Now this is interesting. During an interview just now on Lou Dobbs’s radio show, Sharron Angle claimed that the polls currently have her ahead:
Dobbs: You’re running a tight race right now. It seems like it bounces around, two or three points. Who’s in the lead right now?
Angle: I believe I am, but you know, it’s always a toss-up here in the state. Those snapshots in time, they take the polls, always have us running within the statistical margin of error, so it’s always going to be very close. We know that, we’ve known that since this race began. We had a little honeymoon right at the beginning, but we knew that Harry Reid was gonna pull out every dirty trick in the book. He has been, and some of those I think were self-inflicted wounds now.
In fact, the last publicly released poll that showed Angle ahead was a Rasmussen poll from a month ago, which gave her an edge of 46%-43%. (Rasmussen then showed Reid taking the lead two weeks ago.) Every poll for the last month has shown Reid ahead.
The TPM Poll Average currently shows Reid ahead by 45.1%-42.7%. Angle is correct, though, to say that the polls have been within the margin of error. And of course, who knows what might come tomorrow and beyond.
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
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