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Rasmussen Poll: Rand Paul Leads Jack Conway By 10 Points


Kentucky Senate candidates Jack Conway (D) and Rand Paul (R)

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The new Rasmussen poll of the Kentucky Senate race shows Republican Rand Paul continuing to lead Democrat Jack Conway in the contest to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Jim Bunning.

The numbers, including leaners: Paul 51%, Conway 41%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.5% margin of error. In the previous Rasmussen poll from a month ago, Paul led by a similar margin of 49%-41%.

The TPM Poll Average currently gives Paul a lead of 46.2%-40.8%.

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August 18, 2010 3:13 PM   

Oh thank goodness, I was worried that Rasmussen wouldn't be here to reverse a trending pro-Conway narrative, but there they are.

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August 19, 2010 10:35 AM    in reply to Bryn

And unfortunately, TPM by promoting this crap in their articles and poll averages is just as guilty.

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mcc

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August 18, 2010 3:38 PM   

What Rassmussen polls tell us are how a particular race will turn out in the presence of high Republican turnout and low Democratic turnout.

Like a lot of states, Kentucky is going to come down to GOTV.

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August 18, 2010 3:44 PM   

Stupid is as stupid does and Kentucky voters have shown time and time again just how stupid they are.

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August 18, 2010 5:04 PM    in reply to Bushdidit

Yep, see jim bunning. What's wrong with kentucky?

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August 18, 2010 5:30 PM    in reply to Michael A

A century and a half of poverty that hit, and never ended, when Generals Grant and Sherman's grand tours of points south made being the hub of North-South commerce stop being such a much. An educational system that's been chronically and intractably underfunded, politicized, and dysfunctional for decades. An anachronistic and poorly conceived state constitution from the 1890s that gives underpopulated counties far too much power and the state government too little. A deep-seated culture of anti-intellectualism that goes back to the days when agriculture was king. The curse of coal, which works a lot like the curse of oil in third world countries. The brain drain that all of the foregoing crap has fed for about a hundred and fifty years.

And then there's this streak of contrariness that makes people there reflexively do the exact opposite of anything people from outside the state say they should do that's deeply embedded in the culture of the whole damn state from Pikeville to Paducah.

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rwc

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August 19, 2010 12:33 AM    in reply to The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve

sounds about right

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August 18, 2010 6:06 PM   

I'm hoping that the endorsement of Conway by the state police will give Conway a huge boost. I'm also hoping that Kentuckians are watching the news instead of Dancing with the Stars. Well, hope DOES spring eternal.

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August 18, 2010 7:27 PM    in reply to Mary Alice

I bet they are watching Dancing with the Stars. These results mean at least 20 to 25% of Dems are crossing over to vote for Paul. Conway hasn't really done anthing wrong while Paul sticks his foot inside his mouth virtually everyday. It appears this is what Kentuckians want. Boy, it sure is Finger Lickin' Good!

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August 18, 2010 7:48 PM   

Why does anyone give any credence to Rasmussen?

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August 19, 2010 8:40 AM   

A right wing candidate will invigorate conservatives. A blue dog will not invigorate progressives. Amazing!

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