TPMDC

Poll: Kentucky Senate Race A Dead Heat

Kentucky Senate candidates Jack Conway (D) and Rand Paul (R)

A new poll out of Kentucky shows Democratic Senate nominee Jack Conway closing the gap with his Republican counterpart, Rand Paul. The race stands as essentially a dead heat, according to the poll, with Conway just barely ahead 41.7-41.2.

The survey of 801 likely voters was conducted Aug. 16-18 by Braun Research on behalf of Kentucky cable news channel CN2. The margin of error is 3.46%.

The new poll shows a big swing toward Conway. The last Braun research poll, from August 4, showed Paul leading Conway 40.6-31.4.

Other recent polling has shown Paul with a lead in the contest. The TPM Poll Average shows the Republican ahead 45.4-41.0.

But the numbers also show that Conway could be making up ground against the Republican. Check out the polling trendline:

For its part, the Paul campaign dismissed the CN2 poll in an interview with the channel today. Democrats, to no one’s surprise, said the numbers justified their strategy against Paul.

Jack Conway, KY-SEN, Polls, Rand Paul
Evan McMorris-Santoro

Evan McMorris-Santoro has covered politics for TPM since 2009. Before that, he was a reporter at National Journal’s Hotline covering election 2008. He started his career covering local politics at newspapers in TN and his native NC.

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