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Meet The Unknown Alaska Man Who Might Give Dems' A Chance For November


Scott McAdams

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Thanks to an old-fashioned political upset, Sitka, Alaska Mayor Scott McAdams is about to get a lot more ink.

McAdams (D) will face the winner of the Republican primary between Sen. Lisa Murkowski and Joe Miller, though we may not know for sure if Miller unseated Murkowski until next month. National Democrats tell us privately the Alaska Senate race wasn't even on their radar, until today when Miller's showing stunned Washington.

Murkowski could still win, of course. With 97.9 percent of precincts in, Miller's margin over the senator has tightened. As of this writing, Miller was less than 2,000 votes over Murkowski: 45,909 for him to 43,949 for her. If it's close in either case, expect lawyers to be on the scene.

Democrats tell me that at this point they don't expect to spend money or devote resources to Alaska given they are on the defense in states that are likely to be far more competitive this fall. But don't forget, winning Mark Begich winning statewide in Alaska in 2008 at one point seemed like a pipe dream. Anything's possible.

As for McAdams, his campaign Web site has focused entirely on Murkowski, suggesting she is too tied to special interests. We have interview requests out to his campaign and will update when we hear back.

McAdams is prominently featured on the home page for the city and borough of Sitka, which he says enjoys being "blessed with an island culture." From his welcome note to the city: "Sitka is, by many measures, one of the greatest places on Earth."

"Ours is a good life. We are blessed with a disproportionate concentration of talented people who choose quality of life above seeming urban opportunity, and I am bullish on our future," McAdams writes.

He also directs citizens to his personal blog, but that link is no longer working.

McAdams won his own primary last night, earning 49.6% of the vote above three challengers, the closest of which earned 19.4%. Hotline on Call reported this week McAdams had no real competition since Jacob Kern (D) and Frank Vondersaar (D) were perennial (losing) candidates.

In interviews earlier this week, operatives for both parties on the ground told me that McAdams was far down the Democratic bench for the race. The party sought several better-known candidates, who all declined to jump into a race against Murkowski.

Comments (34) | Join the Conversation!

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August 25, 2010 11:23 AM   

Sitka has as many people as Wasilla did when Sarah Palin was elected statewide.

Maybe this guy is going to be on a national ticket soon....

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August 25, 2010 9:40 PM    in reply to terje

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August 25, 2010 11:29 AM   

How much money does it take to run in Alaska? Seems to me the DSCC would have more ROI here than Arkansas, Illinois, Ohio or some of these other states that they'll be playing in.

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August 25, 2010 12:28 PM    in reply to Jim H

I heard McAdams interviewed last month, and he made exactly that argument, that just a small amount of money will let him buy ads in Alaska's cheap ad market. I Miller is another nutjob, there might actually be a chance. Besides, if someone critical of politicians who do the bidding of oil companies can win in Alaska, that could be a game-changer.

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August 25, 2010 1:10 PM    in reply to ericf

If McAdams is critical of politicians who do the bidding of oil companies, he would do well to keep that under wraps until after the election.

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August 26, 2010 1:33 AM    in reply to hunter

About that...the liability cap seems to be his signature issue. At least he knows what he's running on, and sounds like he's willing to run with an issue where he thinks he's right. The DNC and DSCC need to figure out this isn't Alvin Green. Against an unknown Republican, maybe he can do this. So what if he needs a bunch of help? Do Democrats want to win or not? If Miller has skeletons in his closet, do Democrats want to get caught not putting McAdams in a position to capitalize?

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August 25, 2010 11:30 AM   

There were too many things working in Begich's favour when he knocked off Stevens in 2008...and not enough working in McAdams' favour for him to beat back Joe Miller.

Stranger things have happened, but I don't see this as a pickup for the Dems.

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August 25, 2010 1:19 PM    in reply to EnnuiDivine

That's an "interesting" perspective considering that 24 hours ago, no one this side of Miller thought Miller had a chance against Murkowski...

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August 25, 2010 2:37 PM    in reply to ondioline

Extremely conservative Republican beating a mainline conservative Republican in this election year isn't too unusual (like Bennett in Utah)

And the Dems have about as much chance of picking up Alaska as they do that seat.

I don't know much about McAdams. He's probably a good candidate...but it's for a seat that hasn't been won by a Democrat since Mike Gravel in 1974.

