate

I thought Scott Brown was a teabagger...no?

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May 18, 2010 11:14 PM    in reply to Scott in PacNW

it's a floating teabag, doncha know...

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May 19, 2010 3:42 AM    in reply to Scott in PacNW

Turns out he was just Teabag curious, and after a short dalliance ran back to a safer (for his personal future) position.

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May 18, 2010 8:29 PM   

What can you say about a guy who is named after Ayn Rand?

Reminds me of a Robert Altman movie.

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May 18, 2010 8:42 PM   

Not bad for a guy whose neck is the same thickness as his head.

What is it about Kentucky and its ability to produce politicians with deformed features. (Like Mitch McConnell's lack of a chin)?

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May 18, 2010 8:57 PM   

Yea, but both Democratic candidates got a higher vote count than Paul. Just wait for the general.

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May 18, 2010 8:59 PM    in reply to GTFOOH

Great minds, and all that, GTFOOH....

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May 18, 2010 8:58 PM   

Am I the only one who has noticed that Jack Conway is on course to poll more than 240,000 votes while Rand Paul will receive a little less than 200,000 when all the votes are tallied? Does it matter that more Democrats voted today for Mongiardo (who's losing by 8%) than voted for Rand Paul? Total vote in the Democratic primary is going to be over 500,000 (coming in at a pace to hit about 512,500).

If the Democratic vote in the general election increases in the same proportion this fall as it did in 2007, Conway will get over 925,000 votes, or 51% of the total # votes cast in the 2008 general election in a Presidential year. That many votes will very likely be enough to win this Senate seat in this mid-term election year. (When Steve Beshear was elected governor in 2007, the total Democratic primary vote was 342,000+, and Beshear moved up over 80% to poll 619,552 in the general election, almost 60% of the total vote in the general election.)

Unless there's some special pattern to primary voting in Kentucky, I'd say the news tonight is not that Rand Paul got the Republican nomination, but that a record number of voters -- over half a million -- voted in the Democratic primary!

It's a little early for Jack Conway to be measuring the drapes in Jim Bunning's old office (I know, he wouldn't get that office anyway), but for now I'd say that Kentucky is a good state for spending money to get bang for the buck on behalf of a take-away Senate seat for the Democrats.

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May 18, 2010 10:06 PM    in reply to hardheaded liberal

So far I have tallied 159,000 more Dem voters than Republican. As a Kentuckian, I feel that Paul appeals to a certain type of voter and all of them showed up today. By making comments that Obama is pals with third world nations and that disabled people are too much hassle on business will NOT gain any Dem voters and completely turn off Independents like myself. Thanks teabaggers, hopefully you will put a little more blue in the bluegrass.

Fun fact, Conway and Mongiardo's totals are more than the entire Republican race.

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May 18, 2010 11:53 PM    in reply to patmcgrowen

Rand Paul ran on his father's platform, a platform that has become more popular - in the Republican Party - since their defeat in the 2008 election. But Ron Paul never got more than about 10% of the Republican voters in the 2008 Republican Presidential Primary. That's about the top range for the Libertarian crazies. Add to that probably an equal number of Republicans who'll vote for Rand because he is the Republican candidate for Senate, and perhaps half again more because of the idea that the tea baggers are on a roll and are potential winners. That last is only true if the media can keep up the general fiction that the extremist right wingers have a good shot at winning.

On the Democratic side there were a lot more Dems who turned out for the primary than Republicans. I wonder why?

Someone wrote that Rand Paul's Republican opponents really really, really don't like him. Having myself voted against his father four times I can understand that. Libertarians are not especially warm and cuddly people who are easily liked, especially when they believe they have the whip hand. That seems to me to the the Position Rand is in right now. Rand Paul does not have a long history in politics himself, so he is depending on rumor and what people tell him more than experience. He'll be likely to see all the positives in his position and think they negate the negatives, but the negatives are still there. My bet is that hubris will destroy him.

Barring some massive surprise, I'd bet on John Yarmuth in November about 3 to 2 right now. It'll be extremely interesting to see how the money race goes this summer.

But then, I know Ron Paul, Dick Armey and Phil Gramm, Libertarians all and all similarly detestable as people.

Just my opinion.

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May 19, 2010 1:27 AM    in reply to patmcgrowen

"...and that disabled people are too much hassle on business..."

Because, of course, a ruthless, laissez-faire capitalist always chases prospective customers away.

