The new Rasmussen poll of the Kentucky Senate race gives Republican nominee Rand Paul a stable lead of seven points over Democrat Jack Conway in the race for the seat of retiring GOP Sen. Jim Bunning.
The numbers: Paul 49%, Conway 42%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.5% margin of error. A month ago, Paul led by a similar 49%-41%. The TPM Poll Average gives Paul a lead of 50.7%-41.3%.
The pollster’s analysis finds a stability to the race, with the exception of an immediate post-primary bump for Paul: “Support for both nominees is virtually identical to results found earlier this month. Just after Paul’s big primary win in May, he bounced to a short-lived 25-point lead over Conway. With the exception of immediately after his primary win, Paul has received between 46% and 50% support in match-ups with Conway since January. During the same period, Conway has earned between 34% and 41% of the vote. The Democrat has never led in matchups between the two candidates.”
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
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