TPMDC

Poll: Dem Perriello Running 23 Points Behind GOPer In VA-05

Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA)

A new poll out of Virginia’s 5th Congressional District should give Republicans hoping to knock freshman progressive Rep. Tom Perriello (D) out of the Congress in the fall something to cheer about. According to a poll conducted by SurveyUSA over the weekend, Perriello is running more than 20 points behind the Republican nominee in the race, state Sen. Robert Hurt.

The totals: Hurt 58, Perriello 35, independent candidate Jeffrey Clark 4.

A poll in February, taken before a brutal GOP primary that saw Hurt (the establishment choice) emerge from a field of tea party opponents, showed Perriello running a very close race with all of the potential Republican nominees. Now that the party has made a choice, however, that gap appears to have widened considerably.

But as the Washington Post reports, Perriello still has the cash advantage in the contest. The incumbent Democrat reported “$1.7 million in the bank as of June 30 to Hurt’s $216,000,” the paper reports.

Late Update: The Perriello campaign put out a statement rejecting the poll’s findings yesterday, as the liberal BlueVirginia blog reports:

“Everyone knows that SurveyUSA polls are useless; even Sen. Hurt’s campaign manager has admitted that,” Perriello’s campaign said. “The fact is that every credible poll this year has had Tom Perriello ahead or tied. We know this will be a tight race, and we know Tom’s hard work and commitment to the hardworking families he represents will lead him to re-election this fall.”

As the BlueVirginia blgger points out, “SurveyUSA has been pretty good in the past (Nate Silver rates them third, behind Field Poll and ABC/Washington Post)” but “the big question is whether or not they have a handle on the 5th CD of Virginia.”

Polls, Tom Perriello, VA-05
Evan McMorris-Santoro

Evan McMorris-Santoro has covered politics for TPM since 2009. Before that, he was a reporter at National Journal’s Hotline covering election 2008. He started his career covering local politics at newspapers in TN and his native NC.

Editor & Publisher

Josh Marshall

Managing Editor

David Kurtz

Senior Associate Editor

Paul Werdel

Associate Editor

Sara Libby

Assistant Editor

Igor Bobic

Reporters

Brian Beutler

Carl Franzen

Sahil Kapur

Eric Kleefeld

Eric Lach

Nick Martin

Evan McMorris-Santoro

Ryan J. Reilly

Benjy Sarlin

Front Page Editor

David Taintor

Poll Editor

Kyle Leighton

News Writer

Pema Levy

Video Editor

Michael Lester

Polling Fellow

Tom Kludt

Video Fellow

Clayton Ashley

Publishing Fellow

Christopher O’Driscoll

Research Interns

Michael Brooks

Publishing Intern

Miles Read

General Manager & General Counsel

Millet Israeli

VP, Ad Sales

Mary Cadwallader

Bob Edmunds

Bruce Ellerstein

Waldo Tibbetts

Manager, Ad Operations and Sales Support

Versha Sharma

Deputy Publisher

Callie Schweitzer

Director of Technology

Eric Buth

Designer/Developer

Ni Mu

Matthew Wozniak

Tech Fellow

Dennis Cahillane