Honestly. I wish the whole Paul family would finally adopt for themselves the belief in the markets they espouse for others. Of course, that would mean paying attention to the predictive markets that said King Paul of Texas never had a chance running for president, but it's better than their current, "We believe in the power of markets, right up until the market disagrees with us," schtick they currently have going on.

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May 18, 2010 11:42 PM    in reply to hardheaded liberal

Good observation. I counted over 120,000 more total Democratic votes than Repub votes in this election. I think the 200K votes for the tea party Republican is all he's gonna get, even in the mid term elections.

Republicans got burned for backing psycho extremist in the recent past(Palin), which is a mistake that won't stop, and repubs are still trying to justify their actions when their candidate has gone rogue. So I don't think they are up to it again so quickly.

There will be a huge Democratic turnout, with so much on the line, and the repubs campaigning on taking away health care benefits from men, women and children and benefits that just started in June for those with pre-existing conditions.

Besides the fact that Repubs have alienated and offended every racial, age, religious based demographic, except old white males.

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May 18, 2010 9:32 PM   

Conway and Mongiardo may have gotten more votes tonight, but Paul will start the campaign leading in the polls by about 10%. It's tough for a Dem to get a ticket to DC from Kentucky. Nonetheless, Paul could get co-opted by the Establishment, come across as just another pol, and fail. Or Paul could make a rookie mistake, and fail. The GOP voters in KY who came out--and they did not exactly knock over old ladies to get the polls, did they?--rolled the dice, and they might come up craps on this one.

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May 18, 2010 11:58 PM    in reply to Trulee Pist

It seems to me that Rand Paul has a balancing act. He will need strong turn out to win and he'll get that by pandering to the right-wing crazies. The only question is how much will that pandering drive saner voters to the Democrats?

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May 19, 2010 2:14 PM    in reply to Richardxx

This country needs a paradigm shift. We need to start referring to the people who keep racking up the exponential debt as the crazies -- as well as those who keep voting for the people who keep racking up the exponential debt.

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May 18, 2010 9:45 PM   

Gosh darn, there goes that ole reliable Kentucky Senate seat for the Dems.

It will make a huge difference. Instead of an establishment Republican voting "No" on every single bill, we'll have some new guy voting "No" on every single bill.

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May 18, 2010 10:32 PM   

Repub votes 330k
Dem votes 450k
2101 Rand fails, Teaparty humiliated.

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May 18, 2010 10:34 PM    in reply to Jackster

oops tippo
2010
can't predict 90 years out

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May 18, 2010 11:17 PM    in reply to Jackster

"Teaparty humiliated"

They can't be humiliated, the more they lose the more right they are in their own minds. They have no shame.

A lot of false pride, but nothing akin to shame.

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May 18, 2010 10:34 PM   

Palin + Tea Party = WIN!!!!

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May 18, 2010 10:35 PM    in reply to Barney

LMAO

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May 18, 2010 10:55 PM   

Rand Paul had to go all tea-baggy to get chosen just to run. He'll have to give up that facade to actually be taken seriously for the seat.
I had no idea that Rand was such a sellout, it was almost a disappointment watching him pander.
His first move as a candidate will have to be flip-flopping & kissing the GOP's buns, thereby rendering him an ex-tea-bagger & current establishment flunky.
Rand won't even fill his father's shoes & is a show pony at best.

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May 19, 2010 1:55 AM    in reply to Leftflank

Rand Paul reminds me of early years Dubya.

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May 18, 2010 10:57 PM   

Mark May 18, 2010 down as the day the Republican Establishment died. The sitting Secretary of State in Kentucky, backed by the Mitch, the world's most prominent Republican, can't get 125,000 votes in a race against a nutcase eye doctor. The Tea Party will feel the exuberance until they realize that they are lemmings running off a cliff and there is nothing beneath their feet but air. It will be an interesting few months.

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May 18, 2010 11:01 PM   

Good for Mr Paul, except the Dem primary had 2-1 more voters than the republicans did.

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May 19, 2010 10:36 AM    in reply to Mrwilson1

RIGHT, Which base is more motivated in primaries? All the talk was about the disalusioned Dems not turning out for the primary and the electrified Rep base swarming the polls. It seems that real Rep's are more disgusted by the tea baggers than most thought. They want real candidates not a bunch of wackos warping the constitution around their own faulty logic. With this much motivation in the primaries, the generals should be a real pie in the face of right wingers.

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May 19, 2010 5:54 PM    in reply to Jackster

Who is warping the constitution around their own faulty logic...?

