The new Fox News poll of the Nevada Senate race gives Republican Sharron Angle a one-point edge over Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.
The numbers: Angle 45%, Reid 44%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3% margin of error. There is no prior Fox poll for direct comparison. (However, this poll was conducted through a Rasmussen offshoot, Pulse Opinion Research, which performs made-to-order robopolls. The previous Rasmussen poll from two weeks ago gave Reid a 50%-47% lead, after undecided voters were pushed.) The TPM Poll Average currently puts Reid ahead by 47.2%-44.3%.
From Fox’s analysis: “Reid is unpopular, but he does have ardent supporters. While only 63 percent of those backing Angle said they “strongly” supported the former state senator (sic - Angle was a state representative), Reid got strong support from 77 percent of his backers. If enough of Angle’s lukewarm supporters ditch her in favor of a protest vote, Reid can win the election and not move much beyond the 44 percent he garnered in the poll.”