Not to mention, Alaska's been a Republican stronghold since it joined the Union. They've only voted for a Democratic President once (Johnson in 1964).

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August 25, 2010 11:39 AM   

Sitka's a (relatively) liberal and cultured community with an annual chamber music festival that draws top musicians from around the world to perform. http://www.sitkamusicfestival.org/

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August 25, 2010 11:52 AM   

"McAdams is prominently featured on the home page for the city and borough of Sitka, which he says enjoys being 'blessed with an island culture.' From his welcome note to the city: 'Sitka is, by many measures, one of the greatest places on Earth.'

"Ours is a good life. We are blessed with a disproportionate concentration..."

Sitka is reputed as one of the rainiest places outside of tropics and possibly Aleutians, although people can argue. This guy has a sunny outlook!

Sitka was capital of Russian America and then Alaska Territory after the 1867 purchase -- up to 1906.

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August 25, 2010 12:20 PM   

Maybe he could be persuaded to drop out and the party select a better known candidate. Its worth looking into.

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August 25, 2010 2:07 PM    in reply to Cederico

You're big on getting rid of democrats who've actually won their primaries, aren't you?

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August 25, 2010 5:03 PM    in reply to FreeRider

LOL! Apparently I am not the only DEM who is thinking this way as there are rumors that DEMS are actively considering asking McAdams to step aside for former Gov. Tony Knowles.

Let me be plain. I am a Democrat who likes to win. Keeping control of the US Senate is so critical to getting anything accomplished on the progressive agenda in the next two years. It is critical in getting the right judges confirmed.

McAdams cannot win...period. I for one am not going to speculate on his chances when they are clearly none. DEMS needs a big name and someone who has proven they can win in this very red state. If they can maneuver and make this race competitive then I say they should.

So I ask you...do you wanna win?

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August 25, 2010 8:07 PM    in reply to Cederico

According to you, McAdams can't win; Meek can't win. Thanks for playing, Miss Cleo. We have some wonderful parting gifts for you.

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August 25, 2010 2:19 PM    in reply to Cederico

I think that would be the exact wrong thing to do. If McAdams has a chance in this anti-incumbent, anti-establishment election season, it's as a relative outsider who has not been tainted by any connection with the Dems in DC.

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August 25, 2010 2:24 PM    in reply to Cederico

I think that would be the exact wrong thing to do. If McAdams has a chance in this anti-incumbent, anti-establishment election season, it's as a relative outsider who has not been tainted by any connection with the Dems in DC.

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August 25, 2010 5:19 PM    in reply to Cy Guy

What is your definition of "anti-incumbent"? Two percent of incumbents losing?

Because that is where we are so far. By the last numbers I have seen, incumbents are winning 97% of the time.

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August 25, 2010 12:55 PM   

He can cast Miller as Sarah Palin's political toyboy.

I wonder if Democrats and independents in AK find Palin to be as distasteful as those in the lower 48 and HI?

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August 25, 2010 2:03 PM    in reply to jsdc007

I'd imagine so, considering her favorable/unfavorables are net negative in AK these days. In fact, given the partisan split up there it sounds like Democrats, independents and a fair chunk of Republicans must be about fed up with her.

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August 25, 2010 3:47 PM    in reply to hunter

Yes, they are so fed up with her that the man she endorsed just beat the well-financed, very powerful incumbent. I think most people here know that he wouldn't have won if Palin hadn't endorsed him. But hey, you go ahead and mention meaningless opinion polls. You know, the kind of polls that had Murkowski winning huge. Just ignore the actual election and look at the polls.

We are more likely to see Obama's hilariously bad approval ratings go over 50% than we are a McAdams win in AK in November. When an incumbent loses to an unknown and the Dems still don't plan on spending anything, that tells you all you need to know.

As for Palin's approval, it is pretty hilarious reading comments from someone who supports a "president" with absolutely wretched and hilarious approval ratings bringing up someone else's approval ratings.

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August 25, 2010 5:39 PM    in reply to masanf

Did you mean "Obama's hilariously bad, Reagan-like approval ratings"?

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August 25, 2010 1:01 PM   

I'm going to start contribute to his campaign!

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August 25, 2010 1:39 PM   

Ha, Might Give Dems' A Chance This November.

"Beware Democrats. You're going to be drinking tea this November.And in 2012.