The constitution says what it says. (Rand Paul, Ron Paul, and the like)

OR

The constituion says whatever the ruling party in congress arbitrarily wants it to say by invoking a depression era SCOTUS interpretation of the commerce clause, which ruled the constitution says the opposite of what it says.... (Neoconservative Republicans and most Democrats).

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May 19, 2010 1:18 AM   

"Rand Paul Is Kentucky GOP Senate Nominee"

Whereupon Mitt Romney came out against Prince Rand and the monarchist/aristocratic Paul family, right?

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May 19, 2010 1:50 AM   

Rand Paul refused to take the call of congratulations from opponent Trey Grayson, according to Grayson's campaign manager Nate Hodson.

http://www.wcpo.com/news/local/story/Campaign-Manager-Rand-Paul-Refused-Graysons-Call/4ySo1O6X002sD-bHqhyNyQ.cspx

Paul is an arrogant little twit. Good luck bringing in those Grayson supporters after dissing Grayson.

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May 19, 2010 4:01 PM    in reply to Kaneblues

Grayson's a crybaby. So Paul wasn't sitting by the phone waiting for him to call...? He was out celebrating. He missed calls from Romney and a few others too and they didn't get all offended over it.

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May 19, 2010 3:51 AM   

I really don't think enough has been made of the fact that the Gov, Lt. Gov and AG of Kentucky right now are all Dems. I know that the GOP has owned the 2 senate seats for years (and any Dem from there will be a Nelson/Bayh/Lincoln blue dog type) but doesn't owning 3 of the top 4 state wide seats suggest the Dems have some clue as to how to win a state wide race? Especially when it matches a state-wide office holder against a newbie best known for being the crown prince of the furthest fringe of the GOP who apparently has no interest in tapping the state-wide GOP infrastructure or making allies? Or were all those Dems elected by accident?

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May 19, 2010 3:51 AM   

If Paul is anything like his old man, he will not run to the center in November.

These are crazy people, with the courage of their crazy convictions. Unlike your normal politician, who will do anything to get elected, these guys have what, in non-crazy people, is called integrity.

He might get elected just because he's so crazy. In any case, I don't see him doing a Mitt Romney.

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May 19, 2010 10:03 AM    in reply to Nancy Irving

Nancy, my thoughts exactly. It's the base of each party that determines who goes to the general. It's the independents in the middle who determine who goes to Washington.

Compare McCain to Paul. It's hard to believe with McCain's record that he honestly believes in the positions he is forced to take now. It shows in a visible level of discomfort in his demeanor and in his ability to discuss it coherently.

Paul on the other hand will be forced to move center to positions that he simply does not believe in and discussing it is way outside of his personal comfort level. I think Paul will looks as much as a fish out of water in the general as McCain is looking in the primary.

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May 19, 2010 6:20 PM    in reply to Nancy Irving

Wouldn't it be nice if we would start calling the one's who clearly state their actual convictions and then act upon those convictions with integrity sane?

And wouldn't it be nice if we would start calling the ones who say wildly dissonant things they don't believe or ever intend to do crazy?

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May 19, 2010 9:28 AM   

Congrats Rand Paul and may God be with you in Nov!!


............................................................
Some of the nation's largest banks have agreed to contribute enough money to save Chicago-based ShoreBank, the community lender with strong ties to the Obama administration, FOX Business has learned.

The banks have agreed to contribute $140 million to bail out the bank, while the federal government will donate tens of millions more, according to people close to the talks. In addition to major Wall Street firms like Goldman Sachs
(GS: 137.41, 0, 0%), which agreed to contribute $20 million to the bailout effort, as well as Citigroup (C: 3.72, 0, 0%) and JPMorgan (JPM: 39.02, 0, 0%), General Electric's (GE: 17.23, 0, 0%) GE Capital will also contribute $20 million to the rescue effort. All the firms have either received massive government assistance during the financial crisis or, in the case of Goldman Sachs, are facing multiple regulatory investigations into their business practices.

The bailout has been controversial. Senior Obama adviser Valerie Jarrett served on a Chicago civic organization with a director of the bank, and President Obama himself has singled out the bank for praise in lending to low-income communities.

But the bank has made its share of bad bets, and some of the Wall Street firms that have given money have said they've received political pressure to contribute to the bailout of a business that under normal circumstances would have been left to fail.

It's still unclear how much the federal government will contribute to save the bank because it's unclear exactly how much is needed to save the institution, which without the bailout would have been taken over by the FDIC.

An announcement on the bailout is expected Tuesday morning.
http://www.foxbusiness.com/story/markets/industries/finance/lenders-agree-prop-ailing-shorebank/

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