Get used to it."

http://fishersvillemike.blogspot.com/2010/08/mama-grizzly-roars.html

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August 25, 2010 6:10 PM    in reply to dualdiagnosis

I'm all for conservative Republicans taking over Alaska. They can start by sending back the federal highway money that their taxes don't even begin to cover (about $5 for every $1 they contribute). After all, government subsidies make people lazy, amirite?

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August 25, 2010 1:41 PM   

Sitka was one of my favorite characters on "Taxi."

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August 25, 2010 2:28 PM   

The apostrophe in this article's headline is giving me a headache.

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August 25, 2010 5:21 PM    in reply to Steve M

Agreed. Are there no editors at TPM awake today?

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August 25, 2010 3:39 PM   

"But don't forget, winning Mark Begich winning statewide in Alaska in 2008 at one point seemed like a pipe dream. Anything's possible."

Hey, why don't you forget to mention that Begich only one won, just barely, because his opponent had been wrongfully indicted on various felony charges. Oh wait, you did forget. My bad.

McAdams has about as much chance of winning in AK as Barack does carrying UT in 2012. Hell, I know one-stop light towns with a greater number of people than the amount who voted for McAdams in the Dem. primary.

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OzD

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August 25, 2010 6:15 PM    in reply to masanf

It should read "...Begich only won, just barely, because his opponent had been found GUILTY on various felony charges a few days before the election." After Stevens was found guilty by his peers, AG Eric Holder requested that all charges be dropped due to prosecutorial misconduct. Per NPR (http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=102589818) "His decision is said to be based on Stevens' age — he's 85 — and the fact that Stevens is no longer in the Senate. Perhaps most important, Justice Department officials say Holder wants to send a message to prosecutors throughout the department that actions he regards as misconduct will not be tolerated."

Steven's was NOT found innocent of the charges, and I find it hard to fathom how this means he was "wrongfully indicted". Wrongfully prosecuted, fine, but so long as his house still had its second floor, paid for with Allen's money, it's hard to argue his indictment was wrong. If someone who was witnessed by dozens murdering someone gets let off due to prosecutorial misconduct, it doesn't mean they aren't a murderer, just that they won't be doing time for murder.

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August 25, 2010 6:27 PM   

Wasn't he on Man V. Food?

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August 26, 2010 2:29 AM   

Alaska voters by party political party, October 2008 (total: 495,731)

Alaskan Independence: 2 percent (13,810)
Democratic: 15 percent (76,792)
Republican: 25 percent (126,583)
Libertarian: 1 percent (6 972)
Non partisan: 15 percent (77,227)
Undeclared: 37 percent (185,587)
Green: less than one percent (2,949)
Republican Moderate: less the 1 percent (3,939)
Veterans Party: less than 1 percent (1,935)

Yesterday, 92,386 voted in the Republican primary and 30,855 voted in the Democratic primary. Together they constitute about 25% of Alaska's registered voters. Right now it appears the Democrats couldn't be bothered and Joe Miller will cruise to victory. What might change the dynamics for McAdams would be a scandal about Miller's past, but if there is such, one would have expected Murkowski's research team to spring it in the final days before the primary.

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August 26, 2010 1:02 PM    in reply to eggroll

The problem with this is that Alaskans do not care for the closed ballot that the R Legislature has put in place. If you are anything but an R, you can choose the R or the D (called the Open ballot). Many D's, Undeclared and Non-Partisan voters chose the R ballot. Some to vote for Miller, thinking he was the weaker candidate, and some voted for Lisa thinking they did not want Miller to have a showing, and thus giving the Tea Partiers any credence.

I am a Non-Partisan voter and I, as usual, picked the R ballot. It's the primary, and I use it strategically. I hate the closed ballot, so I use it against the R's.

Many, many people do the same thing.

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August 31, 2010 1:02 AM   

I was just looking at news about our hometown politician when I started reading all of this discussion. I have to say that I consider myself a Republican and would support Murkowski again if she were to win against Miller.

That being said I cannot believe Miller even had a chance of winning. Believe it or not but most Alaskans are completely against Palin. The one reason he stands a chance is because of the Tea Baggers money getting his name out. His obvious lack of common sense has recently come forward in interviews.

In summary I guess I should say the only reason I am posting is to say that Scott (as we all call McAdams here) would be a better representative than Miller. Scott is a personal friend of mine and his kids can be found at my house on most weekends. He knows what he is doing in office (even though he is a *cough* democrat) and would serve well

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